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Indian Power Sector Demand and supply

Indian Power Sector Demand and supply

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Published by Gourab Kundu

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Published by: Gourab Kundu on Feb 11, 2010
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04/28/2013

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Managerial Economics Final Project
AKSHAT VAID - 91004CIJIL DICLAUSE - 91014GOURAB KUNDU - 91020HARSHDEEP GARG -91023SAMARTH GULATI - 91047
 
FMG XVIII AFORE SCHOOL OF MANAGEMENT
 
 
Managerial Economics Final Project Report
September 2009FORE School of Management 
– 
FMG XVIII A
– 
Trimester 1
2
Preface
he Indian power sector is such a magnanimous entity in itself that deciphering theintricate nuances of the sector becomes synonymous to fishing in the dark. Never the less, this project is an earnest attempt made to unravel the dilemma of theIndian Power Sector.India is such a diverse country both in terms of geography and demography thatnarrowing down to a few parameters that are responsible for the change/ alteration ofthe demand of power is next to impossible. Hence, a better approach in determiningthe power demand across India is to take into account the various seasonal variationsas well as the influences of the different regions in India.
Acknowledgement
The group members would sincerely like to thank Dr. Ravikesh Srivastava for his unendingsupport and motivation towards the execution of the project. Without his guidance, thereport would not have taken the shape that it has taken at this moment.
We’d also like to thank all the fellow students of FMG XVIII section
A for their constantpep-talk and encouragement.Thanking one and all for all the help vented to the execution of the project.Gourab KunduSamarth GulatiCijil DiclauseAkshat VaidHarshdeep Garg
T
 
Managerial Economics Final Project Report
September 2009FORE School of Management 
– 
FMG XVIII A
– 
Trimester 1
3
Table of Contents
1. Introduction2. Project Objective3. Project Methodology4. Data and parameters5. Simple Regression
a. Per capita annual income in Rupeesb. Populationc. Price index with '93 as index of 100d. Gross national Product
6. Multiple Regression Model
a. Degree of Correlationb. Multiple Regression Modelc. Multiple Regression Model Obtainedd. Prediction according to multiple regression model of power in India
7. Moving Averages
a. 3 year moving averageb. 5 year moving average
8. Exponential Smoothing
a. Dumping Factor/ Weight: 0.3b. Dumping Factor/ Weight: 0.5
9. Seasonal Trend Analysis
a. Region wise Analysisb. Equation for Regressionc. Why Seasonal Variations?d. Trend analysis in North Indiae. Trend analysis in South Indiaf. Trend analysis in North Indiag. Trend Analysis Regions/Seasonsh. Power Trading
10. Arima and Analysis11. Annexure
 

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