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ME-02 LCV for PPP (June 2014)

ME-02 LCV for PPP (June 2014)

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Published by: Daily Kos Elections on Jun 04, 2014
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06/05/2014

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Public Policy Polling 2912 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 Phone: 888 621-6988 Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com Email: information@publicpolicypolling.com
From: Tom Jensen, Director of Public Policy Polling
Subject: Cain holds commanding lead in ME-2 Primary
Date: June 4, 2014
A new Public Policy Polling survey finds that Emily Cain holds a commanding lead over Troy Jackson in the Democratic primary for Main
e’s 2
nd
 Congressional District, driven in  part by the wide advantage she has over her opponent when it comes to environmental issues. Key findings from the survey include: -Cain leads Jackson 60-25, with just 15% of voters still undecided. Momentum is on C
ain’s side as well
- since a PPP poll three weeks ago that found her up 50-
23, she’s gained 10 points while Jackson’s support has gone up only 2.
Cain holds commanding leads with every segment of the electorate-
she’s over 50% and ahead of Jackson by
double digits with men, women, younger voters, and seniors alike. -Cain has an extremely positive image with Democratic primary voters, 69% of whom say they have a favorable opinion of her to just 11% with a negative one. Feelings about Jackson are more mixed- 42% see him favorably but 26% see him unfavorably, more than double the number who have a negative perception of Cain. -Environmental issues and the focus on the contrast between Cain and Jackson on them has been a key focus of the race, and voters have considerably more faith in Cain than Jackson on that front. 61% trust Cain more on environmental issues to just 19% for Jackson. It appears that Emily Cain is primed for a dominant victory in the Democratic primary on June 10
th
. PPP surveyed 810 like primary voters on June 2nd and 3
rd
 on behalf of the League of Conservation Voters
. The survey’s margin of error is +/
-3.4%.
 
June 2-3, 2014
Survey of 810 Democratic primary voters
June 2-3, 2014
Survey of 810 Democratic primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-69883020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Maine 2nd Congressional District Survey Results
Q1
How likely would you say you are to vote in next week’s Democratic primary for Congress and other important offices? Will you definitely vote, probably vote, are the chances 50/50, or will you probably not vote? 89%
Will definitely vote
...........................................
 11%
Will probably vote
...........................................
 0%
Chances are 50/50
.........................................
 0%
Will probably not vote
......................................
 0%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q2
The Democratic candidates for U.S. House are Emily Cain and Troy Jackson. If the election was today, who would you vote for? 60%
Emily Cain
.......................................................
 25%
Troy Jackson
...................................................
 15%
Undecided
.......................................................
Q3
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Emily Cain? 69%
Favorable
........................................................
 11%
Unfavorable
....................................................
 19%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q4
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Troy Jackson? 42%
Favorable
........................................................
 26%
Unfavorable
....................................................
 32%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q5
Which candidate for Congress do you trust more on environmental issues: Emily Cain or Troy Jackson? 61%
Emily Cain
.......................................................
 19%
Troy Jackson
...................................................
 20%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q6
If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2. 55%
Woman
...........................................................
 45%
Man
.................................................................
Q7
If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to 45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are older than 65, press 4. 9%
18 to 29
...........................................................
 21%
30 to 45
...........................................................
 42%
46 to 65
...........................................................
 28%
Older than 65
..................................................
 
June 2-3, 2014
survey of 810 Democratic primary voters
June 2-3, 2014
survey of 810 Democratic primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-69883020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
BaseGender WomanManCain/JacksonEmily CainTroy JacksonUndecided 60%
 67% 52%
25%
 18% 34%
15%
 15% 15%
BaseGender WomanManCain FavorabilityFavorableUnfavorableNot sure 69%
 70% 68%
11%
 10% 13%
19%
 20% 19%
BaseGender WomanManJackson FavorabilityFavorableUnfavorableNot sure 42%
 36% 50%
26%
 27% 25%
32%
 38% 25%
BaseGender WomanManMost Trusted onEnviroEmily CainTroy JacksonNot sure 61%
 66% 55%
19%
 15% 24%
20%
 19% 21%
Base Age18 to2930 to4546 to65Older than 65Cain/JacksonEmily CainTroy JacksonUndecided 60%
 51% 51% 59% 70%
25%
 37% 27% 28% 15%
15%
 12% 22% 13% 15%
Base Age18 to2930 to4546 to65Older than 65Cain FavorabilityFavorableUnfavorableNot sure 69%
 64% 69% 67% 74%
11%
 18% 12% 13% 6%
19%
 18% 19% 20% 19%

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