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As we covered in chapter 1, there is an active repurchase agreement market for USTs, facilitating the financing needs of derivative market participants and providing securities for short sellers. The ability to use USTs in repurchaseagreements is an added bonus for investing in USTs, increasing the demand for USTs and thus lowering the yield to maturity. At times, due to the high demand by short sellers for a particular UST, the rate offered in the repo market is high, providing an additional bonus.
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The cost of trading in USTs changes over time due to a variety of factors. Thischange in liquidity makes USTs more or less attractive. Liquidity changes can bedriven by:
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Varying supply of USTs based on U. S. budget surpluses or deficits
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Varying demand for UST, during highly turbulent global events there isflight to quality, meaning investors place a high demand on USTs, drivingtheir yield to maturity low.
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Perceived changes in default risk of USTs. High levels of U. S. debtincrease the likelihood of future financial distress.
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USTs offer some unique benefits to commercial banks, increasing the demand for USTs. For example, when banks own USTs they do not have to set aside capitalas a provision for default, something banks have to do with commercial loans.
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Although a rather obscure corner of financial markets, USTs offer several benefitsto municipal finance needs. Municipalities, such as state and local governmentscan issue federally tax-exempt debt securities. These municipal securities havevery low interest rates, thus providing a cheap source of funding for municipalities. When UST interest rates fall, municipalities are permitted toengage in “advanced refunding” of existing debt by issuing new bonds, investingthe proceeds in USTs, and placing USTs in a bankruptcy-proof trust for old bonds. Although a rather complex series of transactions, the net effect is toincrease the demand for USTs and hence lower the USTs yield to maturity.
IDRM7e, © Don M. Chance and Robert-Brooks Futures Risk Premiums
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