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From: Tom Jensen, Director of Public Policy Polling Subject: Brown makes bad first impression on New Hampshire

voters Date: April 10, 2014 A new PPP survey in New Hampshire finds that Scott Brown has made a very bad first impression on voters in the state over the last six months as hes geared up for his Senate campaign- he has poor favorability ratings and starts out trailing Jeanne Shaheen by an 8 point margin. Key findings from the survey include: -Only 35% of Granite State voters have a favorable opinion of Brown compared to 49% who see him negatively. PPP found voters in the state evenly divided on Brown at 40% in September, but since then hes seen a 14 point dip in his net favorability rating. -Shaheen has seen her lead over Brown double since September and shes very close to the 50% mark despite more than a million dollars that has been spent against her, holding a 49/41 advantage. Shaheen leads with independents 45/39, and shes also winning 89% of the Democratic vote while only 78% of Republicans say theyll support Brown. -Browns unpopularity in New Hampshire stands in stark contrast to how voters felt about him in Massachusetts, where he sported a solid 52/36 approval rating even as he lost by 8 points to Elizabeth Warren in 2012. Hes now facing an electorate that has a considerably dimmer view of him than the one that rejected him in his last campaign. - Browns record of voting to provide tax breaks to oil companies has already hurt him after
being spotlighted in an LCV ad campaign in February, and has the potential to give him more headaches down the road. 61% of voters say theyre less likely to vote for a candidate like him because of that compared to only 10% that consider it a positive.

PPP interviewed 1,034 New Hampshire voters on April 7th and 8th. The margin of error for the poll is +/-3.1%. This survey was conducted on behalf of the League of Conservation Voters.
Public Policy Polling 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 Phone: 888 621-6988 Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com Email: information@publicpolicypolling.com

New Hampshire Survey Results


Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Jeanne Shaheen's job performance?
Approve ..................47% Not sure .................. 8% Disapprove..............46%

Q6

If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.


Woman ........................................................... 53% Man ................................................................. 47%

Q7

Q2

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Scott Brown?


Favorable ........................................................ 35% Unfavorable .................................................... 49% Not sure .......................................................... 16%

If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican, press 2. If you are an independent or identify with another party, press 3.
Democrat ........................................................ 29% Republican ...................................................... 29% Independent/Other .......................................... 41%

Q3

If the candidates for U.S. Senate this fall were Democrat Jeanne Shaheen and Republican Scott Brown, who would you vote for?
Jeanne Shaheen ............................................. 49% Scott Brown .................................................... 41% Not sure .......................................................... 10%

Q8

If you are white, press 1. If other, press 2.


White .............................................................. 88% Other ............................................................... 12%

Q9

If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to 45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are older than 65, press 4.
18 to 29 ........................................................... 9% 30 to 45 ........................................................... 22% 46 to 65 ........................................................... 46% Older than 65 .................................................. 23%

Q4

Do you support or oppose ending special tax breaks for oil companies?
Support ...................49% Not sure ..................20% Oppose ...................32%

Q5

If a candidate for office voted to provide billions of dollars in tax breaks to oil companies, would that make you more or less likely to vote for them in an election, or would it not make a difference?
More likely...............10% Wouldn't make a 25% difference ................ Less likely ...............61% Not sure .................. 4%

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 Survey of 1,034 New Hampshire voters information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

April 7-8, 2014

Gender Base Wom an Shaheen Approval Approve 47% Disapprove 46% Not sure 8% 47% 45% 9% 47% 47% 6% Man Brow n Favorability Favorable 35% Unfavorable 49% Not sure 16%

Gender Base Wom an Man

36% 49% 15%

34% 50% 16%

Gender Base Wom an Shaheen/Brow n Jeanne Shaheen 49% Scott Brow n 41% Not sure 10% 50% 41% 9% 48% 40% 11% Man

Gender Base Wom an Support/Oppose Ending Breaks for Oil Co's Support 49% Oppose 32% Not sure 20% 45% 32% 23% 53% 32% 16% Man

Gender Base Wom an More/Less Likely to Vote for Pro-Breaks Candidate More likely 10% Less likely 61% Wouldn't m ake a 25% difference Not sure 4% 9% 63% 22% 6% 11% 59% 27% 3% Man
Shaheen Approval Approve 47% Disapprove 46% Not sure 8%

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other

81% 11% 8%

16% 79% 5%

44% 47% 9%

April 7-8, 2014


survey of 1,034 New Hampshire voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Brow n Favorability Favorable 35% Unfavorable 49% Not sure 16% 12% 79% 9% 64% 19% 18% 31% 50% 19% Shaheen/Brow n Jeanne Shaheen 49% Scott Brow n 41% Not sure 10%

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other

89% 7% 4%

15% 78% 7%

45% 39% 16%

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other Support/Oppose Ending Breaks for Oil Co's Support 49% Oppose 32% Not sure 20% 60% 30% 11% 39% 33% 27% 47% 32% 21%

Party Base Dem ocrat Republican Independent/Other More/Less Likely to Vote for Pro-Breaks Candidate More likely 10% Less likely 61% Wouldn't m ake a 25% difference Not sure 4% 7% 78% 11% 4% 15% 48% 33% 4% 8% 59% 28% 5%

Race Base White Other Shaheen Approval Approve 47% Disapprove 46% Not sure 8% 47% 45% 8% 46% 49% 5% Brow n Favorability Favorable 35% Unfavorable 49% Not sure 16%

Race Base White Other

36% 48% 15%

27% 57% 17%

Race Base White Other Shaheen/Brow n Jeanne Shaheen 49% Scott Brow n 41% Not sure 10% 49% 42% 9% 50% 32% 18%

April 7-8, 2014


survey of 1,034 New Hampshire voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Race Base White Other Support/Oppose Ending Breaks for Oil Co's Support 49% Oppose 32% Not sure 20% 50% 31% 19% 42% 37% 21%
More/Less Likely to Vote for Pro-Breaks Candidate More likely 10% Less likely 61% Wouldn't m ake a 25% difference Not sure 4%

Race Base White Other

9% 64% 23% 4%

15% 45% 35% 5%

Age Base Shaheen Approval Approve 47% Disapprove 46% Not sure 8% 48% 46% 6% 43% 44% 12% 47% 47% 5% 49% 43% 8% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65 Brow n Favorability Favorable 35% Unfavorable 49% Not sure 16% Base

Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

35% 45% 20%

38% 47% 14%

33% 52% 15%

35% 48% 16%

Age Base Shaheen/Brow n Jeanne Shaheen 49% Scott Brow n 41% Not sure 10% 55% 34% 11% 46% 39% 15% 49% 43% 8% 50% 42% 8% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

Age Base Support/Oppose Ending Breaks for Oil Co's Support 49% Oppose 32% Not sure 20% 45% 28% 28% 51% 31% 18% 56% 27% 17% 35% 43% 22% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

April 7-8, 2014


survey of 1,034 New Hampshire voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Age Base More/Less Likely to Vote for Pro-Breaks Candidate More likely 10% Less likely 61% Wouldn't m ake a 25% difference Not sure 4% 25% 48% 25% 3% 9% 63% 26% 3% 8% 59% 27% 6% 7% 70% 19% 4% 18 to 30 to 46 to Older 29 45 65 than 65

April 7-8, 2014


survey of 1,034 New Hampshire voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

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