Check out the swing in “net” exposure to Gold in early 2001. Speculators quickly got off the “bear train” and hopped on to the“bullish” side--and, they never looked back. The big rush had to be “consolidated” for sure, but the point is that a big swing insentiment may not necessarily be a contrarian signal at all….
Andy’s Technical Commentary__________________________________________________________________________________________________
Net Speculative Length Gold(Comex Futures Contracts)
-100000-50000050000100000150000200000250000
1 / 2 / 0 1 3 / 2 / 0 1 5 / 2 / 0 1 7 / 2 / 0 1 9 / 2 / 0 1 1 1 / 2 / 0 1 1 / 2 / 0 2 3 / 2 / 0 2 5 / 2 / 0 2 7 / 2 / 0 2 9 / 2 / 0 2 1 1 / 2 / 0 2 1 / 2 / 0 3 3 / 2 / 0 3 5 / 2 / 0 3 7 / 2 / 0 3 9 / 2 / 0 3 1 1 / 2 / 0 3 1 / 2 / 0 4 3 / 2 / 0 4 5 / 2 / 0 4 7 / 2 / 0 4 9 / 2 / 0 4 1 1 / 2 / 0 4 1 / 2 / 0 5