Professional Documents
Culture Documents
EXPLORATION
&
Engineering, Procurement & Construction
(International Business)
q Exploration
Ø Detection & Rigs
Ø L&T in exploration
Ø Key drivers
Ø Risks involved
Ø Business Trends
22
Contents
q Competitor Analysis
q Opportunities
q Conclusion
33
OIL
Oil has become primarily a fuel for transportation while coal and natural gas
are preferred for power generation and industrial uses.
On average, developed countries use more than 60% of their oil for
transportation purposes.
In contrast, many developing countries use less than 40% of their oil for
transportation while they use considerable amounts for power generation.
44
WORLD STATISTICS
Total reserves – 1166 billion barrels
55
Crude Oil Classifications
Weight
v Light crude has low density making it easier to transport and refine. Light crude is more
expensive.
v Heavy crude has high density, making it more difficult to transport and refine. Heavy
crude is cheaper to buy and usually cheaper to extract.
Sulphur Content
v Sweet crude has a sulphur content less than 0.5% by weight, making it much easier to
refine - making it more expensive.
v Sour crude has a sulphur content above 0.5% by weight, making it cheaper to purchase but
more expensive to refine.
66
Crude Oil Benchmark Blends
Crude oil is priced in terms of regional blends, each with different characteristics.
Of these, certain blends are followed by traders, as they most reflect the overall
value of oil, and therefore affect the way different blends are priced.
v Brent Blend: Based on the prices of Brent crude, which is a light, sweet
crude, from 15 different oil fields in the North Sea.
v West Texas Intermediate (WTI): The benchmark for oil prices in the US
based on light, low sulphur WTI crude.
v Dubai: Dubai crude, from Dubai, is a benchmark for Persian Gulf crudes,
and is light yet sour.
v OPEC Basket: The OPEC crude basket is OPEC's benchmark, and is made
up of 13 different regional oils
77
Largest producers of O&G in the world in ‘07
1. Saudi Arabia
2. Russia
3. US
4. Iran
5. China
6. Mexico
7. Canada
8. UAE
9. Venezuela
10. Kuwait
88
Largest consumers of O&G in ‘07
● Fourth level
● Fifth level
99
Largest Oil and Gas companies of the world
ranked according to the equivalent reserves
Saudi Arabian Oil Company (Saudi Arabia)
National Iranian Oil Company (Iran)
Qatar General Petroleum Corporation (Qatar)
Iraq National Oil Company (Iraq)
Petroleos de Venezuela.S.A. (Venezuela)
Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (UAE)
Kuwait Petroleum Corporation (Kuwait)
Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (Nigeria)
National Oil Company (Libya)
Sonatrach (Algeria)
Gazprom (Russia)
OAO Rosneft (Russia)
PetroChina Co. Ltd. (China)
Petronas (Malaysia)
OAO Lukoil (Russia) 1010
Organization of the Petroleum
Exporting Countries (OPEC)
Cartel of 13 countries
Algeria, Angola, Ecuador, Iran, Iraq, Indonesia, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Qatar,
Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and Venezuela.
One of the principal goals is the determination of the best means for safeguarding
the Organization's interests, individually and collectively.
1111
Organization for Economic Co-operation and
Development (OECD)
OECD brings together the governments of countries committed to democracy and the market
economy from around the world to:
1212
Oil prices
Current prices are in the range of $ 40-50 per barrel depending upon the type of crude.
● Fourth level
● Fifth level
1313
Click to edit Master text styles
Second level
● Third level
● Fourth level
● Fifth level
1414
Factors affecting price of Oil
Worldwide economy
Dollar’s strength
Stock levels/ Spare production
Mid distillate production
Future prices
OPEC
Disruptions due to geopolitical unrests
Other factors such as sudden change of weather, adoption of new
technology, change in government policy, terrorist attacks etc.
1515
Can OPEC control oil prices completely?
It is tempting to think that all the oil producers are motivated simply by a high
oil price.
A higher oil price will only reduce demand around the world further. So a
higher oil price, while theoretically desirable for OPEC nations, could reduce
demand and reduce overall revenues.
Thus, OPEC can be regarded as split between countries such as Saudi Arabia,
who can tolerate a lower price in order to sell more oil to the world, and
countries such as Venezuela where oil production is less efficient and a higher
price is needed in order for the industry to remain profitable.
Increased political attention and pressures (e.g., ‘windfall’ profits and taxes).
1717
Oil price in the near future
The fundamentals for oil have not changed. Stocks are reducing and the growth
of developing countries such as China will continue, if at a slower pace.
However, a global economic slump will hit demand hard in the short term. It is
reasonable to assume that the need for oil might only increase significantly
when the credit markets thaw and economies begin to grow again.
1818
Peak Oil
Peak oil is the point in time when the maximum rate of global petroleum
extraction is reached, after which the rate of production enters terminal
decline..
Once the decline gets under way, production will drop (conservatively) by
3% per year. Terrorism, extreme weather and other geopolitical factors will
likely push the effective decline rate past 10% per year, thus cutting the total
supply by 50% in 7 years.
1919
Peak Oil
● Fourth level
● Fifth level
2020
ALTERNATIVE- OIL SAND
The “oil sands” in Canada hold between 1.7 and 2.5 trillion barrels of
non-conventional oil ( Saudi Arabia, the world's largest oil producer, has
about 260 billion barrels of proven oil reserves).
2121
ALTERNATIVE- OIL SHALE
There are an estimated 2.6 trillion barrels of recoverable oil in oil shale
around the world, of which over 1 trillion are in the U.S.
Few efforts to process oil shale have been economic at a commercial level,
though Estonia, Brazil, China, and Russia currently use oil shale in one
form or another
Estimates range from an effective oil price of $60-$75 per barrel, to Shell's
estimates that it can make oil shale profitable in Colorado at $30 per barrel.
2222
ALTERNATIVE- BIO-FUEL
To the extent these plants do not compete with food supplies, do not
threaten deforestation or water depletion, and do not cause environmental
damage due to fertilizer use, they will be successful.
Corn-ethanol in the U.S. failed these tests and the support for it is
declining. In contrast, Former Soviet Union countries, where combined
cultivated area was reduced by more than 50 million acres in the last two
decades, may offer better prospects for development of biofuels if land
and water conditions permit..
2323
Natural Gas
There are more natural gas reserves than oil reserves, relative to annual
production (65 years of natural gas versus 41 years for oil).
It's reserves are widely distributed around the world, with Russia, US,
Canada and Iran providing 45% of the global gas production.
2424
Natural Gas Prices
The key components of the end-user price of natural gas are two-fold:
(1) The raw fuel costs account for about 60% of final costs, while
(2) the transmission and distribution costs account for the remaining 40%.
Natural gas prices are typically seasonal, peaking in the winter months
and hitting lows in the summer months, when heating needs are least.
Both drilling programs for new gas discoveries and storage of existing
reserves of natural gas heavily influence natural gas prices.
2525
International E&P business
A typical international E&P contract allows for the government to receive 85% of the production while the oil
company will only receive a 15% share plus reimbursement of their exploration and production costs.
E&P involves
Ø Surveying
Ø Test Drilling
Ø Establishing production platform
Ø Production
Increasingly, E&P activities are shifting from Independent Oil Companies to National Oil Companies. ( Reduction of
10% in last 2 years).
2626
International E&P business
In 2006, average onshore production costs ranged from about $3 per barrel
(excluding taxes) in Mid east to about $28.30 per barrel in Canada. The
average for the U.S. was $26.83/barrel. U.S. offshore costs were extremely
high at nearly $60 per barrel. This may imply that the marginal cost of
developing such fields would require a minimum oil price of at least $80 and
perhaps a good deal more to provide an adequate profit.
Averaged over 2004, 2005 and 2006, finding costs ranged from about
$5.26/barrel in the Middle East to $33.71/barrel for U.S. offshore.
For OPEC, the cost of production is in the range of $15-35 per barrel.
There are currently 705 rigs in the world with 88% fleet utilization rate.
26 percent of US E&P companies have either significantly delayed or terminated oil or gas
exploration projects in the past 2 months.
Global companies like Exxon Mobil and Shell have put their explorations on hold, given the
volatility in the oil market.
2828
EXPLORATION
2929
Detection
Visible surface features such as oil seeps, natural gas seeps, pockmarks
(underwater craters caused by escaping gas) provide basic evidence of
hydrocarbon generation
3030
Reserves
Proven- reasonable certainty (1P/P90)
The total reserves that is calculated is based on the weightages that is given to each of these
reserves.
3131
World oil reserves
● Fifth level
4. Kuwait
5. U.A.E
6. Venezuela
7. Russia
8. Kazakhstan
9. Libya
10. Nigeria
3232
Exploration
O&G drilling rigs can be used not only to identify geologic reservoirs but
also to create holes that allow the extraction of oil or natural gas from those
reservoirs so that the reserve can be checked in terms of viability.
Primarily in on shore oil and gas fields once a well has been drilled, the
drilling rig will be moved off of the well and a service rig that is purpose
built for completions will be moved on to the well to get the well on line.
3333
DRY HOLE
The deepest well (12000 ft) ever drilled in New Jersey in search of oil
proved to be a "dry hole.“ Losses- $6 million.
3434
Rigs for offshore exploration
JACK-UP RIG
Jack-ups are platforms that can be Click to edit Master text styles
used above the sea using legs Second level
which can be lowered like jacks. ● Third level
3535
Rigs for offshore exploration
SEMI-SUBMERSIBLE
Click to edit Master text styles
This floating drilling unit has columns Second level
that, when flooded with seawater, ● Third level
cause the structure to submerge to a
predetermined depth. ● Fourth level
3636
Rigs for offshore exploration
DRILL-SHIP
A Drill-ship is a maritime vessel Click to edit Master text styles
that has been fitted with drilling
apparatus. It is most often used for Second level
exploratory drilling of new oil or ● Third level
3737
Exploration- L&T
L&T has the capability to undertake production of jack-up rigs and semi
submersibles on turnkey basis and fabrication and integration of topsides
for FPSO at its all weather delivery modular fabrication facility in Oman.
3838
Exploration- L&T
Larsen & Toubro is trying to enter into a joint venture with French offshore energy
services firm Technip The $8-billion Technip, which has a presence in 115 countries, is
in the business of constructing oil production and refining facilities. The company also
maintains a fleet of more than a dozen vessels to service offshore projects.
3939
Key drivers of oil exploration
4040
Exploration risks
Credit crunch – Exploration being a highly capital intensive business, needs large
amount of capital investments. The world recession has lead to credit crunch and this
in turn is affecting the E&P business.
Long lead times - A development project involves an array of complex and lengthy
activities, including appraising a discovery in order to evaluate its commerciality,
sanctioning a development project and building and commissioning relating facilities.
4141
Business Trends
4242
Business Trends
Day rates for floating drilling rigs, including rigs rated for both mid and deep water, continue
to rise, and this month are at record levels, according to ODS-Petrodata's Offshore Rig Day
Rate Index.
The current recession though is reducing the business, analysts believe that in the long term
E&P is going to have a good run.
With more than 80% of the current world oil rigs past their peaks, work-over and
maintenance can be a good area of business.
4343
Engineering
Procurement
Construction
4444
Platform
4545
Process Overview
Click to edit Master text styles
Second level
● Third level
● Fourth level
● Fifth level
4646
Click to edit Master text styles
Second level
● Third level
● Fourth level
● Fifth level
4747
Types of platforms
Types of platforms
Fixed tower - Rigid tower of concrete and steel in depths of 50-500 meters.
The stability is provided by the mounted platform.
Gravity Base - Enormous concrete fixed structures, typically with oil storage
cells in the “skirt” that rests on the sea bottom operating at a depth of 100 to
500 meters
4848
Types of platforms
Tension Leg Platform (TLP) - It consists of a structure held in place by
vertical tendons connected to the sea floor by pile-secured templates in water
depths up to 2000m.
SPAR - The SPAR consists of a single tall floating cylinder hull, supporting a
fixed deck. The cylinder however does not extend all the way to the seafloor,
but instead is tethered to the bottom by a series of cables and lines. They cover
depths up to 3000 meters.
Subsea production systems - These are wells located on the sea floor. The
petroleum is extracted at the seafloor, and then can be 'tied-back' to an already
existing production platform or even an onshore facility.
4949
Pipe laying
Offshore pipe-lines are normally laid on the sea bed using a pipe laying vessel or
barge. The specifications of a pipe include the diameter, the material used and the
tensile strength of the pipe used.
Pipe sections, typically 40 feet long, are welded to the end of the assembled pipe-
line on the barge and the pipe is launched over the stern of the barge as the vessel
moves forward.
Current day rates of pipe laying barges is $100,000 to $300,000 depending upon
the size of the barge and the technology used.
5050
L&T- EPC Business
L&T offers a wide spectrum of engineering services for the upstream oil and
gas sector. This includes FEED and conceptual design of process and wellhead
platforms, revamp / modification of platforms, subsea pipelines, and FPSOs.
L&T and Sapura Crest Petroleum Berhad have formed a joint venture to build,
own and operate a derrick cum pipelaying barge valued at USD103 million. It
will provide offshore installation services including sub-sea pipelaying,
platform installation opportunities across India, the Middle East, South East
Asia, Australia and the Sakhalin region.
5151
Construction risk- Location,
Weather/Climate risks & Safety
Depth/ evenness of land Click to edit Master text styles
Second level
● Third level
● Fifth level
Safety standards
5252
Construction risk- Execution Risks
● Fifth level
Erection defects
Piling defects
Structural defects
5353
Construction risk- Environmental risks
● Fifth level
Groundwater contamination
Click to edit Master text styles
Second level
● Third level
● Fourth level
● Fifth level
5454
Points to be considered during and prior to
construction phase
Political stability & policies of the government involved- The political conditions of the country
can be a big risk considering the fact that in new democracies like Indonesia, laws are often not that
transparent and the court rulings though seldom can be inconsistent.
Taxes and duties variation- Considering the fact that different countries have different fiscal
policies and there can be a change in policies due to change in oil prices (windfall) and certain other
factors ( ‘Bhumiputra’ in Indonesia), though marginal, this risk needs to be accounted.
Risk pertaining to supply chain- Host government or companies sometimes requires the
contractor to use local suppliers with whom the contractor doesn’t have prior experience leading to
uncertainty in quality and scheduling. E.g.- Maersk project was delayed for 3 weeks because there
was no agreement between our vendor and Maersk on the material of pipes to be used.
5656
Major EPC risks (International)
5757
Major EPC risks (International)
Risks due to increase in transportation prices- Transportation prices can be
volatile considering the fact that they are directly related with oil prices.
Forex variation- This risk arises out of the fact that different currencies can be
involved and the project takes up a considerable time in which the currency values
can be volatile.
5858
Major EPC risks (International)
Subcontractor’s risk- Sometimes, small delays may accrue to very large delays as in case
of the Maersk project, the barge of ‘Lift & Shift’ company was contracted for the first week
of February but now the project has been delayed.
Contracting a barge is done 1 year prior to the load out and there are no barges free for the
next one year.
And normally,
5959
Competitor
Analysis
6060
J. Ray McDermott, USA
Advantages
Disadvantages
v Overbooked
v Mainly into big projects
6161
v Not project specific
Solar International, Singapore
Advantage
v Lower bids because they are the equipment providers and the contractors too.
v Better technology
v Faster project completion
Disadvantage
The company operates one of the Middle East’s largest offshore fleet of specialized sub-
sea pipe laying vessels. IOEC is capable of performing a wide range of Offshore
construction and maintenance operations on surface and sub-sea for the Oil and Gas
industry.
Advantages
v Advanced technology
v More experience
v Better inventory
Disadvantages
Advantages
Disadvantages
6464
Hyundai Offshore & Engineering , Korea
The Offshore & Engineering Division of HHI covers Engineering, Procurement, Construction,
Offshore Installation and Project Management for all kinds of offshore oil and gas facilities.
Advantages
Disadvantages
v No network in mid-east
v Overbooked
6565
Opportunities
6666
Conclusion
M&A with foreign E&P companies can be a viable option for reducing the
investments as well as execution costs and increasing the operational
efficiency due to enlarging of supply chain and resource base.
6767