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PPP Release MN 1031

PPP Release MN 1031

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Published by: Rachel E. Stassen-Berger on Oct 31, 2013
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11/02/2013

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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE October 31, 2013 INTERVIEWS: Tom Jensen 919-744-6312 IF YOU HAVE BASIC METHODOLOGICAL QUESTIONS, PLEASE E-MAIL information@publicpolicypolling.com, OR CONSULT THE FINAL PARAGRAPH OF THE PRESS RELEASE
Franken and Dayton ahead of opponents heading into 2014 reelections
 
Raleigh, N.C. –
 PPP’s newest Minnesota poll finds that Senator Al Franken’s numbers remain strong entering his reelection campaign in 2014, while Governor Mark Dayton holds a ten point lead over potential Republican challengers who are struggling to gain traction. Franken’s approval rating among registered voters in Minnesota is at 51/43; almost identical to his 51/42 approval rating from our last polls in May. The senator consistently leads would-be opponents Jim Abeler 50-39, Chris Dahlberg 49-39, Mike McFadden 49-38, Julianne Ortman 49-37 and Monti Moreno 49-36. Mark Dayton’s numbers are also constant, and still strong, since our polling in May. The governor’s approval rating is currently 48/42, compared to 49/47 in the spring. Dayton sports a steady 10 or 11 point lead over Republican challengers Scott Honour 48-38, Jeff Johnson 48-37, Julie Rosen 48-36, Marty Seifert 48-37, Dave Thompson 48-37 and Kurt Zellers 48-38. Republican challengers to Franken and Dayton seem to have serious name-recognition issues heading into 2014. When asked about the favorability of potential challengers to Franken, 77% to 83% of voters were unsure, and Dayton’s opponents are hovering  between 66%-80% as basically unknown. “Al Franken and Mark Dayton have positive approval numbers,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “Combine that with their GOP opponents being largely unknown and it’s the recipe for double digit leads one year out from election day.” 57% of Twins fans in Minnesota support the retention of manager Ron Gardenhire, who  just signed a two-year extension, even though the 2010 AL Manager of the Year has lost 90+ games every season since that award. In almost identical contrast, 56% of Minnesota Vikings fans want head coach Leslie Frazer fired after 2013.
PPP surveyed 895 Minnesota voters, including an oversample of 305 usual Republican primary voters, between October 27-29, 2013. The margin of error for the overall survey is +/- 3.3%, and +/- 5.7% for the GOP portion. PPP’s surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews.
 
October 27-29, 2013
Survey of 895 Minnesota voters
October 27-29, 2013
Survey of 895 Minnesota voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-69883020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Minnesota Survey Results
Q1
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance? 47%
 Approve
..........................................................
 49%
Disapprove
......................................................
 4%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q2
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Amy Klobuchar’s job performance? 59%
 Approve
..................
 33%
Disapprove
..............
 8%
Not sure
..................
Q3
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Al Franken's job performance? 51%
 Approve
..................
 43%
Disapprove
..............
 6%
Not sure
..................
Q4
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Jim Abeler? 8%
Favorable
........................................................
 15%
Unfavorable
....................................................
 77%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q5
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Chris Dahlberg? 7%
Favorable
........................................................
 14%
Unfavorable
....................................................
 79%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q6
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mike McFadden? 6%
Favorable
........................................................
 15%
Unfavorable
....................................................
 79%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q7
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Julianne Ortman? 7%
Favorable
........................................................
 17%
Unfavorable
....................................................
 75%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q8
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Monti Moreno? 3%
Favorable
........................................................
 14%
Unfavorable
....................................................
 83%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q9
If the candidates for U.S. Senate next year were Democrat Al Franken and Republican Jim  Abeler, who would you vote for? 50%
 Al Franken
......................................................
 39%
Jim Abeler 
.......................................................
 11%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q10
If the candidates for U.S. Senate next year were Democrat Al Franken and Republican Chris Dahlberg, who would you vote for? 49%
 Al Franken
......................................................
 39%
Chris Dahlberg
................................................
 12%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q11
If the candidates for U.S. Senate next year were Democrat Al Franken and Republican Mike McFadden, who would you vote for? 49%
 Al Franken
......................................................
 38%
Mike McFadden
..............................................
 13%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q12
If the candidates for U.S. Senate next year were Democrat Al Franken and Republican Julianne Ortman, who would you vote for? 49%
 Al Franken
......................................................
 37%
Julianne Ortman
.............................................
 14%
Not sure
..........................................................
 
October 27-29, 2013
Survey of 895 Minnesota voters
October 27-29, 2013
Survey of 895 Minnesota voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-69883020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Q13
If the candidates for U.S. Senate next year were Democrat Al Franken and Republican Monti Moreno, who would you vote for? 49%
 Al Franken
......................................................
 36%
Monti Moreno
..................................................
 15%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q14
Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Mark Dayton's job performance? 48%
 Approve
..................
 42%
Disapprove
..............
 10%
Not sure
..................
Q15
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Scott Honour? 4%
Favorable
........................................................
 16%
Unfavorable
....................................................
 80%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q16
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Jeff Johnson? 5%
Favorable
........................................................
 15%
Unfavorable
....................................................
 80%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q17
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Julie Rosen? 6%
Favorable
........................................................
 17%
Unfavorable
....................................................
 78%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q18
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Marty Seifert? 8%
Favorable
........................................................
 19%
Unfavorable
....................................................
 73%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q19
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Dave Thompson? 7%
Favorable
........................................................
 16%
Unfavorable
....................................................
 77%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q20
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Kurt Zellers? 11%
Favorable
........................................................
 23%
Unfavorable
....................................................
 66%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q21
If the candidates for Governor next year were Democrat Mark Dayton and Republican Scott Honour, who would you vote for? 48%
Mark Dayton
...................................................
 38%
Scott Honour 
...................................................
 15%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q22
If the candidates for Governor next year were Democrat Mark Dayton and Republican Jeff Johnson, who would you vote for? 48%
Mark Dayton
...................................................
 37%
Jeff Johnson
...................................................
 15%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q23
If the candidates for Governor next year were Democrat Mark Dayton and Republican Julie Rosen, who would you vote for? 48%
Mark Dayton
...................................................
 36%
Julie Rosen
.....................................................
 16%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q24
If the candidates for Governor next year were Democrat Mark Dayton and Republican Marty Seifert, who would you vote for? 48%
Mark Dayton
...................................................
 37%
Marty Seifert
...................................................
 16%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q25
If the candidates for Governor next year were Democrat Mark Dayton and Republican Dave Thompson, who would you vote for? 48%
Mark Dayton
...................................................
 37%
Dave Thompson
.............................................
 15%
Not sure
..........................................................

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