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Banks - Just What We Need....A Tax on Banks

Banks - Just What We Need....A Tax on Banks

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03/28/2010

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 All relevant disclosures and certifications appear on pages 2 - 3 of this report.
January 12, 2010
Just What We Need.....A Tax on the Banks.
Christopher M. Mutascio
(443) 224-1302mutascioc@stifel.com
Brian J. Zabora, CFA
(443) 224-1335zaborab@stifel.com
Charles Nabhan, CPA
(443) 224-1384charles.nabhan@stifel.com
Industry Update
We have read several articles today that suggest President Obama is thinking of assessing some sort of tax on thebanks to help close the deficit gap and to ensure that the taxpayer is repaid in full. We are tired of pointing out theissues with the current path being taken and the negative consequences on the banks and the economy that couldevolve. So, instead of ranting on about this or that, we have attached a copy of today's monthly report from the USTreasury on the TARP program. The report is a public document.The report contains the following quote:"OFS is unlikely to disburse the full $700 billion authorized under EESA, and many of the TARP investments under theprogram,
particularly those aimed at stabilizing banks, are expected to deliver returns for taxpayers."
For the current administration to use the TARP as a means to assess a tax on the banks to ensure the taxpayer getsrepaid is a farce, in our view. The U.S. taxpayer is expected to earn a return on its TARP investments in the banks (justask BAC, WFC, JPM, BBT, USB, GS, etc). From the report, it looks as if the losses will come from the autoinvestments and the AIG investments. Neither of which were banks. So, in effect, the banks are paying for GM,Chrysler and AIG? Why? But, read the report for yourself and decide.The more we continue to blame the banks for all of our ills, the greater the risk of re-regulation (etc.) going so far as tocut off capital flow to individuals, small businesses and corporations at a time it is needed most. We are not sure why abank should take on any risk in the current environment.http://www.financialstability.gov/docs/105CongressionalReports/December%20105(a)_final_1-11-10.pdf
Large Cap Banks
Page 1
 
Important Disclosures and CertificationsI, Christopher Mutascio, certify that the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personalviews about the subject securities or issuers; and I, Christopher Mutascio, certify that no part of mycompensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation or viewscontained in this research report.I, Brian Zabora, certify that the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personal viewsabout the subject securities or issuers; and I, Brian Zabora, certify that no part of my compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation or views contained in this research report.
Stifel, Nicolaus & Company, Inc.'s research analysts receive compensation that is based upon (among other factors)Stifel Nicolaus' overall investment banking revenues.Our investment rating system is three tiered, defined as follows:BUY -We expect this stock to outperform the S&P 500 by more than 10% over the next 12 months. For higher-yieldingequities such as REITs and Utilities, we expect a total return in excess of 12% over the next 12 months.HOLD -We expect this stock to perform within 10% (plus or minus) of the S&P 500 over the next 12 months. A Holdrating is also used for those higher-yielding securities where we are comfortable with the safety of the dividend, butbelieve that upside in the share price is limited.SELL -We expect this stock to underperform the S&P 500 by more than 10% over the next 12 months and believe thestock could decline in value.Of the securities we rate, 37% are rated Buy, 59% are rated Hold, and 4% are rated Sell.Within the last 12 months, Stifel, Nicolaus & Company, Inc. or an affiliate has provided investment banking services for 11%, 10% and 3% of the companies whose shares are rated Buy, Hold and Sell, respectively.
Additional Disclosures
Please visit the Research Page at www.stifel.com for the current research disclosures applicable to the companiesmentioned in this publication that are within Stifel Nicolaus' coverage universe. For a discussion of risks to target priceplease see our stand-alone company reports and notes for all Buy-rated stocks.The information contained herein has been prepared from sources believed to be reliable but is not guaranteed by usand is not a complete summary or statement of all available data, nor is it considered an offer to buy or sell anysecurities referred to herein. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice and do not take into account theparticular investment objectives, financial situation or needs of individual investors. Employees of Stifel, Nicolaus &Company, Inc. or its affiliates may, at times, release written or oral commentary, technical analysis or trading strategiesthat differ from the opinions expressed within. Past performance should not and cannot be viewed as an indicator of future performance.Stifel, Nicolaus & Company, Inc. is a multi-disciplined financial services firm that regularly seeks investment bankingassignments and compensation from issuers for services including, but not limited to, acting as an underwriter in anoffering or financial advisor in a merger or acquisition, or serving as a placement agent in private transactions.Moreover, Stifel Nicolaus and its affiliates and their respective shareholders, directors, officers and/or employees, mayfrom time to time have long or short positions in such securities or in options or other derivative instruments basedthereon.These materials have been approved by Stifel Nicolaus Limited, authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority (UK), in connection with its distribution to professional clients and eligible counterparties in the EuropeanEconomic Area. (Stifel Nicolaus Limited home office: London +44 20 7557 6030.) No investments or servicesmentioned are available in the European Economic Area to retail clients or to anyone in Canada other than aDesignated Institution. This investment research report is classified as objective for the purposes of the FSA rules.Please contact a Stifel Nicolaus entity in your jurisdiction if you require additional information.The use of information or data in this research report provided by or derived from Standard & Poor's Financial
Page 2
Large Cap Banks
January 12, 2010

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