Professional Documents
Culture Documents
This manuscript has been reproduced from the microfilm master. UMI films
the text directly from the original or copy submitted. Thus, some thesis and
dissertation copies are in typewriter face, while others may be from any type of
computer printer.
The quality of this reproduction is dependent upon the quality of the
copy submitted. Broken or indistinct print, colored or poor quality illustrations
and photographs, print bleedthrough, substandard margins, and improper
EV
IE
W
In the unlikely event that the author did not send UMI a complete manuscript
and there are missing pages, these will be noted.
Also, if unauthorized
PR
Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without permission.
W
IE
PR
EV
Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without permission.
PR
EV
IE
W
A Thesis
Presented to the Faculty
Of
The Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy
By
PRATANA VONGPIVAT
Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without permission.
PR
EV
IE
UMI*
Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without permission.
PRATANA VONGPIVAT
e-mail: pvongpivat@fletcher.alumlink.com
45 Ramkamhang 14 Rd.
Bangkok 10240, Thailand
(662) 718-6173
Education
THE FLETCH ER SCHOOL OF LAW AND DIPLOMACY, TUFTS MEDFORD, MA
Ph.D. in Law and Diplomacy Degree, May 2002
Field o f study: Technology Policy and Management and International Business Relations
Co-president o f East Asian Club
1996-1998
1991-1995
CHULALONGKORN UNIVERSITY
BANGKOK, THAILAND
Bachelor o f Arts in Political Science
First Class Honors with Gold Medal, the first Rank o f 264
Major in International relations, East and Southeast Asian studies
Awarded King Bhumipol Scholarship, the highest academic achievement
EV
IE
Experience
1998-2002
1995-1996
PR
Personal
Citizenship o f Thailand, J-l visa
Lived and traveled extensively in many parts of United Kingdom and North America
Enjoy traveling and foreign cultures, horseback riding, golfing, scuba diving, and Yoga
Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without permission.
Abstract
This dissertation addresses a gap in prior research, which does not fully specify
the key processes essential to innovation in developing countries and long-term industrial
growth. This research is an extension o f the national innovation system concept, which is
IE
PR
EV
to fill gaps in academic and policy literature. First, a structured framework o f analysis
for the National Innovation System (NIS) model is developed. The NIS model specifies
the flow process and interactions between components in the national innovation system,
building upon the theoretical foundations identified in previous research. Second,
empirical evidence o f the processes and problems o f innovation o f the Thai automobile,
textile, and electronics industry is analyzed to validate or challenge the assumptions
implicit in the NIS model. This dissertation employs pattern analysis methodology, using
the NIS model and multiple case studies as tools to test the propositions that national
idiosyncrasy matters in industrial innovation and that within a national concept two major
variables in the macro environment, government policy and international conditions, are
the biggest contributors to technology development. The hypotheses prove correct for
the case studies o f specific Thai industries. Positive impacts from a favorable local
Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without permission.
content requirement policy and liberalization pressure from macro factors drove positive
interactions o f the national variables in industry structure and suppliers network that
resulted in better technology outcomes in the Thai auto industry. Unbalanced and
inconsistent policies triggered a chain o f negative impacts on system linkages and a
subsequent dearth of innovative supply, which turned the liberalization trend into a threat
to the Thai textile and electronics industry. The detailed description o f the three
industries innovation processes and component interactions provides a foundation for
future policy remedy and prescriptions. This dissertation shows that industrial innovation
results from macro variables, specifically domestic government policy and international
conditions, which obviously affect the microenvironment, shape competitive conditions,
EV
IE
and eventually drive the demand that triggers technology supply. The interactive
influences o f the system components on flow o f innovation processes validate the
PR
A Thesis by
Pratana Vongpivat
Presented to
Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without permission.
Macro (mimmo
Demand
II
ir
II
PR
Technology
stocks
EV
Supply
||
IE
Technology
Behaviors
Technology
choices and
behaviors
P ratan a Vongpivat
May 2000
Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without permission.
IE
PR
EV
Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without permission.
Acknowledgements
This dissertation would not have been completed without the intellectual
guidance, constructive criticism, and encouragement from my family, my three advisors:
Lee McKnight, Bill Moomaw, and Paul Vaaler, colleagues from the National Science and
Technology Development Agency o f Thailand, especially Dr. Chachanat Theptaranonth,
Ms. Ake-anong Jangbua, Dr. Chatri Sripaipan, and Dr. Yongyuth Yuthavong, and all my
PR
EV
IE
Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without permission.
Vongpivat
Table of Contents
Chapter 1: Introduction.................................................................................. 1
OVERVIEW ...........................................................................................................................2
STRUCTURE OF THE THESIS........................................................................................ 8
IE
BACKGROUND.................................................................................................................. 15
2.1 SHIFT IN PRODUCTION STRUCTURE................................................................ 18
2.2
PR
EV
2.1.1
2.1.2
UPGRADING.......................................................................................................................29
2.2.1
P r essu r es t o s h if t a w a y fro m pr im a r y p r o d u c t io n .....................................29
2.2.2
P r e ssu r e s t o sh ift a w a y fro m l a b o r - in t e n siv e p r o d u c t io n ....................34
Internal Factors o f Success and Failure....................................................................... 35
External Factors o f Success and Failure...................................................................... 37
In Summary................................................................................................................... 41
2.3
CONCLUSION.................................................................................................................... 54
Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without permission.
Vongpivat
ii
3.2
3.2.1
In d u st r ia l e c o n o m ic s a n d c o r p o r a t e v i e w ......................................................65
3.2.2
S tr a teg ic m a n a g em en t a n d d y n a m ic ex pla n a tio n s o f f ir m s
PERFORMANCE..................................................................................................................................... 66
3.2.3
S y ste m an d h o listic v ie w ...........................................................................................69
3.3
3.3.1
3.3.2
L ev els o f a n a l y s is ........................................................................................................ 78
In n o v a tio n pr o c e s s : d e m a n d a n d s u p p l y ...........................................................83
3.5
3.4
91
IE
CONCLUSION.................................................................................................................... 99
EV
4.2
HYPOTHESES........................................................................................................ 105
4.3
4.4
METHODOLOGY.................................................................................................. 108
4.4.1
4.4.2
4.4.3
PR
4.1
T h e m o d e l fr a m e w o r k o f A n a l y s is .....................................................................114
P ar a m eter s a n d d a t a so u r c e s o f t h e s t u d y ................................................... 123
C o m pl et io n o f t h e M o d e l ........................................................................................ 132
4.5
4.6
UNIT OF ANALYSIS..............................................................................................135
4.7
EXPECTED CONTRIBUTIONS..........................................................................137
Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without permission.
Vongpivat
iii
M A C R O E N V IR O N M E N T ...............................................................................................144
5.2
5.1.1
M a c r o ec o n o m ic c o n d it io n s ................................................................................. 145
5.1.2
T rad e , in v estm en t , a n d in d u st r ia l p o l ic y ..................................................149
Investm ent P ro m o tio n ................................................................................................................ 150
Local C ontent R eq u irem en t....................................................................................................151
M odel L im itatio n .........................................................................................................................152
Factory E xpansion C o n tro l.......................................................................................................152
Im port D uty and B a n ..................................................................................................................153
Tariffs o n O th er R aw M a te ria ls.............................................................................................. 155
Export P ro m o tio n.........................................................................................................................156
T echnology D ev elo p m en t......................................................................................................... 156
Environm ental P ro te c tio n ......................................................................................................... 157
5 .1.3
In t e r n a t io n a l C o n d it io n s ...................................................................................... 159
M IC R O E N V IR O N M E N T ................................................................................................ 162
5.3
IN P U T /D E M A N D F L O W S ............................................................................................... 174
5.3.1
5.3.2
5.4
F a c t o r m a r k e t c o n d it io n s o f T h a il a n d ........................................................... 178
C a p it a l m a r k e t c o n d it io n s .................................................................................... 185
N e tw o r k o f su pplie r s a n d su ppo r tin g in d u s t r ie s ........................................187
C O M P O N E N T S A N A L Y S IS ............................................................................................190
5.5.1
5.5.2
5.5.3
5.6
D em a n d v a r ia b l e s ...................................................................................................... 174
C o m petitiv e c o n d it io n s fo r t ec h n o lo g y d e v e l o pm e n t .......................... 176
N E T W O R K E X T E R N A L IT IE S ......................................................................................178
5.4.1
5.4.2
5.4.3
5.5
PR
EV
IE
5 .2 .1
T ypes a n d C h a r a c t er istic s o f t e c h n o l o g y ....................................................162
5.2.2
M a r k e t a n d in d u st r y s t r u c t u r e ......................................................................... 165
A utom obile M a rk e t..................................................................................................................... 165
P arts and C om ponents M a rk e t.................................................................................................170
P u b l ic .................................................................................................................................191
P r iv a t e .............................................................................................................................. 195
A c a d em ic a r e n a ........................................................................................................... 198
O U T P U T /S U P P L Y F L O W ................................................................................................ 199
5.6.1
5.6.2
5.6.3
R E T R O S P E C T .................................................................................................................................... 219
Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without permission.
Vongpivat
iv
M A C R O E N V IR O N M E N T ..............................................................................................229
6.2
EV
IE
W
6.1.1
M a c r o e c o n o m ic c o n d it io n s
................................................................ 229
6 .1.2
T r a d e , in v estm en t , a n d in d u str ia l p o l ic ie s ..................................................230
T rade P ro tectio n ism ................................................................................................................... 2 3 1
E xport A llocation S y ste m ........................................................................................................ 233
Investm ent an d E x p o rt P ro m o tio n ........................................................................................234
C ap acity E xpansion C o n tro l.................................................................................................. 235
E nvironm ental P ro tectio n and T echnology D ev elo p m en t.............................................236
6.1.3
In t e r n a t io n a l c o n d it io n s ......................................................................................237
N A F T A : N o rth A m erican Free T rade A rea ....................................................................... 238
M FA : M ulti-F ib er A rran g em en t............................................................................................ 239
G A T T an d A T C : A greem ent o n T extile and C lo th in g .................................................... 242
A FT A : A S E A N F ree T rade A r e a .......................................................................................... 244
M IC R O E N V IR O N M E N T ................................................................................................245
6.2.1
T y pes a n d c h a r a c t er istic s o f t e c h n o l o g y .....................................................246
K ey T ech n o lo g y in T ex tile In d u stry ....................................................................................246
F ib er M ak in g ............................................................................................................................... 248
S p in n in g ....................................................................................................................................... 248
W e a v in g ....................................................................................................................................... 249
F in is h in g ......................................................................................................................................249
G arm ent and C lo th in g ..............................................................................................................250
6.2.2
M a r k e t a n d in d u str y st r u c t u r e ......................................................................... 252
IN P U T /D E M A N D F L O W S .............................................................................................. 255
6.3.1
6.3.2
6.4
...............................................................................259
F a c t o r m a r k e t c o n d it io n s ..................................................................................... 259
C a p it a l m a r k e t c o n d it io n s .................................................................................... 265
N e t w o r k o f su pplie r s a n d su ppo r tin g in d u s t r ie s ........................................266
C O M P O N E N T S A N A L Y S IS ...................................
6.5.1
6.5.2
6.5.3
6.6
D e m a n d v a r ia b l e s ......................................................................................................255
C o m pe t it iv e c o n d it io n s fo r tec h n o l o g y d e v e l o p m e n t ........................... 257
N E T W O R K E X T E R N A L IT IE S
6.4.1
6.4.2
6.4.3
6.5
PR
6.3
267
P u b l ic ................................................................................................................................ 268
P r iv a t e .............................................................................................................................. 269
A c a d e m ia ......................................................................................................................... 270
O U T P U T /S U P P L Y F L O W _______________________________________________ 272
6.6.1
6.6.2
P r o x y in d e x e s fo r t e c h n o l o g y c a p a b il it y ..................................................... 272
E c o n o m ic in d ic a to r s fo r t ec h n o l o g y p e r f o r m a n c e ..................................283
C O N C L U S IO N ................................................................................................................................. 287
Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without permission.
Vongpivat v
7.1.1
7.1.2
7.1.3
MICRO ENVIRONMENT....................................................................................303
7 .2 .1
7.2.2
7.3.1
7.3.2
7 .4 .1
7.4.2
7.5
F a c t o r m a r k e t c o n d it io n s ....................................................................................301
N etw o r k o f su pplie r s a n d su ppo r t in g in d u s t r ie s .......................................317
COMPONENTS ANALYSIS................................................................................321
7.5.1
7.5.2
7.5.3
7.6
D em a n d v a r ia b l e s .....................................................................................................306
C o m pe t it iv e c o n d it io n s fo r t e c h n o l o g y d e v e l o p m e n t ....................... 309
7.3
7.4
EV
IE
7.2
M a c r o e c o n o m ic c o n d it io n s ................................................................................. 295
T r a d e , in v estm en t , a n d in d u st r ia l p o l ic ie s ................................................. 297
In t e r n a t io n a l c o n d it io n s .....................................................................................300
P u b l ic ............................................................................................................................... 321
P r iv a t e .............................................................................................................................323
A c a d e m ia ........................................................................................................................ 326
7.6.1
7.6.2
P r o x y in d ex es fo r t ec h n o l o g y c a p a b il it y .................................................... 327
E c o n o m ic in d ic a t o r s fo r tec h n o l o g y pe r f o r m a n c e .................................337
PR
7.1
CONCLUSION.................................................................................................................. 345
Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without permission.
Vongpivat vi
8.1.1
8.1.2
8.1.3
8.2.1
8.2.2
8.3
N a t u r e o f t e c h n o l o g y ............................................................................................ 364
M a r k e t a n d in d u st r y st r u c t u r e ........................................................................ 365
8 .3 .1
8.3.2
8.4
..............................................................................364
M a r k e t D e m a n d v a r ia b l e s ....................................................................................366
C o m pe t it iv e c o n d it io n s fo r tec h n o l o g y d e v e l o p m e n t .......................... 367
8.2
M a c r o c o n d it io n s a n d p o l ic y ..............................................................................358
T r a d e , in v e s t m e n t , a n d t ec h n o l o g y po l ic y ................................................. 360
In t e r n a t io n a l c o n d it io n s .....................................................................................362
NETWORK EXTERNALITIES.........................................................................368
8 .4 .1
8.4.2
F a c to r s M a r k e t ......................................................................................................... 368
S u p pl ie r s n e t w o r k a n d su ppo r tin g in d u st r y .............................................. 369
IE
8.1
8.5
8.6
OUTPUT/SUPPLY FL O W _______________________
8.7
PR
EV
8 .6 .1
8.6.2
372
P r o x y in d ex es fo r t e c h n o l o g y c a p a b il it y .................................................... 372
E c o n o m ic st a t u s fo r t e c h n o l o g y pe r f o r m a n c e ......................................... 375
Chapter 9: Conclusion.................................................................................389
Bibliography......................
Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without permission.
401
Vongpivat
vii
List of Tables
PR
EV
IE
W
T a b le 1
P e r c e n t a g e s o f ex po r ts by e c o n o m ic s e c t o r ............................................... 23
T a b le 2
V a l u e o f P rin c ipa l E x p o r t .....................................................................................23
T a b le 3
P e r c e n t a g e o f im ports b y ec o n o m ic c l a ss ific a t io n in T h a il a n d
24
T able 4
C o n t r ib u t io n o f a g r ic u l tu r e a n d e m pl o y m e n t sh a r e in GDP ..............25
T a b le 5
S h a r e o f e m pl o y m e n t in a g r ic u l tu r e a n d m a n u f a c t u r in g ....................26
T a b le 6
T h a il a n d s str u c tu r e o f e x po r t s ....................................................................... 28
T a b le 7
E x p o r t sh a r e by pr o d u c tio n c a t e g o r ie s ......................................................... 29
T able 8
M a r k e t fo r eig n ex c h a n g e r a t e s (B a h t t o U S $ ).......................................... 32
T a b l e 10
N u m b e r o f liv e b ir t h s .............................................................................................. 37
T a b l e 11
M a n u fa c t u r in g w a g e a n d pr o d u c t iv it y I n d e x ............................................37
T a b l e 12
In t e r n a t io n a l C o m pa r iso n s o f so u r c e s o f GERD .......................................46
T a b l e 13
In t e r n a t io n a l c o m pa r iso n s o f h u m a n c a p it a l in d e x e s ............................48
T a b l e 14
In t e r n a t io n a l c o m pa r iso n s o f n a t io n a l pa t e n t a p p l ic a t io n s
51
T a b l e 15
In t e r n a t io n a l C o m pa r iso n s o f t e c h n o l o g y b a l a n c e o f pa y m en ts . 52
T a b l e 16
T o t a l F a c t o r P r o d u c tiv ity : C o n tr ib u tio n s o f g r o w t h in T haila nd
..............................................................................................................................................................54
T a b l e 17
C o m pe t it iv e n e ss o f T h a ila n d fr o m 1 9 9 2 -1 9 9 9 ..............................................56
with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without permission.
Vongpivat
viii
EV
IE
PR
T a b l e 47 M in im u m w a g e in T h a il a n d .......................................................................................229
T a b l e 48 T a r iff st r u c t u r e o f t h e T h a i tex til e in d u s t r y .............................................. 231
T a b l e 49 C om pa r a tiv e ra te o f pr o te c t io n a m o n g each pr o d u c tio n o f th e T hai
t e x t il e ........................................................................................................................................... 232
T a b l e 50 R e la tiv e r a w m a t e r ia l im p o r t t a r iffs in 1996................................................ 233
T a b l e 51 G ^ T T sc h ed u l e f o r MFA l ib e r a l iz a t io n ............................................................ 243
T a b l e 52 M in im u m e ffic ie n t p l a n t s i z e ...................................................................................252
T a b l e 53 R e la tiv e c o s t o f w a t e r u sa g e in t h e tex til e in d u st r y in 1994 .............. 261
T a b l e 54 S kill c o m po sit io n in T h a i t e x t il e in d u st r y ...................................................... 262
T a b l e 55 R ese a r c h pe r s o n n e l c o m pa r iso n in va r io u s s e c t o r s ................................... 262
T a b l e 56 T ha i t e x t il e l a b o r c h a r a c t e r is t ic s .....................................................................263
T a b l e 57 C o m pa r a tiv e w a g e r a t e in 1994 ............................................................................ 264
T a b l e 58 R e c o g n itio n o f pu b l ic a g e n c ie s , pr iv a te asso c ia tio n , a n d a c a d e m ic
INSTITUTES..................................................................................................................................... 271
T a b l e 59 C o m pa r a tiv e R&D e x pe n d it u r e in v a r io u s s e c t o r s ......................................273
T a b l e 60 T r a d em a r k a p pl ic a t io n s in t e x t il e , tex til e pr o d u c ts , a n d fo o t g e a r 274
Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without permission.
Vongpivat
ix
PR
EV
IE
T able 69
T able 70
T able 71
T a ble 72
T able 73
Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without permission.
Vongpivat x
List of Figures
PR
EV
IE
F ig u r e 16 E v o l u t io n o f t e c h n o l o g y c a p a b il it y d e v e l o pm e n t ...................................... 62
Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without permission.
Vongpivat
xi
PR
EV
IE
F ig u r e 33 S t a g es o f v a lu e c h a in pr o d u c tio n o f t e x t il e in d u s t r y ............................228
F igu re 34 M a r k e t sh a r e o f th e US tex tile im p o r t ........................................................... 239
F igu re 35 V o lu m e a n d v a lu e o f T hai a ppa r el e x po r t t o MFA a n d n o n -MF/1
MARKET..........................................................................................................................................241
F igu re 36 E x po r t v a lu e o f tex til e in d u str y o f T h a il a n d fr o m 1985 to 1995.... 242
F ig u r e 37 In d u st r y st r u c t u r e o f th e T h a i t e x t il e in d u s t r y .......................................253
F ig u r e 38 D o m estic c o n su m pt io n o f tex tile pr o d u c t s o f T h a il a n d ........................ 256
F ig u re 39 C o m pa r iso n o f elec tr ic ity c h a r g es a c r o ss c o u n t r ie s .............................260
F ig u re 4 0 S u rv ey o f pr o d u c t a n d pro cess d e v e l o pm e n t a m o n g T hai tex tile mills
.......................................................................................................................................................... 277
F ig u re 41 P r o d u c tiv ity t r en d in fo ur sta g es o f p r o d u c t io n ..................................... 278
F ig u r e 42 L a b o r pr o d u c tiv it y tr en d in fo u r st a g es o f p r o d u c t io n ........................ 279
F igu re 43 T r en d in v a l u e - a d d ed g r o w th o f t e x t il e a n d c l o t h in g in d u s t r y ...... 279
F ig u r e 4 4 R e a l price a n d q u a l ity im pr o v e m e n t o f T h a i t e x t il e p r o d u c t s ........... 280
F ig u r e 45 R ev ea l C o m pa r a tiv e A d v a n ta g e t r e n d o f T h a ila n d a n d o t h e r
c o u n t r ie s ..................................................................................................................................... 284
Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without permission.
Vongpivat
xii
PR
EV
IE
F ig u r e 58
R ela tio n sh ip betw een ty pe o f t e c h n o l o g y a n d t y pe o f pr o d u c tio n
STRUCTURE THROUGH INCOME LEVEL AND TIME................................................................ 353
F ig u r e 59
T h e N a t io n a l In n o v a tio n S y s t e m (NIS) m o d e l ........................................ 355
F ig u r e 60
R ela tio n sh ip M a p o f th e N IS ............................................................................ 357
F ig u r e 61
S u r v ey q u e s t io n ......................................................................................................380
F ig u r e 62
S u r v e y r e s u l t s ........................................................................................................ 381
Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without permission.
Vongpivat
Introduction
CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION
TABLE O F CONTENTS
PR
EV
IE
OVERVIEW .......................................
Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without permission.
Introduction
Vongpivat
Chapter 1
Introduction
Overview
EV
IE
innovation system framework offers a new explanatory power for being national- and
system-oriented, rather than element-oriented. A novel framework, the National
Innovation System (NIS) model, is an extensive refinement of both Nelsons narrative
approach of the national innovation systems,1 and Gotschs and McEachrons pictorial
PR
technology development model2 that comprehensively identifies and frames all the key
variables in the innovation process o f various Thai industries. These previous innovation
system studies, however, locate variables in the innovation process without complete,
comparable frameworks or industrial applications in developing countries. Other studies
on the industrial performance generalize certain key factors across countries.3 Innovation
in one country like Thailand is, nonetheless, different from another country like the US.
1Richard R. Nelson, ed., The National Innovation Systems: A Comparative Analysis (Oxford and New
York: Oxford University Press, 1992).
2 Carl H. Gotsch and Norman B. McEachron, "Technology Choice and Technological Change in Third
World Agriculture: Concepts, Empirical Observations and Research Issues," in Technology Choice and
Change in Developing Countries: Internal and External Constraints, ed. Babara G. Lucas and Stephan
Freedman (Dublin: Tycooly International Publishing Ltd., 1983).
3 Please see the literature review chapter for details on various levels o f analysis behind industrial
performance from industrial organization and corporate-level school to strategic management advocates.
Reproduced with permission of the copyright owner. Further reproduction prohibited without permission.