You are on page 1of 1

PUBLIC OPINION STRATEGIES Page 1

MEMORANDUM
TO: NANHAYWORTHFORCONGRESSCAMPAIGNTEAM
FROM: ROBERTBLIZZARDPUBLICOPINIONSTRATEGIES
DATE: OCTOBER27,2014
RE: RECENTNEWYORKCD18POLLINGRESULTS

OnbehalfofNanHayworthforCongress,PublicOpinionStrategiesconductedasurveyof400likely
voters(marginoferror+4.9%)inNewYorks18
th
CongressionalDistrict,October23&25,2014.
Fully25%oftheinterviewswereconductedviacellphone,andthepartisanbreakdownofthesurveyis
32%Republican35%Democrat.

KEYFINDINGS
TheracebetweenNanHayworthandSeanPatrickMaloneyisnowadeadheat.
WithaboutaweektogountilElectionDay,Dr.HayworthisnowtiedwithCongressmanMaloney:

September,2014 October1213,2014 October23&25,2014


Hayworth 38% 39% 42%
Maloney 46% 43% 42%
Smith 2% 3%

Dr.Hayworthclearlyhasthemomentuminthisrace,goingfromdowneightpointsinSeptember,to
downfourearlierthismonthtonowbeinginatie.

EvenaballottestnotincludingthethirdpartycandidateSmithresultsina44%Hayworth44%
MaloneytiesuggestingthattheadditionofSmithneitherhelpsnorharmseithermajorparty
candidateinthisrace.

BOTTOMLINE
ThispollingdataisveryclearwithaboutaweektogountilElectionDay,theraceforCongressinNew
Yorks18
th
districtiscompletelyupforgrabs.BottomlineiftheHayworthcampaignisableto
appropriatelyfundpaidmediaforthefinalpushtogetNansmessageouttovotersinthedistrict,she
canwinbackthiscongressionalseatonNovember4
th
.

You might also like