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MESSAGE TO PRESIDENT OBAMA, CAN AMERICA WIN BYCONFRONTING CHINA?

Will America win in an all out confrontation with China? The reality is both sideswill lose. How much each side will loose? Which nation will recover more readilyfrom the loss suffered from such an unwise and unthinkable confrontation? Willour over reach into another unnecessary cold war be productive? How essential is itfor both nations to reach harmony consensus for win- win development instead of confrontation? America should have a public debate on this very urgent andimportant subject so we are better prepared for the consequence of ourconfrontational actions should we decide to embark on it.Leaders of both nations are fully aware of the severe consequences of an avoidableall out confrontation. But a public debate in America is needed so President Obamawill not be subjected to undue pressure from the public to provoke China to thepoint of no return. American media is still mired in the past Cold War mentality asto have not done the necessary task to educate American public about Chinadevelopment. We are uninformed and under disillusion about how China canprogress so fast economically during the past three decades.Despite the fact that the 2008 global financial crises was caused by America, therewas rarely any complain from China. Chinese culture is not known to be critical of others. Fortunately Chinese leaders also read Sun Zi and follow Deng Xiaopingforeign policy teaching for China “Observe developments soberly, maintain ourposition, meet challenges calmly, hide our capacities and bide our time, remain freeof ambition, never claim leadership” and avoid serious confrontations. Americanleaders are under pressure from the public to confront China for the last half century ever since the founding of the new Chinese Peoples Republic. Our citizensare constantly reminded by the media that we have the best political system andChina must follow us to develop (See Martin Jacques, “

When China Rules theWorld

”, 2010).American media has vowed with confidence that China today is more dependent onour market. This is a misinformation by the American media to build up confidenceto please the public. This misconception of the public can be dangerous as to forceour leaders hands on too many unnecessary confrontations with China as witnessedby our superior than thou attitude on Internet Freedom, sales of arms to Taiwanand Obama’s meeting with Dalai Lama despite repeated warning from China. Onfurther analysis it is easy to show that America is actually more dependent on Chinaas our banker to support out twin deficits (See Appendix,

Message to President Obama, Who is More Dependent on Whom, America or China

, by Francis C W Fung,www.scribd.com/fcwfung).Ever since we think we won the Cold War because of our superior ideology we haveconvinced our self that we are invincible. We also are very proud that our militarypower is supreme and we are a creative nation that we lead in world technology.

The truth is that our business enterprise is competitive because we are ahead inindustrial revolution and our most endowed land attracts vast number of talentswho seek opportunities. Ideology is very fickle. A nation can change her ideologyon a dime as we witness China’s transformation. During the last three decades of reform and opening up she has proved that her hybrid system of combined stateeconomy with market economy can work quite well. Many foreign talents that usedto come from Europe, Japan, China and India are now returning home becauseeconomic opportunities in their homeland are growing because of increasedprosperity. This phenomenon is well known as we saw Japanese and Taiwanesescientists and entrepreneurs returning home during the last Century and recentlysome Chinese and Indian talent are doing the same.If current American provocation is unchecked there may come a point China will beforced to retaliate in action by discontinuing to subsidize our twin deficits. Thisreaction will most likely to lead to all out confrontation. The first to suffer isAmerican consumers who will need to pay higher prices for essential goods tomaintain our living standard. Next will be American and Chinese businessesbecause 70 % of imports from China are under joint venture management withforeign companies make more profit than that of Chinese business. It may not befun to watch the domino effects of worldwide trade protectionism and stock marketscrash, but it will happen like the 1929 world depression. When this does occur thereis no telling who will be the bigger loser.Luckily the world will recover from the next depression if it should occur despiteour efforts to prevent it. The question is who will be more likely to recover from itfastest? America has never had a major calamity that took place in our home landother than the Civil War. China, however on the other hand, during the lastCentury, experienced the devastation of numerous imperial aggression wars, theJapanese occupation, two major civil wars, the Cultural Revolution and the recentdevastating Szechuan earth quakes. She showed remarkable resilience inrecovering from all those calamities. In addition, as an ancient culture, she is theone showed continuous unity for a long uninterrupted history of five thousandyears.As a dynamic young nation, America does not have a deep rooted ancientcivilization as bounding force. China is a cultural state and not a political state asdiscussed in essay 3 in following Appendix. China is more centralized and cohesiveas demonstrated by her developing pattern during the last three decades and herfast recovery from the last global economic crisis. (See Martin Jacques, “

WhenChina Rules the World

”, 2010). As world’s manufacturing center, China certainlywill be the first to have the get up and go to ex[port consumer goods to the rest of the developing world. Remember in any depression, when the stock marketcrashed, cash is king. Whereas America is currently heavily in debt, China has twotrillion dollars of foreign currency reserve, adding the 700 billion from Hong Kong,this will make 2.7 trillion. She and other cash rich nations in Asia will certainly

recover that much faster during this potential depression than the America, even if they are not targeted to rise already.History has ample documentation of the 1929 global depression. It is sufficient toconclude that at this time of crises, caution is the best part of velour for bothAmerica and China not to tempt fate. The most advisable course of action is forAmerica and China both to continue cooperation and reach Harmony Consensus. A joint effort between the most powerful developed nation and the fastest growingdeveloping country, America and China both will fulfill the manifested destinationof greatness, bringing lasting peace and harmony to the world. Harmony is themost common value of human civilization and Harmony Renaissance is the nextcreative wave of energy mankind is waiting for to lead us to the next level of accomplishment beyond European Renaissance.Francis C W Fung, Ph.D.Director GeneralWorld Harmony Organizationfrancis@worldharmonyorg.netSan Francisco, CAMESSAGE TO PRESIDENT OBAMA:” WHO IS MORE DEPENDENT ONWHOM, AMERICA OR CHINA?”It does not matter whether the future prediction of Orville Schell (1) or MartinJacques (2) is on target about U.S. China relation. In fact the future prospect maybe some where in between. Our concern should be how to avoid another cold warthat is looming by our unnecessary confrontation of China in arm sales to Taiwan,critical of China by siding with Google Internet dispute with China and yourcoming meeting with Dalai Lama. American public needs to be in formed aboutthese anatomizing tactics through public debates.Orville Schell is singing a familiar tune of China and U.S. will only get closer.Martin Jacques is predicting a likely scenario that Chinese culture may dominatethe future world. Though nobody can be sure of the future, Jacques is closer to thetarget on the following counts. Contrary to U.S. media reports,1) Chinese Harmony cultural values have more universal values than ourproclaimed democracy values.2) Chinese people and government is getting enough information through theInternet to move towards modernity for now. Her current success in economics andmodernization are good indications.

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Message to President Obama Can America Win by Confronting China

CAN AMERICA WIN BY CONFRONTING CHINA?

Will America win in an all out confrontation with China? The reality is both sides will lose. How much each side will loose? Which nation will recover more readily from… (More)