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We would like to thank several colleagues for their critical insights throughout the drafting of this paper: Philip Carter, Ben FitzGerald, Frank Hoﬀman, Michael Horowitz and Ely Ratner. We particularly would like to thank our new colleague Paul Scharre, who contributed valuable insights to this report and who is leading the new 20YY Warfare Initiative at CNAS. We thank Liz Fontaine for leading the production and design of this report. CNAS does not take institutional positions, and we alone are responsible for any error of fact, analysis, or omission.