IPCC AR5

4/13 IPCC Summary for Policymakers

SPM.1

IPCC

IPCC (2007)(SRREN)

()
(
)

SPM.2

(Mitigation) (
20
5 )

(equity)

()

(equity)(justice)(fairness)

SPM.3

1970-2010
()

1970-2010
78%2000-2010()

 SPM.1. 1970-2010

(FOLU)(CO2)(CH4)(N2O)
(F-gases)

1750-201040(
)

2000-2010100,
(47%)(30%)(11%)(3%)(
)()

 SPM.2 (sector)5

2000201030
()

 SPM.3 1971-2010
GDPGDP
()

2100
3.7C4.8C

SPM.4
SPM.4.1

 SPM.4. ()(/
)203020502100
2010 ()

2C2100
450ppm ()

SPM.1

2100450ppm
(
)

2100450 ppm 500-550 ppm

(overshoot)

(BECCS)(CDR)
()

2020
2C(
)

20302C
()

SPM.5

()2030;20302050

;()203020502100
450-500 ppm

(
)()

SPM.2

21001.5C(
);430 ppm()

2100450500ppm

()

SPM.6

20502005(BC)(SO2)

(2005)(baseline)
(stringent Climate Policy)2100
430530ppm
9

(spillovers)()

()

()

SPM4.2
SPM4.2.1

(AFOLU)
()

()

(AFOLU)
()

2100 450ppm(
)

10

 SPM.7. (
)

2100 450ppm 500ppm

() (
)

11

 SPM.8.

()()

SPM4.2.2

12

2050 2010 (144 /) 2~3

()(430~530ppm )

1993

()

()

(CCS)
()

(BECCS)
()

SPM4.2.3

2010 27% 67
2050 ()

13

2050 40%
()

()

()

2010 32% 88
() 2050
50-150% ()

2050
()

(
)

()

()

14

2010 28% 130

2050
50~150%

25%

()

()

()

SPM.4.2.4 (AFOLU)

(AFOLU)(
100-120)
()

(AFOLU)

()
15

()

SPM 4.2.5

()

()

()

(
)

()

(
)

SPM.5

16

SPM 5.1

SPM.9

2100430-530 ppm20

2100430-530 ppm
()

17

(
)(
)

(
)

GDP (
)

()

()

()
()

()

(
)

SPM.5.2 International cooperation

18

(UNFCCC)

UNFCCC
()

2007UNFCCC

()

19