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Macroeconomic Objectives

The major macroeconomic issues


✜ economic growth
✜ unemployment
✜ inflation
✜ balance of payments and exchange rates
✦ balance of payments deficits and surpluses
✦ exchange rate movements
The Circular Flow of Income
■ The inner flow
The circular flow of income

Firms

Consumption of
Factor domestically
payments produced goods
and services (Cd)

Households
The Circular Flow of Income
■ Withdrawals
✜ net saving
✜ net taxes
✜ import expenditure
■ Injections
✜ investment
✜ government expenditure
✜ export expenditure
The circular flow of income

INJECTIONS

Export
expenditure (X)
Investment (I)
Government
Consumption of expenditure (G)

Factor domestically
BANKS, etc GOV. ABROAD
payments produced goods
and services (Cd)
Import
Net expenditure (M)
Net taxes (T)
saving (S)

WITHDRAWALS
The Circular Flow of Income

■ The relationship between injections and


withdrawals
planned injections may not equal planned
withdrawals

■ Equilibrium in the circular flow


■ The circular flow and the four
macroeconomic objectives
The circular flow of income

INJECTIONS

Export
expenditure (X)
Investment (I)
Government
Consumption of expenditure (G)

Factor domestically
BANKS, etc GOV. ABROAD
payments produced goods
and services (Cd)
Import
Net expenditure (M)
Net taxes (T)
saving (S)

WITHDRAWALS
Measuring national income
■ GDP: the measure of national income
■ Methods of measuring GDP
✜ the product approach
✜ the income approach
✜ the expenditure approach
The circular flow of national income and expenditure
The circular flow of national income and expenditure
(1) Production

(2) Incomes (3) Expenditure


Measuring national income
■ GDP: the measure of national income
■ Methods of measuring GDP
✜ the product approach
✜ the income approach
✜ the expenditure approach

■ The product approach


Measuring national income
■ GDP: the measure of national income
■ Methods of measuring GDP
✜ the product approach
✜ the income approach
✜ the expenditure approach

■ The product approach


✜ measuring GVA
Measuring national income
■ GDP: the measure of national income
■ Methods of measuring GDP
✜ the product approach
✜ the income approach
✜ the expenditure approach

■ The product approach


✜ measuring GVA
■ The income approach
■ The expenditure approach
Growth and the Business Cycle
■ Growth in actual and potential growth
■ Economic growth and the business cycle
✜ fluctuations in actual growth
The business cycle

Potential output
National output

Actual
output

O
Time
Growth and the Business Cycle

■ Growth in actual and potential output


■ Economic growth and the business
cycle
✜ fluctuations in actual growth
✜ the phases of the business cycle
The business cycle

Potential output
National output

3
4
2 Actual
3
output
4
2 1

O
Time
Growth and the Business Cycle

■ Growth in actual and potential output


■ Economic growth and the business
cycle
✜ fluctuations in actual growth
✜ the phases of the business cycle
The business cycle

Potential output

Trend
National output

output

Actual
output

O
Time
Growth and the Business Cycle
■ Growth in actual and potential growth
■ Economic growth and the business cycle
Growth and the Business Cycle
■ Growth in actual and potential growth
■ Economic growth and the business cycle
✜ fluctuations in actual growth
✜ the phases of the business cycle
✜ long-term output trend
✜ the business cycle in practice
✦ the irregularity of the cycle
✦ the length of the phases
✦ the magnitude of the phases
Growth and the Business Cycle

■ Causes of fluctuations in actual growth


✜ aggregate demand

✜ aggregate demand relative to potential


output

■ Actual growth in practice


✜ experience since 1970
Growth rates in selected industrial countries
10
9 UK Germany
Japan
8 France USA
Annual growth rate (%)

7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
-1
-2
-3
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Growth and the Business Cycle
■ Causes of potential growth
✜ increases in the quantity of factors
✦ capital
✦ labour
✦ land and raw materials
✦ the problem of diminishing returns

✜ increases in factor productivity


■ Policies to achieve growth
✜ demand-side and supply-side policies
✜ market-orientated policies
Aggregate Demand and Supply
■ The aggregate demand curve
Price level Aggregate demand and aggregate supply

AD

National output
Aggregate Demand and Supply

■ The aggregate demand curve


✜ Why aggregate demand curves slope
downwards
Aggregate Demand and Supply

■ The aggregate demand curve


✜ Why aggregate demand curves slope
downwards
✦ import effect
Price level Aggregate demand and aggregate supply

AD

National output
Aggregate Demand and Supply

■ The aggregate demand curve


✜ Why aggregate demand curves slope
downwards
✦ import effect
✦ interest-rate effect
Price level Aggregate demand and aggregate supply

AD

National output
Aggregate Demand and Supply

■ The aggregate demand curve


✜ Why aggregate demand curves slope
downwards
✦ import effect
✦ interest-rate effect
✦ savings effect
Price level Aggregate demand and aggregate supply

AD

National output
Aggregate Demand and Supply
■ The aggregate demand curve
✜ Why aggregate demand curves slope
downwards
✦ import effect
✦ interest-rate effect
✦ savings effect

■ The aggregate supply curve


Aggregate demand and aggregate supply

AS
Price level

AD

National output
Aggregate Demand and Supply
■ The aggregate demand curve
✜ Why aggregate demand curves slope
downwards
✦ import effect
✦ interest-rate effect
✦ savings effect

■ The aggregate supply curve


✜ Why aggregate supply curves generally
slope upwards
Aggregate demand and aggregate supply

AS
Price level

AD

National output
Aggregate Demand and Supply
■ The aggregate demand curve
✜ Why aggregate demand curves slope
downwards
✦ import effect
✦ interest-rate effect
✦ savings effect
■ The aggregate supply curve
✜ Why aggregate supply curves generally
slope upwards
■ Equilibrium
Aggregate demand and aggregate supply

AS
Price level

Pe

AD

National output
Aggregate demand and aggregate supply

AS
Price level

Pe
b a
P2

AD

National output
Aggregate Demand and Supply
■ The aggregate demand curve
✜ Why aggregate demand curves slope
downwards
✦ import effect
✦ interest-rate effect
✦ savings effect

■ The aggregate supply curve


✜ Why AS curves generally slope upwards
■ Equilibrium
✜ Effect of a shift in the AD curve

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