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Remote Prospects

Remote Prospects

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A financial analysis of Adani’s coal gamble in Australia’s Galilee Basin
A financial analysis of Adani’s coal gamble in Australia’s Galilee Basin

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Published by: Rashini Suriyaarachchi on Nov 27, 2013
Copyright:Attribution Non-commercial


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The sector is facing a number of very strong headwinds. The list includes sharply increasing costs, weaker markets, declining productivity, prices falling from historic highs and a strong local currency.
Harry Kenyon-Slaney, CEO of Rio Tinto Energy Group
 November 2013
Remote Prospects
 A financial analysis of Adani’s coal gamble in Australia’s Galilee BasinThe ADANI Group
 Tim Buckley is employed by Arkx Investment Management Pty Ltd (AFSL 317 837), a provider of independent financial investment analysis. Tim has over twenty-five years of experience in analysing major listed companies across a multitude of industries both within Australia and in the global context. Tim was a co-founder of Arkx Investment Management in 2007, a Sydney-based fund manager that invested in the leading global listed companies best leveraged to the move to a low carbon economic future. In 2010 Tim became joint Managing Director and head of Equity Research at Arkx. The Clean Energy Fund was closed in August 2013 due to lack of  Australian investor interest.Prior to this, Tim was Managing Director, Deputy then Head of Australasian Equity Research at Citigroup from 1998 to 2007. Tim was on the Citigroup Australasian Commitments Committee for five years to 2007 overseeing financial market transactions and underwritings. Tim was a top rated industrial analyst first with Macquarie Equities (1988-91) then County NatWest Securities (1992-96) in Australia, covering the leading industrial conglomerates as well as enjoying a specialisation in the forestry, brewing and wine sectors. Tim then moved to Singapore to cover the Asian equity market during 1996-1998 with Deutsche Bank, just in time to experience the Asian Financial Crisis! Tim has authored a number of financial clean energy articles that have been published over 2011-2012 in RenewEconomy.com and Climate Spectator, Australia’s two leading online renewable industry websites. Tim is working as a financial analyst consultant in the areas relating to the move to a low carbon economy, including fossil fuel and related infrastructure assets at risk of being stranded in this process.
 Tom joined the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial  Analysis (IEEFA) as Director of Finance in 2012. In conjunction with Tim, Tom authored
“Stranded: A Financial Analysis of GVK’s Proposed Alpha Coal Project in Australia’s Galilee Basin.”
Since 2007 Tom has run his own company TR Rose Associates.  The company has served clients working to create alternatives to fossil fuel use in America. The work has consisted of research, reports, testimony and advice on construction costs of coal plants and alternatives, financial reviews (involving independently owned utilities, cooperatives, public authorities and hybrid organisational structures), credit analysis, coal market and price analyses, rate impact assessments, federal financing, federal coal leases, coal export markets and policy, load forecast reviews, energy contracts and a series of other topics related to electricity generation. He has served as a financial advisor to the innovative Green Jobs/Green New York large scale residential energy efficiency retrofit program in New  York State. Tom has served on the Advisory Board on the future management of the Long Island Power Authority in New  York State. His clients also have included business, labor and community organisations covering a host of public and private finance and policy issues.From 1990 to 2007, Tom served in senior management positions to the publicly elected Chief Financial Officers of New York. From 2003 to 2007, he served as the First Deputy Comptroller for the State of New York. Tom was responsible for a US$150bn globally invested public pension fund; oversight of state and 1600 units of local government budgets and public debt offerings; audit programs for all state agencies, public authorities (including power generation authorities) and local governments, and review and approval of state contracts. One estimate places the level of public assets under the State Comptroller’s watch at over $700bn. Due to an early resignation of the elected State Comptroller, Tom, as First Deputy Comptroller, served for a short period as the New York State Comptroller from 2006-07. His most recent publication on New  York State government and finance is part of the 2012 Oxford Handbook of New York State Government and Finance.
Background on the authors
Date: November 2013Published by: The Institute for Energy Economics and Financial AnalysisCo-Authors: Tim Buckley Tom SanzilloCommissioned by: Greenpeace Australia Pacific
Important Information
 This report is for information and educational purposes only. It is for the sole use of its intended recipient. It is intended solely as a discussion piece focused on the topic of the Adani Group and its Australian coal infrastructure proposals. Under no circumstance is it to be considered as a financial promotion. It is not an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any investment referred to in this document; nor is it an offer to provide any form of investment service. This report is not meant as a general guide to investing, or as a source of any specific investment recommendation. While the information contained in this report is from sources believed reliable, we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Unless attributed to others, any opinions expressed are our current opinions only.Certain information presented may have been provided by third parties. The Institute for Energy Economics and Financial  Analysis believes that such third-party information is reliable, but does not guarantee its accuracy, timeliness or completeness; and it is subject to change without notice. If there are considered to be material errors, please advise the authors and a revised version can be published.

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