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Pa
1993
2001
2009
2010
2012
2209
3775
5367
6000
8000
MTODO ARITMTICO
AO
Pa
1993
2001
2009
2010
2012
2209
3775
5367
6000
8000
Pf - Pa
1566
1592
633
2000
8
8
1
2
r
Pf - Pa
--
--
--
--
1566
1592
633
2000
8
8
1
2
r
195.75
199.00
633.00
1000.00
2027.75
Pa
1993
2001
2009
2010
2012
2209
3775
5367
6000
8000
0.052
0.037
0.106
0.125
0.32
Pa
1993
2001
2009
2010
2012
2209
3775
5367
6000
8000
t (dcadas)
1P1
2P2
--
--
--
0.8
0.8
0.1
0.2
r
1566
1592
633
2000
5791
26.00
-959.00
1367.00
434.00
Pf = Pa + n(1P1) + (n(n+1)/2)(
y = a +bx
X
AO
Y
Pa
1993
2001
2009
2010
2012
10025
2209
3775
5367
6000
8000
25351
Xi^2
Xi.Yi
3972049
4402537
5.00
4004001
4036081
4040100
4048144
20100375
7553775
10782303
12060000
16096000
50894615
b = (n(Xi.Yi) - (Xi.Yi)) / (n
263.44
MTODO RACIONAL
AO
NACIMIENTO
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
DEFUNCION
237
234
345
347
387
469
437
534
482
529
4001
N-D
23
32
45
23
48
37
46
78
89
43
464
214
202
300
324
339
432
391
456
393
486
3537
V=(N-D)/n
353.7
10.00
Pa
2209
3775
5367
6000
8000
Pf/Pa
-1.71
1.42
1.12
1.33
t
-0.8
0.8
0.1
0.2
1/t
-1.25
1.25
10.00
5.00
r = (Pf/Pa)^(1/t) - 1
-0.954
0.552
2.049
3.214
Para el ao 2020
tf=
0.7
pf=
17474.3983
POBLACION DE DISEO
M Aritmetica
M. I. S.
M.I.Var.s
M.R.M.C
M.RAC.
2020
12486.0625 13579.68711
13459.43
30012.60
10975.9
n=
PD2020 =
13836.8309
METODO GRAFICO
AO
Pa
1993
2001
2009
2010
2012
2209
3775
5367
6000
8000
14000
12000
10000
8000
6000
4000
2000
0
1990
1995
2000
rp = (r / n)
Pf = Pa + rp(t)
Para el ao 2020
tf=
506.94
pf=
rp = (r / n)
Pf = Pa(1 + rp(t))
11548.5625
Para el ao 2020
tf=
--
pf=
12472.0585
0.080
Pf = Pa + n(1P1) + (n(n+1)/2)(2P2)
Para el ao 2020
tf=
pf=
0.7
12311.93
y = a +bx
a = Yi - b(Xi/n)
263.44
-502846.2
Para el ao 2020
tf=
pf=
Para el ao 2020
tf=
pf=
r = (Pf/Pa)^(1/t) - 1
-0.954
0.552
2.049
3.214
7
10975.90
r^t
0.96
0.62
1.07
1.26
rp = ( (r1^t1)*(r2^t2)*(r3^t3))^(1/t)
2.05
M.GEO.
18683.07
Pa
13000
Pa
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
Para el ao 2020
7
29302.6
Pf = Pa*(1 + rp)^t