2011/2010

5 . ( )

. 12613 :

35679060 33358355 33358496 :

37482533 :
Email: vice_deangs@issr.cu.edu.eg
issr.cu.edu.eg. :

-2-

. .

. .

-3-

/
/
/
/









ICDL

()
()


-4-

5
6
7
8
9
11
12
18
22
34
37
38
40
41
43
44
45
47
72
73
74
90

91
98

.
..



.



.






.

.

.

-5-

. .

-6-



:
"
( )

"



.





.
:







.
..

-7-




.




.

( )





.







.


.
. .


-8-





-

.
.


.





.



.


.

. .

-9-


. .
1963
1947
.
1957
. 1962
"
"

.
1969



.





.1973


1975
.
1977
.



.
-10-

 .
.

863 2005 /3/27



.


2008/2007



.


( ) . 15
.
29


....



.

. http://www.issr.cu.edu.eg


.

-11-


. .

. .

. .

:

. .

. .

. .

-12-

-13-

 : : 1962

..
. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.

()
( -)
()
( )
()


()

()

( )
( )
( )

( )

-14-

 : : 1962
:
.
. .

. .

. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
.

.
.
.
.

( )

()

( )

( )

-15-

 : : 1962

. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
. .
.
.
.
.
.

( )
( -)

( )

-16-

 : : 1973

.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.

()
()
( )

()
()

( )
( )
( )
( )








( )

-17-

 : :

. .
.
.
.
.
.
.

( )
)
(
()
()

( )

( )
( )

-18-

-19-

 Credit Hour System

16

0

Summer Courses



.

.

.
.
.

:
.1
.2
.3
.4
.5
.6

.
.
.

.
.
.

-20-

:
:
.1
.2
.3
.4
.5

:
:

- 1 :

:

- 2 :
:

- 3 :
:

- 4 :
:

-21-

- 5 :
:

: :



:
.1
.2 .
.3
.4
.5
.6
.7
.8
.9
010
011
012

: :
.1
.2
.3
.4
.5

-22-

 : :
. ( ) 60
:

39
15
3
3
60

()

-



.

-
.

( )


48

: :
()
15


.
-23-

 60
:

39

15

3
( )

3
()

60

( )
.

: :
. ( )30
:

18

9

3
()

30
-
.

-



.
-


.
-24-

 ( ) .
-



.
- ( )


.
-


.

: :
- ( )12
:

12

-
.
-
.


.
-


.
-25-

 ( )



.
-




.

: :
- ( )30
.
-
( )
()

.

( )

.

-26-

-27-

 :



(
)
:

- :




.

- :


.

- :

:
.


.



.

-28-

 - :



.

( )



.

:


.
Math

StatM

-29-

StatA

Eco

Dem

CS

IS

OR

 :

:

:
- :
(
3 )
18


.

- :
( )
.

.
- .

:



.

.
:

.

:

:
-30-

( )1
:
- .
-
.
- .

( )2 :
-

.
- .
-
.
- .

:






.

:
:
-
( -) .
- ( )
( )
.
-
.
-
.
-31-

 :
.1

.2
.3
.4

.5

.6
.7

.8

.

.
100 60.





.

:

95

85 95

-75 85

-60 75

60

.


D ( 74
) .

( ) :
=

()100

.9

.
-32-

:
(
) :

95
85 95
-75 85
-60 75

:
%75


.


%75 .

:


( )

.


48

:
CS 500
MATH 500
STATA 500OR 500

-33-

 :
-
.
-



.
-


.
- :


.

:


.

-34-

1
2
3
4

7
8

.
15

( ).


( )3 .
60 .

.

. 15
.

.
:
.


.
( ) :

.
-35-

 .
.
.
- 10 :
12
( ) .

.
- 11
.

-1

.
-2

C++
.
4 :
Stat 500
- 1
Math 500
- 2
CS 500
- 3
OR 500
- 4

.


.

:

//

.
-36-

//
() () ()
( )

:


.

.

-37-

.1
.2
.3
.4

.5

.6

.
( )1
.


.



.

( )2

.
.



.

:

/ ( )3
.

-38-

 .1
(
).
.2 ( )4



.
.3
.
.4



.
.5

.
.6
( ).
.7

( .
)5
.8
(.)4

-39-

 .9 :
:
-
.
-
.
- .
-
.
.10 -:

.
.

-40-

( )
.1
48 .
.2



.
.3

.
.4
.
.5

.
.6

.
.7
.

-41-


)( ICDL

( . ( ICDL
.1
(. )ICDL

.2

( )International Computer Driving License

144


.
: :


60 :
Basic Concepts of IT

Word Processing

Computer and Managing Files

Spread Sheets

Databases
.
Presentation

Information and Communication

-42-

 : :

.
:

.ICDL

.

.

.
.

-43-


( - -)



.


.



.



.

.
2010
:

17536
2215
118

774
151
2

:
.1 :
.
.2 -: .
.3 -:
" " . 21/
.4 .
.5 .
.6 0
-44-

 .



.


.


.

.

.

-45-

. .

1970/7/1

. .

1971/8/30

500

()

500

()

. .

1974/10/26

500

()

. .

1970/10/10

. .

1976/12/24

. .

1976/12/24

. .

1976/12/24

500

()

500

()

500

()

500

()

-46-

. .

1987/12/2

. .

1987/12/2

10

. .

1987/12/2

11

. .

1991/5/18

12

1991/3/16

13

. .

2005/6/26

14

. .

2007/7/11

15

. .

2007/7/11

-47-

500




()

500




()

500




()

1000


Eco505
()

2000



()


5000
StatA 511

()




500

500

 ( 12)

StatA500
Math 500
OR 500
CS 500

( 27)

Math 505
StatA 506
StatM 507

()1
()1
()1
()2
()1

Eco 505
StatM 514
StatM 524
StatA 508
StatA 509
StatA 511

(15)
( )5 :



( )3 GE
( )3 Proj

-48-

StatA 500
Math 500
OR 500
CS 500
Dem 511

3
3
3
3
3

StatA 506

StatM 507
()1
Eco 505
()1
Math 506
Math 505

-49-

Math 500

Math 500

Math 500

3
3

StatA 500
StatM 500

Stat A 500

StatM 514
StatA 508

()1

Stat A 511

StatA 506
Stat A 500

StatM 524

()2

(
)

StatA 509

:
.
: 30

.

-50-

StatM 605

()1

StatM 606

()1

Math 525

Eco 605

()1

StatA 611

3
3

Eco 520

StatM 607

StatM 606

StatM 626

()2

-51-

 ( )9

Math 700

StatM710

StatA720

Individual Studies

( 3)

( )
.

-52-

 ( 12)

StatA500
Math 500
OR 500
Cs 500
Dem 511

( 27)

Dem 500
Dem 505
Dem 502
Dem 501
Dem 506
Dem 507
StatA 506
Dem 508
Math 509

(15)
( )5 :



GE ( )3
Proj ( )3

-53-

StatA 500

Math 500

Dem 511

Dem 500

Dem 502

Dem 501

Dem 505

Dem 508

CS 500

Math 509

-54-

DEM 507

DEM 506

OR 500

Stat A 506

-55-

Dem 600

Dem 605

Dem 606

Dem 607

StatA 511

StatM 602

Dem 608

Dem 612

Dem 609

-56-

 ( )9

Dem 701

Dem 703

Dem 704

Dem 702

3
3

( 3)

( )

-57-

 ( 12)

StatA 500
Math 500
OR 500
CS 500

( 27)

IS 500

501
502
503
503
507
504
509
505

IS
IS
IS
CS
CS
IS
CS
IS

I


I
I

(15)
( )5 :



( )3 GE
( )3 Proj

-58-

StatA 500

Math 500

OR 500

CS 500

IS 500

IS 503

IS 500

IS 501

IS 500

IS 502

IS 500

CS 503

-59-

CS 507

CS 509

IS 504

Dem 511

IS 501

IS 505

CS 503

: 30

.
-60-

CS 604

IS 603

IS 601

IS 604

IS 605
CS 613

-61-

IS 701

IS 702

IS 703

IS 704

-62-

 ( 12)

StatA 500
Math 500
OR 500
CS 500

( 27)

Math 521
CS 503
CS 504
CS 505
CS 506
CS 507
CS 508
CS 509
CS 510

I



I
I

(15)
( )5 :
GE ( )3
Proj ( )3

-63-

StatA 500

Math 500

OR 500

CS 500

CS 503

Math 521
CS 504
CS 505

3
3
3

CS 508

3
3

Math 500
CS 500
CS 503
CS 500
CS 503

-64-

CS 507
CS 506
Dem 511

3
3
3

CS 500
CS 504

CS 509

CS 504

CS 510

CS 504

:

.
30

:

.

-65-

CS 600

CS 602

CS 604

3
3

CS 601

CS 611
CS 605

-66-

3
3
3
3
3

CS 701

CS 703

CS 704

CS 702

-67-

3
3

 ( 12)


StatA 500

Math 500

OR 500

CS 500

( 27)


503 CS

IS 503

OR 505

I
OR 506
Math 506

OR 507

I
StatM 507
OR 508

I
OR 509
(15)
( )5 :





GE ( )3
Proj ( )3

-68-

StatA 500

Math 500

OR 500

CS 500

IS 503

CS 500
Math 500
OR 500

CS 503
StatM 507

3
3

OR 505

Math 506

OR 509

-69-

3
3
3
3

OR 505
StatM 507
OR 505

OR 507

OR 508

OR 506
Dem 511

:
.
: 30

.

-70-

OR 605

OR 606

StatM 605

OR 607

OR 609

OR 608

-71-

3
3

OR 701
OR 702

OR 703

OR 704

-72-

753.750
583.750
903.750
758.750
658.750
1108.750

( 3500 )
( 500 )

-73-

:
:
:
-

1700
1300
1700
1500
1700
1500

( 5000 )

( 500 )

-74-

-75-

 2008/2007



.




.



. ISO 9000-2000


. :
.

. ISO 9000-2000
. .
.
.
-76-


- 1 ( 3 )
. . . . . . ( .) ISO 9000-2000 . Deming's Views . . . .- 2 ( 3 )
. . . . . . . . .)( Learning Organizations
-

-77-

 - 3 ( 3 )
MINITAB

& STATGRAPHICS .
. . . . . . . . . .CUSUM Charts . - 4 ( 3)
MINITAB
. . . . . . . . . . - ( ).

-78-

 - 5 ( 3 )
( ( Project Organization
- 1 ( 3)
. ( )
. . - .

-79-

 - 2
( ). ( ). ( ). ( ). - 3
- 4

.Military Standards for Acceptance Sampling

- 5 ( ) ( 3)
. . Equipment Survival . Reliability Prediction Methods . Reliability Testing . Maintainability . )

( ( Equipment Availability - Integrated logistic Support .

-80-

.- 6 ( 3)
. . . . 6 .6 Sigma 6 .Lean 6 Sigma - 7 ) 3 )
. . . . . . . . ( ( Response surface Designs

( ( Taguchi Methods
- 8 ( 3)
-81-

 .2009/2008


.


.
.

.

:
:

.

.
:

" " .

.

-82-


(

)
( )
.

01

02
03
04
05

3
01
3
3
02
3

3

3
3
03
3

3
04
3
05

15

:
. . . . . . ( ).

-83-

15

Econometric Analysis of Time Series

( )2010/2009

( )
.




.
:
: -
... : () ...
:
...

Statistical Analysis
1
4
4
2
Box Jenkins Models
3 Statistical Computer Packages
6
14

Forecasting
4
5
5
5
Econometrics Based Time Series
6
6 ( )
Application of time Series in Various Fields
16

30

-84-


( )1

Statistical Analysis

:
( )1
( )2
( - - -
- )
( - - )

( )3
( )4
( )5

"Pillai, R.S. and Bagavathi (2003) "Practical Statistics

S.Chand & Company, New Delhi.
( )2
Time Series and Box-Jenkins Models
:
()Data Generating Process

:
(Types of Time
( )1
)Series
(Stationary of

)Time Series

-85-

(Nonstationary of Time
Series)
(Autoregressive (AR) Models)
) 2 (

Statistical properties first order autoregressive AR(1)

model

(Properties of AR(2) models)

models)
) 3 (
(Moving Average (MA) Models)

(Properties of the MA(1) models)

(Properties of the MA(2) models)

Estimation of MA(g) models)
-) 4 (
(Autoregressive-Moving Average (ARMA) models)
(Properties of the

ARMA(1,1))
) 5 (
(Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA)
Models)
) 6(
(Box-Jenkines Approach to Time Series Model Building)
(Identification)

(Estimation of AR(p)

-86-

(Estimation)

(Diagnostic Checking)

) 7(
(Forecasting with Box-Jenkines Models)

(Computing the Forecast, Forecast Error, and
Forecast
Error
Variance)

(Forecast Confidence Intervals)

(1) Pankratz, A. (1983),"Forecasting with Univariate BoxJenkins Models", John , Wiley&Sons, New York
(2) Pindyck, R. and Rubinfeld, D. (1998),"Econometric
Models and Economic Forecasts", McGrow-Hill.
New York
(3) Vandaele, W. (1983),"Applied Time Series and BoxJenkins Models", Academic press, Inc, New York
) 3(
:


:
EViews
)i(
Minitab )ii(

-87-

Forecasting
( )4
:
.
:
( )1
( )2

)(Moving Average Method

)(Exponential Smoothing Methods

( )3
)(Smoothing Methods for Seasonal Data
( )4
)(Analysis of Forecast Errors and Confidence Intervals
( )5
Econometrics Based Time Series
:

.
:
( )1
)(Stationary Regression Analysis

( )2
)(Econometric Analysis of Econometric Dynamic Models

)(Distributed Lag Models

)(Partial Adjustment Model

-88-

(Adaptive Expectation Model)

(Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (ADL))

(Error Correction Model)

) 3(

(No stationary Regression Analysis and Unit Root Tests)
(Co-integration)
) 4(

(1) Seddigi, H.R., Lawler, K. And Katos, A.V.

(2000),"Econometrics A Practical Approach",
Routledg, New York
(2) Stewart,K. (*2005)," Introduction to Applied
Econometrics", Thomson, Brooks/Cole, Belmont,
California.
) -) (6(
(Applications of Time Series in Various Fields
(Economic- Finance))
:
:
()

(Consumption Functions)
(The relative Income Hypothesis)
(The Life circle Hypothesis)

(The permanent Income Hypothesis)

(Error Correction Model of Consumption)
-89-

()

(Production Functions)

(Cobb-Douglas Function)

(Constant Elasticity of Substitution Production
Function)

(The Study of Technical Progress)
(The Demand for Money
()
Function)

(Specification of The Demand for Money Function)
- - (
)

(Pricing Securities and ()
Derivative Securities)
Capital Asset Pricing Model
Single and Multi Index Models
Binomial Model
Black-Scholes Model

(1) Intriligator, M., Bodkin, R., and Hsiao, C.

(1996),"Econometric Models: Techniques and
Applications", Prentice-Hall International, Inc.,
New York.
(2) Bridge, J.L. (1971),"Applied Econometrics",
North-Holland Publishing Company., Amsterdam.
(3) Elton, E., Gruber, M, Brown, S. and Goetzmann,
(2003),"Modern Portfolio Theory and Investment
Analysis", John Wiley & Sons, Inc., New York.
(4) Hull, J.C,(2006),"Options, Futures, and Other
Derivatives", Pearson, Prentice Hall, New York.
-90-

/
/

. .

. .

. .

-91-

-92-

 ()1

:
:

/ / :

19 :

( ://):

/:
:

:
:

:
:

/ :

:
/
:
:

/:

-93-

.................................................................... :
................................................... :
:
-
.
-

:
.1 .
.2 .
.3 .

20 /
-94-

 ()2

/


/

1
2
3
4
5
6
7

/ :

:
:
/

200

-95-

 ()3
/ **
/


/

/ :

1
2
3
4
5

/ :

:
:

200

** .

-96-

 ()4

/


/

:
06
.1
07
.2
08
.3
09
.4
010
.5


.


200 / / :

1
2
3
4

.

.

-97-

 ()5

/


/


:

200 /

-98-

 :
5 . ( ) - - ..
:
: :
01 :
/ ( (ICDL
.2 : /

( )6 5 4 ( 1
0)3 2
.3 : - /
- /
-

.
.4 : -
( - )8 7
-
.
.5 : ( ) 13 11 10 9


.
: : .
- -
.
: -

.

-99-

( )


.

.1
.2

.3

.4

.5

.



.


.


.

.

-100-

:
1947
5 .

issr.cu.edu.eg
dean@issr.cu.edu.eg