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Is European Civil War Inevitable by 2025?
Part Oneby Paul Weston
If I were to tell you that within twenty years Europe could find itself engaged in a civilwar so bloody it made WWII look like a bun fight, you might logically consider me acandidate for the men in white coats. You would be wrong, however. Based on thedemographic evidence collated for this article, such a scenario looks not merely possible, but inevitable. In 2005 European males aged 20-40 outnumbered Muslimmales of a similar age by 18:1. By 2025 this ratio could drop to a mere 2:1.There is a common misconception that a significant erosion of our present 95% non-Muslim European majority could not possibly occur for many decades to come. Peoplesuch as historian Bernard Lewis, a man whose views on Islam are held in high esteem,exacerbate this. When he made his prediction in 2004 that Europe would be Islamic by the end of the century, he did so on the basis of an overall Muslim majority.Although such a dire prediction is shocking, it does not force us into a position whereurgent steps need to be taken to alleviate such a future. We will not be here at such adistant point and can therefore presently reject as overly extreme the actions necessaryto prevent it. Suppose though, that contrary to Professor Lewis’s benign view of a“democratically Islamic Europe”, Europe’s Muslims felt unwilling to wait another 80years to expand their caliphate via the voting booth, and decided instead to take Europethrough force.In this scenario our majority is rapidly eroded due to a number of factors. In 2005,European males aged 0-19 (those capable of fighting in twenty years time) accountedfor only 10% of their total population. Muslim males in the same age bracket accountedfor 23% of theirs. These figures can be seen inthis tableand are extracted from the population pyramids compiled by the US Census Bureau2005. (These figures represent all the countries in continental Europe, rather than EU member states alone).In addition, the Muslim population, with its birth rate of 3.5 children per womeneffectively doubles its next generation, whilst the European birth rate of 1.5 children per woman ensures the next generation is 25% smaller than that of its parents.This loss of almost one third of tomorrow’s generation necessitates massiveimmigration in order to prop up our welfare states, the majority of which is set to comefrom Muslim countries. According to the 
, the UN predicts Europe willneed to take in 2.2 million immigrants per year, through to 2050.Once the Muslim population climbs over 3% of the population in Western countries,native Europeans start to emigrate. The Dutch, French, Germans and British are leavingin unprecedented numbers, as noted in a Daniel Pipes article entitled “EuropeansFleeing Eurabia” which should be read in conjunction with this article.If it is really true that up to40%of Muslims wish to see Europe operating under ShariaLaw, then the ingredients for a Europe V Islamic civil war are already in place, save for the Muslim weight of numbers; an issue being rapidly resolved. By 2025 thecombination of factors mentioned above will lead to such a massive transformation in
 
Europe’s demographic makeup that Islam may well have sufficient numbers to confrontus.- - - - - - - - - -I first read Pat Buchanan’s book 
three years ago, which opened myeyes to the demographic imbalance between the birth rates of native Europeans andMuslim immigrants. Although full of doom and gloom, Buchanan never ventured a particular opinion on the likelihood of a full-blown war, perhaps due to the likely backlash from Muslims in America.This omission was partly rectified by Mark Steyn inAmerica Alonewhere he doesmention war as a possible scenario, but neglects to predict any particular decade.Indeed, he seems to be of the opinion that Europe will acquiesce without any resistanceat all. Much as I respect Mr Steyn, I believe he is utterly wrong about this. Europeanshave a history of warfare; it is unlikely we will roll over without a fight.If a Europe V Islam civil war is a possibility, then it is clearly prudent to look at thedemographics of the particular section of our population who will actually fight it:Males aged between 18-40. The ratio of these potential combatants in 2005 was 18:1 inour favour. Now, 18:1 appears to be a number that we can cope with, albeit with a certain amountof low-level violence, but what happens when that ratio becomes 10:1 or 5:1? Whatwould be the likely result, for example, if twenty-five European chartered accountantswere confronted by five machete wielding Jihadists? The answer is fairly predictable;they would run away, to file tax returns another day.Suppose, though, that inside each accountant’s briefcase, lurking alongside their  blackberries and slide rules was a machete twice the size of the Jihadists preferred toolsof trade? Same answer, they will still seek to escape. Knife fighting to the death is noton the curriculum at the East Midlands College of Accountancy and Equality, nor is itin the temperament of average European males, be they football hooligans with a penchant for fisticuffs, let alone accountants.Conversely, when a solitary but fully armed US Marine finds himself confronted by fivemachete wielding Jihadists, it’s fairly safe to say he will recount the ensuing events tohis comrades the following morning. The Jihadists, on the other hand, are more likely tohave had an up close and personal chat with Allah, prior to salaciously indulgingthemselves amongst their newly acquired harem of celestial virgins.Which brings me to the point of this article. 5:1 is no guarantee that the majority willwin and 5:1 is where we will find ourselves long before 2025. When I started looking atthese figures, I anticipated that the numbers necessary for a civil war — based ontoday’s 18:1 — would not be in place until well into the second half of this century, butI was wrong. By 2025 Europe could find itself with a potential combatant ratio of 2:1 asshown in the following extrapolated figures, with the ratio figure rounded up or down:
Year 2005 - Overall Population.
Total Population: 519 million Non-Muslim European population: 494 Million.Muslim population: 26 Million.Ratio: 19:1
 
Year 2005 - Males Aged 20-40
 Non-Muslim European population: 70.3 Million.Muslim population: 3.9 Million
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Ratio: 18:1
Year 2025 - Males Aged 20-40
 Non-Muslim European Population: 53.4MillionMuslim Population: 5.9 MillionRatio: 9:1This ratio of 9:1 is not hypothetical; the people it represents are already here in our maternity wards and schools. It does not however, represent the true picture of 2025.Europe’s welfare states need a constant ratio of workers to dependents, a situation thatrequires immigration due to feminism’s legacy of career before children. Theaforementioned UN report suggests that Europe will require 2.2 million immigrants per year, with the majority coming from Muslim countries. When these extra 28 millionimmigrants are taken into account the figures look as follows.
Year 2025 - Males Aged 20-40
 Non-Muslim European Population: 53.4 MillionMuslim Population: 10.1 Million
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Ratio: 5:1As these numbers slowly change the character of Europe, many Europeans will simply pack up and leave, a situation occurring already in unprecedented numbers in countriessuch as Holland which has a 6% Muslim population, one of the highest in WesternEurope. According to the
an estimated 121,000 native Dutch emigrated in2006 compared to only 30,000 in 1999. The demographic profile of these emigrants waswell educated, 35-44 with good incomes. Their exodus represents a massive 4.5% of their entire age group.
 In one year 
.In Britain, with a lower Muslim percentage but a higher incidence of terrorist activity,more than one in twowish to emigrate. So, to take an overly conservative figure of  emigration amongst 20-40 year olds running at a mere 1% per annum, the figures wouldlook as follows.
Year 2025 - Males Aged 20-40
 Non-Muslim European Population: 44.6 MillionMuslim Population: 10.1 MillionRatio: 4:1In the event of civil war erupting, does anyone seriously think that Turkey wouldremain on the sidelines? By 2025 there will be some12 millio nTurkish males of fighting age. They will probably be part of the European Union well before then, but, if not, it is unlikely that the necessity of a visa will stop them from crossing the border inaid of their fellow Muslims. Should this transpire, the figures are as follows:
Year 2025 - Males Aged 20-40
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