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NFL SECTION BY
LANCE ZIERLEIN
WEEK 11
Catch Lance Zierlein from 6 to 10 am daily,alongside John Granato. Listen to John Harris onthe Sean and John show, with Sean Pendergastshow 3 to 7 PM daily. www.1560thegame.com
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Sidelin
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Monday Night Football is back in Houston!!!
Who wants revenge more?
NFL SECTION BY
LANCE ZIERLEIN
WEEK 11
Tennessee (3-6) vs. Houston (5-4)
Texans - 20 vs. Titans - 17
November 23, 2009 - ESPN 7:30 PM CST
t2009 Ranking161.8 ypg
-
2ndRun Offense90.8 ypg
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28th 170.2 ypg
-
26thPass Offense284.1 ypg
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3rd21.0 ppg
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18thScoring Offense23.9 ppg
-
14th 109.3 ypg
-
16thRun Defense108.7 ypg
-
14th 270.4 ypg
-
31stPass Defense223.6 ypg
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17th 28.3 ppg
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30thScoring Defense20.9 ppg
-
15th
-
3
-
Tied 22ndTO Margin+1
-
Tied 14th
When the Titans have the ball...
The Titans have scaled some of their passing attack back now that Vince Young isthe starting QB but he's also played with a great deal more composure than we saw over the last two seasons and the Titans are getting the ball in Chris Johnson's hands as much as they can. The Texans obviously had major problems with Chris Johnson last time out and he's one of those rare backs who can take the ball play
-
side and go the distanceor cut it all the way across the field and take it to the house. The Texans must play assignment
-
oriented footballagainst Johnson and they can't over
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pursue or miss tackles on the perimeter. Another point of concern will be thedeep play ability of WRs Nate Washington and Kenny Britt.
When the Texans have the ball...
Obviously the running gameisn't where the Texans want or expect it to be but they are hoping that their passing attack opens up the ground game some. So far wehaven't seen the effects of losing TE Daniels for the season and I'mnot sure it will make a huge amount of difference in this oneconsidering how many problems the Titans have had against the passthis year. The Texans have turned the ball over three times in each of their last two games while the Titans are a whopping +7 in turnoversduring their last three games. Protecting Matt Schaub was a big partof the Texans win in Tennessee and it will be equally critical herebecause one blown assignment or slow spring out of the offensivelineman's stance and the Texans could find one of the Titans edgerushers all over Schaub and stripping the ball from him on a sack.
Conclusion:
The Titans still have holes on both sides of the ball and itis the Texans job to exploit those holes. Over their last six games, the Texans are allowing only 60.5 ypg on the ground which might be the best in the league over that time frame. If the Texans can keep Chris Johnson in check, thenVince Young won't be enough to beat the Texans.
Vegas Line: Texans -4.5 / 48.5
2009 ATS Record
4
-
5
-
0
2009 Over/Under
6
-
3
-
0
Last 5 Games
11/15 W, Buffalo 41
-
1711/8 W, @ San Fran. 34
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2711/1 W, Jacksonville 30
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1310/18 L, @ New England 0
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5910/11 L, Indy 9
-
31
2009 ATS Record
5
-
3
-
1
2009 Over/Under
3
-
6
-
0
Last 5 Games
11/8 L, @ Indy 17
-
2011/1 W, @ Buffalo 31
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1010/25 W, San Fran. 24
-
2110/18 W, @ Cincinnati 28
-
1710/11 L, @ Arizona 21
-
28
Last Meeting: Houston - 34 vs. Tennessee - 31 (9/20/2008)
Fantasy Report
Titans Defense
- The Titans defensewent nuts with two defensive TDs lastweekend, but that are only an averagestart at best against the Texans.
Matt Schaub
, Texans QB
- By now youknow you have to pretty much startSchaub most of the time because he'sputting up consistently winning fantasynumbers.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Against The Spread Trends
(
ATS
)
Category
Record
Percen
t
Away Teams
311
-
295
-
6
51.32
%
Home Teams
295
-
311
-
6
48.68
%
Favorites
297
-
299
-
6
49.83
%
Dogs
299
-
297
-
5
50.17
%
Away Favorites
106
-
94
-
3
53.00
%
Away Dogs
205
-
191
-
3
51.77
%
Home Favorites
191
-
205
-
3
48.23
%
Home Dogs
94
-
106
-
3
47.00
%
Over vs. Under Trends
Category
Overs
%
Unders
%
Overtime Games
10
55.56
%
8
44.44
%
Non
-
Overtime Games
268
45.58
%
320
54.42
%
All Games
278
45.87
%
328
54.13
%
Top Trends
Under is 9
-
2 in Oklahoma Sooners last 11 games overallHouston Cougars are 5
-
1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favoriteUnder is 9
-
2 in Ole Miss Rebels last 11 conference gamesStanford Cardinal are 11
-
0 ATS in their last 11 home gamesOhio State Buckeyes are 9
-
2 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. winBYU Cougars are 1
-
5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite Arizona Wildcats are 4
-
0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog
NFL FOOTBALL
Against The Spread Trends
(
ATS
)
Category
Record
Percen
t
Away Teams
75
-
65
-
4
53.57
%
Home Teams
65
-
75
-
4
46.43
%
Favorites
69
-
71
-
4
49.29
%
Dogs
71
-
69
-
4
50.71
%
Away Favorites
25
-
21
-
0
54.35
%
Away Dogs
50
-
44
-
4
53.19
%
Home Favorites
44
-
50
-
4
46.81
%
Home Dogs
21
-
25
-
0
45.65
%
Over vs. Under Trends
Category
Overs
%
Unders
%
Overtime Games
3
50.00
%
3
50.00
%
Non
-
Overtime Games
71
52.21
%
65
47.79
%
All Games
74
52.11
%
68
47.89
%
Top Trends
Panthers are 4
-
1 ATS in their last 5 games overall49ers are 6
-
0
-
1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog Road team is 7
-
0 ATS in the last 7 meetings between Giants and FalconsUnder is 6
-
1 in Ravens last 7 home gamesRedskins are 1
-
5
-
2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC Jets are 1
-
7 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. lossOver is 6
-
1 in the last 7 meetings between the Chargers and BroncosBengals are 7
-
0 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog
HANDICAPPING INFORMATION
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