Poisson or Binomial Distribution

Poisson or Binomial distribution?
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1/8
If a mean or average probability of an event happening per unit time/per page/per mile cycled etc., is given, and you are asked to calculate a probability of n events happening in a given time/number of pages/number of miles cycled, then the Poisson Distribution is used. If, on the other hand, an exact probability of an event happening is given, or implied, in the question, and you are asked to caclulate the probability of this event happening k times out of n, then the Binomial Distribution must be used.
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A typist makes on average 2 mistakes per page. What is the probability of a particular page having no errors on it?
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A typist makes on average 2 mistakes per page. What is the probability of a particular page having no errors on it? X Po ( = 2) where X counts the number of mistakes per page.
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A typist makes on average 2 mistakes per page. What is the probability of a particular page having no errors on it? X Po ( = 2) where X counts the number of mistakes per page. Pr(X = 0) = 20 e 0!
2
= 0.135.
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3/8
A computer crashes once every 2 days on average. What is the probability of there being 2 crashes in one week?
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4/8
A computer crashes once every 2 days on average. What is the probability of there being 2 crashes in one week? Again, average rate given: = 0.5 crashes/day. Hence, Poisson.
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4/8
A computer crashes once every 2 days on average. What is the probability of there being 2 crashes in one week? Again, average rate given: = 0.5 crashes/day. Hence, Poisson. = (0.5 per day 7 days) = 3.5/week. So X X counts the number of crashes in one week. Po ( = 3.5) where
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4/8
A computer crashes once every 2 days on average. What is the probability of there being 2 crashes in one week? Again, average rate given: = 0.5 crashes/day. Hence, Poisson. = (0.5 per day 7 days) = 3.5/week. So X X counts the number of crashes in one week. Pr(X = 2) = 3.52 e 2!
3 .5
Po ( = 3.5) where
= 0.185.
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4/8
Components are packed in boxes of 20. The probability of a component being defective is 0.1. What is the probability of a box containing 2 defective components?
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5/8
Components are packed in boxes of 20. The probability of a component being defective is 0.1. What is the probability of a box containing 2 defective components? Binomial, with n = 20. X b (20, 0.1)
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Components are packed in boxes of 20. The probability of a component being defective is 0.1. What is the probability of a box containing 2 defective components? Binomial, with n = 20. X So Pr(X = 2) = b (20, 0.1) 20 2 0.12 0.918 = 0.285.
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ICs are packaged in boxes of 10. The probability of an ic being faulty is 2%. What is the probability of a box containing 2 faulty ics?
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ICs are packaged in boxes of 10. The probability of an ic being faulty is 2%. What is the probability of a box containing 2 faulty ics? Binomial distribution. X b (10, 0.02)
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ICs are packaged in boxes of 10. The probability of an ic being faulty is 2%. What is the probability of a box containing 2 faulty ics? Binomial distribution. X Pr(X = 2) = b (10, 0.02) 10 2 0.022 0.988 = 0.015.
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The mean number of faults in a new house is 8. What is the probability of buying a new house with exactly 1 fault?
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The mean number of faults in a new house is 8. What is the probability of buying a new house with exactly 1 fault? Poisson, X new house. Po ( = 8), where X counts the number of faults in a
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The mean number of faults in a new house is 8. What is the probability of buying a new house with exactly 1 fault? Poisson, X new house. Po ( = 8), where X counts the number of faults in a
Pr(X = 1) =
81 e 1!
= 0.0027.
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7/8

A box contains a large number of washers; there are twice as many steel washers as brass ones. Four washers are selected at random from the box. What is the probability that 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 are brass?
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8/8

A box contains a large number of washers; there are twice as many steel washers as brass ones. Four washers are selected at random from the box. What is the probability that 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 are brass? Binomial distribution with X b (p = 1/3, n = 4).
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A box contains a large number of washers; there are twice as many steel washers as brass ones. Four washers are selected at random from the box. What is the probability that 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 are brass? Binomial distribution with X b (p = 1/3, n = 4). Pr(X Pr(X Pr(X Pr(X Pr(X
()
= 0) = = 1) = = 2) = = 3) = = 4) =
4 0 4 1 4 2 4 3 4 4
1 3 1 3 1 3 1 3 1 3
2 3 2 3 2 3 2 3 2 3
= 0.197 53
3
= 0.395 06
2
= 0.296 30
1
= 0.09 876 5
0
= 0.01 234 6
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Poisson or Binomial Distribution

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Poisson or Binomial Distribution

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Poisson or Binomial distribution?