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Harmonic Bat Pattern - The Historical Accuracy of the Bat and all of it's Fibonacci Ratios

Harmonic Bat Pattern - The Historical Accuracy of the Bat and all of it's Fibonacci Ratios

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Published by OlapTrader
This spreadsheet which pertains to the Bat pattern is one of 5 which I compiled from a sql server database containing 17 million rows of historical stock market data. All popular harmonic patterns such as Bat, Crab, Gartley, Butterfly and AB-CD have been cross referenced against this bulk data and historical percent increases are represented for all patterns and all Fibonacci ratios within each pattern. There can be hundreds of individual combinations of ratios for each pattern. Every one of them has been analyzed for it's historical accuracy in predicting price reversals. For a full description of the methodology, please refer to the Historical Harmonic Patterns document published by this same author.
This spreadsheet which pertains to the Bat pattern is one of 5 which I compiled from a sql server database containing 17 million rows of historical stock market data. All popular harmonic patterns such as Bat, Crab, Gartley, Butterfly and AB-CD have been cross referenced against this bulk data and historical percent increases are represented for all patterns and all Fibonacci ratios within each pattern. There can be hundreds of individual combinations of ratios for each pattern. Every one of them has been analyzed for it's historical accuracy in predicting price reversals. For a full description of the methodology, please refer to the Historical Harmonic Patterns document published by this same author.

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Categories:Types, Business/Law
Published by: OlapTrader on Nov 10, 2009
Copyright:Attribution Non-commercial

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09/25/2012

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Bullish
#Matches1MonthLaterAvg%Change1Month Later#Matches2Months LaterAvg%Change2Months Later#Matches3MonthsLaterAvg%Change3Months Later#Matches6MonthsLaterAvg%Change6Months Later#Matches1Year LaterAvg%Change1Year Later0.382/0.382/2.618 41 6.86 41 12.46 40 7.47 37 16.28 35 31.780.382/0.447/2.618 54 12.26 53 16.74 55 20.11 55 23.15 53 41.710.382/0.500/2.618 143 7.98 148 10.39 149 12.14 145 17.78 133 35.640.382/0.618/2.618 254 5.86 248 7.44 248 6.91 251 14.46 237 22.830.382/0.707/2.240 9 3.86 11 3.72 11 18.54 11 22.7 10 7.340.382/0.707/2.618 317 6.85 321 10.56 311 9.93 322 13.45 282 20.680.382/0.786/2.240 105 5.49 106 5.2 106 7.3 105 10.52 96 23.370.382/0.786/2.618 319 5.55 328 8.3 328 10.28 325 12.22 301 25.350.382/0.886/2.000 68 2.79 69 3.82 66 3.79 66 11.02 62 12.330.382/0.886/2.240 481 4.93 470 6.66 477 7.84 483 15.89 436 24.520.382/0.886/2.618 446 6.54 451 6.99 451 9.21 451 14.99 419 24.630.500/0.382/2.240 10 -0.52 10 2.94 10 3.8 10 18.6 10 40.250.500/0.382/2.618 215 8.51 211 7.45 212 7.38 215 14.54 195 29.580.500/0.447/2.240 69 8.07 70 9.68 67 14.92 69 27.52 65 35.480.500/0.447/2.618 101 7.21 96 9.79 103 10.34 102 17.31 94 32.050.500/0.500/2.000 81 3.57 80 9.49 77 9.93 82 10.03 74 7.410.500/0.500/2.240 153 6.63 144 8.17 148 11.55 144 15.46 135 23.620.500/0.500/2.618 106 6 106 9.05 106 10.32 107 10.8 89 9.190.500/0.618/1.618 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BAT Min 1 Month - Max 3 Monthswww.olaptrader.com
www.harmonicpatterns.net
 
0.500/0.618/2.000 264 4.61 273 8.63 275 6.89 278 14.57 251 21.440.500/0.618/2.240 223 6.84 223 8.63 220 11.14 225 21.07 207 25.040.500/0.618/2.618 95 5.9 93 18.16 96 16.26 98 19.72 91 27.710.500/0.707/1.618 102 3 98 4.36 104 5.07 102 8.06 96 16.180.500/0.707/2.000 360 4.69 364 5.86 366 7.48 363 11.43 327 18.050.500/0.707/2.240 151 5.11 155 8.62 155 9.88 153 15.61 141 23.340.500/0.707/2.618 10 10.85 10 6.09 8 6.74 10 12.32 9 16.910.500/0.786/1.618 264 3.37 264 4.79 271 6.68 271 16.18 251 26.860.500/0.786/2.000 336 4.03 339 6.56 343 8.01 340 13.69 317 19.890.500/0.786/2.240 98 2.52 103 3.67 101 7.44 102 12.43 95 17.350.500/0.786/2.618 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.500/0.886/1.618 636 3.74 638 5.83 640 7.37 645 13.27 569 21.390.500/0.886/2.000 571 3.84 579 5.45 571 6.83 580 12.88 518 19.160.500/0.886/2.240 27 12.51 29 12.47 27 9.98 29 18.86 24 20.760.500/0.886/2.618 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.886XA-Ratio0.886XA 6109 5.28 6131 7.37 6142 8.58 6176 14.44 5622 22.83AB=CD Ratio1.270AB=CD 1557 4.86 1554 6.97 1573 8.17 1574 14.26 1431 20.941.618AB=CD 4144 5.31 4178 7.47 4168 8.65 4198 14.25 3816 22.97AB=CD 408 6.5 399 7.86 400 9.45 404 17.12 375 28.63BC Ratio1.618 1002 3.57 1000 5.41 1015 6.95 1018 13.52 916 22.342.000 1680 4.13 1704 6.39 1698 7.24 1709 12.8 1549 18.612.240 1326 5.61 1321 7.27 1322 9.43 1331 16.74 1219 24.222.618 2101 6.8 2106 9.15 2107 9.91 2118 14.75 1938 25.55
Bearish
0.382/0.382/2.618 75 -8.48 74 -5.08 73 -5.02 73 5.1 66 30.780.382/0.447/2.618 78 -6.7 78 -7.57 77 -8.8 78 -4.11 74 -7.780.382/0.500/2.618 177 -6.16 185 -4.88 182 -3.27 176 1.54 160 10.120.382/0.618/2.618 316 -5.97 315 -6.07 321 -3.4 312 2.74 288 11.720.382/0.707/2.240 16 -2.6 16 -1.62 16 2.31 16 3.92 16 30.670.382/0.707/2.618 389 -2.86 387 -3.27 388 0.7 378 6.67 339 14.840.382/0.786/2.240 138 -1.56 135 0.45 138 0.17 135 10.94 124 16.510.382/0.786/2.618 453 -3.56 455 -2.16 456 2.63 446 7.27 417 12.050.382/0.886/2.000 73 -2.14 72 -2.4 70 -0.43 68 5.74 64 7.970.382/0.886/2.240 609 -2.18 604 -0.26 603 1.96 603 7.46 558 15.50.382/0.886/2.618 641 -3.97 646 -2.88 639 0.69 645 4.93 581 13.810.500/0.382/2.240 7 -0.89 7 12.1 7 4.11 7 2.17 6 16.63

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