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MEMORANDUM
TO: NANHAYWORTHFORCONGRESSCAMPAIGNTEAM
FROM: ROBERTBLIZZARDPUBLICOPINIONSTRATEGIES
DATE: OCTOBER27,2014
RE: RECENTNEWYORKCD18POLLINGRESULTS
OnbehalfofNanHayworthforCongress,PublicOpinionStrategiesconductedasurveyof400likely
voters(marginoferror+4.9%)inNewYorks18
th
CongressionalDistrict,October23&25,2014.
Fully25%oftheinterviewswereconductedviacellphone,andthepartisanbreakdownofthesurveyis
32%Republican35%Democrat.
KEYFINDINGS
TheracebetweenNanHayworthandSeanPatrickMaloneyisnowadeadheat.
WithaboutaweektogountilElectionDay,Dr.HayworthisnowtiedwithCongressmanMaloney:
Dr.Hayworthclearlyhasthemomentuminthisrace,goingfromdowneightpointsinSeptember,to
downfourearlierthismonthtonowbeinginatie.
EvenaballottestnotincludingthethirdpartycandidateSmithresultsina44%Hayworth44%
MaloneytiesuggestingthattheadditionofSmithneitherhelpsnorharmseithermajorparty
candidateinthisrace.
BOTTOMLINE
ThispollingdataisveryclearwithaboutaweektogountilElectionDay,theraceforCongressinNew
Yorks18
th
districtiscompletelyupforgrabs.BottomlineiftheHayworthcampaignisableto
appropriatelyfundpaidmediaforthefinalpushtogetNansmessageouttovotersinthedistrict,she
canwinbackthiscongressionalseatonNovember4
th
.