What’s The Biz -- November 2009 3
Andrew Hunterof Edward Jones
20 Hudson St • Oxford •
248-969-1490
Specialists In
ESTATEPLANNING
For Families
A
TTORNEY
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OUNSELORS
Maxwell
Phillip B.
ASSOCIATES, PLLC
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A
TTORNEY
& C
OUNSELORS
Maxwell
Phillip B.
ASSOCIATES, PLLC
&
Like a tiresome dinner guest, the reces-sion has long outstayed its welcome. Butthere are some clear signs that the economyhas begun to turn around. If that is indeedthe case, how should you, as an individualinvestor, respond?Before we get to thatquestion, let’s quickly re-view some of the key fac-tors that suggest the re-cession may be ending.First, we’ve seen four straight months of gains by the Conference Board’sIndex of Leading Eco-nomic Indicators. Also,the job market is improv-ing somewhat and bank lending is increasing. TheFederal Reserve’s effortsto stabilize the financialsystem have improved conditions in the cor- porate credit markets, as indicated by a dra-matic increase in the amount of new bondsissued by companies thus far in 2009. We’vealso seen improvements in the housing mar-ket and in industrial production.Even if all this evidence indicates the re-cession is ending, does that necessarily meanthat boom times for investors will follow? Alook back in time shows reasons for opti-mism. In 10 recessions, extending from 1949through 2001, the S & P 500 rose, on average,9.5 percent six months following therecession’s end date, and 15.5 percent after 12 months, according to Ned Davis Research.Of course, as you have no doubt heard, past performance is no guarantee of future results, but in years gone by, staying in the marketrewarded long-term investors —those whocould look beyond the recession at hand.In any case, if the recession is ending,let’s return to our original question: Whatinvestment moves should you make? As
Time to makepost recessioninvestment moves?
we’ve already seen, the most important stepyou can take is to remain invested — and if you’re out of the market, consider getting back in. As exhibited by the strong marketrally this summer, large gains can comequickly, but they only come to those whoaren’t on the investment sidelines.In addition to staying invested, consider these other post-recession moves — whichare actually pretty good moves before andduring a recession, as well:
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Look for quality. In any economic envi-ronment, you’ll be making a smart move byfocusing on quality investments that fit your unique situation. You may look for the stocksof those companies with strong managementteams and competitive products. And stick with investment-grade bonds, if fixed incomeis appropriate.
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Diversify. Build a portfolio containing avariety of investments, including stocks, bonds, government securities and certificatesof deposit. While diversification, by itself,can’t guarantee a profit or protect against aloss, it can help you reduce the long-termeffects of volatility on your holdings.
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Keep a long-term perspective. It’s noteasy to overlook market fluctuations, espe-cially severe ones, but if you can keep your eyes on what you hope to achieve in thefuture, you might be less likely to over-reactto short-term events. While you may need to periodically adjust your investment mix inresponse to changes in the economy and inyour own life, you’ll be better off, in the longrun, by establishing a strategy that’s appro- priate for your individual risk tolerance andgoals — and sticking to it.As individuals, we’re all subject to theebbs and flows of the economy. But by fo-cusing on those things you can control — such as buying quality investments, diversi-fying and thinking long-term — you can be-come an investor for all seasons
Got a Biz story toshare? Photo tosubmit? Event tocover? Call Drew or C.J. at (248) 628-4801.
Andrew HunterFinancial Advisor
826 S. Lapeer Rd., Suite AOxford, MI 48371
(248) 628-3811
www.edwardjones.com
Member SIPC
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