Professional Documents
Culture Documents
R IMMEDIA
ATE RELEA
ASE
Novem
mber 7, 20113
INTE
ERVIEWS: Tom Jenseen 919-744-6
6312
IF YO
OU HAVE BASIC ME
ETHODOLO
OGICAL Q
QUESTIONS
S, PLEASE
E E-MAIL
inforrmation@pu
ublicpolicyp
polling.com,, OR CONS
SULT THE FINAL PA
ARAGRAPH
H
OF THE
T
PRESS
S RELEASE
E
Mixed
M
newss for Ted Cruz
C
in neew Texas n
numbers
Raleiigh, N.C. PPP's
P
newesst Texas polll finds a mixx of good new
ws and bad nnews for Tedd
Cruz following his
h evolution into a majorr national figgure over thee last few m
months.
The good
g
news fo
or Cruz is th
hat hes the overwhelmin
o
ng top choicee of Texas R
Republicans
to be their Presid
dential candid
date in 2016
6. He gets 322% to 13% foor Jeb Bush and Chris
bby Jindal, 5 % each for M
Marco Rubioo and Paul
Chrisstie, 10% forr Rand Paul, 6% for Bob
Ryan
n, and 3% each for Rick Santorum an
nd an incrediibly weak onn the home ffront Rick
Perry
y. Cruz's 19 point
p
lead ov
ver the GOP
P field is up ffrom 12 in laate June.
Altho
ough Cruz haas abysmal favorability
f
numbers
n
in m
most of the rrest of the coountry, his
net ap
pproval ratin
ng in Texas is
i the same as
a it was in JJune. 47% off voters apprrove of him
to 41% who disap
pprove. It was 42/36 lastt time arounnd so he's bettter known nnow but as
his prrofile has rissen equal num
mbers of votters have groown to approove or disappprove of
him.
And then
t
there's the
t bad new
ws. 50% of Teexans say thhat Cruz has been bad forr the state's
reputtation to only
y 37% who think
t
he's beeen good for it. Among iindependentss those
numb
bers are even
n worse with
h 58% feeling he's hurt thhe state's im
mage to only 36% who
think
k he's been heelpful. And even
e
in Texaas 56% of vooters say theey opposed tthe
goverrnment shutd
down to only
y 38% who were
w supporrtive of it.
Hypo
othetical Presidential maatch ups with
h Hillary Clinnton for 20116 are a littlee bit closer
than you
y might ex
xpect for Teexas- and thee Republicanns who do beetter are the ones from
out of state. Jeb Bush
B
polls th
he strongest against Clinnton, leadingg her 49/42. C
Chris
Chrisstie does nex
xt best, leadin
ng 44/39, fo
ollowed by R
Rand Paul wiith a 48/44 aadvantage.
Cruz leads Clinto
on only 48/45, and Rick Perry actuallly trails her 47/45.
Texas voters areent too keen
n on either a Ted Cruz orr Rick Perryy run for the White
Housse, said Deaan Debnam, President off Public Poli cy Polling. Their matchh ups with
Hillarry Clinton would
w
represeent the closeest Presidenttial race in T
Texas since 11992.
PPP surveyed
s
500 Texas voters and an overssample of 3888 Republican primary voters from
Novem
mber 1st to 4tth. The margin
n of error for the overall suurvey is +/- 44.4% and for tthe Republicaan
survey
y its +/-5.0%
%. PPPs surveeys are condu
ucted throughh automated teelephone interviews.
Phone
e: 888 621-69
988
Web:
publicpolicypo
olling.com
www.p
Q6
Disapprove..............41%
Q2
Q7
Q3
Q8
Q5
Q4
Q9
Baylor ............................................................. 8%
Mavericks........................................................ 22%
Rockets........................................................... 21%
Southern Methodist......................................... 2%
Favorable........................................................ 26%
Moderate......................................................... 26%
Republican...................................................... 42%
Independent/Other .......................................... 24%
18 to 45........................................................... 33%
46 to 65........................................................... 41%
Other............................................................... 7%
Crosstabs
2012 Vote
2012 Vote
Barack
Mitt Som eone else/Don't
rem em ber
Base Obam a Rom ney
Barack
Mitt Som eone else/Don't
rem em ber
Base Obam a Rom ney
Cruz Approval
Approve 47%
9%
77%
31%
Disapprove 41%
75%
14%
48%
16%
9%
21%
Support/Oppose
Shutdow n
Support 38%
12%
61%
14%
Oppose 56%
83%
34%
59%
5%
6%
26%
Not sure
6%
2012 Vote
2012 Vote
Barack
Mitt Som eone else/Don't
Base Obam a Rom ney
rem em ber
Shutdow n:
More/Less Likely to
Support Cruz
66%
20%
61%
13%
55%
21%
9%
21%
8%
12%
4%
10%
Not sure
Barack
Mitt Som eone else/Don't
Base Obam a Rom ney
rem em ber
8%
Good 37%
9%
60%
26%
Bad 50%
79%
26%
55%
12%
14%
19%
Crosstabs
2012 Vote
2012 Vote
Barack
Mitt Som eone else/Don't
rem em ber
Base Obam a Rom ney
Hillary/Bush
Barack
Mitt Som eone else/Don't
rem em ber
Base Obam a Rom ney
Hillary/Christie
86%
6%
59%
7%
85%
14%
7%
8%
28%
Not sure
9%
80%
7%
48%
5%
76%
20%
15%
17%
32%
2012 Vote
2012 Vote
Barack
Mitt Som eone else/Don't
rem em ber
Base Obam a Rom ney
Hillary/Cruz
Barack
Mitt Som eone else/Don't
rem em ber
Base Obam a Rom ney
Hillary/Paul
89%
8%
71%
89%
7%
65%
4%
86%
14%
8%
84%
12%
Not sure
7%
6%
16%
3%
9%
24%
7%
Not sure
8%
Crosstabs
2012 Vote
2012 Vote
Barack
Mitt Som eone else/Don't
Base Obam a Rom ney
rem em ber
Barack
Mitt Som eone else/Don't
rem em ber
Base Obam a Rom ney
Hillary/Perry
Hillary Clinton 47%
91%
9%
71%
7%
80%
10%
2%
11%
19%
Not sure
8%
10%
22%
4%
84%
62%
85%
6%
16%
10%
2012 Vote
2012 Vote
Barack
Mitt Som eone else/Don't
Base Obam a Rom ney
rem em ber
Should Cruz Run for
Pres.?
Barack
Mitt Som eone else/Don't
Base Obam a Rom ney
rem em ber
Better Job in '13:
Congress or Astros
He should 29%
14%
43%
10%
Congress 10%
8%
14%
78%
41%
71%
65%
64%
73%
8%
16%
19%
27%
22%
27%
Crosstabs
2012 Vote
2012 Vote
Barack
Mitt Som eone else/Don't
Base Obam a Rom ney
rem em ber
Barack
Mitt Som eone else/Don't
rem em ber
Base Obam a Rom ney
Manziel Favorability
9%
8%
Houston 10%
Baylor
2%
Favorable 26%
23%
30%
15%
10%
10%
5%
Unfavorable 23%
22%
24%
27%
2%
2%
1%
16%
55%
46%
59%
Texas 20%
29%
13%
21%
A & M 22%
Southern Methodist
12%
32%
5%
TCU
4%
7%
2%
5%
Texas Tech
5%
4%
5%
19%
UTEP
3%
3%
3%
26%
27%
28%
2012 Vote
2012 Vote
Barack
Mitt Som eone else/Don't
Base Obam a Rom ney
rem em ber
Barack
Mitt Som eone else/Don't
rem em ber
Base Obam a Rom ney
RGIII Favorability
Favorable 36%
43%
32%
25%
Unfavorable 11%
10%
12%
7%
48%
56%
68%
Higher Opinion of
Manziel or RGIII?
Johnny Manziel 23%
20%
28%
34%
24%
22%
46%
48%
78%
Crosstabs
2012 Vote
2012 Vote
Barack
Mitt Som eone else/Don't
Base Obam a Rom ney
rem em ber
More a Cow boys or
Texans Fan?
Cow boys 47%
52%
44%
36%
Texans 33%
29%
37%
27%
19%
19%
Barack
Mitt Som eone else/Don't
rem em ber
Base Obam a Rom ney
More a Mavs,
Rockets, or Spurs
Fan?
Mavericks 22%
31%
16%
14%
Rockets 21%
20%
23%
10%
Spurs 38%
36%
42%
27%
14%
20%
49%
36%
Ideology
Ideology
Very Som ew hat
Som ew hat
Very
liberal Moderate conservative conservative
Base liberal
Cruz Approval
Approve 47%
20%
8%
21%
65%
84%
Disapprove 41%
65%
78%
64%
25%
4%
16%
14%
15%
10%
11%
21%
7%
14%
49%
76%
Oppose 56%
77%
88%
77%
43%
19%
1%
5%
9%
8%
5%
Not sure
6%
Crosstabs
Ideology
Ideology
74%
79%
54%
27%
11%
19%
11%
17%
41%
68%
5%
4%
20%
22%
15%
1%
6%
9%
10%
6%
Not sure
8%
Good 37%
21%
13%
11%
47%
72%
Bad 50%
71%
78%
74%
39%
12%
8%
9%
15%
15%
15%
Ideology
Ideology
82%
85%
68%
17%
5%
89%
74%
61%
17%
5%
18%
6%
23%
73%
84%
4%
9%
25%
66%
73%
9%
9%
10%
11%
7%
17%
14%
17%
22%
Not sure
9%
Crosstabs
Ideology
Ideology
82%
88%
77%
19%
2%
89%
89%
72%
17%
3%
18%
10%
17%
72%
86%
11%
9%
19%
74%
86%
2%
6%
8%
12%
2%
9%
9%
11%
Not sure
7%
Not sure
8%
Ideology
Ideology
79%
92%
76%
19%
6%
21%
4%
10%
74%
87%
4%
14%
7%
7%
Not sure
8%
21%
6%
5%
17%
28%
77%
92%
86%
65%
53%
1%
2%
9%
18%
18%
Crosstabs
Ideology
Ideology
He should 29%
23%
10%
13%
31%
55%
Congress 10%
23%
7%
3%
14%
11%
75%
83%
74%
51%
30%
46%
72%
71%
61%
66%
2%
7%
12%
18%
15%
30%
21%
26%
25%
22%
Ideology
Ideology
Very Som ew hat
Som ew hat
Very
liberal Moderate conservative conservative
Base liberal
9%
9%
6%
8%
9%
Favorable 26%
31%
31%
19%
34%
22%
Houston 10%
16%
12%
11%
8%
6%
Unfavorable 23%
20%
21%
25%
25%
22%
9%
1%
1%
2%
48%
48%
56%
42%
55%
Texas 20%
36%
24%
19%
14%
19%
A & M 22%
Baylor
Southern Methodist
2%
7%
13%
18%
25%
31%
TCU
4%
4%
4%
11%
2%
0%
Texas Tech
5%
5%
2%
7%
3%
8%
UTEP
3%
2%
3%
3%
3%
23%
26%
24%
35%
22%
Crosstabs
Ideology
Ideology
37%
33%
Unfavorable 11%
23%
12%
40%
55%
40%
38%
30%
7%
3%
17%
53%
58%
52%
35%
27%
17%
19%
26%
22%
26%
34%
28%
27%
43%
47%
49%
53%
47%
Ideology
Ideology
50%
58%
47%
42%
43%
Texans 33%
30%
25%
32%
39%
34%
20%
17%
21%
18%
23%
29%
29%
29%
17%
13%
Rockets 21%
17%
17%
21%
21%
23%
Spurs 38%
39%
34%
31%
45%
42%
15%
20%
19%
18%
21%
Crosstabs
Gender
Gender
Base Wom an
Base Wom an
Man
Cruz Approval
Approve 47%
41%
52%
Disapprove 41%
42%
39%
17%
9%
Support/Oppose
Shutdow n
Support 38%
31%
44%
Oppose 56%
61%
51%
8%
5%
Not sure
6%
Gender
Gender
Base Wom an
50%
34%
31%
40%
13%
18%
7%
8%
Man
Base Wom an
Man
Shutdow n:
More/Less Likely to
Support Cruz
Not sure
Man
8%
Good 37%
33%
40%
Bad 50%
54%
46%
13%
14%
Crosstabs
Gender
Base Wom an
Gender
Man
Hillary/Bush
Base Wom an
Man
Hillary/Christie
46%
38%
42%
37%
44%
54%
39%
49%
10%
8%
19%
15%
Not sure
9%
Gender
Base Wom an
Gender
Man
Hillary/Cruz
Base Wom an
Man
Hillary/Paul
49%
40%
47%
41%
44%
52%
45%
51%
6%
8%
7%
8%
Not sure
7%
Not sure
8%
Crosstabs
Gender
Gender
Base Wom an
Hillary/Perry
Hillary Clinton 47%
55%
39%
37%
53%
8%
8%
Not sure
8%
Base Wom an
Man
Should Perry Run for
Pres.?
He should 15%
12%
18%
72%
73%
15%
8%
Gender
Base Wom an
Man
Gender
Man
Base Wom an
Man
He should 29%
25%
32%
Congress 10%
8%
13%
58%
59%
60%
71%
18%
8%
33%
17%
Crosstabs
Gender
Base Wom an
Gender
Man
Base Wom an
Man
Manziel Favorability
8%
8%
8%
Favorable 26%
20%
32%
Houston 10%
12%
7%
Unfavorable 23%
19%
27%
2%
4%
0%
61%
40%
Texas 20%
16%
23%
A & M 22%
21%
22%
Baylor
Southern Methodist
TCU
4%
2%
7%
Texas Tech
5%
6%
5%
UTEP
3%
3%
2%
27%
26%
Gender
Gender
Base Wom an
RGIII Favorability
Favorable 36%
29%
42%
Unfavorable 11%
6%
14%
64%
44%
Base Wom an
Man
Man
Higher Opinion of
Manziel or RGIII?
Johnny Manziel 23%
17%
27%
21%
35%
62%
38%
Crosstabs
Gender
Base Wom an
Gender
Man
Base Wom an
43%
50%
Texans 33%
37%
30%
20%
20%
More a Mavs,
Rockets, or Spurs
Fan?
Mavericks 22%
20%
23%
Rockets 21%
21%
20%
Spurs 38%
36%
40%
23%
16%
Party
Party
Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other
14%
76%
44%
Disapprove 41%
67%
15%
46%
19%
9%
10%
Support/Oppose
Shutdow n
Support 38%
12%
63%
33%
Oppose 56%
86%
31%
55%
3%
6%
12%
Not sure
Man
6%
Crosstabs
Party
Party
Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other
Shutdow n:
More/Less Likely to
Support Cruz
Less likely 42%
66%
17%
48%
15%
57%
29%
10%
18%
20%
10%
8%
3%
Not sure
8%
Good 37%
11%
59%
36%
Bad 50%
75%
22%
58%
14%
18%
6%
Party
Party
86%
7%
39%
82%
7%
33%
8%
87%
42%
6%
79%
37%
6%
6%
18%
12%
14%
30%
Not sure
9%
Crosstabs
Party
Party
84%
8%
53%
86%
6%
48%
10%
84%
40%
10%
85%
41%
6%
8%
7%
4%
9%
11%
Not sure
7%
Not sure
8%
Party
Party
Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other
89%
5%
54%
8%
88%
31%
Not sure
8%
3%
7%
15%
7%
22%
17%
85%
60%
75%
8%
17%
8%
Crosstabs
Party
Party
He should 29%
10%
43%
33%
Congress 10%
10%
14%
4%
81%
42%
54%
64%
65%
68%
9%
15%
14%
26%
21%
28%
Party
Party
8%
11%
8%
5%
Favorable 26%
25%
29%
23%
Houston 10%
15%
7%
7%
Unfavorable 23%
20%
30%
18%
54%
42%
58%
Baylor
2%
3%
1%
4%
Texas 20%
26%
16%
18%
A & M 22%
Southern Methodist
13%
35%
13%
TCU
4%
7%
2%
4%
Texas Tech
5%
5%
6%
5%
UTEP
3%
1%
1%
6%
20%
24%
39%
Crosstabs
Party
Party
Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other
39%
36%
31%
Unfavorable 11%
12%
11%
8%
49%
52%
61%
Higher Opinion of
Manziel or RGIII?
Johnny Manziel 23%
25%
24%
16%
28%
30%
27%
47%
45%
57%
Party
Party
57%
45%
34%
Texans 33%
24%
36%
41%
19%
18%
25%
32%
15%
18%
Rockets 21%
22%
20%
20%
Spurs 38%
35%
47%
30%
11%
19%
32%
Crosstabs
Race
Race
35%
58%
6%
43%
Disapprove 41%
50%
31%
67%
54%
15%
10%
27%
3%
38%
43%
2%
44%
Oppose 56%
55%
51%
91%
51%
7%
6%
7%
5%
Not sure
6%
Race
Race
42%
34%
77%
54%
30%
42%
5%
35%
12%
19%
6%
10%
16%
5%
13%
Not sure
8%
Good 37%
33%
43%
7%
37%
Bad 50%
52%
43%
75%
61%
14%
14%
18%
2%
Crosstabs
Race
Race
51%
29%
90%
54%
49%
27%
83%
53%
38%
64%
2%
19%
33%
56%
1%
29%
11%
7%
8%
27%
18%
16%
16%
18%
Not sure
9%
Race
Race
57%
33%
84%
59%
59%
30%
87%
61%
31%
62%
7%
36%
35%
61%
9%
34%
Not sure
12%
5%
9%
5%
6%
9%
4%
5%
7%
Not sure
8%
Crosstabs
Race
Race
55%
34%
96%
63%
39%
57%
1%
26%
Not sure
8%
6%
9%
3%
10%
16%
18%
1%
16%
67%
70%
94%
82%
17%
13%
5%
2%
Race
Race
He should 29%
33%
32%
5%
28%
Congress 10%
14%
9%
16%
7%
55%
54%
85%
63%
63%
69%
51%
65%
12%
14%
10%
9%
24%
23%
33%
28%
Crosstabs
Race
Race
11%
7%
14%
2%
Favorable 26%
22%
28%
28%
16%
Houston 10%
8%
9%
17%
6%
Unfavorable 23%
29%
24%
11%
19%
49%
47%
61%
65%
Baylor
2%
1%
2%
12%
Texas 20%
38%
15%
10%
31%
A & M 22%
14%
28%
5%
13%
Southern Methodist
TCU
4%
9%
3%
3%
6%
Texas Tech
5%
3%
7%
1%
4%
UTEP
3%
1%
3%
4%
16%
27%
38%
35%
Race
Race
40%
35%
39%
29%
Unfavorable 11%
10%
9%
16%
16%
49%
56%
44%
55%
29%
23%
17%
14%
34%
26%
35%
27%
37%
51%
47%
59%
Crosstabs
Race
Race
52%
45%
51%
43%
Texans 33%
28%
36%
23%
33%
21%
18%
26%
25%
21%
19%
48%
13%
Rockets 21%
16%
21%
20%
29%
Spurs 38%
60%
36%
18%
29%
3%
24%
14%
29%
Age
Base
Age
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Cruz Approval
Approve 47%
46%
45%
51%
Disapprove 41%
39%
45%
36%
16%
10%
12%
Base
Support/Oppose
Shutdow n
Support 38%
39%
38%
36%
Oppose 56%
57%
56%
55%
4%
7%
9%
Not sure
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
6%
Crosstabs
Age
Base
Age
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Shutdow n:
More/Less Likely to
Support Cruz
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
39%
45%
39%
31%
38%
37%
20%
13%
14%
10%
4%
10%
Not sure
Base
8%
Good 37%
27%
39%
45%
Bad 50%
55%
49%
44%
18%
12%
11%
Age
Base
Age
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Hillary/Bush
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Hillary/Christie
46%
44%
33%
42%
40%
34%
47%
42%
62%
42%
39%
54%
7%
14%
4%
16%
21%
11%
Not sure
9%
Crosstabs
Age
Base
Age
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Hillary/Cruz
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Hillary/Paul
49%
47%
37%
49%
46%
34%
44%
45%
59%
44%
46%
58%
7%
9%
4%
7%
8%
8%
Not sure
7%
Not sure
8%
Age
Base
Age
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Hillary/Perry
Hillary Clinton 47%
48%
51%
39%
48%
40%
51%
4%
9%
10%
Not sure
8%
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
21%
12%
15%
67%
78%
72%
13%
10%
14%
Crosstabs
Age
Base
Age
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
He should 29%
31%
27%
29%
Congress 10%
15%
8%
8%
58%
62%
53%
68%
63%
66%
10%
11%
18%
17%
29%
26%
Age
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Manziel Favorability
7%
7%
11%
Favorable 26%
25%
25%
30%
Houston 10%
11%
8%
11%
Unfavorable 23%
30%
23%
16%
2%
2%
3%
2%
45%
52%
53%
Texas 20%
20%
19%
22%
A & M 22%
24%
19%
22%
Baylor
Southern Methodist
TCU
4%
2%
6%
4%
Texas Tech
5%
7%
9%
UTEP
3%
2%
3%
2%
31%
28%
18%
Crosstabs
Age
Base
Age
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
RGIII Favorability
Favorable 36%
30%
46%
27%
Unfavorable 11%
18%
8%
6%
52%
47%
67%
Base
Higher Opinion of
Manziel or RGIII?
Johnny Manziel 23%
30%
18%
22%
25%
36%
20%
45%
46%
58%
Age
Base
Age
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
45%
44%
54%
Texans 33%
36%
32%
30%
18%
24%
16%
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
More a Mavs,
Rockets, or Spurs
Fan?
Mavericks 22%
16%
23%
28%
Rockets 21%
30%
17%
14%
Spurs 38%
39%
39%
36%
16%
20%
22%
Q3
Moderate......................................................... 15%
Q4
Q2
Man................................................................. 52%
Q5
18 to 45........................................................... 28%
46 to 65........................................................... 37%
Crosstabs
Ideology
Ideology
Very Som ew hat
Som ew hat
Very
liberal Moderate conservative conservative
Base liberal
25%
26%
23%
12%
8%
25%
34%
34%
37%
38%
38%
42%
24%
14%
5%
8%
16%
7%
23%
18%
8%
18%
15%
21%
49%
8%
19%
11%
7%
5%
2%
6%
4%
67%
37%
38%
23%
33%
6%
6%
8%
4%
5%
7%
11%
11%
Bobby Jindal
Rick Perry
3%
5%
4%
5%
1%
Marco Rubio
5%
4%
9%
3%
Paul Ryan
5%
5%
5%
6%
Rick Santorum
3%
1%
4%
4%
11%
11%
8%
28%
5%
Todd Staples
4%
Gender
Base Wom an
Gender
Man
Base Wom an
Man
2014 GOP LG
Preference
16%
10%
36%
37%
10%
16%
13%
22%
35%
29%
8%
12%
6%
4%
7%
4%
4%
4%
8%
12%
38%
25%
Rick Perry
3%
2%
4%
Marco Rubio
5%
4%
6%
Paul Ryan
5%
5%
5%
Rick Santorum
3%
2%
5%
14%
6%
Bobby Jindal
Todd Staples
Crosstabs
Age
Base
Age
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
2014 GOP LG
Preference
12%
13%
13%
49%
24%
40%
18%
13%
10%
18%
19%
17%
34%
34%
28%
10%
14%
6%
4%
4%
5%
4%
18%
39%
33%
6%
4%
7%
5%
12%
8%
10%
Bobby Jindal
Rick Perry
3%
2%
2%
5%
Marco Rubio
5%
2%
7%
6%
Paul Ryan
5%
10%
3%
4%
Rick Santorum
3%
2%
5%
2%
4%
8%
16%
Todd Staples