Progressive Caucus Medicaid Press Conference Materials

VIRGINIA
PROGRESSIVE
CAUCUS
Medicaid Expansion
Press Briefing
March 5, 2014
VOTING AGAINST VIRGINIA

PRESS CONFERENCE
Estimate Methodology
Estimated Job Creation
Estimated Reallocation of Medicaid Savings to Secondary

Education
Polling Data
Bottom Line:
Republicans are voting against millions of

dollars and hundreds of jobs per Delegate

NEW SPENDING ASSUMPTIONS
Federal Revenue Medicaid Expansion Revenue Projections:
$1.825 Billion Per Year
$5 Million Per Day
$285.03 Million FY15-16 General Fund Savings
Assuming Coverage Effective 10/1/14
FY15 - $112.99 Million
FY16 - $172.04 Million
Source: Latest DMAS Analysis
DMAS Medicaid At A Glance By Delegate Seat
Total Overall Medicaid Population
Total Population of Children, Elderly, Blind, Disabled, Pregnant Mothers
Total Current Medicaid Spending

NEW SPENDING METHODOLOGY
New Medicaid Spending Projections:
Analyzed Current Virginia Medicaid Enrollment of Children
Children are rough proxy for parents without insurance
Is also rough proxy for low-income uninsured childless adults
Why Not Other Numbers?
Elderly, Pregnant Mother, Blind, Disabled Populations are not representative
Elderly spending is disproportionate to current uninsured population
Analysis Allocates Medicaid Expansion New Projected Spending and New Jobs Proportional to
Current Medicaid Children Enrollment
Education Spending:
Took projected General Fund Savings
Distributed across all localities in proportion to projected Direct Aid in House Amendments to
HB30
Allocated spending to Delegates by jurisdictions represented

Top 20 Republican Seats
Average of $23.6 Million in New Medicaid Spending Per Delegate in

Top 20 Republican Seats
#1 - $29.9 Million (HD14 Marshall)
#20 - $19.7 Million (HD26 Wilt)
Average of 389 New Jobs In Top 20 Republican Seats
#1 492 (HD14 - Marshall)
#20 324 (HD26 Wilt)
Examples of Lost Education Direct Aid Medicaid Expansion Savings
$27.6 Million for Fairfax County
$21.1 Million for Prince William County
$15.4 Million for Virginia Beach
$1.87 Million for Danville
$1.72 Million for Franklin County
Courtesy of Richmond Times Dispatch and Prof. Steven Farnsworth, Stephen Hanna & Benjamin Harris

FIVE DELEGATE DISTRICTS POLLED

POLL RESULTS
Question: Virginia is eligible to receive $5 million in federal funding each day to pay for health care for
working Virginians through the Medicaid program. Do you think the Virginia state government should
accept this federal funding to expand Medicaid coverage, or not?
No.
Delegate
McAuliffe
Approval
GOP ID
Support
Medicaid
Expansion
McAuliffe v.
Medicaid
Support
Difference
No
Insurance
(Per Poll)
Medicaid
Population
(Per DMAS)
Poindexter
25%
39%
56%
-21%
22%
23%
14
Marshall
27%
38%
55%
-28%
23%
30%
31
Lingamfelter
37%
33%
56%
-19%
13%
10%
79
Joannou
54%
20%
71%
-17%
20%
12%
97
Peace
28%
46%
51%
-20%
14%
9%
Poll by Public Policy Polling

Poll taken February 26-27, 2014
Universe of Random Registered Voters Who Had Voted in 1 of last 3 Federal Elections

LOST OPPORTUNITIES
No.
Delegate
Medicaid
Support Per Poll
Dollars Lost
Projected Education
Dollars Lost
Jobs Lost
(Per Jurisdictions
Represented)
Poindexter
56%
$25,727,987
386
$2,492,208
14
Marshall
55%
$32,781,470
492
$2,668,457
31
Lingamfelter
56%
$15,926,578
239
$12,236,584
79
Joannou
71%
$15,240,308
229
$6,707,803
97
Peace
51%
$12,594,896
189
$2,730,810

BOTTOM LINES
Most Residents of Medicaid Opponents Seats Support Expansion
Majorities of Virginians Support Medicaid Expansion in Republican Seats
Many Districts That Would Benefit The Most Are Republican Seats
$1.19 Billion in New Spending in Republican Delegate Seats
17,880 Jobs in Republican Delegate Seats
Millions in New Education Spending in Republican Delegate Seats
House Republicans Balance the Budget on the Backs of Law Enforcement,

Safety Net and Schools
Expansion Would Free Up Millions for Schools in Republican Delegate Districts

Virginians Need to Act
Sign Petition:
WWW.COVERALLVA.COM
Contact State Senators and Delegates
Attend Rally On Saturday at Capitol Square
VotingAgainstVirginia
PressBriefing
CalculationsbyDelegateSeat
EstimatedProjectedNewMedicaidExpendituresandJobsbyDelegate
DistrictsRankedbyMedicaidChildPopulationsByCaucus
NewFederalMedicaidDollars
NewJobsCreatedbyExpansion
$1,825,000,000
30,000
RepublicanCaucus
RepublicanCaucusRanks
Delegate
Marshall,DanielW.,III
Bloxson,Robert
Wright,ThomasC.,Jr.
Adams,LeslieR.
O'Quinn,IsraelD.
Chafin,A.Benton,Jr.
Miller,JacksonH.
Byron,KathyJ.
Marshall,RobertG.
Poindexter,CharlesD.
Campbell,JeffreyL.
Morefield,JamesW.(Will)
Edmunds,JamesE.,II
Ingram,RileyE.
Gilbert,C.Todd
Scott,EdwardT.
Berg,MarkJ.
Ransone,MargaretB.
Bell,RichardP.
Wilt,TonyO.
Howell,WilliamJ.
Hodges,M.Keith
Rust,ThomasDavis
Austin,TerryL.
Fariss,C.Matthew
Yancey,DavidE.
Rush,L.Nick
Cox,M.Kirkland
O'Bannon,JohnM.,III
Cole,MarkL.
Cline,BenjaminL.
Orrock,RobertD.,Sr.
Robinson,RoxannL.
Head,ChristopherT.
Taylor,ScottW.
Morris,RichardL.
Habeeb,GregoryD.
Bell,RobertB.
Lingamfelter,L.Scott
Knight,BarryD.
Davis,GlennR.,Jr.
Webert,MichaelJ.
Villanueva,RonaldA.
Stolle,ChristopherP.
Landes,R.Steven
Fowler,HylandF.(Buddy),Jr.
Kilgore,TerryG.
Minchew,J.Randall
Garrett,T.Scott
Helsel,GordonC.,Jr.
Yost,JosephR.
Anderson,RichardL.
Jones,S.Chris
Ramadan,DavidI.
Massie,JamesP.(Jimmie),III
Peace,ChristopherK.
DeSteph,WilliamR.,Jr.
Pogge,BrendaL.
LaRock,DavidA.
Farrell,PeterF.
Leftwich,JamesA.,Jr.
Ware,R.Lee,Jr.
LeMunyon,JamesM.
Hugo,TimothyD.
Greason,ThomasA.(Tag)
Albo,DavidB.
Loupassi,G.M.(Manoli)
Comstock,BarbaraJ.
Dist.
14
100
61
16
5
4
50
22
13
9
6
3
60
62
15
30
29
99
20
26
28
98
86
19
59
94
7
66
73
88
24
54
27
17
85
64
8
58
31
81
84
18
21
83
25
55
1
10
23
91
12
51
76
87
72
97
82
96
33
56
78
65
67
40
32
42
68
34
Party
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
CurrentTotal
Medicaid
Numberof
Population
Children
30%
26%
28%
25%
26%
27%
16%
23%
15%
23%
24%
23%
23%
17%
19%
17%
17%
18%
19%
15%
14%
17%
11%
17%
17%
14%
17%
13%
13%
13%
15%
12%
12%
15%
13%
14%
14%
12%
10%
11%
11%
11%
11%
11%
11%
11%
28%
9%
11%
10%
11%
8%
11%
8%
9%
9%
10%
9%
8%
9%
8%
8%
7%
6%
4%
5%
5%
3%
11,512
11,266
11,016
9,940
9,888
9,871
9,576
9,531
9,472
9,035
9,031
8,852
8,626
8,406
8,395
8,306
8,276
8,005
7,738
7,588
7,084
7,056
6,883
6,808
6,716
6,657
6,600
6,538
6,511
6,455
6,429
6,306
6,247
6,160
6,107
6,071
5,880
5,735
5,593
5,552
5,525
5,493
5,351
5,290
5,253
5,195
5,008
5,008
4,834
4,803
4,723
4,696
4,616
4,574
4,447
4,423
4,404
4,311
4,041
4,024
3,667
3,660
3,371
3,117
2,433
2,404
2,203
1,267
%ofChildren
Receiving
Total
Medicaidin TotalCurrentCostsfor Uninsured
Virginia
AllRecipients
Covered
1.64%
1.60%
1.57%
1.42%
1.41%
1.41%
1.36%
1.36%
1.35%
1.29%
1.29%
1.26%
1.23%
1.20%
1.20%
1.18%
1.18%
1.14%
1.10%
1.08%
1.01%
1.00%
0.98%
0.97%
0.96%
0.95%
0.94%
0.93%
0.93%
0.92%
0.92%
0.90%
0.89%
0.88%
0.87%
0.86%
0.84%
0.82%
0.80%
0.79%
0.79%
0.78%
0.76%
0.75%
0.75%
0.74%
0.71%
0.71%
0.69%
0.68%
0.67%
0.67%
0.66%
0.65%
0.63%
0.63%
0.63%
0.61%
0.58%
0.57%
0.52%
0.52%
0.48%
0.44%
0.35%
0.34%
0.31%
0.18%
$129,774,067
$94,452,540
$131,025,951
$97,373,708
$90,778,619
$93,597,418
$47,575,540
$166,494,051
$44,552,475
$88,002,267
$112,879,996
$83,489,730
$97,652,425
$63,670,799
$71,406,643
$74,499,491
$64,320,679
$70,107,648
$71,256,293
$51,367,682
$47,193,337
$73,989,827
$28,854,323
$80,966,028
$67,880,954
$49,389,786
$71,635,509
$55,035,222
$46,728,393
$51,352,677
$66,297,989
$55,381,148
$54,284,711
$75,951,348
$70,762,182
$67,602,638
$60,451,062
$44,035,861
$28,202,957
$36,338,022
$42,908,794
$43,048,656
$37,510,651
$35,875,820
$41,236,728
$43,323,526
$108,859,079
$34,974,223
$57,088,240
$39,836,489
$46,667,050
$27,560,395
$54,211,713
$22,408,621
$46,937,765
$35,626,098
$49,964,311
$30,870,928
$28,868,717
$34,273,217
$35,605,828
$33,562,076
$26,757,889
$17,590,417
$13,981,414
$16,603,427
$34,911,640
$12,780,765
6,556
6,416
6,274
5,661
5,631
5,622
5,454
5,428
5,394
5,146
5,143
5,041
4,913
4,787
4,781
4,730
4,713
4,559
4,407
4,322
4,034
4,019
3,920
3,877
3,825
3,791
3,759
3,724
3,708
3,676
3,661
3,591
3,558
3,508
3,478
3,458
3,349
3,266
3,185
3,162
3,147
3,128
3,047
3,013
2,992
2,959
2,852
2,852
2,753
2,735
2,690
2,674
2,629
2,605
2,533
2,519
2,508
2,455
2,301
2,292
2,088
2,084
1,920
1,775
1,386
1,369
1,255
722
TotalProjectedNew
Spending
$29,913,092
$29,273,878
$28,624,272
$25,828,364
$25,693,246
$25,649,073
$24,882,537
$24,765,608
$24,612,300
$23,476,788
$23,466,394
$23,001,276
$22,414,031
$21,842,377
$21,813,795
$21,582,535
$21,504,582
$20,800,408
$20,106,628
$19,716,864
$18,407,257
$18,334,501
$17,884,973
$17,690,091
$17,451,036
$17,297,728
$17,149,618
$16,988,516
$16,918,358
$16,772,846
$16,705,287
$16,385,681
$16,232,373
$16,006,310
$15,868,594
$15,775,050
$15,278,751
$14,901,979
$14,533,002
$14,426,467
$14,356,309
$14,273,159
$13,904,183
$13,745,679
$13,649,537
$13,498,828
$13,012,922
$13,012,922
$12,560,796
$12,480,245
$12,272,371
$12,202,213
$11,994,339
$11,885,205
$11,555,205
$11,492,843
$11,443,472
$11,201,819
$10,500,243
$10,456,070
$9,528,432
$9,510,243
$8,759,297
$8,099,297
$6,321,973
$6,246,618
$5,724,335
$3,292,207
Rankby%
TotalProjected
Total
Rankby# Rankby$$
NewJobs
Population ofKids
Spent
492
481
471
425
422
422
409
407
405
386
386
378
368
359
359
355
353
342
331
324
303
301
294
291
287
284
282
279
278
276
275
269
267
263
261
259
251
245
239
237
236
235
229
226
224
222
214
214
206
205
202
201
197
195
190
189
188
184
173
172
157
156
144
133
104
103
94
54
1
5
2
7
6
4
23
9
24
10
8
11
12
16
13
17
18
15
14
25
28
19
39
20
21
29
22
32
33
34
26
36
37
27
35
30
31
38
50
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
3
53
47
51
48
58
49
59
54
55
52
56
60
57
61
62
63
64
67
65
66
68
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
1
8
3
7
10
9
37
2
42
11
4
12
6
26
18
15
25
21
19
33
38
16
60
13
22
36
17
30
40
34
24
29
31
14
20
23
27
43
61
50
46
45
49
51
47
44
5
54
28
48
41
62
32
64
39
52
35
58
59
56
53
57
63
65
67
66
55
68
TOP20REPUBLICAN
CAUCUSAVERAGE
TOTALSREPUBLICAN
CAUCUS
9,115
429,859
$85,308,160
61.20%
5,191
$23,684,538
389
$3,930,456,473 244,813 $1,116,957,228
18,361
DemocraticCaucus
Delegate
BaCote,MamyeE.
McQuinn,DeloresL.
Carr,BetsyB.
Spruill,Lionell,Sr.
Howell,AlgieT.,Jr.
Rasoul,Sam
Hester,DaunSessoms
Torian,LukeE.
James,Matthew
Morrissey,JosephD.
McClellan,JenniferL.
Dance,RosalynR.
Ward,JeionA.
Kory,Kaye
Tyler,RoslynC.
Surovell,ScottA.
Lopez,AlfonsoH.
Futrell,MichaelT.
Watts,VivianE.
Herring,CharnieleL.
Toscano,DavidJ.
Mason,T.Montgomery
Joannou,JohnnyS.
Sickles,MarkD.
Simon,MarcusB.
Bulova,DavidL.
Krupicka,K.Robert,Jr.
Plum,KennethR.
Hope,PatrickA.
FillerCorn,Eileen
Keam,MarkL.
Brink,RobertH.
Dist.
95
70
69
77
90
11
89
52
80
74
71
63
92
38
75
44
49
2
39
46
57
93
79
43
53
37
45
36
47
41
35
48
TOTALSDEMOCRATICCAUCUS
OVERALLTOTALS
Party
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
Current
Medicaid
Population
Numberof
Children
%ofChildren
Receiving
Medicaidin
Virginia
33%
29%
31%
30%
27%
30%
29%
21%
26%
25%
28%
26%
24%
17%
24%
16%
15%
14%
13%
12%
13%
12%
12%
9%
9%
8%
8%
8%
6%
6%
5%
3%
15,513
14,440
14,215
13,685
12,792
12,624
12,450
11,833
11,720
11,680
11,305
10,947
10,691
10,133
9,526
9,371
8,503
7,995
7,570
6,435
5,982
5,972
5,352
5,177
5,146
4,369
4,296
3,954
2,793
2,791
2,289
940
2.21%
2.06%
2.02%
1.95%
1.82%
1.80%
1.77%
1.68%
1.67%
1.66%
1.61%
1.56%
1.52%
1.44%
1.36%
1.33%
1.21%
1.14%
1.08%
0.92%
0.85%
0.85%
0.76%
0.74%
0.73%
0.62%
0.61%
0.56%
0.40%
0.40%
0.33%
0.13%
272,489
702,348
38.80%
100.00%
DemocraticCaucusRank
TotalCostsforAll
Recipients
$118,537,668
$120,131,431
$156,005,621
$131,844,219
$125,650,683
$133,662,605
$126,668,600
$67,039,150
$105,831,697
$96,166,122
$158,569,649
$158,674,619
$97,752,207
$56,488,877
$142,911,520
$42,738,651
$43,755,860
$41,880,220
$43,180,507
$37,076,800
$66,390,299
$59,339,225
$66,058,676
$26,282,550
$26,735,181
$39,080,896
$39,536,254
$28,399,235
$31,084,363
$64,144,315
$24,285,830
$24,561,198
$2,500,464,728
$6,430,921,201
Total
Uninsured
Covered
TotalProjectedNew
Spending
8,835
8,224
8,096
7,794
7,285
7,190
7,091
6,739
6,675
6,652
6,438
6,235
6,089
5,771
5,425
5,337
4,843
4,553
4,311
3,665
3,407
3,401
3,048
2,948
2,931
2,488
2,447
2,252
1,591
1,590
1,304
535
$40,309,398
$37,521,286
$36,936,640
$35,559,473
$33,239,078
$32,802,542
$32,350,416
$30,747,187
$30,453,564
$30,349,627
$29,375,217
$28,444,980
$27,779,783
$26,329,861
$24,752,616
$24,349,859
$22,094,425
$20,774,424
$19,670,092
$16,720,878
$15,543,790
$15,517,806
$13,906,781
$13,452,057
$13,371,505
$11,352,528
$11,162,842
$10,274,180
$7,257,407
$7,252,210
$5,947,799
$2,442,521
155,187 $708,042,772
400,000 $1,825,000,000
TotalProjected Rankby% Rankby# Rankby$$

NewJobs
Population ofKids
Spent
663
617
607
585
546
539
532
505
501
499
483
468
457
433
407
400
363
341
323
275
256
255
229
221
220
187
183
169
119
119
98
40
11,639
30,000
1
5
2
3
8
4
6
14
9
11
7
10
12
15
13
16
17
18
10
21
20
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
39
30
31
32
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
20
30
31
32
10
9
3
6
8
5
7
14
11
13
2
1
12
19
4
22
20
23
21
26
15
18
16
30
29
25
24
28
27
17
32
31
ProjectedSecondaryEducationDistributionswithReallocatedMedicaidSavings
AllocatedProportionaltoHB30HouseAmendments
AdditionalFY201516Appropriation
ACCOMACK
ALBEMARLE
ALLEGHANY
AMELIA
AMHERST
APPOMATTOX
ARLINGTON
AUGUSTA
BATH
BEDFORD
BLAND
BOTETOURT
BRUNSWICK
BUCHANAN
BUCKINGHAM
CAMPBELL
CAROLINE
CARROLL
CHARLESCITY
CHARLOTTE
CHESTERFIELD
CLARKE
CRAIG
CULPEPER
CUMBERLAND
DICKENSON
DINWIDDIE
ESSEX
FAIRFAX
FAUQUIER
FLOYD
FLUVANNA
FRANKLIN
FREDERICK
GILES
GLOUCESTER
GOOCHLAND
GRAYSON
GREENE
GREENSVILLE
HALIFAX
HANOVER
HENRICO
HENRY
HIGHLAND
ISLEOFWIGHT
JAMESCITY
KINGGEORGE
KING&QUEEN
KINGWILLIAM
LANCASTER
LEE
LOUDOUN
LOUISA
LUNENBURG
20142016
Composite
Index
0.3553
0.6504
0.2423
0.3308
0.3079
0.3079
0.8
0.3543
0.8
0.3132
0.3252
0.3718
0.2984
0.357
0.3346
0.2759
0.3272
0.2695
0.4431
0.2579
0.3495
0.5151
0.3155
0.3444
0.278
0.2709
0.2881
0.4021
0.6804
0.5584
0.3468
0.3834
0.4136
0.3718
0.2866
0.3659
0.8
0.3459
0.3566
0.2258
0.301
0.4069
0.4058
0.2407
0.8
0.4193
0.5629
0.3772
0.4336
0.3195
0.7789
0.1885
0.5616
0.5642
0.2501
201416Avg.
Daily
Membership
5,037
13,019
2,305
1,728
4,015
2,255
23,312
10,264
591
9,875
833
4,661
1,799
2,987
2,000
7,846
4,256
3,808
679
1,842
58,669
1,964
683
8,055
1,337
2,168
4,362
1,427
178,752
10,990
1,991
3,526
6,948
12,969
2,543
5,421
2,426
1,701
3,034
1,395
5,085
17,827
49,793
6,926
187
5,267
10,051
4,247
750
2,217
1,119
3,154
72,700
4,673
1,477
$285,030,000
FY2015Estimated
Distribution(Per
HB30%of
AdditionalPro
House
TotalDirect
RataShareof
Amendments)
Aid
MedicaidSavings
$31,729,430
0.510%
$1,454,906
$46,187,214
0.743%
$2,117,847
$1,596,240
0.026%
$73,193
$10,205,638
0.164%
$467,965
$25,412,408
0.409%
$1,165,249
$13,684,884
0.220%
$627,500
$57,665,217
0.928%
$2,644,154
$54,400,567
0.875%
$2,494,458
$1,701,294
0.027%
$78,010
$55,349,234
0.890%
$2,537,958
$4,919,906
0.079%
$225,595
$24,106,914
0.388%
$1,105,387
$13,734,992
0.221%
$629,798
$18,170,216
0.292%
$833,169
$13,172,668
0.212%
$604,013
$46,166,271
0.743%
$2,116,887
$25,117,993
0.404%
$1,151,749
$25,643,759
0.413%
$1,175,857
$4,137,623
0.067%
$189,725
$13,341,464
0.215%
$611,753
$303,300,180
4.879%
$13,907,384
$8,272,059
0.133%
$379,303
$4,583,964
0.074%
$210,191
$44,212,369
0.711%
$2,027,293
$8,902,441
0.143%
$408,208
$14,084,231
0.227%
$645,812
$26,640,948
0.429%
$1,221,582
$8,497,586
0.137%
$389,644
$602,701,938
9.696%
$27,636,012
$45,488,921
0.732%
$2,085,828
$11,703,324
0.188%
$536,639
$19,427,405
0.313%
$890,815
$37,619,727
0.605%
$1,724,997
$69,892,947
1.124%
$3,204,838
$15,251,037
0.245%
$699,314
$28,054,942
0.451%
$1,286,418
$6,548,286
0.105%
$300,262
$11,554,994
0.186%
$529,837
$17,537,018
0.282%
$804,134
$9,981,731
0.161%
$457,698
$34,010,499
0.547%
$1,559,501
$86,518,838
1.392%
$3,967,194
$247,805,902
3.987%
$11,362,776
$47,226,166
0.760%
$2,165,486
$1,539,183
0.025%
$70,577
$26,926,815
0.433%
$1,234,690
$40,243,386
0.647%
$1,845,301
$21,826,558
0.351%
$1,000,825
$4,645,918
0.075%
$213,032
$13,344,357
0.215%
$611,886
$3,432,500
0.055%
$157,392
$25,126,910
0.404%
$1,152,158
$280,278,216
4.509%
$12,851,746
$19,763,313
0.318%
$906,218
$10,771,805
0.173%
$493,925
Extrapolated
Addtl.
InvestmentPer
ChildPer
Extrapolated
Progressive Addtl.TeachersAt
Caucus
$55K/FTE
$288.84
26.45
$162.67
38.51
$31.75
1.33
$270.81
8.51
$290.22
21.19
$278.27
11.41
$113.42
48.08
$243.03
45.35
$132.00
1.42
$257.01
46.14
$270.82
4.10
$237.16
20.10
$350.08
11.45
$278.93
15.15
$302.01
10.98
$269.80
38.49
$270.62
20.94
$308.79
21.38
$279.42
3.45
$332.11
11.12
$237.05
252.86
$193.13
6.90
$307.75
3.82
$251.68
36.86
$305.32
7.42
$297.88
11.74
$280.05
22.21
$273.05
7.08
$154.61
502.47
$189.79
37.92
$269.53
9.76
$252.64
16.20
$248.27
31.36
$247.12
58.27
$275.00
12.71
$237.30
23.39
$123.77
5.46
$311.49
9.63
$265.04
14.62
$328.10
8.32
$306.69
28.35
$222.54
72.13
$228.20
206.60
$312.66
39.37
$377.42
1.28
$234.42
22.45
$183.59
33.55
$235.65
18.20
$284.04
3.87
$276.00
11.13
$140.65
2.86
$365.30
20.95
$176.78
233.67
$12.47
16.48
$334.41
8.98
MADISON
MATHEWS
MECKLENBURG
MIDDLESEX
MONTGOMERY
NELSON
NEWKENT
NORTHAMPTON
NORTHUMBERLAN
NOTTOWAY
ORANGE
PAGE
PATRICK
PITTSYLVANIA
POWHATAN
PRINCEEDWARD
PRINCEGEORGE
PRINCEWILLIAM
PULASKI
RAPPAHANNOCK
RICHMOND
ROANOKE
ROCKBRIDGE
ROCKINGHAM
RUSSELL
SCOTT
SHENANDOAH
SMYTH
SOUTHAMPTON
SPOTSYLVANIA
STAFFORD
SURRY
SUSSEX
TAZEWELL
WARREN
WASHINGTON
WESTMORELAND
WISE
WYTHE
YORK
ALEXANDRIA
BRISTOL
BUENAVISTA
CHARLOTTESVILLE
COLONIALHEIGHTS
COVINGTON
DANVILLE
FALLSCHURCH
FREDERICKSBURG
GALAX
HAMPTON
HARRISONBURG
HOPEWELL
LYNCHBURG
MARTINSVILLE
NEWPORTNEWS
NORFOLK
NORTON
PETERSBURG
PORTSMOUTH
RADFORD
RICHMONDCITY
ROANOKECITY
STAUNTON
SUFFOLK
VIRGINIABEACH
WAYNESBORO
WILLIAMSBURG
WINCHESTER
FAIRFAXCITY
FRANKLINCITY
CHESAPEAKECITY
LEXINGTON
0.4469
0.5435
0.3608
0.7445
0.3864
0.5686
0.4296
0.4838
0.7428
0.2477
0.3617
0.2984
0.2725
0.2507
0.3912
0.3272
0.2429
0.3821
0.3111
0.7912
0.3581
0.3703
0.4739
0.37
0.2485
0.1939
0.3651
0.2251
0.2876
0.3554
0.3411
0.8
0.3583
0.2754
0.387
0.3812
0.4631
0.2538
0.3182
0.4024
0.8
0.3085
0.1756
0.668
0.4322
0.2817
0.2649
0.8
0.6134
0.2737
0.2949
0.4008
0.2298
0.3679
0.2221
0.2907
0.3122
0.3101
0.2473
0.2677
0.2674
0.4635
0.3591
0.3922
0.3489
0.4033
0.3492
0.8
0.4374
0.8
0.2977
0.3609
0.4508
1,792
1,118
4,384
1,157
9,475
1,886
2,886
1,523
1,294
2,135
4,919
3,255
2,795
8,914
4,123
2,088
6,155
84,057
4,307
882
1,278
13,886
2,580
11,383
3,907
3,605
6,066
4,571
2,721
23,424
26,923
898
1,064
6,054
5,400
7,196
1,572
5,958
4,113
1,252
13,763
2,171
987
4,118
2,765
920
5,896
2,532
3,355
1,268
19,759
5,185
4,000
8,113
2,073
27,892
29,551
820
4,084
14,041
1,598
21,925
12,862
2,527
14,020
68,911
2,951
1,027
4,111
2,097
1,165
38,785
669
$9,166,140
$5,126,925
$25,858,162
$4,144,189
$50,736,328
$8,390,058
$13,303,338
$8,902,110
$4,135,494
$15,259,611
$26,038,547
$20,129,470
$18,432,820
$57,566,371
$20,973,129
$14,042,830
$38,219,966
$461,603,052
$26,468,507
$2,725,042
$7,819,901
$71,717,707
$13,513,278
$60,669,085
$27,045,132
$25,967,858
$32,988,524
$30,902,022
$18,262,416
$126,650,196
$138,320,209
$2,791,220
$7,655,776
$37,282,960
$27,778,579
$38,386,947
$10,075,114
$37,728,611
$23,646,044
$58,369,226
$38,203,888
$15,032,788
$7,134,750
$18,530,608
$13,598,097
$6,113,154
$40,989,082
$5,790,045
$13,452,455
$8,247,488
$120,052,811
$30,178,497
$27,081,092
$49,636,743
$14,543,286
$176,232,571
$188,029,406
$4,729,203
$29,191,815
$89,946,278
$9,374,650
$134,735,863
$81,875,894
$17,521,346
$78,634,686
$336,445,952
$15,901,752
$4,619,055
$21,915,939
$7,531,794
$8,930,680
$214,351,465
$3,029,668
0.147%
0.082%
0.416%
0.067%
0.816%
0.135%
0.214%
0.143%
0.067%
0.245%
0.419%
0.324%
0.297%
0.926%
0.337%
0.226%
0.615%
7.426%
0.426%
0.044%
0.126%
1.154%
0.217%
0.976%
0.435%
0.418%
0.531%
0.497%
0.294%
2.037%
2.225%
0.045%
0.123%
0.600%
0.447%
0.618%
0.162%
0.607%
0.380%
0.939%
0.615%
0.242%
0.115%
0.298%
0.219%
0.098%
0.659%
0.093%
0.216%
0.133%
1.931%
0.485%
0.436%
0.799%
0.234%
2.835%
3.025%
0.076%
0.470%
1.447%
0.151%
2.168%
1.317%
0.282%
1.265%
5.412%
0.256%
0.074%
0.353%
0.121%
0.144%
3.448%
0.049%
$420,300
$235,088
$1,185,688
$190,026
$2,326,440
$384,714
$610,005
$408,193
$189,627
$699,707
$1,193,959
$923,007
$845,210
$2,639,621
$961,692
$643,913
$1,752,520
$21,166,130
$1,213,675
$124,953
$358,570
$3,288,510
$619,632
$2,781,892
$1,240,115
$1,190,718
$1,512,640
$1,416,967
$837,396
$5,807,359
$6,342,470
$127,987
$351,044
$1,709,555
$1,273,746
$1,760,177
$461,980
$1,729,990
$1,084,255
$2,676,435
$1,751,783
$689,306
$327,153
$849,694
$623,521
$280,310
$1,879,494
$265,494
$616,843
$378,176
$5,504,845
$1,383,791
$1,241,764
$2,276,020
$666,861
$8,080,886
$8,621,812
$216,851
$1,338,548
$4,124,354
$429,861
$6,178,115
$3,754,299
$803,416
$3,605,678
$15,427,235
$729,151
$211,800
$1,004,923
$345,359
$409,503
$9,828,772
$138,921
$234.54
$210.28
$270.46
$164.24
$245.53
$203.98
$211.37
$268.02
$146.54
$327.73
$242.72
$283.57
$302.40
$296.12
$233.25
$308.39
$284.73
$251.81
$281.79
$141.67
$280.57
$236.82
$240.17
$244.39
$317.41
$330.30
$249.36
$309.99
$307.75
$247.92
$235.58
$142.52
$329.93
$282.38
$235.88
$244.60
$293.88
$290.36
$263.62
$2,137.73
$127.28
$317.51
$331.46
$206.34
$225.50
$304.68
$318.77
$104.86
$183.86
$298.25
$278.60
$266.88
$310.44
$280.54
$321.69
$289.72
$291.76
$264.45
$327.75
$293.74
$269.00
$281.78
$291.89
$317.93
$257.18
$223.87
$247.09
$206.23
$244.45
$164.69
$351.50
$253.42
$207.65
7.64
4.27
21.56
3.46
42.30
6.99
11.09
7.42
3.45
12.72
21.71
16.78
15.37
47.99
17.49
11.71
31.86
384.84
22.07
2.27
6.52
59.79
11.27
50.58
22.55
21.65
27.50
25.76
15.23
105.59
115.32
2.33
6.38
31.08
23.16
32.00
8.40
31.45
19.71
48.66
31.85
12.53
5.95
15.45
11.34
5.10
34.17
4.83
11.22
6.88
100.09
25.16
22.58
41.38
12.12
146.93
156.76
3.94
24.34
74.99
7.82
112.33
68.26
14.61
65.56
280.50
13.26
3.85
18.27
6.28
7.45
178.70
2.53
EMPORIA
SALEM
BEDFORDCITY
POQUOSON
MANASSASCITY
MANASSASPARK
COLONIALBEACH
WESTPOINT
TOTAL:
0.2495
0.3695
0.3132
0.3893
0.3661
0.2682
0.3519
0.258
1,048
$6,998,252
3,729
$19,157,801
$0
2,082
$10,143,790
7,008
$44,879,169
3,165
$22,130,252
548
$3,530,634
839
$4,721,138
1,226,302 6,216,097,077
0.113%
0.308%
0.000%
0.163%
0.722%
0.356%
0.057%
0.076%
100.000%
ExplanationofCalculations
*Calculationsrepresent$285MdistributedproportionaltoHB30.FullCalculations
havebeenrequestedfromDOE.
*PerchildnumberdeteriminedbydividingjurisdictionprojectionbyAverageDaily
Membership
*Extrapolatedadditionalteachersdeterminedbydividingjurisdictionprojectionby
$55,000
$320,895
$878,453
$0
$465,129
$2,057,868
$1,014,750
$161,892
$216,481
$285,030,000
$306.20
5.83
$235.57
15.97
#DIV/0!
0.00
$223.40
8.46
$293.65
37.42
$320.62
18.45
$295.42
2.94
$258.02
3.94
$232.43 5,182.36
EstimatedReallocatedMedicaidSavingsbyDelegate'sJurisdictions
MedicaidSavingsFY1516
ReappliedSolelytoDirectAid
forSecondaryEducation
Delegate
$285,030,000
Dist. Party
Jurisdictions
Represented
LeeCounty,Norton,Scott
County,WiseCounty
BlandCounty,Buchanan
County,Russell
County,TazewellCounty
DickensonCounty,Russell
County,WashingtonCounty,
WiseCounty
Bristol,Galax,Grayson
County,Smyth
County,Washington
County,WytheCounty
CarrollCounty,Smyth
County,WytheCounty
FloydCounty,Montgomery
County,PulaskiCounty
CraigCounty,Montgomery
County,RoanokeCounty,
Salem
FranklinCounty,Henry
County,PatrickCounty
ClarkeCounty,Frederick
County,LoudounCounty
GilesCounty,Montgomery
County,Pulaski
County,Radford
LoudounCounty,Prince
WilliamCounty
Current
Medicaid
Population
EstimatedPotential
EducationDollarsfor
FY1516For
Juridictions
Representedfor
MedicaidSavings
28%
$4,289,716
23%
$4,008,434
27%
$5,376,094
26%
$5,858,719
24%
$3,677,078
17%
$4,076,753
14%
$6,703,594
23%
$4,735,694
9%
$16,435,887
11%
$4,669,289
15%
$34,017,876
Kilgore,TerryG.
Morefield,JamesW.(Will)
Chafin,A.Benton,Jr.
O'Quinn,IsraelD.
Campbell,JeffreyL.
Rush,L.Nick
Habeeb,GregoryD.
Poindexter,CharlesD.
Minchew,J.Randall
10
Yost,JosephR.
12
Marshall,RobertG.
13
Marshall,DanielW.,III
14
Danville,Henry
County,PittsylvaniaCounty
30%
$5,070,602
Gilbert,C.Todd
15
PageCounty,Rappahannock
County,RockinghamCounty,
ShenandoahCounty
19%
$5,342,492
Adams,LeslieR.
16
25%
$5,471,969
Head,ChristopherT.
17
15%
$8,148,196
Webert,MichaelJ.
18
11%
$6,564,412
Austin,TerryL.
19
17%
$3,996,848
Bell,RichardP.
20
19%
$4,482,316
Villanueva,RonaldA.
21
11%
$15,427,235
Byron,KathyJ.
22
23%
$8,655,862
Garrett,T.Scott
23
11%
$5,979,226
Cline,BenjaminL.
24
15%
$4,823,423
Landes,R.Steven
25
AlbemarleCounty,Augusta
County,RockinghamCounty
11%
$7,394,197
Wilt,TonyO.
26
Harrisonburg,Rockingham
County
15%
$4,165,682
Henry
County,Martinsville,Pittsylva
niaCounty
BotetourtCounty,Roanoke
City,RoanokeCounty
FauquierCounty,Frederick
County,WarrenCounty
AlleghanyCounty,Bedford
County,BotetourtCounty,
Covington
AugustaCounty,Highland
County,NelsonCounty,
Staunton,Waynesboro
VirginiaBeach
BedfordCounty,Campbell
County,FranklinCounty,
Lynchburg
AmherstCounty,Bedford
County,Lynchburg
AmherstCounty,Augusta
County,BathCounty,Buena
Vista,Lexington,Rockbridge
County
Robinson,RoxannL.
27
Howell,WilliamJ.
28
Berg,MarkJ.
29
Scott,EdwardT.
30
Lingamfelter,L.Scott
31
Greason,ThomasA.(Tag)
32
LaRock,DavidA.
33
Comstock,BarbaraJ.
34
Hugo,TimothyD.
40
Albo,DavidB.
42
Miller,JacksonH.
50
Anderson,RichardL.
51
Orrock,RobertD.,Sr.
54
Fowler,HylandF.(Buddy),Jr.
55
Farrell,PeterF.
Bell,RobertB.
ChesterfieldCounty
Fredericksburg,Stafford
County
FrederickCounty,Warren
County,Winchester
CulpeperCounty,Madison
County,OrangeCounty
FauquierCounty,Prince
WilliamCounty
LoudounCounty
ClarkeCounty,Frederick
County,LoudounCounty
FairfaxCounty,Loudoun
County
FairfaxCounty,Prince
WilliamCounty
FairfaxCounty
Manassas,PrinceWilliam
County
PrinceWilliamCounty
12%
$13,907,384
14%
$6,959,313
17%
$5,483,508
17%
$3,641,552
10%
$23,251,958
4%
$12,851,746
8%
$16,435,887
3%
$40,487,758
6%
$48,802,142
5%
$27,636,012
16%
$24,238,748
8%
$21,166,130
CarolineCounty,Spotsylvania
County
12%
$6,959,107
CarolineCounty,Hanover
County,SpotsylvaniaCounty
11%
$10,926,302
56
GoochlandCounty,Henrico
County,LouisaCounty,
SpotsylvaniaCounty
9%
$18,376,614
58
AlbemarleCounty,Fluvanna
County,GreeneCounty,
RockinghamCounty
12%
$6,594,688
17%
$5,850,961
Fariss,C.Matthew
59
AlbemarleCounty,
AppomattoxCounty,
BuckinghamCounty,
CampbellCounty,Nelson
County
Edmunds,JamesE.,II
60
CampbellCounty,Charlotte
County,HalifaxCounty,
PrinceEdwardCounty
23%
$4,932,055
Wright,ThomasC.,Jr.
61
AmeliaCounty,Cumberland
County,Lunenburg
County,Mecklenburg
County,NottowayCounty
28%
$3,255,493
Ingram,RileyE.
62
ChesterfieldCounty,Henrico
County,Hopewell,Prince
GeorgeCounty
17%
$27,022,680
14%
$4,713,141
8%
$16,060,153
Morris,RichardL.
64
Ware,R.Lee,Jr.
65
Cox,M.Kirkland
66
LeMunyon,JamesM.
67
Loupassi,G.M.(Manoli)
68
Massie,JamesP.(Jimmie),III
O'Bannon,JohnM.,III
Jones,S.Chris
Leftwich,JamesA.,Jr.
72
73
76
78
R
R
R
R
Knight,BarryD.
81
DeSteph,WilliamR.,Jr.
Stolle,ChristopherP.
Davis,GlennR.,Jr.
Taylor,ScottW.
82
83
84
85
R
R
R
R
Rust,ThomasDavis
86
Ramadan,DavidI.
87
Cole,MarkL.
88
Helsel,GordonC.,Jr.
91
FranklinCity,IsleofWight
County,PrinceGeorge
County,Southampton
County,SurryCounty,Sussex
County
Chesterfield
County,Fluvanna
County,Goochland
County,PowhatanCounty
ChesterfieldCounty,Colonial
Heights
County
13%
$14,530,905
7%
$40,487,758
5%
$31,448,275
HenricoCounty
9%
$11,362,776
HenricoCounty
13%
$11,362,776
Chesapeake,Suffolk
11%
$13,434,450
Chesapeake
8%
$9,828,772
Chesapeake,VirginiaBeach
11%
$25,256,006
County,RichmondCity
VirginiaBeach
10%
$15,427,235
Norfolk,VirginiaBeach
11%
$24,049,047
VirginiaBeach
11%
$15,427,235
VirginiaBeach
County
LoudounCounty,Prince
WilliamCounty
13%
$15,427,235
11%
$40,487,758
8%
$34,017,876
FauquierCounty,
Fredericksburg,Spotsylvania
County,StaffordCounty
13%
$14,852,499
Hampton,Poquoson,York
County
10%
$8,646,409
Yancey,DavidE.
94
Pogge,BrendaL.
96
Peace,ChristopherK.
97
Hodges,M.Keith
98
Ransone,MargaretB.
99
Bloxsom,Robert
100
NewportNews
JamesCityCounty,York
County
HanoverCounty,KingWilliam
County,NewKentCounty
EssexCounty,Gloucester
County,KingandQueen
County,KingWilliamCounty,
MathewsCounty,Middlesex
County
CarolineCounty,KingGeorge
County,Lancaster
County,Northumberland
County,Richmond
County,Westmoreland
County
Accomack
County,Norfolk,Northampto
nCounty,VirginiaBeach
14%
$8,080,886
9%
$4,521,736
9%
$5,189,085
17%
$2,926,093
18%
$3,320,142
26%
$25,912,147
RepublicanTotals
$904,922,024
DemocraticCaucus
PrinceWilliamCounty,
StaffordCounty
RoanokeCity
30%
$3,754,299
FairfaxCounty
5%
$27,636,012
FairfaxCounty
8%
$27,636,012
FairfaxCity,FairfaxCounty
8%
$27,981,371
FairfaxCounty
17%
$27,636,012
FairfaxCounty
13%
$27,636,012
FairfaxCounty
6%
$27,636,012
FairfaxCounty
9%
$27,636,012
FairfaxCounty
Alexandria,Arlington
County,FairfaxCounty
Alexandria
16%
$27,636,012
8%
$32,031,949
12%
$1,751,783
6%
$2,644,154
3%
$30,280,166
15%
$30,280,166
ArlingtonCounty
ArlingtonCounty,Fairfax
County
ArlingtonCounty,Fairfax
County
PrinceWilliamCounty
21%
$21,166,130
FairfaxCounty,FallsChurch
9%
$27,901,506
13%
$2,967,541
26%
$38,875,407
31%
$20,085,499
Futrell,MichaelT.
Rasoul,Sam
Keam,MarkL.
Plum,KennethR.
11
35
36
D
D
D
Bulova,DavidL.
37
Kory,Kaye
Watts,VivianE.
FillerCorn,Eileen
Sickles,MarkD.
Surovell,ScottA.
38
39
41
43
44
D
D
D
D
D
Krupicka,K.Robert,Jr.
45
Herring,CharnieleL.
Hope,PatrickA.
46
47
D
D
Brink,RobertH.
48
Lopez,AlfonsoH.
49
Torian,LukeE.
52
Simon,MarcusB.
53
Albemarle
County,Charlottesville
ChesterfieldCounty,
DinwiddieCounty,Hopewell,
Petersburg,PrinceWilliam
County
ChesterfieldCounty,
RichmondCity
14%
$27,508,600
Toscano,DavidJ.
57
Dance,RosalynR.
63
Carr,BetsyB.
69
McQuinn,DeloresL.
70
County,RichmondCity
29%
$31,448,275
McClellan,JenniferL.
71
HenricoCounty,Richmond
City
28%
$17,540,891
CharlesCityCounty,Henrico
County,RichmondCity
25%
$17,730,615
BrunswickCounty,Dinwiddie
County,Emporia,Franklin
City,GreensvilleCounty,Isle
ofWightCounty,Lunenburg
County,Southampton
County,SurryCounty,Sussex
County
24%
$6,084,518
Morrissey,JosephD.
74
Tyler,RoslynC.
75
Spruill,Lionell,Sr.
Joannou,JohnnyS.
77
79
D
D
James,Matthew
80
Hester,DaunSessoms
Howell,AlgieT.,Jr.
Ward,JeionA.
89
90
92
D
D
D
Chesapeake,Suffolk
30%
$13,434,450
Norfolk,Portsmouth
Chesapeake,Norfolk,Portsmo
uth
Norfolk
12%
$12,746,167
26%
$22,574,938
29%
$8,621,812
Norfolk,VirginiaBeach
27%
$24,049,047
Hampton
24%
$5,504,845
12%
$12,814,422
33%
$13,585,731
Mason,T.Montgomery
93
JamesCityCounty,Newport
News,Williamsburg,York
County
BaCote,MamyeE.
95
Hampton,NewportNews
DEMOCRATICTOTALS
$646,816,365
PressBriefing
PollingMemosandCrosstabs
Virginia House District 9 Survey Results

Q1
Q2
Do you approve or disapprove of Governor

Terry McAuliffes job performance?
Q6
Approve .......................................................... 25%
Yes.................................................................. 23%
Disapprove...................................................... 43%
No ................................................................... 68%
Not sure .......................................................... 32%
Not sure .......................................................... 9%
Do you approve or disapprove of Delegate

Charles Poindexters job performance?
Q7
Approve .......................................................... 41%

Disapprove...................................................... 30%
Virginia is eligible to receive $5 million in

federal funding each day to pay for health care
for working Virginians through the Medicaid
program. Do you think the Virginia state
government should accept this federal funding
to expand Medicaid coverage, or not?
Think it should................................................. 56%
Think it should not........................................... 30%
Not sure .......................................................... 14%
Q4
Do you think Delegate Poindexter should work

with other leaders on a budget compromise
that includes accepting about $2 billion in
federal funding for Medicaid expansion, or not?
Think he should .............................................. 52%
Q5
To the best of your knowledge, does anyone in

your household qualify for federal subsidies to
purchase health insurance on the Affordable
Care Act exchanges?
Yes.................................................................. 15%
Not sure .......................................................... 29%
Q3

your household qualify for Medicaid?
No ................................................................... 65%
Not sure .......................................................... 20%
Q8
If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

Woman ........................................................... 53%
Man................................................................. 47%
Q9
If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,

press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.
Democrat ........................................................ 27%
Republican...................................................... 39%
Independent/Other .......................................... 34%
Q10 If you are white, press 1. If African-American,

press 2. If other, press 3.
Think he should not ........................................ 33%
White .............................................................. 85%
Not sure .......................................................... 16%
African-American ............................................ 10%

your household lack health insurance
coverage?
Yes.................................................................. 22%
Other............................................................... 5%
Q11 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to

45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are
older than 65, press 4.
No ................................................................... 72%
18 to 29........................................................... 12%
Not sure .......................................................... 5%
30 to 45........................................................... 24%
46 to 65........................................................... 39%
Older than 65 .................................................. 25%
February 26-27, 2014

Survey of 791 HD 9 voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.

Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Base
Yes
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Not
No sure
McAuliffe Approval
Base
Yes
Not
No sure
Poindexter Approval
Approve 25%
24%
27%
13%
Approve 41%
31%
45%
35%
Disapprove 43%
33%
47%
36%
Disapprove 30%
33%
30%
11%
Not sure 32%
44%
27%
51%
Not sure 29%
36%
25%
53%
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Base
Yes
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Not
No sure
Should VA Accept
Medicaid Funding?
Think it should 56%
71%
52%
44%
Think it should not 30%
19%
34%
26%
Not sure 14%
10%
14%
31%
Base
Yes
No
Think he should 52%
65%
49%
37%
Think he should not 33%
19%
37%
29%
Not sure 16%
16%
14%
34%
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Not
sure
Base
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Yes 22%
No 72%
Not sure
5%
100%
100%
100%
survey of 791 HD 9 voters
Yes
Not
No sure
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Yes 23%
36%
18%
36%
No 68%
46%
78%
33%
19%
5%
32%
Not sure
Not
No sure
Should Poindexter
Com prom ise on
Medicaid Funding?
Any Uninsured in HH?

Base
Yes
9%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Base
Yes
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Not
No sure
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Not
No sure
McAuliffe Approval
Yes 15%
34%
10%
8%
No 65%
32%
78%
35%
Not sure 20%
35%
12%
56%
Approve 25%
26%
27%
13%
Disapprove 43%
35%
46%
35%
Not sure 32%
38%
27%
53%
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Yes
Not
No sure
Poindexter Approval
Approve 41%
34%
46%
20%
Disapprove 30%
30%
30%
23%
Not sure 29%
36%
23%
57%
Base
Base
Yes
Not
No sure
Think it should 56%
73%
51%
49%
15%
36%
27%
Not sure 14%
12%
13%
24%
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Not
No sure
Base
Yes
Not
No sure
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Should Poindexter
Com prom ise on
Medicaid Funding?
Think he should 52%
62%
49%
48%
19%
38%
21%
Not sure 16%
19%
13%
31%
Yes
Should VA Accept
Medicaid Funding?
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Yes
Yes 22%
35%
15%
46%
No 72%
57%
82%
36%
8%
3%
18%
Not sure
5%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Yes
No
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Not
sure
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Yes
Not
No sure
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Yes 23%
No 68%
Not sure
9%
100%
Yes 15%
25%
12%
18%
100%
No 65%
45%
77%
24%
100%
Not sure 20%
30%
11%
58%
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Yes
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Not
No sure
McAuliffe Approval
Base
Yes
Not
No sure
Poindexter Approval
Approve 25%
33%
26%
16%
Approve 41%
34%
47%
29%
Disapprove 43%
42%
47%
30%
Disapprove 30%
37%
31%
18%
Not sure 32%
25%
27%
54%
Not sure 29%
29%
22%
53%
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Yes
Not
No sure
Should VA Accept
Medicaid Funding?
Think it should 56%
75%
49%
62%
16%
38%
16%
Not sure 14%
9%
13%
23%

Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Yes
Not
No sure
Should Poindexter
Com prom ise on
Medicaid Funding?
Think he should 52%
64%
48%
55%
21%
40%
18%
Not sure 16%
14%
13%
28%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Not
No sure
Yes
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Base
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Yes 22%
49%
11%
40%
Yes 23%
37%
16%
35%
No 72%
48%
86%
45%
No 68%
52%
81%
37%
3%
3%
15%
11%
3%
28%
Not sure
5%
Not sure
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Yes
No
Base Wom an
Not
sure
100%
No 65%
100%
Not sure 20%
100%
Yes 15%
9%
Gender
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Base Wom an
Approve 25%
25%
26%
Disapprove 43%
38%
49%
Not sure 32%
37%
25%
Gender
Base Wom an
Man
Poindexter Approval
Approve 41%
37%
46%
Disapprove 30%
29%
31%
Not sure 29%
34%
23%
Man
McAuliffe Approval
Gender
Not
No sure
Yes
Man
Should VA Accept
Medicaid Funding?
Think it should 56%
61%
50%
25%
36%
Not sure 14%
14%
14%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Gender
Gender
Base Wom an
Base Wom an
Man
Man
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Should Poindexter
Com prom ise on
Medicaid Funding?
Think he should 52%
55%
47%
27%
39%
Not sure 16%
18%
14%
Yes 22%
25%
20%
No 72%
69%
75%
6%
5%
Not sure
5%
Gender
Base Wom an
Gender
Man
Base Wom an
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Man
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Yes 23%
25%
21%
Yes 15%
14%
16%
No 68%
65%
72%
No 65%
64%
66%
11%
8%
Not sure 20%
21%
18%
Not sure
9%
Party
Party
Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other

McAuliffe Approval

Poindexter Approval
Approve 25%
55%
11%
19%
Approve 41%
26%
53%
40%
Disapprove 43%
17%
56%
49%
Disapprove 30%
42%
21%
30%
Not sure 32%
28%
33%
32%
Not sure 29%
32%
26%
31%
Party
Party

Should VA Accept
Medicaid Funding?
Think it should 56%
89%
44%
43%
7%
39%
39%
Not sure 14%
5%
17%
18%

Should Poindexter
Com prom ise on
Medicaid Funding?
Think he should 52%
82%
39%
42%
9%
42%
40%
Not sure 16%
9%
18%
18%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Party
Party

Any Uninsured in
HH?

Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Yes 22%
27%
21%
20%
Yes 23%
30%
20%
21%
No 72%
67%
74%
75%
No 68%
64%
70%
69%
6%
5%
5%
6%
10%
11%
Not sure
5%
Not sure
9%
Party
Race
AfricanBase White Am erican Other
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
McAuliffe Approval
Yes 15%
22%
11%
15%
No 65%
60%
66%
67%
Approve 25%
25%
36%
19%
Not sure 20%
18%
23%
17%
Disapprove 43%
44%
28%
49%
Not sure 32%
31%
36%
31%
Race
Race

Poindexter Approval
Approve 41%
41%
47%
31%
Disapprove 30%
30%
23%
30%
Not sure 29%
28%
30%
39%


Should VA Accept
Medicaid Funding?
Think it should 56%
55%
71%
39%
30%
26%
40%
Not sure 14%
15%
3%
21%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Race
Race

Should Poindexter
Com prom ise on
Medicaid Funding?

Any Uninsured in
HH?
Think he should 52%
51%
67%
27%
33%
28%
39%
Not sure 16%
16%
5%
34%
Yes 22%
22%
28%
25%
No 72%
73%
69%
60%
5%
3%
15%
Not sure
5%
Race
Race

Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?

Any ACA Subsidy
Qualifiers in HH?
Yes 23%
21%
37%
23%
Yes 15%
14%
29%
14%
No 68%
71%
54%
54%
No 65%
67%
51%
61%
9%
8%
23%
Not sure 20%
19%
20%
25%
Not sure
9%
Age
Base
Age
18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than 65
McAuliffe Approval
Base
29
45
65 than 65
Poindexter Approval
Approve 25%
38%
16%
26%
28%
Approve 41%
40%
37%
41%
47%
Disapprove 43%
28%
52%
43%
41%
Disapprove 30%
26%
30%
32%
27%
Not sure 32%
34%
32%
31%
31%
Not sure 29%
33%
33%
27%
26%


Raleigh, NC 27604
Age
Age
Base
29
45
65 than 65
Should VA Accept
Medicaid Funding?
Think it should 56%
65%
53%
58%
50%
27%
29%
31%
32%
Not sure 14%
7%
18%
11%
18%
Base
Should Poindexter
Com prom ise on
Medicaid Funding?
Think he should 52%
58%
48%
54%
49%
30%
31%
32%
35%
Not sure 16%
12%
21%
14%
16%
Age
Base
Age
29
45
65 than 65
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Base
29
45
65 than 65
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Yes 22%
30%
42%
18%
8%
Yes 23%
33%
25%
17%
24%
No 72%
64%
57%
76%
84%
No 68%
55%
64%
73%
70%
6%
1%
6%
8%
12%
12%
9%
6%
Not sure
5%
Not sure
9%
Age
Base
29
45
65 than 65
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Yes 15%
30%
23%
13%
5%
No 65%
47%
54%
67%
82%
Not sure 20%
24%
23%
20%
13%

29
45
65 than 65

Raleigh, NC 27604

Q1
Q2

Q6
Approve .......................................................... 27%
Yes.................................................................. 26%
Disapprove...................................................... 42%
No ................................................................... 68%
Not sure .......................................................... 31%
Not sure .......................................................... 7%

Danny Marshall's job performance?
Q7
Approve .......................................................... 54%

Disapprove...................................................... 21%

Think it should................................................. 55%
Not sure .......................................................... 14%
Q4
Do you think Delegate Marshall should work

Think he should .............................................. 53%
Q5

Care Act exchanges?
Yes.................................................................. 16%
Not sure .......................................................... 25%
Q3

No ................................................................... 68%
Not sure .......................................................... 16%
Q8

Woman ........................................................... 53%
Man................................................................. 47%
Q9

Democrat ........................................................ 37%
Republican...................................................... 38%

White .............................................................. 65%
Not sure .......................................................... 15%

coverage?
Yes.................................................................. 23%
Other............................................................... 5%

No ................................................................... 70%
18 to 29........................................................... 12%
Not sure .......................................................... 7%
30 to 45........................................................... 21%
46 to 65........................................................... 39%
Older than 65 .................................................. 28%


Raleigh, NC 27604
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Base
Yes
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Not
No sure
McAuliffe Approval
Base
Yes
Not
No sure
Marshall Approval
Approve 27%
36%
25%
14%
Approve 54%
40%
61%
31%
Disapprove 42%
37%
44%
46%
Disapprove 21%
33%
17%
25%
Not sure 31%
27%
31%
40%
Not sure 25%
27%
22%
44%
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Base
Yes
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Not
No sure
Should VA Accept
Medicaid Funding?
Think it should 55%
74%
48%
63%
18%
38%
11%
Not sure 14%
8%
14%
26%
Base
Yes
No
Think he should 53%
71%
47%
58%
22%
37%
10%
Not sure 15%
7%
16%
33%
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Not
sure
Base
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Yes 23%
No 70%
Not sure
7%
100%
100%
100%
Yes
Not
No sure
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Yes 26%
43%
20%
23%
No 68%
47%
76%
48%
10%
3%
29%
Not sure
Not
No sure
Should Marshall
Com prom ise on
Medicaid Funding?

Base
Yes
7%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Base
Yes
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Not
No sure
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Not
No sure
McAuliffe Approval
Yes 16%
38%
10%
5%
No 68%
41%
81%
32%
Not sure 16%
22%
9%
63%
Approve 27%
33%
26%
12%
Disapprove 42%
41%
44%
33%
Not sure 31%
26%
30%
56%
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Yes
Not
No sure
Marshall Approval
Approve 54%
44%
60%
23%
Disapprove 21%
25%
20%
24%
Not sure 25%
31%
20%
52%
Base
Base
Yes
Not
No sure
Think it should 55%
72%
48%
64%
15%
39%
15%
Not sure 14%
14%
13%
21%
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Not
No sure
Base
Yes
Not
No sure
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Should Marshall
Com prom ise on
Medicaid Funding?
Think he should 53%
72%
46%
58%
13%
40%
11%
Not sure 15%
15%
14%
31%
Yes
Should VA Accept
Medicaid Funding?
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Yes
Yes 23%
39%
16%
34%
No 70%
55%
79%
35%
6%
5%
31%
Not sure
7%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Yes
No
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Not
sure
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Yes
Not
No sure
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Yes 26%
No 68%
Not sure
7%
100%
Yes 16%
41%
8%
6%
100%
No 68%
47%
79%
33%
100%
Not sure 16%
12%
13%
61%
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Yes
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Not
No sure
McAuliffe Approval
Base
Yes
Not
No sure
Marshall Approval
Approve 27%
40%
26%
17%
Approve 54%
44%
62%
29%
Disapprove 42%
42%
46%
25%
Disapprove 21%
30%
19%
20%
Not sure 31%
17%
28%
58%
Not sure 25%
26%
19%
51%
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Yes
Not
No sure
Should VA Accept
Medicaid Funding?
Think it should 55%
71%
50%
60%
22%
38%
13%
Not sure 14%
7%
12%
27%

Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Yes
Not
No sure
Should Marshall
Com prom ise on
Medicaid Funding?
Think he should 53%
73%
50%
47%
20%
37%
19%
Not sure 15%
7%
13%
34%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Not
No sure
Yes
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Base
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Yes 23%
53%
14%
32%
Yes 26%
64%
18%
20%
No 70%
44%
83%
40%
No 68%
33%
79%
54%
2%
3%
28%
3%
3%
26%
Not sure
7%
Not sure
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Yes
No
Base Wom an
Not
sure
100%
No 68%
100%
Not sure 16%
100%
Yes 16%
7%
Gender
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Base Wom an
Approve 27%
30%
23%
Disapprove 42%
32%
55%
Not sure 31%
38%
22%
Gender
Base Wom an
Man
Marshall Approval
Approve 54%
50%
58%
Disapprove 21%
18%
25%
Not sure 25%
32%
17%
Man
McAuliffe Approval
Gender
Not
No sure
Yes
Man
Should VA Accept
Medicaid Funding?
Think it should 55%
62%
47%
25%
38%
Not sure 14%
13%
15%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Gender
Gender
Base Wom an
Base Wom an
Man
Man
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Should Marshall
Com prom ise on
Medicaid Funding?
Think he should 53%
55%
50%
26%
38%
Not sure 15%
19%
11%
Yes 23%
22%
24%
No 70%
69%
70%
9%
5%
Not sure
7%
Gender
Base Wom an
Gender
Man
Base Wom an
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Man
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Yes 26%
27%
24%
Yes 16%
18%
14%
No 68%
65%
70%
No 68%
62%
75%
7%
6%
Not sure 16%
21%
11%
Not sure
7%
Party
Party

McAuliffe Approval

Marshall Approval
Approve 27%
50%
11%
16%
Approve 54%
29%
79%
52%
Disapprove 42%
20%
60%
50%
Disapprove 21%
31%
11%
22%
Not sure 31%
30%
29%
35%
Not sure 25%
40%
10%
26%
Party
Party

Should VA Accept
Medicaid Funding?
Think it should 55%
84%
42%
32%
6%
41%
53%
Not sure 14%
9%
17%
14%

Should Marshall
Com prom ise on
Medicaid Funding?
78%
37%
41%
6%
47%
45%
Not sure 15%
16%
16%
14%
Think he should 53%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Party
Party

Any Uninsured in
HH?

Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Yes 23%
31%
16%
21%
Yes 26%
42%
17%
15%
No 70%
57%
80%
73%
No 68%
49%
78%
79%
11%
4%
5%
9%
5%
7%
Not sure
7%
Not sure
7%
Party
Race
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
McAuliffe Approval
Yes 16%
26%
9%
13%
No 68%
52%
80%
73%
Approve 27%
19%
42%
39%
Not sure 16%
22%
12%
14%
Disapprove 42%
51%
26%
34%
Not sure 31%
30%
33%
28%
Race
Race

Marshall Approval
Approve 54%
65%
30%
52%
Disapprove 21%
19%
26%
26%
Not sure 25%
16%
44%
22%


Should VA Accept
Medicaid Funding?
Think it should 55%
45%
80%
44%
41%
9%
35%
Not sure 14%
14%
11%
21%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Race
Race

Should Marshall
Com prom ise on
Medicaid Funding?

Any Uninsured in
HH?
Think he should 53%
43%
75%
49%
41%
10%
34%
Not sure 15%
16%
15%
17%
Yes 23%
19%
34%
13%
No 70%
76%
56%
75%
6%
10%
11%
Not sure
7%
Race
Race

Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?

Any ACA Subsidy
Qualifiers in HH?
Yes 26%
17%
46%
18%
Yes 16%
10%
28%
25%
No 68%
78%
46%
68%
No 68%
77%
51%
54%
5%
8%
15%
Not sure 16%
13%
21%
21%
Not sure
7%
Age
Base
Age
29
45
65 than 65
McAuliffe Approval
Base
29
45
65 than 65
Marshall Approval
Approve 27%
30%
16%
31%
27%
Approve 54%
29%
50%
52%
69%
Disapprove 42%
26%
52%
42%
43%
Disapprove 21%
31%
22%
22%
15%
Not sure 31%
44%
32%
27%
30%
Not sure 25%
40%
28%
25%
16%


Raleigh, NC 27604
Age
Age
Base
29
45
65 than 65
Should VA Accept
Medicaid Funding?
Think it should 55%
73%
50%
62%
42%
8%
46%
27%
36%
Not sure 14%
19%
4%
11%
22%
Base
Should Marshall
Com prom ise on
Medicaid Funding?
Think he should 53%
66%
51%
56%
45%
12%
37%
32%
35%
Not sure 15%
22%
12%
12%
20%
Age
Base
Age
29
45
65 than 65
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Base
29
45
65 than 65
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Yes 23%
41%
30%
23%
10%
Yes 26%
32%
32%
24%
21%
No 70%
37%
66%
73%
83%
No 68%
49%
68%
70%
72%
22%
4%
5%
7%
19%
7%
7%
Not sure
7%
Not sure
7%
Age
Base
29
45
65 than 65
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Yes 16%
15%
24%
17%
10%
No 68%
64%
62%
65%
78%
Not sure 16%
21%
14%
18%
12%

29
45
65 than 65

Raleigh, NC 27604

Q1
Q2

Q6
Approve .......................................................... 37%
Yes.................................................................. 15%
Disapprove...................................................... 39%
No ................................................................... 78%
Not sure .......................................................... 24%
Not sure .......................................................... 7%

Scott Lingamfelter's job performance?
Q7
Approve .......................................................... 46%

Disapprove...................................................... 23%

Think it should................................................. 56%
Not sure .......................................................... 9%
Q4
Q5
Do you think Delegate Lingamfelter should

work with other leaders on a budget
compromise that includes accepting about $2
billion in federal funding for Medicaid
expansion, or not?

Care Act exchanges?
Yes.................................................................. 12%
Not sure .......................................................... 31%
Q3

No ................................................................... 76%
Not sure .......................................................... 12%
Q8

Woman ........................................................... 53%
Man................................................................. 47%
Q9

Democrat ........................................................ 35%
Republican...................................................... 33%

Think he should .............................................. 53%
White .............................................................. 65%
Not sure .......................................................... 12%
Other............................................................... 14%

coverage?

Yes.................................................................. 13%
18 to 29........................................................... 9%
No ................................................................... 83%
30 to 45........................................................... 24%
Not sure .......................................................... 4%
46 to 65........................................................... 46%
Older than 65 .................................................. 21%


Raleigh, NC 27604
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Base
Yes
Not
No sure
40%
38%
20%
Disapprove 39%
31%
41%
29%
Not sure 24%
29%
21%
52%
Yes
33%
48%
25%
Disapprove 23%
27%
23%
13%
Not sure 31%
40%
28%
61%
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Not
No sure
Should VA Accept
Medicaid Funding?
Think it should 56%
68%
55%
42%
23%
37%
41%
10%
8%
17%
Not sure
9%
Base
Yes
No
62%
53%
31%
20%
37%
54%
Not sure 12%
18%
10%
16%
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Not
sure
Any Uninsured in
HH?
No 83%
Not sure
4%
100%
100%
100%
Yes
Not
No sure
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Yes 15%
29%
13%
17%
No 78%
50%
84%
43%
22%
3%
40%
Not sure
Not
No sure
Think he should 53%
Base
Yes 13%
Yes
Should Lingam felter

Com prom ise on
Medicaid Funding?

Base
Not
No sure
Approve 46%
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Base
Yes
Lingam felter
Approval
McAuliffe Approval
Approve 37%
Base
7%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Base
Yes
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Not
No sure
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Not
No sure
McAuliffe Approval
Yes 12%
31%
8%
22%
No 76%
35%
85%
25%
Not sure 12%
34%
6%
53%
Approve 37%
42%
37%
35%
Disapprove 39%
35%
41%
25%
Not sure 24%
23%
22%
40%
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Yes
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Not
No sure
Lingam felter
Approval
Base
48%
47%
25%
Disapprove 23%
27%
24%
5%
Not sure 31%
25%
29%
71%
Not
No sure
Think it should 56%
64%
54%
65%
27%
38%
21%
8%
8%
14%
Not sure
9%
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Yes
Not
No sure
Base
Yes
Not
No sure
Any Uninsured in
HH?

Com prom ise on
Medicaid Funding?
Think he should 53%
61%
51%
66%
26%
38%
19%
Not sure 12%
13%
11%
14%
Yes
Should VA Accept
Medicaid Funding?
Approve 46%
Yes
Yes 13%
24%
8%
42%
No 83%
71%
89%
31%
5%
2%
27%
Not sure
4%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Yes
No
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Not
sure
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Not
No sure
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Yes 15%
No 78%
Not sure
7%
100%
Yes 12%
34%
8%
10%
100%
No 76%
54%
86%
18%
100%
Not sure 12%
12%
7%
72%
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Yes
Not
No sure
McAuliffe Approval
Approve 37%
55%
36%
31%
Disapprove 39%
18%
45%
23%
Not sure 24%
27%
20%
46%
Base
Base
Yes
Think it should 56%
81%
52%
61%
14%
40%
27%
5%
9%
12%
Not sure
9%
Not
No sure
Approve 46%
34%
50%
30%
Disapprove 23%
34%
24%
4%
Not sure 31%
31%
26%
66%
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Not
No sure
Should VA Accept
Medicaid Funding?
Yes
Lingam felter
Approval
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Yes
Base
Yes
Not
No sure

Com prom ise on
Medicaid Funding?
Think he should 53%
78%
50%
51%
16%
40%
22%
Not sure 12%
6%
10%
27%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Not
No sure
Yes
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Base
Not
No sure
Yes
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Yes 13%
34%
6%
36%
Yes 15%
44%
11%
16%
No 83%
57%
93%
44%
No 78%
51%
88%
44%
9%
1%
20%
6%
2%
41%
Not sure
4%
Not sure
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Yes
No
Gender
Base Wom an
Not
sure
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
100%
No 76%
100%
Not sure 12%
100%
Yes 12%
7%
McAuliffe Approval
Approve 37%
38%
37%
Disapprove 39%
35%
43%
Not sure 24%
26%
21%
Gender
Base Wom an
Man
Gender
Man
Lingam felter
Approval
Base Wom an
Man
Should VA Accept
Medicaid Funding?
Approve 46%
45%
46%
Think it should 56%
59%
53%
Disapprove 23%
18%
29%
31%
40%
Not sure 31%
37%
24%
11%
6%

Not sure
9%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Gender
Gender
Base Wom an
Base Wom an
Man
Think he should 53%
55%
52%
30%
41%
Not sure 12%
15%
7%
Yes 13%
13%
12%
No 83%
83%
82%
3%
6%
Not sure
4%
Gender
Base Wom an
Gender
Man
Base Wom an
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Yes 15%
15%
16%
Yes 12%
13%
11%
No 78%
79%
76%
No 76%
74%
79%
6%
8%
Not sure 12%
13%
10%
7%
Party
Party

McAuliffe Approval
Approve 37%
69%
11%
31%
Disapprove 39%
8%
71%
38%
Not sure 24%
23%
18%
30%

Lingam felter
Approval
Approve 46%
28%
69%
40%
Disapprove 23%
29%
16%
24%
Not sure 31%
42%
15%
36%
Party
Should VA Accept
Medicaid Funding?
Think it should 56%
86%
26%
54%
7%
61%
38%
6%
12%
8%
9%

Man
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Not sure
Not sure
Man
Any Uninsured in
HH?

Com prom ise on
Medicaid Funding?

Raleigh, NC 27604
Party
Party

Any Uninsured in
HH?

Com prom ise on
Medicaid Funding?
Think he should 53%
81%
24%
54%
10%
62%
35%
Not sure 12%
9%
14%
11%
Yes 13%
12%
11%
16%
No 83%
83%
86%
79%
5%
3%
5%
Not sure
4%
Party
Party

Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?

Any ACA Subsidy
Qualifiers in HH?
Yes 15%
23%
14%
9%
Yes 12%
17%
8%
10%
No 78%
70%
81%
83%
No 76%
70%
85%
75%
8%
4%
8%
Not sure 12%
13%
8%
15%
Not sure
7%
Race
Race

McAuliffe Approval
Approve 37%
34%
47%
36%
Disapprove 39%
43%
31%
32%
Not sure 24%
23%
22%
31%


Lingam felter
Approval
Approve 46%
48%
43%
40%
Disapprove 23%
23%
26%
20%
Not sure 31%
29%
31%
40%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Race
Race

Should VA Accept
Medicaid Funding?
Think it should 56%
52%
67%
61%
37%
31%
31%
11%
2%
8%
Not sure
9%

Com prom ise on
Medicaid Funding?
Think he should 53%
51%
62%
51%
36%
35%
31%
Not sure 12%
13%
3%
18%
Race
Race

Any Uninsured in
HH?

Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Yes 13%
10%
17%
19%
Yes 15%
12%
23%
18%
No 83%
88%
73%
74%
No 78%
84%
67%
68%
2%
10%
7%
4%
10%
15%
Not sure
4%
Not sure
7%
Age
Race
Any ACA Subsidy
Qualifiers in HH?
29
45
65 than 65
McAuliffe Approval
Yes 12%
9%
17%
19%
No 76%
81%
71%
62%
Not sure 12%
10%
12%
19%

Base
Approve 37%
25%
41%
39%
34%
Disapprove 39%
54%
38%
37%
38%
Not sure 24%
21%
21%
24%
28%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Age
Base
Age
29
45
65 than 65
Lingam felter
Approval
Base
29
45
65 than 65
Should VA Accept
Medicaid Funding?
Approve 46%
51%
40%
48%
44%
Think it should 56%
51%
49%
60%
58%
Disapprove 23%
8%
24%
24%
27%
44%
41%
33%
30%
Not sure 31%
41%
35%
28%
29%
5%
9%
8%
12%
Not sure
9%
Age
Base
Age
29
45
65 than 65

Com prom ise on
Medicaid Funding?
Base
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Think he should 53%
46%
51%
55%
56%
49%
42%
33%
27%
Not sure 12%
5%
7%
12%
18%
Yes 13%
20%
6%
16%
11%
No 83%
72%
89%
80%
85%
7%
5%
4%
4%
Not sure
4%
Age
Base
Age
29
45
65 than 65
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Base
29
45
65 than 65
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Yes 15%
12%
9%
16%
23%
Yes 12%
17%
13%
12%
6%
No 78%
62%
85%
80%
72%
No 76%
62%
80%
75%
81%
25%
6%
4%
5%
Not sure 12%
20%
7%
12%
13%
Not sure

29
45
65 than 65
7%

Raleigh, NC 27604

Q1
Q2

Q6
Approve .......................................................... 54%
Yes.................................................................. 29%
Disapprove...................................................... 20%
No ................................................................... 64%
Not sure .......................................................... 27%
Not sure .......................................................... 7%

Johnny Joannou's job performance?
Q7
Approve .......................................................... 43%

Disapprove...................................................... 22%

Think it should................................................. 71%
Not sure .......................................................... 9%
Q4
Do you think Delegate Joannou should work

Think he should .............................................. 64%
Q5

Care Act exchanges?
Yes.................................................................. 12%
Not sure .......................................................... 35%
Q3

No ................................................................... 69%
Not sure .......................................................... 19%
Q8

Woman ........................................................... 53%
Man................................................................. 47%
Q9

Democrat ........................................................ 53%
Republican...................................................... 20%

White .............................................................. 61%
Not sure .......................................................... 14%

coverage?
Yes.................................................................. 20%
Other............................................................... 9%

No ................................................................... 71%
18 to 29........................................................... 13%
Not sure .......................................................... 9%
30 to 45........................................................... 25%
46 to 65........................................................... 38%
Older than 65 .................................................. 24%


Raleigh, NC 27604
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Base
Yes
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Not
No sure
McAuliffe Approval
Base
Yes
Not
No sure
Joannou Approval
Approve 54%
43%
60%
31%
Approve 43%
42%
43%
50%
Disapprove 20%
17%
22%
3%
Disapprove 22%
21%
24%
7%
Not sure 27%
40%
18%
65%
Not sure 35%
37%
33%
43%
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Base
Yes
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Not
No sure
Should VA Accept
Medicaid Funding?
Think it should 71%
84%
69%
56%
13%
23%
13%
2%
8%
31%
Not sure
9%
Base
Yes
No
Think he should 64%
70%
64%
47%
15%
24%
23%
Not sure 14%
15%
12%
30%
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Not
sure
Base
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Yes 20%
No 71%
Not sure
9%
100%
100%
100%
Yes
Not
No sure
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Yes 29%
50%
19%
51%
No 64%
42%
76%
20%
8%
4%
29%
Not sure
Not
No sure
Should Joannou
Com prom ise on
Medicaid Funding?

Base
Yes
7%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Base
Yes
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Not
No sure
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Not
No sure
McAuliffe Approval
Yes 12%
30%
7%
16%
No 69%
46%
82%
24%
Not sure 19%
24%
12%
60%
Approve 54%
57%
54%
41%
Disapprove 20%
7%
26%
6%
Not sure 27%
36%
20%
54%
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Yes
Not
No sure
Joannou Approval
Approve 43%
62%
36%
35%
Disapprove 22%
7%
30%
3%
Not sure 35%
32%
34%
63%
Base
Yes
83%
66%
71%
6%
28%
4%
11%
6%
25%
9%
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Not
No sure
Base
Yes
Not
No sure
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Should Joannou
Com prom ise on
Medicaid Funding?
Think he should 64%
75%
60%
52%
11%
28%
6%
Not sure 14%
14%
12%
42%
Not
No sure
Think it should 71%
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Yes
Should VA Accept
Medicaid Funding?
Not sure
Yes
Yes 20%
36%
13%
23%
No 71%
48%
84%
41%
16%
3%
36%
Not sure
9%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Yes
No
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Not
sure
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Yes
Not
No sure
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Yes 29%
No 64%
Not sure
7%
100%
Yes 12%
28%
4%
23%
100%
No 69%
46%
86%
13%
100%
Not sure 19%
26%
10%
64%
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Yes
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Not
No sure
McAuliffe Approval
Base
Yes
Not
No sure
Joannou Approval
Approve 54%
64%
55%
44%
Approve 43%
37%
44%
47%
Disapprove 20%
3%
24%
15%
Disapprove 22%
4%
27%
15%
Not sure 27%
34%
22%
41%
Not sure 35%
59%
30%
38%
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Yes
Not
No sure
Should VA Accept
Medicaid Funding?
Think it should 71%
91%
68%
70%
3%
25%
11%
6%
7%
19%
Not sure

9%
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Yes
Not
No sure
Should Joannou
Com prom ise on
Medicaid Funding?
81%
65%
46%
5%
27%
16%
Not sure 14%
14%
8%
38%
Think he should 64%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Not
No sure
Yes
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Base
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Yes 20%
49%
14%
27%
Yes 29%
65%
19%
40%
No 71%
39%
83%
44%
No 64%
22%
80%
35%
12%
3%
29%
13%
1%
24%
Not sure
9%
Not sure
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Yes
No
Base Wom an
Not
sure
100%
No 69%
100%
Not sure 19%
100%
Yes 12%
7%
Gender
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Base Wom an
Approve 54%
54%
54%
Disapprove 20%
20%
19%
Not sure 27%
26%
27%
Gender
Base Wom an
Man
Joannou Approval
Approve 43%
42%
45%
Disapprove 22%
21%
22%
Not sure 35%
37%
33%
Man
Should VA Accept
Medicaid Funding?
Think it should 71%
74%
68%
15%
25%
11%
7%
Not sure
Man
McAuliffe Approval
Gender
Not
No sure
Yes
9%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Gender
Gender
Base Wom an
Base Wom an
Man
Man
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Should Joannou
Com prom ise on
Medicaid Funding?
Think he should 64%
66%
61%
20%
24%
Not sure 14%
14%
15%
Yes 20%
21%
19%
No 71%
68%
74%
11%
7%
Not sure
9%
Gender
Base Wom an
Gender
Man
Base Wom an
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Man
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Yes 29%
23%
35%
Yes 12%
12%
13%
No 64%
67%
61%
No 69%
70%
68%
10%
3%
Not sure 19%
18%
19%
Not sure
7%
Party
Party

McAuliffe Approval

Joannou Approval
Approve 54%
67%
30%
45%
Approve 43%
51%
41%
30%
Disapprove 20%
8%
48%
20%
Disapprove 22%
15%
29%
29%
Not sure 27%
25%
21%
35%
Not sure 35%
34%
30%
41%
Party
Party

Should VA Accept
Medicaid Funding?
Think it should 71%
87%
39%
63%
6%
52%
23%
6%
10%
13%
Not sure
9%

Should Joannou
Com prom ise on
Medicaid Funding?
78%
35%
56%
8%
49%
28%
Not sure 14%
13%
16%
15%
Think he should 64%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Party
Party

Any Uninsured in
HH?

Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Yes 20%
23%
16%
19%
Yes 29%
39%
15%
18%
No 71%
69%
75%
70%
No 64%
54%
82%
71%
8%
9%
11%
7%
3%
11%
Not sure
9%
Not sure
7%
Party
Race
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
McAuliffe Approval
Yes 12%
16%
11%
6%
No 69%
66%
80%
67%
Approve 54%
56%
55%
37%
Not sure 19%
17%
10%
27%
Disapprove 20%
22%
10%
31%
Not sure 27%
22%
35%
33%
Race
Race

Joannou Approval
Approve 43%
45%
43%
32%
Disapprove 22%
24%
13%
34%
Not sure 35%
30%
44%
34%

Should VA Accept
Medicaid Funding?
Think it should 71%
68%
82%
58%
23%
9%
34%
9%
10%
8%
Not sure

9%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Race
Race

Should Joannou
Com prom ise on
Medicaid Funding?

Any Uninsured in
HH?
Think he should 64%
63%
70%
50%
24%
13%
39%
Not sure 14%
14%
17%
11%
Yes 20%
19%
22%
27%
No 71%
75%
65%
61%
7%
13%
11%
Not sure
9%
Race
Race

Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?

Any ACA Subsidy
Qualifiers in HH?
Yes 29%
23%
44%
20%
Yes 12%
10%
17%
10%
No 64%
71%
49%
72%
No 69%
73%
62%
65%
7%
8%
8%
Not sure 19%
17%
21%
25%
Not sure
7%
Age
Base
Age
29
45
65 than 65
McAuliffe Approval
Base
29
45
65 than 65
Joannou Approval
Approve 54%
47%
48%
58%
56%
Approve 43%
51%
27%
46%
51%
Disapprove 20%
26%
20%
20%
16%
Disapprove 22%
31%
27%
18%
17%
Not sure 27%
27%
32%
22%
28%
Not sure 35%
17%
45%
37%
32%


Raleigh, NC 27604
Age
Age
Base
29
45
65 than 65
Should VA Accept
Medicaid Funding?
Think it should 71%
73%
65%
76%
69%
27%
27%
16%
15%
8%
8%
16%
Not sure
9%
Base
Should Joannou
Com prom ise on
Medicaid Funding?
Think he should 64%
50%
65%
66%
67%
34%
26%
18%
18%
Not sure 14%
16%
10%
16%
15%
Age
Base
Age
29
45
65 than 65
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Base
29
45
65 than 65
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Yes 20%
48%
23%
14%
13%
Yes 29%
33%
35%
22%
31%
No 71%
46%
65%
78%
78%
No 64%
63%
60%
71%
59%
6%
11%
9%
8%
4%
6%
7%
10%
Not sure
9%
Not sure
7%
Age
Base
29
45
65 than 65
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Yes 12%
7%
13%
14%
11%
No 69%
73%
66%
68%
73%
Not sure 19%
19%
21%
18%
16%

29
45
65 than 65

Raleigh, NC 27604

Q1
Q2

Q6
Approve .......................................................... 28%
Yes.................................................................. 17%
Disapprove...................................................... 49%
No ................................................................... 79%
Not sure .......................................................... 23%
Not sure .......................................................... 4%

Chris Peace's job performance?
Q7
Approve .......................................................... 50%

Disapprove...................................................... 23%

Think it should................................................. 51%
Not sure .......................................................... 10%
Q4
Do you think Delegate Peace should work with

other leaders on a budget compromise that
includes accepting about $2 billion in federal
funding for Medicaid expansion, or not?
Think he should .............................................. 47%
Q5

Care Act exchanges?
Yes.................................................................. 12%
Not sure .......................................................... 27%
Q3

No ................................................................... 79%
Not sure .......................................................... 9%
Q8

Woman ........................................................... 53%
Man................................................................. 47%
Q9

Democrat ........................................................ 21%
Republican...................................................... 46%

White .............................................................. 83%
Not sure .......................................................... 13%

coverage?
Yes.................................................................. 14%
Other............................................................... 6%

No ................................................................... 83%
18 to 29........................................................... 6%
Not sure .......................................................... 2%
30 to 45........................................................... 26%
46 to 65........................................................... 46%
Older than 65 .................................................. 22%


Raleigh, NC 27604
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Base
Yes
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Not
No sure
McAuliffe Approval
Base
Yes
Not
No sure
Peace Approval
Approve 28%
28%
29%
5%
Approve 50%
42%
51%
64%
Disapprove 49%
57%
48%
55%
Disapprove 23%
28%
23%
9%
Not sure 23%
15%
23%
40%
Not sure 27%
30%
26%
27%
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Base
Yes
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Not
No sure
Should VA Accept
Medicaid Funding?
Think it should 51%
63%
49%
41%
25%
42%
34%
Not sure 10%
11%
10%
25%
Base
Yes
No
Think he should 47%
57%
46%
41%
31%
42%
16%
Not sure 13%
12%
12%
42%
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Not
sure
Base
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Yes 14%
No 83%
Not sure
2%
100%
100%
100%
Yes
Not
No sure
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Yes 17%
31%
14%
22%
No 79%
63%
83%
49%
5%
3%
29%
Not sure
Not
No sure
Should Peace
Com prom ise on
Medicaid Funding?

Base
Yes
4%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Base
Yes
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Not
No sure
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Not
No sure
McAuliffe Approval
Yes 12%
30%
8%
11%
No 79%
49%
85%
55%
21%
6%
34%
Not sure
9%
Approve 28%
25%
29%
21%
Disapprove 49%
49%
50%
43%
Not sure 23%
25%
21%
36%
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Yes
Not
No sure
Peace Approval
Approve 50%
50%
51%
35%
Disapprove 23%
21%
24%
18%
Not sure 27%
29%
25%
46%
Base
Base
Yes
Not
No sure
Think it should 51%
48%
52%
40%
45%
39%
27%
Not sure 10%
7%
10%
33%
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Not
No sure
Base
Yes
Not
No sure
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Should Peace
Com prom ise on
Medicaid Funding?
Think he should 47%
48%
48%
31%
46%
40%
14%
Not sure 13%
6%
12%
55%
Yes
Should VA Accept
Medicaid Funding?
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Yes
Yes 14%
27%
12%
20%
No 83%
70%
87%
62%
3%
1%
18%
Not sure
2%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Yes
No
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Not
sure
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Yes
Not
No sure
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Yes 17%
No 79%
Not sure
4%
100%
Yes 12%
32%
7%
21%
100%
No 79%
56%
87%
33%
100%
13%
6%
46%
Not sure
9%
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Yes
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Not
No sure
McAuliffe Approval
Base
Yes
Not
No sure
Peace Approval
Approve 28%
48%
27%
13%
Approve 50%
36%
54%
34%
Disapprove 49%
31%
53%
45%
Disapprove 23%
22%
25%
13%
Not sure 23%
21%
21%
42%
Not sure 27%
42%
21%
53%
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Yes
Not
No sure
Should VA Accept
Medicaid Funding?
Think it should 51%
70%
48%
49%
23%
42%
34%
Not sure 10%
7%
10%
17%

Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Yes
Not
No sure
Should Peace
Com prom ise on
Medicaid Funding?
Think he should 47%
69%
44%
50%
26%
43%
29%
Not sure 13%
6%
13%
21%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Not
No sure
Yes
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Base
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Yes 14%
37%
9%
34%
Yes 17%
46%
12%
23%
No 83%
61%
89%
58%
No 79%
47%
87%
57%
2%
2%
9%
7%
2%
19%
Not sure
2%
Not sure
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Base
Yes
No
Yes 12%
No 79%
Not sure
9%
4%
Gender
Base Wom an
Not
sure
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
100%
100%
100%
Base Wom an
Approve 28%
32%
24%
Disapprove 49%
45%
54%
Not sure 23%
23%
22%
Gender
Base Wom an
Man
Peace Approval
Approve 50%
49%
51%
Disapprove 23%
20%
28%
Not sure 27%
32%
21%
Man
McAuliffe Approval
Gender
Not
No sure
Yes
Man
Should VA Accept
Medicaid Funding?
Think it should 51%
55%
46%
33%
46%
Not sure 10%
12%
8%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Gender
Gender
Base Wom an
Base Wom an
Man
Man
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Should Peace
Com prom ise on
Medicaid Funding?
Think he should 47%
50%
44%
34%
46%
Not sure 13%
16%
10%
Yes 14%
16%
13%
No 83%
82%
84%
2%
3%
Not sure
2%
Gender
Base Wom an
Gender
Man
Base Wom an
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Man
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Yes 17%
18%
15%
Yes 12%
11%
12%
No 79%
77%
82%
No 79%
79%
80%
4%
3%
10%
8%
Not sure
4%
Not sure
Party
9%
Party

McAuliffe Approval

Peace Approval
Approve 28%
76%
7%
26%
Approve 50%
26%
61%
49%
Disapprove 49%
11%
69%
47%
Disapprove 23%
34%
17%
26%
Not sure 23%
13%
24%
27%
Not sure 27%
40%
22%
25%
Party
Party

Should VA Accept
Medicaid Funding?
Think it should 51%
90%
37%
46%
7%
49%
45%
Not sure 10%
4%
14%
9%

Should Peace
Com prom ise on
Medicaid Funding?
Think he should 47%
85%
35%
41%
9%
47%
49%
Not sure 13%
6%
18%
10%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Party
Party

Any Uninsured in
HH?

Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Yes 14%
13%
15%
14%
Yes 17%
21%
17%
14%
No 83%
84%
81%
86%
No 79%
75%
79%
82%
3%
3%
1%
4%
4%
4%
Not sure
2%
Not sure
4%
Party
Race
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
McAuliffe Approval
Yes 12%
24%
6%
11%
No 79%
69%
84%
80%
Approve 28%
24%
59%
25%
7%
10%
9%
Disapprove 49%
52%
26%
58%
Not sure 23%
24%
15%
17%
Not sure
9%
Race
Race

Peace Approval
Approve 50%
53%
28%
50%
Disapprove 23%
22%
34%
22%
Not sure 27%
25%
38%
28%


Should VA Accept
Medicaid Funding?
Think it should 51%
48%
68%
58%
41%
29%
34%
Not sure 10%
11%
3%
8%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Race
Race

Should Peace
Com prom ise on
Medicaid Funding?

Any Uninsured in
HH?
Think he should 47%
46%
62%
40%
41%
31%
43%
Not sure 13%
13%
7%
18%
Yes 14%
12%
25%
23%
No 83%
86%
69%
76%
2%
5%
1%
Not sure
2%
Race
Race

Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?

Any ACA Subsidy
Qualifiers in HH?
Yes 17%
15%
35%
13%
Yes 12%
10%
21%
16%
No 79%
82%
60%
82%
No 79%
80%
72%
79%
3%
5%
6%
9%
8%
5%
Not sure
4%
Not sure
9%
Age
Base
Age
29
45
65 than 65
McAuliffe Approval
Base
29
45
65 than 65
Peace Approval
Approve 28%
30%
31%
29%
22%
Approve 50%
46%
43%
51%
57%
Disapprove 49%
52%
45%
50%
52%
Disapprove 23%
37%
31%
21%
17%
Not sure 23%
18%
23%
21%
27%
Not sure 27%
17%
26%
29%
26%


Raleigh, NC 27604
Age
Age
Base
29
45
65 than 65
Should VA Accept
Medicaid Funding?
Think it should 51%
72%
50%
52%
42%
28%
44%
38%
39%
6%
10%
19%
Not sure 10%
Base
Should Peace
Com prom ise on
Medicaid Funding?
Think he should 47%
57%
46%
49%
42%
37%
42%
39%
40%
Not sure 13%
6%
12%
12%
18%
Age
Base
Age
29
45
65 than 65
Any Uninsured in
HH?
Base
29
45
65 than 65
Any Medicaid
Qualifiers in HH?
Yes 14%
21%
18%
15%
8%
Yes 17%
10%
18%
16%
18%
No 83%
79%
79%
84%
87%
No 79%
90%
79%
80%
76%
3%
1%
6%
3%
4%
6%
Not sure
2%
Not sure
4%
Age
Base
29
45
65 than 65
Any ACA Subsidy

Qualifiers in HH?
Yes 12%
10%
12%
14%
6%
No 79%
90%
77%
76%
86%
11%
10%
7%
Not sure

29
45
65 than 65
9%

Raleigh, NC 27604

Progressive Caucus Medicaid Press Conference Materials

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VIRGINIA

VOTING AGAINST VIRGINIA

Estimated Job Creation

Estimated Reallocation of Medicaid Savings to Secondary

Republicans are voting against millions of

VOTING AGAINST VIRGINIA

Federal Revenue Medicaid Expansion Revenue Projections:

$1.825 Billion Per Year

$5 Million Per Day

$285.03 Million FY15-16 General Fund Savings

Assuming Coverage Effective 10/1/14

FY15 - $112.99 Million

FY16 - $172.04 Million

Source: Latest DMAS Analysis

DMAS Medicaid At A Glance By Delegate Seat

Total Overall Medicaid Population

Total Population of Children, Elderly, Blind, Disabled, Pregnant Mothers

Total Current Medicaid Spending

VOTING AGAINST VIRGINIA

New Medicaid Spending Projections:

Analyzed Current Virginia Medicaid Enrollment of Children

Children are rough proxy for parents without insurance

Is also rough proxy for low-income uninsured childless adults

Why Not Other Numbers?

Elderly, Pregnant Mother, Blind, Disabled Populations are not representative

Elderly spending is disproportionate to current uninsured population

Took projected General Fund Savings

Allocated spending to Delegates by jurisdictions represented

VOTING AGAINST VIRGINIA

Average of $23.6 Million in New Medicaid Spending Per Delegate in

#1 - $29.9 Million (HD14 Marshall)

#20 - $19.7 Million (HD26 Wilt)

Average of 389 New Jobs In Top 20 Republican Seats

#1 492 (HD14 - Marshall)

#20 324 (HD26 Wilt)

Examples of Lost Education Direct Aid Medicaid Expansion Savings

$27.6 Million for Fairfax County

$21.1 Million for Prince William County

$15.4 Million for Virginia Beach

$1.87 Million for Danville

$1.72 Million for Franklin County

VOTING AGAINST VIRGINIA

VOTING AGAINST VIRGINIA

VOTING AGAINST VIRGINIA

Poll by Public Policy Polling

VOTING AGAINST VIRGINIA

VOTING AGAINST VIRGINIA

Most Residents of Medicaid Opponents Seats Support Expansion

Majorities of Virginians Support Medicaid Expansion in Republican Seats

$1.19 Billion in New Spending in Republican Delegate Seats

17,880 Jobs in Republican Delegate Seats

Millions in New Education Spending in Republican Delegate Seats

House Republicans Balance the Budget on the Backs of Law Enforcement,

Expansion Would Free Up Millions for Schools in Republican Delegate Districts

VOTING AGAINST VIRGINIA

Contact State Senators and Delegates

Attend Rally On Saturday at Capitol Square

$3,930,456,473 244,813 $1,116,957,228

TotalProjected Rankby% Rankby# Rankby$$

Virginia House District 9 Survey Results

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor

Approve .......................................................... 25%

Not sure .......................................................... 32%

Not sure .......................................................... 9%