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Country Industry Forecast
Report Service
The Indian Automotive Industry
1996 - 2006
The Indian Automotive Industry
Available as part of CIFAutomotive Subscription #9909-H1Country Industry Forecast (CIF)  your tool to gauge how a countryseconomic, political, and regulatoryenvironment impacts the industry.In a dynamic global businessenvironment, knowledge of country-specific factors is vitalfor effective decision-making -specifically information aboutpolitical situations, policydecisions, and prevailingeconomic conditions. CIFsintegrated approach links allcomponents of the economyto give you industry insights without missing out onthe big picture.Created and supported by Frost &Sullivans team of analysts andexperts around the globe, theCountry Industry Forecast reportsprovide a unique service, which is amust for senior-level decision-makers, analysts, industry observers,and marketing professionals.Report # 4526 - 90
Structural Reforms To Accelerate Economic Growth
Economic reforms in India have finally steered the country towards steady growth. Thecountry escaped the Asian crisis and even experienced stable economic development.Opportunities have arisen in the manufacturing, infrastructure, and the services sectors.This positive trend is expected to continue over the next five years. The new EXIM policyis tailored to promote exports while import duties are gradually aligning with WTOcommitments. Indian companies are now facing stiff competition from global giants, causingthem to match global standards. On the fiscal front too, the Government is taking steps tocontain inflation by channeling expenditure into priority projects and speeding up thedisinvestment of public sector enterprises. In all, the economic outlook for the country isquite positive.This encouraging forecast is reflected in the increasing scale of production for the automotiveindustry. The dereservation of the vehicle component market and the rising ceiling forinvestment are likely to drive growth and encourage new ventures in this sector. However,the provision of additional depreciation on new plant and machinery may discouragetechnology up gradation as the industry is already plagued by excess capacities.The Country Industry Forecast studies the country-specific factors such as politics, businesspolicy, and macroeconomic indicators that have an impact on the Indian automotive industryand its main segments. This report provides incisive analysis of the industry for 19962001as well as forecasts for 20022006.
 Motor Vehicle Segment to Witness Mixed Growth
Despite the fact that
 
saturated western markets have forced manufacturers to contemplategreater production and sales in the virtually untapped markets in the Asia Pacific region,inadequate infrastructure and comparatively low consumer spending could deter the growthof the motor vehicle segment. According to the report,
 
The motor vehicle segment is likelyto witness a mixed growth though a large number of manufacturers have entered the arenaafter the opening up of the automotive industry. However, the market is still at the infantstage. Consumer spending is also low due to the poor purchasing power of the ruralsection that accounts for nearly 72 percent of the population.
 Multi-tiering of Industry Vital to Growth
The current situation requires automotive manufacturers in India to increase theirinvestments and revamp technologies to met global standards. The report says, Therequirement of the day is tierization of component suppliers into Tier I, Tier II, and Tier IIIsuppliers, Tier I forming the core suppliers to the original equipment manufacturers (OEMs)and Tier II and III forming the suppliers to the Tier I component manufacturers as well as tothe OEMs for specific requirements. The Indian automotive market is still in the infantstages, it is rapidly undergoing a transformation with tierization and increasing qualitystandards to ensure becoming globally competitive.
 
1. Executive Summary
1.1. An Introduction to theAutomotive Industry in IndiaA. IntroductionB. Scope of the Report andIndustry Definitions1.2. Summary of Major FindingsA. Country Trends and ForecastsB. Industry Trends and Forecasts
2. Overview of the AutomotiveIndustry in India
2.1. Global OverviewA. Introduction to the IndustryB. Global Overview of theAutomotive Industry2.2. Industry OverviewA. Regional OverviewB. Country-Industry Overview:Share in Domestic OutputC. Country-Industry Overview:Share in Trade and Employment
3. Structure of the AutomotiveIndustry and the Key IndustryParameters
3.1. Industry StructureA. Industry StructureB. End-User Segment Analysis3.2. Key Industry ParametersA. Key Industry ParametersB. Key Industry Parameters forthe Motor Vehicles SegmentC. Key Industry Parameters forthe Vehicle Parts and AccessoriesSegment3.3. Country-Industry LinkageA. Growth DeterminantsInfluenced by PoliticalFactorsB. Growth DeterminantsInfluenced by Business FactorsC. Growth DeterminantsInfluenced by MacroeconomicFactors and the Country-Industry MatrixD. Country-Industry Linkage
4. Political Analysis and its Implicationsfor the Automotive Industry
4.1. The Indian Political SystemA. Political SystemB. Government Agenda4.2. Political Analysis - Implica-tions for the AutomotiveIndustryA. Implications of the DomesticPolitical Stance on the Automo-tive IndustryB. Implications of the Interna-tional Political Stance on theAutomotive Industry
5. Business Policy Analysis and itsImplications for the AutomotiveIndustry
5.1. Business Policies in IndiaA. Domestic PoliciesB. External Policies5.2. Business Policies - Implica-tions for the AutomotiveIndustryA. Domestic & Foreign Policiesfor the Automotive IndustryB. Impact of Domestic & ForeignPolicies on the AutomotiveIndustry
6. Economic Analysis and itsImplications for the AutomotiveIndustry
6.1. Consumption and Invest-mentA. ConsumptionB. Investment6.2. Financial and ExternalMarketsA. Foreign TradeB. Foreign Investment & FinancialMarkets6.3. LaborA. Population and Labor LawsB. Employment and Earnings6.4. Prices and GDPA. PricesB. GDP6.5. Economic Analysis -Implications for the AutomotiveIndustryA. Influences of ConsumptionB. Influences of External MarketsC. Influences of FinancialMarketsD. Influences of the Economy
7. Trends and Forecasts for theAutomotive Industry in India
7.1. Industry TrendsA. Industry TrendsB. Industry Growth andRevenues7.2. Trends and Forecasts for theKey Industry ParametersA. Motor Vehicles SegmentB. Vehicle Parts and AccessoriesSegment
8. Industry Progression Index
8.1. Methodology for theIndustry Progression IndexA. MethodologyB. Weights Assigned to the KeyIndustry Parameters8.2. Industry Progression IndexA. Index for the AutomotiveIndustry and its SegmentsB. Implications for the Automo-tive Industry and its Segments
Table of Contents
 
 
Fact Sheets
1. Country Fact SheetA. Geography Demography andInfrastructureB. Economic Indicators2. Regional and Industry Fact SheetsA. Asia Pacific: Regional FactSheetB. India: Automotive IndustryFact Sheet
Appendices
1. Appendix for the Indian EconomyA. Appendix for the IndianAutomotive Industry2. Appendix for the Indian AutomotiveIndustryA. Index for the Key IndustryParameters 1996-2001B. Index for the Key IndustryParameters 2002-2006
 
References
1. List of References for theIndian Economy2. List of References for theAutomotive Industry in India
List of Figures
Production and Sales of Vehicles (World),2000Share of Vehicle Production and Sales byCountries (Asia Pacific), 2001Share of Automotive Industry in GrossDomestic Output (India), 1996-2001Share of the Automotive Industry inExternal Trade (India), 1996-2001Automotive Industry - Revenues of theMotor Vehicles and Vehicle ComponentsSegments (India), 1996-2001Nature of Impact of the Growth Determi-nants on the Key Industry Parameters of the Automotive Industry (India), 1996-2006Revenue and Expenditure of the Govern-ment (India), 1996-2001Central Plan Expenditure by the Govern-ment (India), 1996-2001Peak Tariff Rate (India), August 1, 1998FDI Policy in Selected Sectors (India), 2001Sector-wise Share of FDI (India), 1991-2001Trends and Forecasts for ConsumptionExpenditure and Its Components (India),1996-2006Trends and Forecasts for Gross Savingsand Its Components and HouseholdSavings Rates (India), 1996-2001Trends and Forecasts for Gross DomesticInvestment and its Components (India),1996-2006Wholesale Price Index, Consumer PriceIndex, and Inflation (India), 1996-2006Population and Unemployment (India),1996-2006Trends and Forecasts for Foreign DirectInvestment and Foreign Portfolio Invest-ment (India), 1996-2006Bank Rate of the Reserve Bank (India),1996-2000Trend and Forecasts for Exports andImports (India), 1996-2006Trends and Forecasts for Current AccountDeficit and Foreign Exchange Reserves(India), 1996-2006Indian Rupee against the Dollar, 1996-2000.Trends and Forecasts for GDP (India),1996-2006Proportion of Personal DisposableIncome Spent on Automotive Products(India), 1996-2006Consumer Finance (India), 1996-2006Vehicles in Operation and Vehicle Scrap-page Rate (India), 1996-2006Composition and Direction of Exports forthe Motor Vehicles Segment (India), 1996-2006Composition and Direction of Exports forthe Vehicle Components Segment (India),1996-2006Composition and Direction of Imports forthe Vehicle Components Segment (India),1996-2006Production of Transportation Equipmentand Parts (India), 1996-2006Input Costs for the TransportationEquipment and Parts Industry (India), 1996-2006Agricultural Output and Growth of theAgricultural Sector (India), 1996-2006Revenues for the Automotive Industry andits Segments (India), 1996-2006Trends and Forecasts for the Key IndustryParameters of the Motor Vehicles Segmentof the Automotive Industry (India), 1996-2006Trends and Forecasts for the Key IndustryParameters of the Vehicle ComponentsSegment of the Automotive Industry(India), 1996-2006
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