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This material has been produced by RBS sales and trading staff and should not be considered independent.
The Round Up
17 December 2009
Issue No. 241
The Round Up is a comprehensive daily note produced by the RBS Warrantsteam providing an overview of market movements along with quality ideas forwarrant traders and investors.
In today’s issue
Global Market Action
Scoreboard, commentary
Aussie Market Action
SPI Comment, Events & Dividends
NWS (NWSKZJ) MINI Trading Buy
USD rebound, more value in TV
QAN (QANKZK) MINI Trading Buy
– Aviation White Paper
 
ASX (ASXKZI) MINI Trading Buy
 – Strong November trading
 Round Up Corner Banks Update ANZ,CBA,NAB,WBC
Equities
Move Last % Move Range Volume
ASX 200-11.64661.9-0.2% 
-12 to -12.u.c $2.3 bn(L)
SPI - yesterday-10.04654.0-0.2% 
-17 to +27 54,299(VH)
Dow Jones-10.910441.1-0.1% 
-24 to +58
AvgS&P 500+1.3 1109.2 +0.1%
+ to +8
AvgNasdaq+5.9 2206.9 +0.3%
+2 to +19
AvgFTSE+34.5 5320.3 +0.7%
-2 to +50
Low
Commodities
Move Last % Today % Past Month
Oil-WTI spot+1.97 72.66 +2.8%-7.9%  Gold Spot+12.80 1138.00 +1.1%-0.2%  Nickel (LME)+22.59 790.80 +2.9% +4.1%Aluminium (LME)+1.91 101.59 +1.9% +12.2%Copper (LME)+6.48 317.38 +2.1% +2.4%Zinc (LME)+4.47 108.75 +4.3% +6.4%Silver+0.27 17.69 +1.6%-3.9%  Sugar+1.12 25.37 +4.6% +12.2%
 
 
Dual Listed Companies (DLC’s)
Move %Move Last AUD Terms Diff to Aus
NWS (US)+0.27 +1.8% 15.56 17.27
+37.4 c
RIO (UK)+55.5 p +1.8% £31.87 57.78
-1302.3 c 
BLT (BHP UK)+1.0 p +0.1% £19.025 34.49
-656.0 c 
BXB (UK)-3.0 p -0.9%£3.435 6.23
-4.3 c 
American Depository Receipts (ADR’s)
Move %Move Last AUD Terms Diff to Aus
BHP (US)+0.42 +0.6% 74.58 41.40
+34.7 c
AWC (US)+0.05 +0.8% 6.35 1.76
+2.2 c
TLS (US)+0.12 +0.8% 15.83 3.51
+1.5 c
ANZ (US)+0.02 +0.1% 19.23 21.35
-15.2 c 
WBC (US)-1.14 -1.1%106.19 23.58
-2.3 c 
NAB (US)-0.04 -0.2%24.96 27.71
-24.1 c 
LGL (US)-0.01 -0.0%29.40 3.26
+3.4 c
RMD (US)-0.62 -1.2%52.20 5.79
-0.5 c 
JHX (US)+0.09 +0.2% 36.19 8.04
+9.5 c
PDN (CAN)-0.11 -2.8%3.80 3.98
-0.5 c 
Overnight Commentary
United States Commentary
 
AnotherinsipiddayoftradingacrosstheUS.SomeupsidesurprisefromBuildingPermitsandbuyingacrossthefinancials,morethanoffsetbyweaknessingrowthandtechnames.HeadinginthebelltheDowtrading19ptslower,theS&P+0.1%andtheNasdaqtrading0.2%higher.
Eco -
HeadlineCPIforNovemberinlineat+0.4%,ExFood&Energyunchangedvs+0.1%expected.CurrentAccountDeficitforthe3Q-$108.0blnvs-$107.5bln.HousingStartsforNovemberinlineat574Kbutupon529KinOctober,BuildingPermits584Kvsconsensusat570K.
Fed Minutes -
Althoughtherhetoricisgettingincrementallylessdovish,theFedonceagainreiteratedtheircommitmenttokeepingrates"exceptionallylow"foran"extendedperiod".Thatsaid,thereweresomeencouragingbullets,Householdspendingappearstobeexpandingandwhilstfarfromoutoftrouble,thedeteriorationinthelabourmarketis"abating.
Growth -
Fedbulletpointsfailedtoinspireanybuyingacrossthegrowthuniverse.EconomicbarometerswerethebiggestdragontheDow,ledlowerbyInteldown1.7%(theDow'sworstperformer),Boeingoff1.2%,3M1.1%lower.
Homebuilders -
OnthebackofthebetterthanexpectedPermitsnumber,USHomebuilderstradingaround5%higher.LeadingthewayKBHomeup6%,DRHorton5.1%higher,Lennarup4.5%,andPulteHomes4.4%higher.
Media -
Notforthefirsttimethisweek,Mediaplayswereafeatureinthepluscolumn.NewYorkTimesthepickofthegroupupnearly6%,Newscorpaddedafurther2.2%(S&P100'stop3)andWaltDisneyup1%andintheDow'stop10.
 
United Kingdom & Europe Commentary
TheFTSErose0.65%or34ptswithbankshigheronnewsofBaselreliefwithEuropeanboursesalsohelpedbyastrongservicessector.TheFTSEEurofirst300wasup1.25%,theDAXjumped1.6%andtheCACclimbed1.1%.
Finance -
EuropeanandBritishbanksfollowedtheleadofJapanesebanksonthenewsthatthelatestBaselrulesforstrengthenedcapitaladequacyrequirementscouldbedelayeduntilafter2020.AthirdandlastECBofferofunlimitedone-yearloansattractedthelowestnumberofbiddersyetandonly€100bnwasprovidedcomparedtothe€442bnallocatedinJune.
UK Banks -
HSBCwasup1%,Barclaysadded1.9%,StandardCharteredrose1%,Lloydsended0.4%higherbutRBSwasflat.
 
 
Euro Banks -
DeutscheBankjumped5.5%,Commerzbanksoared6.7%,BNPwasup2.6%aswasSocieteGenerale.BelgianfinancialgroupKBCwasup2.1%,DanskeBankjumped6.7%,INGadded5.9%andCreditAgricoleended1.7%higher.
Homebuilders -
AbrokernotesayingtobuyBarratt,TaylorWimpeyandRedrowsawthesectorstronger.ThenotesaidthatUKhomebuildingstocksweresetforasignificantrebound.OntheFTSE100Libertyadded4.4%andHammersonadded2.6%whilstontheFTSE350Redrowjumped6.9%,Barrattwasup6%andTaylorWimpeyrose4.96%.
Eco -
UKunemploymentrosebyjust21,000to2.49minthethreemonthstoOctober,thesmallestquarterlyincreasefornearly18months.Joblessclaimswere-6.3kvs+12.5kexpectedthefirstfallsinceFeblastyear.
Commodites Commentary
Miners -
Basemetalpriceriseshelpedthesectoraddtothegainsfromthebanks.BHPekedoutagainof0.1%,Riorose1.8%,Angloadded1.1%,Xstratawasup2.2%andVedantaclimbed0.7%.
 
SPI Commentary
The SPI traded down 7pts or 0.1% to 4654. Open at 4661 with a high of 4691 and a low of 4633. Volume 63,684. Overnight the SPItraded up 5pt to 4659.
 
SPI Intraday SPI Daily
 
*SPI report taken from the 9:50am open to the 4:30pm close on the previous trading day. Charts taken from IRESS 
Upcoming Economic Events for the Week
MondayAUSUSTuesdayAUSUSWednesdayAUSAus real GDP
 
USThursdayAUSUSUS core CPI
 
NZNZ RBNZ cash rate decision
 
FridayAUSUSUS leading index, US Philadelphia Fed index
 
*Dates are indicative only and may change 

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