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FOR RELEASE: OCTOBER 26, 2009
BLOOMBERG BLOWOUT AS MAYOR RUNS UP 18-POINT LEAD,QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS;10 PERCENT UNDECIDED ON EVE OF LAST DEBATE
 New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg leads Comptroller William Thompson 53 – 35 percent, with 10 percent undecided, among likely voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Conservative Party candidate Stephen Christopher has 3 percent.Mayor Bloomberg leads 81 – 10 percent among Republicans and 61 – 25 percent amongindependent voters, while Democrats split with 46 percent for Bloomberg and 44 percent for Thompson, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.Christopher gets 5 percent of Republicans and 5 percent of independent voters, with 0 percent of Democrats.White voters back Bloomberg 59 – 30 percent, while black voters support Thompson57 – 24 percent. Hispanic voters back the Mayor 49 – 35 percent. Black voters have the highestundecided percentage, 18 percent.The Mayor leads in every borough, from 50 – 33 percent in The Bronx to 59 – 27 percentin Staten Island. He leads 53 – 35 percent among men and 52 – 34 percent among women.Only 16 percent of Thompson supporters and 18 percent of Bloomberg backers say theymight change their mind.“It's been shaping up all along, and now the new numbers say it looks like a Bloomberg blow-out,” said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.“It’s not only the money. Sure, Mayor Michael Bloomberg has spent a zillion dollars onthis campaign – but he seems to have spent it wisely.
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Maurice Carroll, DirectorQuinnipiac University Polling InstituteRubenstein Associates, Inc.,Public RelationsPat Smith (212) 843-8026
 
Quinnipiac University Poll/October 26, 2009 – page 2
“And the Thompson campaign has stuttered. They tapped into real distaste for scrappingterm limits, but that was pretty much their only issue and it doesn’t seem to have been nearlyenough,” Carroll added.“Historically, blowouts have a self-correcting tendency. That happened four years ago,when the polls showed a Bloomberg landslide and they were right – but the Election Daylandslide wasn’t as overwhelming as the poll numbers had measured.“Will voters see those big Bloomberg numbers and decide they don’t need to vote, or willthe Mayor’s well-oiled machine get them to the polls to run up the score?”By a 63 – 29 percent margin, voters have a favorable opinion of Bloomberg.Thompson has a 39 – 23 percent favorability, with 33 percent who don’t know enoughabout him to form an opinion.For Christopher, 89 percent don’t know enough about him to form an opinion.From October 23 – 25, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,088 New York City likelyvoters with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points. The sample was drawn from registeredvoter lists based on people who have voted in recent elections.The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts publicopinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio andnationwide as a public service and for research.
For more data or RSS feed– http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, call (203) 582-5201, or followus onTwitter.
 
1. If the 2009 election for Mayor were being held today, and the candidates wereMichael Bloomberg running as both a Republican and an Independent, WilliamThompson the Democrat and Stephen Christopher the Conservative party candidate,for whom would you vote? (If undecided q1) As of today, do you lean more towardBloomberg, Thompson or Christopher? (This table includes Leaners)LIKELY VOTERS.................................Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk HispThompson 35% 10% 44% 25% 30% 57% 35%Bloomberg 53 81 46 61 59 24 49Christopher 3 5 - 5 3 - 4SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - 1 - - -WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - -DK/NA 10 4 10 9 8 18 13Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men WomThompson 33% 35% 41% 33% 27% 35% 34%Bloomberg 50 52 51 54 59 53 52Christopher 4 2 1 2 7 4 2SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - 1 1 - -WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - -DK/NA 14 11 7 11 6 7 121a. (If candidate choice given) Is your mind made up, or do you think you mightchange your mind before the election?LIKELY VOTERS.................................CANDIDATE CHOICE GIVEN Q1.....................Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk HispMade up 82% 85% 81% 79% 84% 78% 66%Might change 17 12 18 20 15 20 32DK/NA 1 2 1 1 1 1 2CAND CHOICE Q1Thom BloomMade up 83% 81%Might change 16 18DK/NA 1 12. Is your opinion of - William Thompson favorable, unfavorable or haven't youheard enough about him?LIKELY VOTERS.................................Tot Rep Dem Ind Wht Blk HispFavorable 39% 16% 47% 32% 37% 56% 31%Unfavorable 23 40 17 29 27 8 15Hvn't hrd enough 33 39 30 34 31 32 49REFUSED 5 4 5 5 5 5 5Brnx Kngs Man Qns StIsl Men WomFavorable 35% 35% 47% 39% 30% 41% 37%Unfavorable 16 23 20 27 29 25 21Hvn't hrd enough 44 37 26 28 38 30 36REFUSED 5 5 8 5 2 5 6
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