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Russian Strategy & Economics

Russian Strategy & Economics

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Published by vini1984

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Published by: vini1984 on Jan 17, 2010
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09/16/2010

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Source:
 
Bloomberg,
 
31
 
Dec
 
2009 Source:
 
MSCI,
 
Bloomberg,
 
31
 
Dec
 
2009Source:
 
MSCI,
 
Bloomberg,
 
31
 
Dec
 
2009
MSCI
 
RU
 
performance
 
vs
 
EM,
 
Global
 
Oil
 
(%):
 
In
 
2009
 
the
 
oil
dependent
 
Russian
 
market
 
outperformed
 
both
 
the
 
MSCI
 
EM
 
and
 
AMEX
 
Oil
 
indices.
Russian
 
indices
 
performance
 
(%):
 
In
 
2009
 
the
 
RTS
 
Index
 
($)
 
outperformed
 
both
 
the
 
RDX
 
($)
 
and
 
the
 
MICEX
 
(RUB).
MSCI
 
Indices,
 
1M
 
performance:
 
Over
 
the
 
last
 
month
 
MSCI
 
Russia
 
(up
 
3%)
 
has
 
underperformed
 
within
 
the
 
EM
 
universe.
MSCI
 
indices,
 
Current
 
index
 
level
 
vs
 
5Y
 
average:
 
Compared
 
to
 
its
 
5Y
 
average,
 
the
 
MSCI
 
RU
 
Index
 
is
 
currently
 
at
 
the
 
lowest
 
level
 
of 
 
any
 
EM.
Russian
 
market
 
volatility,
 
90
 
Days:
 
Although
 
sharply
 
down
 
from
 
its
 
recent
 
high,
 
the
 
Russian
 
market
 
remains
 
more
 
volatile
 
relative
 
to
 
EM
 
peers.
Source:
 
MSCI,
 
Bloomberg,
 
31
 
Dec
 
2009 Source:
 
MSCI,
 
Bloomberg,
 
31
 
Dec
 
2009 Source:
 
MSCI,
 
Bloomberg,
 
31
 
Dec
 
2009
MSCI
 
indices,
 
2009
 
performance:
 
In
 
2009
 
MSCI
 
Russia
 
gained
 
100%
 
and
 
as
 
such
 
was
 
the
 
fourth
 
best
 
performing
 
emerging
 
market.
 
  S  T   O   C  K  A  R  K  E   T  P  E   R  F    O  R  A  N   C  E   
3%3%4%4%5%6%7%8%9%20%
5%
2%
1%0%1%2%
10%
5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20%Czech
 
RepPolandHungaryChinaBrazilMexicoRussiaIndiaMSCI
 
EMArgentinaS.
 
AfricaIndonesiaThailandKoreaTaiwanTurkey69%70%74%74%75%92%100%101%121%121%61%59%53%53%37%20%0% 30% 60% 90% 120%Czech
 
RepPolandMexicoS.
 
AfricaChinaArgentinaKoreaThailandHungaryMSCI
 
EMTaiwanTurkeyRussiaIndiaIndonesiaBrazil
30%0%30%60%90%120%Jan
09 Mar
09 May
09 Jul
09 Oct
09 Dec
09MSCI
 
Russia MSCI
 
EM AMEX
 
OIL
30%0%30%60%90%120%Jan
09 Mar
09 May
09 Jul
09 Oct
09 Dec
09RTS Micex RDX
7%
4%
2%2%10%12%16%19%23%27%28%28%45%46%66%71%
20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80%RussiaPolandHungaryArgentinTaiwanCzechKoreaThailandMexicoTurkeyS.AfricaEMIndiaChinaIndonesiaBrazil
020406080100Jan
07 Jul
07 Dec
07 Jun
08 Dec
08 Jun
09 Dec
09RTS MSCI
 
World MSCI
 
EM
2
 
MSCI
 
Russia
 
Energy
 
Index
 
relative
 
to
 
MSCI
 
EM
 
Energy:
 
In
 
2009
 
Russian
 
Energy
 
names
 
performed
 
in
 
line
 
with
 
EM
 
peers.
Source:
 
MSCI,
 
Bloomberg,
 
31
 
Dec
 
2009 Source:
 
MSCI,
 
Bloomberg,
 
31
 
Dec
 
2009 Source:
 
MSCI,
 
Bloomberg,
 
31
 
Dec
 
2009
MSCI
 
Russia
 
Materials
 
Index
 
relative
 
to
 
MSCI
 
EM
 
Materials:
 
Russian
 
Materials
 
stocks
 
outperformed
 
their
 
EM
 
peers
 
by
 
19%
 
in
 
2009.
MSCI
 
Russia
 
Financials
 
Index
 
relative
 
to
 
MSCI
 
EM
 
Financials:
 
MSCI
 
Russia
 
Financials
 
outperformed
 
their
 
EM
 
peers
 
by
 
88%.
MSCI
 
Russia
 
Con.
 
Staples
 
Index
 
relative
 
to
 
MSCI
 
EM
 
Con.
 
Staples:
 
Russia's
 
best
 
performing
 
sector
 
in
 
2009
 
relative
 
to
 
its
 
MSCI
 
EM
 
peers.
MSCI
 
Russia
 
Telecoms
 
Index
 
relative
 
to
 
MSCI
 
EM
 
Telecoms:
 
Russian
 
Telecoms
 
names
 
outperformed
 
their
 
EM
 
peers
 
by
 
52%.
Source:
 
MSCI,
 
Bloomberg,
 
31
 
Dec
 
2009Source:
 
MSIC,
 
Bloomberg,
 
31
 
Dec
 
2009Source:
 
MSCI,
 
Bloomberg,
 
31
 
Dec
 
2009
MSCI
 
Russia
 
Health
 
Care
 
Index
 
relative
 
to
 
MSCI
 
EM
 
Health
 
Care:
 
MSCI
 
Russia
 
Health
 
Care
 
outperformed
 
its
 
EM
 
peers
 
by
 
38%.
 
 S  T   O   C  K  A  R  K  E   T  P  E   R  F    O  R  A  N   C  E   
0.80.91.01.1Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec0.70.80.91.01.11.21.31.4Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec0.60.81.01.21.41.61.82.0Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Nov Dec0.81.01.21.41.61.82.02.22.4Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Nov Dec0.70.80.911.11.21.31.41.51.61.7Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Nov Dec0.40.60.81.01.21.41.6Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Nov Dec
3

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