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Does the Sophomore Slump Really Exist?

Does the Sophomore Slump Really Exist?

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Various statisticians and sports analysts have addressed the role of
regression to the mean in major league sports performances. This
paper intensifies general findings on the topic, specifically, that of
Schall and Smith (2000), to focus upon regression with respect to the
widely-acknowledged sophomore slump. Results of the analysis yield two main findings. First, players’ comparatively poor performances during their second seasons of play reflect uncharacteristically high first-season statistics, not low second-season statistics. Second, the degree of change in performance from the first to the second seasons clearly follows Campbell and Stanley’s (1963) regression to the mean model. [Article copies available for a fee from The Transformative Studies Institute. E-mail address: journal@transformativestudies.org
Website: http://www.transformativestudies.org ©2014 by The
Transformative Studies Institute. All rights reserved.]
Various statisticians and sports analysts have addressed the role of
regression to the mean in major league sports performances. This
paper intensifies general findings on the topic, specifically, that of
Schall and Smith (2000), to focus upon regression with respect to the
widely-acknowledged sophomore slump. Results of the analysis yield two main findings. First, players’ comparatively poor performances during their second seasons of play reflect uncharacteristically high first-season statistics, not low second-season statistics. Second, the degree of change in performance from the first to the second seasons clearly follows Campbell and Stanley’s (1963) regression to the mean model. [Article copies available for a fee from The Transformative Studies Institute. E-mail address: journal@transformativestudies.org
Website: http://www.transformativestudies.org ©2014 by The
Transformative Studies Institute. All rights reserved.]

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Published by: Transformative Studies Institute on Jul 06, 2014
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