Welcome to Scribd, the world's digital library. Read, publish, and share books and documents. See more ➡
Download
Standard view
Full view
of .
Add note
Save to My Library
Sync to mobile
Look up keyword or section
Like this
6Activity
×

Table Of Contents

0 of .
Results for:
No results containing your search query
P. 1
Alternate Futures for 2025 (1996)

Alternate Futures for 2025 (1996)

Ratings: (0)|Views: 2,860|Likes:
Published by Moss3113

More info:

Published by: Moss3113 on Oct 23, 2009
Copyright:Attribution Non-commercial

Availability:

Read on Scribd mobile: iPhone, iPad and Android.
download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
See More
See less

01/01/2013

pdf

text

original

 
A
lternate Futures for 2025:Security Planning to Avoid Surprise
A Research PaperPresented ToAir Force
 2025
byCol Joseph A. Engelbrecht, Jr., PhDLt Col Robert L. BivinsMaj Patrick M. CondrayMaj Merrily D. FecteauMaj John P. Geis IIMaj Kevin C. SmithApril 1996
 
ii
Disclaimer
 2025
is a study designed to comply with a directive from the chief of staff of the Air Force to examine theconcepts, capabilities, and technologies the United States will require to remain the dominant air and spaceforce in the future. Presented on 17 June 1996, this report was produced in the Department of Defense schoolenvironment of academic freedom and in the interest of advancing concepts related to national defense. Theviews expressed in this report are those of the authors and do not reflect the official policy or position of theUnited States Air Force, Department of Defense, or the United States government.This report contains fictional representations of future situations/scenarios. Any similarities to real people orevents, other than those specifically cited, are unintentional and are for purposes of illustration only.Mention of various programs or technologies throughout this paper does not imply Air Force or DODendorsement of either the mission, the program, or adoption of the technology.This publication has been reviewed by security and policy review authorities, is unclassified, and is clearedfor public release.
 
iii
Contents
Chapter Page
Disclaimer..........................................................................................................................................iiIllustrations........................................................................................................................................viTables..............................................................................................................................................viiiExecutive Summary............................................................................................................................x 1 Introduction...........................................................................................................................................1Purpose.........................................................................................................................................1Definitions....................................................................................................................................3Overview......................................................................................................................................4 2 Methodology.........................................................................................................................................8Approach......................................................................................................................................8Metrics for Success......................................................................................................................9Selecting the Drivers....................................................................................................................9Defining the Drivers...................................................................................................................10American World View..........................................................................................................10
.............................................................................................................................19Plausible History........................................................................................................................21The Nature of Actors..................................................................................................................24The Nature of International Politics............................................................................................25The Nature of US National Security Strategy..............................................................................25The Nature of Humanity..............................................................................................................26The Nature of Technology..........................................................................................................26The Nature of the Environment...................................................................................................28The Nature of the Defense Budget..............................................................................................28Capabilities................................................................................................................................30Implications................................................................................................................................31Summary.....................................................................................................................................32 4

Activity (6)

You've already reviewed this. Edit your review.
1 thousand reads
1 hundred reads
luxmundi liked this
aporat liked this
christopher100 liked this

You're Reading a Free Preview

Download
/*********** DO NOT ALTER ANYTHING BELOW THIS LINE ! ************/ var s_code=s.t();if(s_code)document.write(s_code)//-->