A u g u s t 2 0 0 7
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A u g u s t 2 0 0 7
Introduction
It is well known that growth in residents, visitors and businesses presentsmany opportunities for cities and counties but growth also results indemandsforadditionalservicesfromlocalgovernments.Lesswellknownishowpopulationgrowthimpactslocalgovernmentbudgets in terms of additional spending requirements to provideadditional services.The Budget ImpactTemplate (BIT) offers a first assessment capacity to calculate estimates of these impacts on city and county governments,in particular.
TheBudgetImpactTemplateObjective
To provide local government jurisdictions with a relatively simple,understandable yet credible tool to estimate typical budget spending andtax collection impacts resulting from growth in residents, visitors andbusinesses.Econometricmodelscanprovidemoredetails.The BIT is useful for estimating impacts from average annual growthtrends and/or spikes in growth beyond these trends due to DevelopmentsofRegionalImpacts(DRIs)orotherspecificreasons.
TheBudgetImpactTemplate’sUses
1.
Provides a measurable sense of growth impacts on each local government’s General Fund departments. These departments provide basicservicessuchaslawenforcementandfire.
2.
Focusesonpercapita(per1,000)residentsimpactcalculationsaverages forexpendituresandtaxes.
3.
With a better understanding of growth impacts on the budget, local officialsandthepubliccanbetterassessoptionsrelatedtoGeneralFund taxingandspendingpolicies.
4.
Local government departments and/or offices can better explain the portionoftheirbudgetrequeststhatresultfrompopulationincreasesin the county. Government officials can better assess growth impacts on spendingandtaxingpressuresandhelpcitizensunderstandtheimpact ofthesepressuresontheBudget.
Current year numbers of residents,visitors & businesses receive servicesfunded in government budgets.
These budgets can be expressed in dollars budgeted per 1,000 population: $ Expenditures/1,000 $ Revenues/1,000
Additionalresidents, visitors&businessescomingnextyearandeveryyearthereafterpayadditionaltaxesandgettheirshareoftheadditionalservicesfundedinlocalgovernmentbudgets.
Per 1,000 populationgrowth numbers can be used tocalculate estimated increasesin tax revenues paid by each extra 1,000 peopleand the cost of servicesthey require.
Thebudgetimpacttemplatetranslatesper1,000populationgrowthnumbersintolikelyrevenuesandspendingwhicheachlocalgovernmentcanexpectifthenew populationreceivesthesamelevelofservicesandpaystaxesbasedoncurrentrates.
BudgetImpact TemplateBasicLogic:
Attachment2
Footnotes
1.
U.S.CensuspopulationstatisticsavailablethroughtheUniversityofFlorida’sBureauofEconomicandBusinessResearch
2.
WinterHavenChamberofCommerceBlog:CSX:YourQuestions,May3,2007
3.
PolkCountygovernmentstaffbriefingdocumentfortheBoardofCountyCommissioners,“PolkCountyPropertyTaxReformDiscussion,”May23,2007
4.
PolkCountygovernmentbriefingdocument,“PolkCountyPropertyTaxReformDiscussion,”May23,2007
5.
PolkCountySchoolDistrictFY2006-07Budget
6.
PolkCountySheriff’sOfficeStrategicPlanforFY2007-08;alsoPolkCountygovernmentstaffbriefingdocumentfortheBoardofCountyCommissioners,“PolkCountyPropertyTaxReformDiscussion,”May23,2007.
In addition to using documents supplied by the different organizations,multiple interviews were conducted with Polk County Government,the Polk Sheriff’s Office and Polk School District staff during the months of May-July 2007.
Attachment3
Author,GlennW.Robertson:Background
1988 – present:
President, GlennW. Robertson & Associates, Tallahassee, Florida: specializing in integrated planning,policy,budget,finance,operatingandperformancesystemsandsoftwareforgovernmentandbusiness.
1979 – 88:
Director of State of Florida Policy, Planning, Budgeting and Finance for Governors Bob Graham (D),WayneMixson(D)andBobMartinez(R).
1977–79:
AssistantCountyAdministratorandDirectoroftheBudgetforPinellasCounty,Florida.
1972–79:
DirectorofProgramPlanning,IntergovernmentalAffairsandEvaluationforCityofTampa,Florida.
1968–72:
HillsboroughCountyBoardofPublicInstruction,Instructor.
Education:
M.A.inEconomics:UniversityofSouthFloridaM.S.inManagement:UniversityofSouthFloridaB.A.inEconomics:U.S.F.B.A.inSocialScience/Education:U.S.F.
GlennW.Robertson,GlennW.Robertson&Associates GWR8008@aol.com 850-294-8264
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