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wcms_234107

wcms_234107

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01/25/2014

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GLOBAL EMPLOYMENT TRENDS 2014
62 6.65 7987 .887 84523 220 07987 48 987523 +1. 9 6.65 7990 +0.1 +2.03+0.04 -25.301 023-00.22 006.65 0.887983 +1.922523006.62 -0.657987 +1.987523006.82 -006.65 0.887987 +1.987523006.60 0.887987 +1.0075230.887984 +1.987523006.64 0.887985 +1.997523006.65 0.887986 +1.984523006.66 0.327987 +1.987523006.59 -0.807987 +1.987521006.65 0.-887987 +1.987523006.65 0.807987 +1.987523 0.887983 +1.987523006.62 -0.883988 +1.987523006.63 -006.65 0.894989 +1.987523006.65 0.887990 +0.1 +2.03+0.04 -25.301 023-00.22 006.65 0.887983 +1.922523006.62 -0.657987 +1.987523006.82 -006.65 0.887987 +1.987523006.60 0.887987 +1.0075230.887984 +1.987523006.64 0.887985 +1.997523006.65 0.887986 +1.984523006.66 0.327987 +1.987523006.59 -0.807987 +1.987521006.65 0.-887987 +1.987523006.65 0.807987 +1.987523 0.887983 +1.987523006.62 -0.883988 +1.987523006.63 -006.65 0.894989 +1.987523006.65 0.887990 +0.1 +2.03+0.04 -25.301 023-00.22 006.65 0.887983 +1.922523006.62 -0.657987 +1.987523006.82 -006.65 +0.887987 +1.987523006.60 0.887987 +1.0075230.887984 +1.987523006.64 0.887985 +1.997523006.65 0.887986 +1.984523006.66 -0.327987 +1.987523006.59 -0.807987 +1.987521006.65 0.-887987 +1.987523006.65 0.807987 +1.987523 0.887983 +1.987523006.62 -0.883988 +1.987523006.63 -006.65 -0.894989 +1.987523006.65 0.887990 +0.1 +2.03+0.04 -25.301 023-00.22 006.65 0.887983 +1.922523006.62 -0.657987 +1.987523006.82 -006.65 +0.887987 +1.987523006.60 0.887987 +1.0075230.887984 +1.987523006.64 0.887985 +1.997523006.65 0.887986 +1.984523006.66 -0.327987 +1.987523006.59 -0.807987 +1.987521006.65 0.-887987 +1.987523006.65 0.807987 +1.987523 0.887983 +1.987523006.62 -0.883988 +1.987523006.63 -006.65 -0.894989 +1.987523006.65 0.887990 +0.1 +2.03+0.04 -25.301 023-00.22 006.65 0.887983 +1.922523006.62 -0.657987 +1.987523006.82 -006.65 0.887987 +1.987523006.60 0.887987 +1.0075230.887984 +1.987523006.64 0.887985 +1.997523006.65 0.887986 +1.984523006.66 0.327987 +1.987523006.59 -0.807987 +1.987521006.65 0.-887987 +1.987523006.65 0.807987 +1.987523 0.887983 +1.987523006.62 -0.883988 +1.987523006.63 -006.65 0.894989 +1.987523006.65 0.887990
Risk of a jobless recovery?
 E x e c u t i v e  s u m m a r y
 
Global Employment Trends 2014 | Risk of a jobless recovery?
3
Executive Summary
Global unemployment increased by 5 million people in 2013…
Te uneven economic recovery and successive downward revisions in economic growth pro- jections have had an impact on the global employment situation. Almost 202 million people  were unemployed in 2013 around the world, an increase o almost 5 million compared with the year beore. Tis reflects the act that employment is not expanding sufficiently ast to keep up with the growing labour orce. Te bulk o the increase in global unemployment is in the East Asia and South Asia regions, which together represent more than 45 per cent o additional jobseekers, ollowed by Sub-Saharan Arica and Europe. By contrast, Latin America added ewer than 50,000 add-itional unemployed to the global number – or around 1 per cent o the total increase in un-employment in 2013.Overall, the crisis-related global jobs gap that has opened up since the beginning o the financial crisis in 2008, over and above an already large number o jobseekers, continues to  widen. In 2013, this gap reached 62 million jobs, including 32 million additional jobseekers, 23 million people that became discouraged and no longer look or jobs and 7 million econom-ically inactive people that preer not to participate in the labour market.
… and, on current trends, it would rise by a further 13 million people by 2018…
I current trends continue, global unemployment is set to worsen urther, albeit gradually, reaching more than 215 million jobseekers by 2018. During this period, around 40 million net new jobs would be created every year, which is less than the 42.6 million people that are expected to enter the labour market every year. Te global unemployment rate would remain broadly constant during the next five years, at hal a percentage point higher than beore the crisis.
… affecting young people disproportionately…
Young people continue to be particularly affected by the weak and uneven recovery. It is esti-mated that some 74.5 million young people – aged 15–24 – were unemployed in 2013; that is almost 1 million more than in the year beore. Te global youth unemployment rate has reached 13.1 per cent, which is almost three times as high as the adult unemployment rate. Indeed, the youth-to-adult unemployment ratio has reached a historical peak. It is particu-larly high in the Middle East and North Arica, as well as in parts o Latin America and the Caribbean and Southern Europe. Importantly, in the countries or which inormation exists, the proportion o young  people neither in employment, nor in education or training (NEE) has continued the steep upward trend recorded since the start o the crisis. In certain countries, almost one-quarter o young people aged 15 to 29 are now NEE.
… intensifying long-term unemployment in advanced economies…
As the recovery remains weak, the average length o unemployment spells has increased con-siderably, a urther sign o eeble job creation. In many advanced economies, the duration o
 
4
 Global Employment Trends 2014 | Risk of a jobless recovery?
unemployment has doubled in comparison with the pre-crisis situation. In the crisis coun-tries in the euro area, or instance, the average duration o unemployment has reached up to 9 months in Greece and 8 months in Spain. Even in countries where encouraging signs o an economic recovery have appeared, such as the United States, long-term unemployment affects more than 40 per cent o all jobseekers. Such long unemployment spells are detrimental to the speed o labour market recovery even when economic activity is set to accelerate. First, they constitute a considerable burden or the public purse, requiring governments to raise taxes or cut spending elsewhere i they do not want to or cannot increase the fiscal deficit. More importantly, jobseekers who have been out o employment or long periods lose their skills at an accelerating pace, making it more difficult or them to find alternative employment at a similar occupation or skill level.
… and interrupting earlier progress in terms of, first, participation rates…
Labour orce participation rates are not improving and remain more than 1 percentage point below their pre-crisis level. Te drop in participation rates has been particularly pronounced in East and South Asia, where many women have lef the labour market. At the same time, as educational attainment improves, young people enter the labour market at a higher age in these regions, strengthening their uture labour market prospects. In the Developed Econ-omies region, on the other hand, participation rates have dropped as young workers in par-ticular do not see opportunities in the labour market. Other regions, such as Central and Eastern Europe, experienced an increase in participation rates. Tere, and in other coun-tries with less well developed social security systems and which suffered rom large losses in (ormal) employment, many previously economically inactive people returned to the labour market, ofen to take up inormal employment in order to make up or loss in household income.
… second, vulnerable employment, expected to have reached 48 per cent of total employment…
 Vulnerable employment that is, either sel-employment or work by contributing amily  workers accounts or almost 48 per cent o total employment. Persons in vulnerable employment are more likely than wage and salaried workers to have limited or no access to social security or secure income. Te number o people in vulnerable employment expanded by around 1 per cent in 2013, which is five times higher than during the years prior to the crisis.
… third, working poverty, with 839 million workers living on less than US$2 a day
Te number o working poor continues to decline globally, albeit at a slower rate than during  previous decades. In 2013, 375 million workers (or 11.9 per cent o total employment) are esti-mated to live on less than US$1.25 per day and 839 million workers (or 26.7 per cent o total employment) have to cope with US$2 a day or less. Tis is a substantial reduction in compar-ison with the early 2000s when the corresponding numbers o working poor below US$1.25 and US$2 were more than 600 million and more than 1.1 billion, respectively. However, the  progress in reducing working poverty has stalled. In 2013, the number o workers in extreme  poverty declined by only 2.7 per cent globally, one o the lowest rates o reduction over the  past decade, with the exception o the immediate crisis year.
… and finally, stubbornly high informal employment.
Inormal employment remains widespread in most developing countries, although regional  variations are sizeable. In Eastern Europe, CIS countries and a ew advanced economies, inormal employment still accounts or over 20 per cent o total employment. In Latin

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