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(ii) In general, actual emissions as of a particular date shall equal the average rate,in tons per year, at which the unit actually emitted the pollutant during a two-yearperiod which precedes the particular date and which is representative of normalsource operation. The Administrator shall allow the use of a different time periodupon a determination that it is more representative of normal source operation.Actual emissions shall be calculated using the unit's actual operating hours,production rates, and types of materials processed, stored or combusted during theselected time period.(iii) The Administrator may presume that source- specific allowable emissions forthe unit are equivalent to the actual emissions of the unit.(iv) For any emissions unit which has not begun normal operations on theparticular date, actual emissions shall equal the potential to emit of the unit on thatdate.From subparagraph (iv), it is clear that a new unit's actual rate of emissions is equal to its potential
to emit. Any federally enforceable physical and operational limitations which an applicant is
willing to accept on the new emissions unit is considered in evaluating the new unit's
potential to emit.
To determine the actual emissions decrease from the shutdown emissions unit, thereviewing agency applies the method defined in subparagraph (ii). Specifically, the average rate, intons per year, at which the unit actually emitted during a 2-year period prior to shutdown.Furthermore, for the emissions decrease from the shutdown to creditable, the requirement to shutdown must be made federally enforceable.After the new unit's potential to emit and the creditable emissions decrease have beenquantified, the reviewing agency should then evaluate the extent to which the modification to thesource will affect changes to actual emissions levels at other emissions units. Of particular concern(as you have pointed out in your example) is where existing emissions units, historically operatedat less than their full capacity or allowable level, will increase operational levels for the solepurpose of compensating for the shutdown unit. If the emissions units in question do not havesource- specific allowable emissions, actual emissions are determined as set forthin subparagraph (ii). If the reviewing agency determines that an increase in actual emissions at theexisting emissions units will be directly attributable to the startup of the new unit, then the agencycan act (via an emissions cap) to limit the increase so as to ensure no net emissionsincrease at the source.
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