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Nordic Outlook 1408: Continued recovery – greater downside risks

Nordic Outlook 1408: Continued recovery – greater downside risks

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Published by SEB Group
Accelerating global growth is the most probable world economic scenario in 2015, helped by an improved outlook in such key countries as the United States, the United Kingdom, China and India, write SEB's Economist in the latest issue of Nordic Outlook.
Accelerating global growth is the most probable world economic scenario in 2015, helped by an improved outlook in such key countries as the United States, the United Kingdom, China and India, write SEB's Economist in the latest issue of Nordic Outlook.

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Published by: SEB Group on Aug 26, 2014
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Continued global recovery, but greater downside risksRiksbank will cut key rate in uncharted political landscape
Nordic Outlook
Economic Research – August 2014
 
Contents
Nordic Outlook – August 2014 |
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International overview 5Theme: What should central banks aim for? 14The United States 16Theme: Is low potential growth in the US here to stay? 20Japan 21Asia 22The euro zone 25Theme: Public debt problems persist in the euro zone 29The United Kingdom 30Eastern Europe 31The Baltics 33Sweden 34Theme: New political landscape after the election 39Denmark 41Norway 43Finland 46Economic data 48
Boxes
International overview: Permanently higher risk level 7International overview: Fiscal policy makers seek new mechanisms 10International overview: How long will the recovery last? 12USA: Temporary factors have lowered 2014 GDP 16USA: Fewer households are moving 17USA: Neutral interest rate is lower today 19The euro zone: ECB rotation, minutes, fewer meetings 28Sweden: Low pay hikes a threat to inflation target? 36Denmark: Is Denmark overheating? 42
 
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| Nordic Outlook – August 2014
Economic Research
This report was published on August 26, 2014.Cut-off date for calculations and forecasts was August 21, 2014. Robert BergqvistChief Economist+ 46 8 506 230 16Elisabet Kopelman Head of Economic Research Japan + 46 8 506 230 17Håkan Frisén Head of Economic ForecastingSweden+ 46 8 763 80 67Daniel Bergvall Economist The euro zone & Finland +46 8 763 85 94Mattias Bruér Economist US & United Kingdom + 46 8 763 85 06Ann Enshagen Lavebrink Editorial Assistant + 46 8 763 80 77Mikael Johansson Economist The Baltics, Poland & Eastern Europe + 46 8 763 80 93Andreas Johnson Economist China, India, Ukraine & Russia +46 8 763 80 32Frederik Engholm-Hansen SEB Copenhagen Denmark +45 3328 1469Thomas Thygesen SEB Copenhagen Denmark +45 3328 1008Olle Holmgren Trading Strategy Stockholm Sweden +46 8 763 80 79Erica Blomgren SEB Oslo Norway +47 2282 7277Stein Bruun SEB Oslo Norway+47 2100 8534SEB Economic Research, K-A3, SE-106 40 Stockholm

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