The Des Moines Register’s Iowa Poll of 400 likely Republican primary voters was taken May 27-30 by Selzer & Co. It has margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.
The Des Moines Register’s Iowa Poll of 400 likely Republican primary voters was taken May 27-30 by Selzer & Co. It has margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.
The Des Moines Register’s Iowa Poll of 400 likely Republican primary voters was taken May 27-30 by Selzer & Co. It has margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.
SELZER & COMPANY Study #2100 400 Likely Republican primary voters May 27-30, 2014 Margin of error: 4.9 percentage points Weighted by age and sex general population values for all 1,869 contacts, both completes and terminates
How likely is it you will vote in the Republican primary election for U.S. Senate and some other offices to be held in Junewill you definitely vote, probably vote, might or might not vote, probably not vote, or have you already voted?
9 Already voted Continue 91 Definitely vote - Probably vote Collect age and sex and terminate - Might or might not vote - Probably not vote - Refused/not sure
I'd like to begin by mentioning the names of some candidates running for or already holding statewide office. For each name I read, please tell me if your feelings toward the person are very favorable, mostly favorable, mostly unfavorable, or very unfavorable. If you dont know the person, just say so. (Record dont know as not sure. Rotate list.).
Very Favorable Mostly Favorable Mostly Unfavorable Very Unfavorable Not Sure
Sam Clovis, a professor of business and public policy 10 15 7 5 63 Joni Ernst, a state senator 26 22 9 14 29 Mark Jacobs, a retired businessman 12 31 11 8 38 Scott Schaben, a car sales manager 2 7 8 8 75 Matt Whitaker, a former U.S. attorney 7 29 7 7 50
If the Republican primary were held today, which one of the following Republican candidates for U.S. Senator would you vote for? (If none of these or not sure:) Toward which candidate would you say you are leaning, or support the most? (Read list. Rotate list.)
Sam Clovis 11 Joni Ernst 36 Mark Jacobs 18 Scott Schaben 2 Matt Whitaker 13 None of these/someone else (VOL) 4 Not sure 16
When it comes to your support of [CANDIDATE NAMED IN Q.3), would you say your mind is made up, or could you still be persuaded to support another candidate as your first choice?
All Ernst Jacobs n=400 n=151 n=84 27 38 26 Mind is made up 72 61 73 Could still be persuaded 1 1 1 Not sure _______________ SELZER & COMPANY PAGE 2 Im going to mention some traits or experiences a U.S. Senate candidate might have. For each, please tell me if it makes you more likely or less likely to support that kind of candidate. (Rotate list.)
More Likely Less Likely Not Sure
Returned to Iowa to run for the Senate after living in Texas for many years 18 61 21 If elected, would be the first woman from Iowa to serve in Congress 46 21 33 Has been endorsed by Sarah Palin, a vice-presidential candidate in 2008 45 39 16 Has a background in business and Wall Street finance 59 27 14 Is a trial lawyer 29 51 20 Is spending millions of his or her own money to fund the campaign 47 33 20 Has served in the military 88 5 7 Has held elected office 58 25 17 Played football at the University of Iowa 21 43 36 Is part of the Christian conservative movement 61 24 15 Has said only judges who hold a Biblical view should be confirmed to federal court 38 47 15 Has missed over 100 of the votes held in the Iowa Senate last session 10 78 12 Has been endorsed by Rick Perry, the governor of Texas 37 41 22 Has been endorsed by Mitt Romney, the 2012 Republican nominee for president 50 34 16
I want to ask about your perception of how conservative or moderate you feel the candidates are. Thinking about a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means extremely conservative, and 1 means moderate, where would you say each of the following falls? If you dont know enough to say, just tell me. (Record dont know as not sure. Rotate list.)
CodedBased on all
Base with not sures removed Exact number (mean, median) More conservative 8-10 4-7 More moderate 1-3 Not Sure
Sam Clovis (n=145) 6.312 6.895 14 13 7 66 Joni Ernst (n=260) 6.708 7.000 30 24 8 38 Mark Jacobs (n=234) 5.728 5.932 13 32 9 46 Scott Schaben (n=88) 4.953 5.000 4 11 6 79 Matt Whitaker (n=160) 6.125 6.410 13 23 4 60