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of theIntelligence Explosion
Eliezer YudkowskySingularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence
singinst.org
"Intelligence explosion:"
•Concept invented by I. J. Good (famousname in Bayesian statistics) in 1965.•Hypothesis: The smarter you are, themore creativity you can apply to the taskof making yourself even smarter.•Prediction: Positive feedback cycle rapidlyleading to superintelligence.
Eliezer Yudkowsky Singularity Institute for AI
(Good, I. J. 1965. Speculations Concerning the First Ultraintelligent Machine.Pp. 31-88 in
Advances in Computers
,
6
, F. L. Alt and M. Rubinoff, eds. NewYork: Academic Press.)
Intelligence explosion hypothesisdoes
not
imply, nor require:
•More change occurred from 1970 to 2000than from 1940 to 1970.•Technological progress follows apredictable curve.•Does not even require that "Real AI" ispossible! (An intelligence explosion couldhappen with augmented humans.)
Eliezer Yudkowsky Singularity Institute for AI
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