/  8
 
 
This material has been produced by RBS sales and trading staff and should not be considered independent.
The Round Up
9 December 2009
Issue No. 235
The Round Up is a comprehensive daily note produced by the RBS Warrantsteam providing an overview of market movements along with quality ideas forwarrant traders and investors.
In today’s issue
Global Market Action
Scoreboard, commentary
Aussie Market Action
SPI Comment, Events & Dividends
NWS (NWSKZJ) MINI Trading Buy
USD rebound, more value in TV
BXB (BXBKZG) MINI Trading Buy
– Recovery Story
ASX (ASXKZI) MINI Trading Buy
 – Strong November trading
 Round Up Corner Banks Update ANZ,CBA,NAB,WBC
Equities
Move Last % Move Range Volume
ASX 200-5.94670.6-0.1% 
-6 to -6.u.c $2.5 bn(L)
SPI - yesterday-4.04669.0-0.1% 
-16 to +31 21,488(L)
Dow Jones-104.110286.0-1.0% 
-140 to -4
AvgS&P 500-11.31091.9-1.0% 
-15 to -0
LowNasdaq-16.62173.0-0.8% 
-29 to -2
LowFTSE-87.55223.1-1.6% 
-104 to +13
High
Commodities
Move Last % Today % Past Month
Oil-WTI spot-1.3572.58-1.8% -6.3%  Gold Spot-28.301129.80-2.4%+3.2% Nickel (LME)+6.71 728.79 +0.9%-7.0%  Aluminium (LME)+0.17 96.51 +0.2% +13.3%Copper (LME)-1.07314.66-0.3%+7.2% Zinc (LME)+0.95 104.03 +0.9% +6.8%Silver-0.5617.63-3.1%+1.4% Sugar-0.2321.65-1.1% -0.9% 
 
 
Dual Listed Companies (DLC’s)
Move %Move Last AUD Terms Diff to Aus
NWS (US)+0.05 +0.3% 14.57 16.10
-4.1 c 
RIO (UK)-82.5 p -2.6%£30.87 55.59
-1631.2 c 
BLT (BHP UK)-54.0 p -2.8%£18.565 33.43
-762.0 c 
BXB (UK)-3.5 p -1.0%£3.450 6.21
-10.8 c 
American Depository Receipts (ADR’s)
Move %Move Last AUD Terms Diff to Aus
BHP (US)-2.17 -2.9%72.70 40.17
-88.4 c 
AWC (US)-0.24 -4.1%5.59 1.54
-3.6 c 
TLS (US)-0.35 -2.2%15.35 3.39
-2.8 c 
ANZ (US)-0.37 -1.8%19.70 21.77
-16.2 c 
WBC (US)-1.95 -1.8%106.35 23.50
-34.7 c 
NAB (US)-0.42 -1.7%24.95 27.57
-32.1 c 
LGL (US)-1.12 -3.6%29.80 3.29
-6.7 c 
RMD (US)-0.77 -1.5%51.48 5.69
-5.2 c 
JHX (US)-0.47 -1.3%37.04 8.19
-4.4 c 
PDN (CAN)-0.01 -0.3%3.90 4.06
-1.5 c 
Overnight Commentary
United States Commentary
 
Jitters overnight night care of more sovereign debt worries, this time a reduction in Greece's debt rating doing most of thedamage. Lower from the opening bell, the Dow has managed a pop off lows, but is still 117pts in the red and with 45minsto trade, any influx of buying looks unlikely. The S&P down 1.1% and the Nasdaq down 0.7%.
Energy -
Chevron and Exxon among the bigger drags on the Dow. Strength from the dollar, subsequent weakness fromcrude and a general aversion to raw material names, has Chevron down 2.1%, Exxon trading 1.7% lower and togetherwith McDonalds, the Dow's biggest pt takers.
Consumers -
McDonalds trading 2.3% lower and the biggest pts drag on the Dow after November sales fell shy ofexpectations. Reporting their smallest monthly gain in global sales for 5 years, within that number, US sales contractingfor a 2nd month.
Financials -
With questions being asked globally around the health/security of sovereign debt, banks were the othercasualty. BofA down nearly 3% and the Dow worst performer, Citi down 4%, JP and Goldman's down around 1%.
Retail -
Kroger Co. down more than 11% and the S&P's worst performer after cutting FY forecasts and missing withnumbers. Excluding write-down's, 3Q earnings of 27cps compares with consensus at 36cps and mgmt now expect a FYnumber of $1.60-$1.70 vs the average estimate sitting at $1.94/share. Elsewhere and rounding out the S&P's bottom 3,Supervalue down 8% and Safeway 6.5% lower.
United Kingdom & Europe Commentary
TheFTSEfell1.7%or88ptsasconcernsofexposuretoDubaidebtsawthebanksweigh.AnunexpectedfallforGermanindustrialproductionandongoingconcernsaboutGreekdebthurtEuropeanbourses.TheFTSEEurofirst300wasoff1.6%,theDAXslumped1.7%andtheCACended1.4%lower.
UK Banks -
RBS,off7.7%,wastheworstontheFTSE100sinkingtoan8monthlowwiththebankbeingthelargestunderwritertoDubaiWorld.TherestofthesectorwasalsolowerwithHSBC2.5%lower,StandardCharteredslumped3.7%andBarclaysfell3.2%.
Euro Banks -
TheGreeknewsdidlittletohelpthesectorinEurope.Irishbanks,whichhavealsobeenunderpressureondebtissuesslumpedwhilstamongstthemajors,DeutscheBankfell2%,Commerzbankdropped1.8%,BNPsank1.6%andSocGenended1.2%lower.
 
 
Euro News -
FitchstrippedGreeceofitsAratingcuttingittoBBB+withanegativeoutlookcitingincreasinggovtdebtwiththeGreekPMstrugglingtoshoreupitsfinances.ConcernsarethatS&PandMoody'swouldfollowsuit.Itwasthefirsttimein10yearsthatoneofthethreeleadingratingsagencieshasloweredGreecebelowtheAgradecategory.
Eco -
GermanIndustrialproductionwasunexpectedlylowercominginat-1.8%vs+1expectedwhileBritishIndustrialandManufacturingproductionwerealsobothlowerthanexpected.
Retail -
Tescowasoff2.3%afterpostinglowerthanexpectedquarterlysales.ThesectorwasweakeronthebackofthenewswithSainsburydropping1.2%andMorrisonedging0.1%lower.NothelpingwerefiguresthatshowedRetailsalesvaluesroseattheirslowestannualpacelastmonthsinceAugustwithfoodinflationlow.
Commodites Commentary
Miners -
ThesectorwasweakerasinvestorsmovedoutofcyclicalswithastrongerUSdollaralsohurting.BHPwasoff2.8%,Riofell2.6%,Anglodropped3.2%andXstrataslumped3.5%aftersayingitwouldtakea$2bnchargeforrestructuringitsnickelbusinessandwouldwrite-downsomecopperassetstothetuneof$550mn.
 
SPI Commentary
The SPI traded up 6pts or 0.1% to 4669. Open at 4669 with a high of 4704 and a low of 4630. Volume 24,140. Overnight the SPItraded down 55 to 4615.
 
SPI Intraday SPI Daily
 
*SPI report taken from the 9:50am open to the 4:30pm close on the previous trading day. Charts taken from IRESS 
Upcoming Economic Events for the Week
MondayAUS
Aus ANZ job ads
USTuesdayAUS
Aus NAB business confidence, Aus current account balance
US
US consumer credit
 
WednesdayAUS
Aus trade balance, Aus housing finance
 
USThursdayAUS
Aus unemployment rate
 
US
US wholesale inventories
 
NZ
NZ RBNZ cash rate decision
 
FridayAUSUS
US trade balance, US retail sales
*Dates are indicative only and may change 

Share & Embed

More from this user

Add a Comment

Characters: ...