ABSTRAK

Estimating electrical energy consumption holds a very important role in

planning and operating electrical energy system to fulfill the vast need for electrical
energy. In approximating the growth of electrical energy consumption, the data of
electrical energy consumption pattern in the past is needed.
This final project aims to calculate electrical energy consumption in the
future by using Simple Linear Regression Method Time Series to estimate the
electrical energy consumption of PT PLN in Central Semarang region as far as 2017.
This estimation is made using records of the past to create a linear mathematical
equation that closes on the real data points. The projection of this linear is the base
of energy consumption estimation in the future.
Electrical energy consumption of PT PLN in Central Semarang region tended
to increase from 364.612.510 VA in June 2011 to 422.610.920 VA in May 2014. By
using Simple Linear Regression Method, it is predicted that the amount of energy
consumption in 2017 will be 500.630.486 VA in total, 20% higher than the
consumption in 2013. The calculation of future consumption can be used to evaluate
the capacity of relay station providing Central Semarang region that apparently can
only supply energy until December 2014.
Key words: consumption estimation, simple linear regression method, relay station
evaluation