Project: POLL2010 - Weekly National Poll 2010-02-10

0779 – Political Landscape – Data Tables, Weighted

Date: February 11, 2010

Target Population: General Population

Sample: n=3,006 (MOE +/- 1.79 19 times out of 20)

Field Dates: February 3 – 9, 2010

Method: IVR

EKOS Research Associates Inc. PAGE 1

Project: POLL2010 - Weekly National Poll 2010-02-10

Decided vote intention (decided Voters, includes leaning) 1

Vote Intention (includes leaning)
Total CPC LPC NDP GP BQ Oth Undec Not eligible
FEDVT

Weighted Total: 2614 811 759 406 297 269 73 0 0

Total: 2632 836 771 408 279 264 74 0 0
Conservative Party 31.0% 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
++++ ---- ---- ---- ---- ----
Liberal Party 29.0% 0.0% 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
---- ++++ ---- ---- ---- ----
NDP 15.5% 0.0% 0.0% 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
---- ---- ++++ ---- ---- ----
Green Party 11.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
---- ---- ---- ++++ ---- ---
Bloc Québécois 10.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
---- ---- ---- ---- ++++ ---
Other 2.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100% 0.0% 0.0%
---- ---- ---- --- --- ++++
Chi2: - (999)
Std Error Around 50%: 1.91 3.39 3.53 4.85 5.87 6.03 11.39 * *

1
Decided voters only. Our survey also finds that 13.1% of Canadians are undecided/ineligible to vote.

EKOS Research Associates Inc. PAGE 2

Project: POLL2010 - Weekly National Poll 2010-02-10

Decided vote intention (decided Voters, includes leaning)

REGION
Total BC Alb Sask/Man Ont Que Atl
FEDVT

Weighted Total: 2614 340 268 168 1002 645 192

Total: 2632 346 230 178 1010 653 215
Conservative Party 31.0% 30.3% 57.1% 45.5% 31.0% 16.0% 33.7%
++++ ++++ ----
Liberal Party 29.0% 24.1% 21.9% 24.4% 36.2% 23.1% 34.1%
-- -- ++++ ---- +
NDP 15.5% 26.9% 8.6% 17.6% 16.7% 8.3% 21.3%
++++ --- ---- ++
Green Party 11.3% 15.0% 8.1% 10.3% 13.6% 8.1% 9.1%
++ +++ ---
Bloc Québécois 10.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 41.7% 0.0%
---- ---- ---- ---- ++++ ----
Other 2.8% 3.7% 4.3% 2.1% 2.4% 2.7% 1.8%

Chi2: - (999)
Std Error Around 50%: 1.91 5.27 6.46 7.35 3.08 3.83 6.68

EKOS Research Associates Inc. PAGE 3

Project: POLL2010 - Weekly National Poll 2010-02-10

Decided vote intention (decided Voters, includes leaning)

Highest level of Language of
Gender Age schooling completed Place of birth Interview
Coll/CE In Outside
Total Male Feml <25 25-44 45-64 65+ <= HS GEP Uni Canada Canada English French
FEDVT

Weighted Total: 2614 1295 1320 286 922 935 471 722 856 1036 2180 435 2000 614
Total: 2632 1321 1311 197 825 1053 557 730 848 1054 2208 424 2005 627
Conservative Party 31.0% 35.7% 26.4% 17.6% 27.7% 33.6% 40.4% 34.5% 31.8% 27.9% 30.6% 33.0% 35.7% 15.8%
++++ ---- ---- --- ++ ++++ ++ --- ++++ ----
Liberal Party 29.0% 27.7% 30.3% 28.5% 28.0% 28.8% 31.9% 23.1% 25.9% 35.7% 27.5% 36.6% 31.3% 21.7%
---- -- ++++ ---- ++++ ++++ ----
NDP 15.5% 13.2% 17.9% 17.1% 15.9% 15.2% 14.7% 14.2% 17.8% 14.6% 15.5% 15.6% 17.7% 8.6%
---- ++++ ++ ++++ ----
Green Party 11.3% 10.4% 12.3% 20.0% 12.9% 10.1% 5.5% 11.7% 10.8% 11.6% 11.8% 9.0% 12.6% 7.3%
++++ + ---- + - ++++ ----
Bloc Québécois 10.3% 9.6% 10.9% 13.7% 13.1% 9.1% 5.2% 13.1% 11.3% 7.5% 11.9% 2.2% 0.1% 43.5%
+ ++++ ---- +++ ---- ++++ ---- ---- ++++
Other 2.8% 3.5% 2.1% 3.2% 2.4% 3.3% 2.3% 3.4% 2.4% 2.7% 2.6% 3.7% 2.7% 3.2%
++ --
Chi2: - 999 999 999 999 999
Std Error Around 50%: 1.91 2.70 2.71 6.98 3.41 3.02 4.15 3.63 3.37 3.02 2.09 4.76 2.19 3.91

EKOS Research Associates Inc. PAGE 4

Project: POLL2010 - Weekly National Poll 2010-02-10

Daily Tracking – Feb. 3-9

Decided vote intention (decided Voters, includes leaning)

Total Feb 3-4 Feb 5 Feb 8 Feb 9
FEDVT

Weighted Total: 2614 868 640 656 468

Total: 2632 868 640 656 468
CPC 31.0% 32.1% 30.2% 31.2% 31.3%

LPC 29.0% 29.9% 30.8% 29.0% 27.3%

NDP 15.5% 15.8% 13.5% 15.9% 14.6%

GP 11.3% 10.1% 11.0% 11.0% 13.6%

BQ 10.3% 10.0% 9.9% 10.2% 10.9%

Other 2.8% 2.0% 4.6% 2.7% 2.3%

Chi2: - - - - -
Std Error Around 50%: 1.91 3.33 3.87 3.83 4.53

EKOS Research Associates Inc. PAGE 5

Project: POLL2010 - Weekly National Poll 2010-02-10

Talking again in terms of a federal election, which party would be your second choice? 2
Vote Intention (includes leaning)
Total CPC LPC NDP GP BQ Oth Undec Not eligible
SECONDV

Weighted Total: 2931 811 759 406 297 269 73 316 0

Total: 2943 836 771 408 279 264 74 311 0
Conservative Party 9.3% 0.0% 17.8% 14.5% 9.7% 9.8% 13.1% 4.1% 0.0%
---- ++++ ++++ ----
Liberal Party 16.6% 21.1% 0.0% 37.4% 26.1% 15.6% 10.9% 11.4% 0.0%
++++ ---- ++++ ++++ ---
NDP 18.5% 12.5% 34.7% 0.0% 25.7% 23.1% 17.0% 8.6% 0.0%
---- ++++ ---- +++ ++ ----
Green Party 13.3% 10.6% 17.2% 19.0% 0.0% 20.0% 22.6% 8.3% 0.0%
--- ++++ ++++ ---- ++++ ++ ---
Bloc Québécois 2.8% 2.1% 2.9% 3.0% 6.4% 0.0% 5.6% 2.1% 0.0%
++++ ---
Other 2.2% 2.1% 1.3% 3.3% 2.1% 1.5% 0.0% 3.9% 0.0%
- + ++
No second choice 37.4% 51.6% 26.1% 22.7% 30.0% 30.0% 30.8% 61.6% 0.0%
++++ ---- ---- --- --- ++++
Chi2: - (999)
Std Error Around 50%: 1.81 3.39 3.53 4.85 5.87 6.03 11.39 5.56 *

2
Eligible voters only

EKOS Research Associates Inc. PAGE 6

Project: POLL2010 - Weekly National Poll 2010-02-10

Talking again in terms of a federal election, which party would be your second choice?
REGION
Total BC Alb Sask/Man Ont Que Atl
SECONDV

Weighted Total: 2931 378 296 197 1119 720 221

Total: 2943 384 254 210 1123 724 248
Conservative Party 9.3% 11.6% 5.8% 8.4% 9.0% 9.1% 12.7%
+ -- +
Liberal Party 16.6% 21.2% 11.7% 11.7% 18.3% 13.6% 20.7%
+++ -- - + -- +
NDP 18.5% 15.9% 13.7% 18.7% 20.6% 17.7% 21.4%
-- ++
Green Party 13.3% 12.1% 13.1% 11.7% 13.9% 14.4% 10.3%

Bloc Québécois 2.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.3% 0.0%

---- --- -- ---- ++++ ---
Other 2.2% 1.4% 2.0% 3.0% 2.4% 2.3% 1.2%

No second choice 37.4% 37.8% 53.7% 46.5% 35.8% 31.6% 33.7%

++++ +++ ----
Chi2: - (999)
Std Error Around 50%: 1.81 5.00 6.15 6.76 2.92 3.64 6.22

EKOS Research Associates Inc. PAGE 7

Project: POLL2010 - Weekly National Poll 2010-02-10

Talking again in terms of a federal election, which party would be your second choice?
Highest level of Language of
Gender Age schooling completed Place of birth Interview
Coll/CE In Outside
Total Male Feml <25 25-44 45-64 65+ <= HS GEP Uni Canada Canada English French
SECONDV

Weighted Total: 2931 1420 1511 324 1047 1043 516 830 967 1133 2441 490 2240 690
Total: 2943 1446 1497 220 933 1179 611 837 961 1145 2471 472 2246 697
Conservative Party 9.3% 9.1% 9.4% 8.5% 9.2% 9.8% 8.9% 9.5% 10.4% 8.1% 8.6% 12.4% 9.4% 9.0%
- --- +++
Liberal Party 16.6% 16.5% 16.6% 16.7% 17.6% 16.0%
15.8% 12.7% 15.9% 20.0% 15.7% 21.1% 17.7% 12.9%
---- ++++ --- +++ +++ ---
NDP 18.5% 17.7% 19.3% 18.7% 18.7% 19.6% 16.1% 15.9% 16.9% 21.9% 18.4% 19.2% 18.5% 18.5%
- -- ++++
Green Party 13.3% 14.7% 12.0% 12.2% 14.4% 14.7% 8.9% 13.3% 14.1% 12.6% 13.8% 10.6% 13.1% 14.0%
++ -- + ---- + -
Bloc Québécois 2.8% 3.0% 2.5% 5.1% 3.5% 2.1% 1.1% 3.4% 2.0% 3.0% 3.3% 0.2% 0.2% 11.2%
++ + --- - ++++ ---- ---- ++++
Other 2.2% 2.3% 2.1% 2.3% 2.2% 1.5% 3.2% 3.3% 1.9% 1.5% 2.2% 2.1% 2.0% 2.5%
- ++ +++ -
No second choice 37.4% 36.6% 38.1% 36.4% 34.5% 36.3% 46.0% 42.0% 38.7% 32.9% 38.0% 34.5% 39.1% 31.8%
-- ++++ +++ ---- ++++ ----
Chi2: - - 999 999 999 999
Std Error Around 50%: 1.81 2.58 2.53 6.61 3.21 2.85 3.96 3.39 3.16 2.90 1.97 4.51 2.07 3.71

EKOS Research Associates Inc. PAGE 8

Project: POLL2010 - Weekly National Poll 2010-02-10

If you could choose, when would you want the next federal election to be held? 3
Vote Intention (includes leaning)
Total CPC LPC NDP GP BQ Oth Undec Not eligible
NEXTVOTE

Weighted Total: 2931 811 759 406 297 269 73 316 0

Total: 2943 836 771 408 279 264 74 311 0
As soon as possible 13.3% 4.4% 15.2% 19.7% 21.6% 21.0% 17.7% 8.3% 0.0%
---- + ++++ ++++ ++++ ---
Sometime in the next four months 10.8% 5.5% 14.6% 13.6% 9.3% 12.1% 15.4% 11.2% 0.0%
---- ++++ +
Before the end of 2010 24.2% 14.0% 35.1% 26.1% 31.4% 27.8% 12.5% 14.8% 0.0%
---- ++++ +++ -- ----
Not until the 4 year term ends in 42.5% 71.9% 30.0% 30.2% 30.7% 29.5% 41.2% 35.4% 0.0%
the fall of 2012 ++++ ---- ---- ---- ---- ---
No response 9.1% 4.2% 5.2% 10.4% 7.0% 9.7% 13.2% 30.3% 0.0%
---- ---- ++++
Chi2: - 999
Std Error Around 50%: 1.81 3.39 3.53 4.85 5.87 6.03 11.39 5.56 *

3
Eligible voters only

EKOS Research Associates Inc. PAGE 9

Project: POLL2010 - Weekly National Poll 2010-02-10

If you could choose, when would you want the next federal election to be held?
REGION
Total BC Alb Sask/Man Ont Que Atl
NEXTVOTE

Weighted Total: 2931 378 296 197 1119 720 221

Total: 2943 384 254 210 1123 724 248
As soon as possible 13.3% 16.1% 9.8% 7.7% 13.4% 13.7% 16.9%
+ - -- +
Sometime in the next four months 10.8% 8.3% 6.0% 10.1% 11.8% 11.9% 13.8%
- ---
Before the end of 2010 24.2% 25.0% 18.3% 15.1% 26.8% 23.6% 27.6%
-- --- +++
Not until the 4 year term ends in 42.5% 43.2% 58.6% 58.5% 40.1% 37.8% 33.0%
the fall of 2012 ++++ ++++ -- --- ---
No response 9.1% 7.4% 7.3% 8.7% 7.9% 12.9% 8.7%
- ++++
Chi2: - 999
Std Error Around 50%: 1.81 5.00 6.15 6.76 2.92 3.64 6.22

EKOS Research Associates Inc. PAGE 10

Project: POLL2010 - Weekly National Poll 2010-02-10

If you could choose, when would you want the next federal election to be held?
Highest level of Language of
Gender Age schooling completed Place of birth Interview
Coll/CE In Outside
Total Male Feml <25 25-44 45-64 65+ <= HS GEP Uni Canada Canada English French
NEXTVOTE

Weighted Total: 2931 1420 1511 324 1047 1043 516 830 967 1133 2441 490 2240 690
Total: 2943 1446 1497 220 933 1179 611 837 961 1145 2471 472 2246 697
As soon as possible 13.3% 16.9% 9.9% 26.3% 15.8% 9.3% 8.3% 15.9% 12.1% 12.5% 13.1% 14.6% 13.2% 13.8%
++++ ---- ++++ +++ ---- ---- +++
Sometime in the next four months 10.8% 11.0% 10.7% 15.9% 10.1% 10.6% 9.6% 12.2% 8.5% 11.8% 10.0% 14.9% 10.5% 12.1%
+++ --- --- +++
Before the end of 2010 24.2% 23.6% 24.8% 24.7% 23.5% 25.2% 23.4% 19.5% 27.0% 25.3% 24.7% 21.8% 24.6% 22.9%
---- ++
Not until the 4 year term ends in 42.5% 42.5% 42.5% 21.8% 40.8% 47.6% 48.6% 41.0% 43.1% 43.1% 42.8% 40.9% 43.9% 38.0%
the fall of 2012 ---- ++++ +++ +++ ---
No response 9.1% 6.0% 12.1% 11.2% 9.7% 7.4% 10.2% 11.4% 9.2% 7.4% 9.4% 7.9% 7.9% 13.3%
---- ++++ -- +++ --- ---- ++++
Chi2: - 999 999 999 95 999
Std Error Around 50%: 1.81 2.58 2.53 6.61 3.21 2.85 3.96 3.39 3.16 2.90 1.97 4.51 2.07 3.71

EKOS Research Associates Inc. PAGE 11

Project: POLL2010 - Weekly National Poll 2010-02-10

All things considered, would you say the Government of Canada is moving in the right direction or the wrong
direction? 4
Vote Intention (includes leaning)
Total CPC LPC NDP GP BQ Oth Undec Not eligible
INTRO2

Weighted Total: 1539 408 402 209 166 132 42 155 25

Total: 1531 417 409 209 153 128 40 154 21
Right direction 39.9% 82.4% 24.1% 27.2% 21.5% 15.4% 21.7% 33.5% 30.2%
++++ ---- ---- ---- ---- -- -
Wrong direction 49.0% 9.2% 66.1% 65.0% 70.0% 71.5% 67.9% 40.7% 48.7%
---- ++++ ++++ ++++ ++++ ++ --
Skipped 11.1% 8.4% 9.7% 7.7% 8.6% 13.1% 10.4% 25.8% 21.1%
-- - ++++
Chi2: - (999)
Std Error Around 50%: 2.50 4.80 4.85 6.78 7.92 8.66 15.49 7.90 21.38

4
Half sample

EKOS Research Associates Inc. PAGE 12

Project: POLL2010 - Weekly National Poll 2010-02-10

All things considered, would you say the Government of Canada is moving in the right
direction or the wrong direction?
REGION
Total BC Alb Sask/Man Ont Que Atl
INTRO2

Weighted Total: 1539 191 162 109 590 363 124

Total: 1531 193 141 115 586 357 139
Right direction 39.9% 37.4% 55.8% 60.0% 37.6% 28.9% 48.7%
++++ ++++ ---- ++
Wrong direction 49.0% 51.7% 35.3% 30.5% 51.0% 57.3% 45.1%
---- ---- ++++
Skipped 11.1% 10.9% 8.8% 9.5% 11.4% 13.8% 6.2%
+ -
Chi2: - 999
Std Error Around 50%: 2.50 7.05 8.25 9.14 4.05 5.19 8.31

EKOS Research Associates Inc. PAGE 13

Project: POLL2010 - Weekly National Poll 2010-02-10

All things considered, would you say the Government of Canada is moving in the right direction or the wrong
direction?
Highest level of Language of
Gender Age schooling completed Place of birth Interview
Coll/CE In Outside
Total Male Feml <25 25-44 45-64 65+ <= HS GEP Uni Canada Canada English French
INTRO2

Weighted Total: 1539 740 798 177 571 517 274 442 495 602 1287 252 1191 347
Total: 1531 746 785 118 505 582 326 443 486 602 1289 242 1189 342
Right direction 39.9% 43.1% 37.0% 37.6% 35.8% 42.2% 45.8% 44.9% 41.5% 35.0% 38.8% 45.7% 43.3% 28.4%
++ -- -- ++ ++ --- -- ++ ++++ ----
Wrong direction 49.0% 49.0% 48.9% 48.9% 53.8% 47.5% 41.8% 43.4% 45.3% 56.1% 50.8% 39.5% 46.7% 57.0%
+++ --- --- - ++++ +++ --- ---- ++++
Skipped 11.1% 7.9% 14.0% 13.5% 10.4% 10.3% 12.4% 11.8% 13.1% 8.9% 10.4% 14.7% 10.0% 14.7%
---- ++++ + -- -- ++ -- ++
Chi2: - 999 95 999 99 999
Std Error Around 50%: 2.50 3.59 3.50 9.02 4.36 4.06 5.43 4.66 4.45 3.99 2.73 6.30 2.84 5.30

EKOS Research Associates Inc. PAGE 14