Castleton

Poll
September 2015

Presiden6al Poli6cs in Vermont

80 percent of Vermonters say that theyve
given some thought to whom they favor in the
2016 Presiden6al Elec6on
48 percent of Vermonters with an opinion (39
percent overall) hope to see Senator Bernie
Sanders elected president in 2016
However, the vast majority do not believe that
Sanders will be the Democra6c nominee

Hope to see win in 2016

Hope to see win in 2016

80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Republican

Biden

Bush

Lean Republican

Carson

True
Lean Democrat
Independents
and Other

Clinton

Sanders

Trump

Walker

Democrat

No opinion

Whom Democrats and those who lean

Democrat hope to see win in 2016
65%

14%

Sanders

Clinton

10%

11%

Others

Not sure

Whom Republicans and those who lean

Republican hope to see win in 2016
28%

12%

12%

12%
10%
8%

6%
4%

4%

Sanders Carson Trump Walker Bush Clinton Paul

4%

Rubio Other

Not
sure

Whom Vermonters expect to be the

major party nominees
Republican

Democrat
40%

26%

46%

27%

21%

16%

13%
10%
1%
Bush

Trump

Other Not sure

Clinton Sanders Biden

Other Not sure

Sanders Support
Higher among women (57%) than among men
(39%)
Higher among Vermonters < 45 years old
(53%) than among Seniors (43%)
Strongest in Central VT (Addison, Washington,
and Orange coun6es) 55%
Weakest in the Northern coun6es (all coun6es
above Central except Chi\enden) 44%

Poll Details
Surveyed 617 Vermont adults via landline
(n=424, 69%) and cell phone (n=193, 31%)
Margin of error for en6re sample is +/-4% --
MoE increases for subpopula6on comparisons
Data collected from August 24th to September
14th, 2015
Data are weighted by county, gender, and age
to adjust for response dieren6als