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MUMBAI
November 10th, 2006
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The Mutual Fund Industry has grown by manifold in the last three to
four years. As per the latest available statistics, Assets Under
Management of MFs in India is more than Rs 3,00,000 crore. The number
of Fund Houses is about 30 and these Fund Houses have floated a
number of schemes over the years. The number of fund schemes, at
present, is about 700. The types of schemes range from well-diversified,
debt, balanced, equity, large-cap oriented, mid-cap oriented, theme-based,
index, MIP, G-Sec, sector-based ones to equity-linked savings schemes.
This bewildering array of schemes often leads investors to opt for schemes
which seldom meet their investment objectives. Many a time, there will be
a huge disconnect between what the market sells aggressively and the
kind of scheme that best serves the real interests of the investor
concerned.
1. One of the most popular myths is: A fund with an NAV of Rs 10 is cheaper
than an existing fund with an NAV (net asset value) of Rs 50. The reality is
completely opposite. The structure of a mutual fund is such that an MF
does not have any intrinsic value; instead, the value of an MF is derived
from the value of investments that a fund holds. On an identical
investment outlay, we would get more units when a mutual fund offering is
priced at Rs 10 than when it is available in the market at Rs 50. But the
number of units we get, which is a function of a scheme’s NAV, is not an
indicator of how cheap a scheme is. Cheap is a function of the returns,
which can be assessed only in hindsight, never at the time of investing. A
scheme’s NAV is the market value of its portfolio at a given point of time–
and its performance is what determines the returns. Say, fund A (a new
scheme, with an NAV of Rs 10) and fund B (an old scheme, with an NAV
of Rs 50) have invested only in scrip X, which is currently quoting at Rs
150. If the scrip appreciates 20 per cent to Rs 180, the NAV of the two
schemes too would appreciate by 20 per cent, to Rs 12 and Rs 60,
respectively. In both cases, the gain, too, would be 20 per cent. So, as
investment options, both funds are the same. However, since no two
funds have the same portfolio, the returns given by them tend to differ.
Theoretically, the share price of a stock can peak, but the NAV of a
scheme cannot. That’s because the fund manager can sell the stock if he
feels it has peaked, and buy another stock that offers appreciation
potential. Thus, the key to the returns is not the number of units we get
when we invest in a scheme, but the stocks the fund chooses to invest in.
A higher NAV implies accumulated appreciation, which can be used to pay
dividends to unit holders. So from whichever way we see it, the NAV
makes no difference to returns. It is irrelevant how high or low the NAV of
a fund is. Mutual Fund schemes have to be judged on their performance.
The best way to do this is to compare returns over similar periods. Let us
examine the record of a few New Fund Offers (NFOs) against the
old/existing funds. ABN Amro Future Leaders Fund was launched in April
2006 and its NAV, as on 9.11.06, is still well below Rs 10, that is, Rs
9.829. UTI Contra was launched in March 2006 and its NAV, as on
9.11.06, is Rs 9.68. It is quite possible that these funds may do well going
forward, provided the fund manager manages the scheme in an improved
manner. Let us examine the returns from some hypothetical investments
made in the months of April and May 2006: As can be seen from the table
given below, two old funds HDFC Top 200 & Tata Infrastructure Fund
have given an annual yield of 34.68% and 33.87% respectively; whereas,
the NFOs, Sundaram Rural India and Templeton India Equity Income
have posted an annual yield of 25.44% and 21.47% respectively.
2. Another misconception is that a good fund manager will beat the market
year after year. Mutual Fund performance is prone to market risk. The
fund manager’s performance depends on the market fluctuations. If the
fund manager is creative and talented, he/she will be able to select the
right stocks and give good returns to investors. However, if the stock
selection is wrong, the scheme will underperform the market. Indian
Mutual Fund industry is awash with such underperforming funds. Some
fund managers churn their portfolios excessively. This excessive churn
may result in under performance of the fund, because, mutual funds
involve some costs, like, brokerage, STT and operational costs. Besides,
investors have to bear other expenses, like, entry load, exit load, recurring
expenses and initial issue expenses. Six months ago, SEBI disallowed
open-ended mutual funds from charging and amortizing the initial
expenses. Rather, funds will have to meet the issue expenses from the
load itself. Now, if we want to exit from an NFO, the funds are charging
exit loads to the extent of about three per cent, which is very high in the
short-term. Moreover, many fund houses are introducing exit loads even
for investments of Rs 5 crore and above for several of their schemes. For
example, Franking Templeton is introducing exit load for several of its
schemes. Such exit loads help in deterring the funds and investors from
excessively churning their investments.
3. One more popular belief, propagated in the halcyon days of US-64, was
that the capital of and return from mutual fund are protected and assured
respectively. After the debacle of US-64, it dawned on the unit holders that
there is no guarantee of capital and returns in mutual funds. Mutual funds
carry various risks, like, market risk, liquidity risk, excess
diversification/over diversification risk, etc. For instance, unlike bank
deposits, our investment in a mutual fund can fall in value. There are strict
norms (by SEBI) for any fund that assures returns and mutual fund can
not issue any guarantee for returns or capital. This is because most
closed-end funds that assured returns in the early-nineties failed to stick to
their assurances made at the time of launch, resulting in losses to the unit
holders.
8. Birla Sun Life Equity: It is an open-ended fund launched in August 1998. Its
assets under management are Rs 406 crore. Its top five holdings are Infosys,
Crompton Greaves, Siemens, SBI and BHEL. Its top three sectors are Financial
Services, Basic/Engineering and Technology. It is one of the better funds in this
category, its investments span across large and mid-cap stocks. With stock bets
ahead of the others, it has done quite well. After being acquired by Birla Sun Life
in late 2005, the fund has stayed the course. In the last five years, it has given a
CAGR of 53.4 per cent.