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SPPI
 
O
RIGINAL
P
 APER 
 
September 28, 2009
 
“G
LOBAL WARMING
  A DEBATE AT LAST
 
by
Christopher Monckton of Brenchley
 
 
2
T
 ABLE OF
C
ONTENTS
 
L
ET
C
OOLER
H
EADS
P
REVAIL
.......................................................................
7
 
The relationship between CO2 and temperature over time
......................
8
 The UN’s projections for CO2 concentration
.............................................
12
 Climate sensitivity to CO2
............................................................................
14
 
What caused the warming from 1975-1998?
...............................................
19
 Hurricanes
.....................................................................................................
20
 Sea-level rise
.................................................................................................
22
 The cryosphere
.............................................................................................
23
 Loss of species
..............................................................................................
23
 Conclusion
.....................................................................................................
24
 References
....................................................................................................
25
 
D
R
.
 
D
LUGOLECKI
S LETTER TO THE
 J
OURNAL OF THE
C
HARTERED
I
NSURANCE
I
NSTITUTE
......................................
27
 
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Process
..........
28
 Factual Errors in the article
Let Cooler Heads Prevail
................................
32
 
Inadequate scientific theory
.......................................................................
35
 Biased presentation of evidence
................................................................
37
 False Conclusions
.........................................................................................
42
 
L
ET COOL HEADS PREVAIL
 
Commentary and rebuttal by Andrew Dlugolecki,with Lord Monckton’s refutation of the rebuttal
.....................................
47
 
D
RAFT LETTER TO THE
 J
OURNAL OF THE
C
HARTERED
I
NSURANCE
I
NSTITUTE
......................................
96
 
 
T
 ABLE OF
C
ONTENTS
 
 
3
“G
LOBAL WARMING
”:
A DEBATE AT LAST
 
by
Christopher Monckton of Brenchley
|
September 24, 2009
 
 A 
UTHOR 
'
S
N
OTE
 
HY is true debate about the science behind “globalwarming” and the extent (if any) of the manmade threat tothe planet so very rare? Late in 2006, the Institute for PublicPolicy Research, a Socialist think-tank in the UK, proposed that the Leftshould in future merely assert that there was no scientific dissent, thedebate was over, and the Earth doomed – unless, of course, theeconomies of the free West were shut down as completely and asrapidly as possible.
Of all the elaborate lies that feed the climate scare, this was the mostsuccessful. Ever since it was first circulated, Leftist academics, scientists,politicians, bureaucrats, and journalists worldwide were relieved that theyno longer had to argue against the mounting body of scientific evidence anddata pointing to the fact that the influence of greenhouse gases ontemperature is far smaller than the UN’s climate panel admits. They simplyrefused to debate the issue.However, on rare occasions one of the true-believers in the New Religion isso appalled when the scientific truth is unexpectedly published that hebecomes drawn into – horror of horrors – a real debate about the credibilityof the science behind the scare.In the April/May 2009
 Journal of the Chartered Insurance Institute of London,
Paul Maynard and I published an article entitled
Let Cool Heads Prevail,
expressing grave scientific doubt about the supposed magnitude of theanthropogenic effect on global temperature, and providing substantialevidence from the published data and from the peer-reviewed literature.Our article caught the insurance industry by surprise. Lloyds of London hadpublicly issued blood-curdling warnings of the climatic terrors allegedly tocome. The Prince of Wales had established
Climate Wise,
a group of leadingfigures in the insurance market committed, in effect, to peddling andpromulgating the scare, and to silencing all dissent. The market was sewnup. How, then, could no less an organ of academic opinion than the
 Journal
have allowed two heretics – one of them a very senior and widely-respected
 W 
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Thx for the valuable information. By the way, I enjoy reading all your documents. will keep in touch. Dr. Sekheta

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