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15-070224-01 - FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2015 (eNation #556 Oct 9-12, 2015)

Detailed Tables

RV1A. Thinking of how you feel right now, if a FEDERAL election were held tomorrow, which of the following parties' candidates would you, yourself, be most likely to support?

REGION

HOUSEHOLD INCOME

HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION

GENDER

AGE

ONTARIO REGION

TOTAL

BC
A

AB
B

SK/MB
C

ON
D

QC
E

Atlantic Canada
F

<40K
G

40K - <60K
H

60K - <100K
I

100K+
J

Kids
K

No Kids
L

Male
M

Female
N

18-34
O

35-54
P

55+
Q

416
R

905
S

Rest of Ontario
T

Base: All respondents


Unweighted Base
Weighted Base

2503
2504

380
336

208
267

208
161

1001
960

489
601

217
179

618
681

648
607

590
585

555
531

629
651

1874
1853

1201
1222

1302
1282

586
571

938
903

979
1030

258
201

260
249

482
508

The Conservative Party

737
29%

88
26%

172
25%

163
27%

180
31%

219
36%

211
36%

228
40%

343
33%
O
356
35%

84
34%
R
109
44%

160
32%
R
202
40%

The New Democratic Party (NDP)

526
21%

129
22%
J
15
3%

137
24%

187
21%

202
20%

22
3%

51
4%

45
3%

24
4%

27
3%

44
4%

43
21%
S
0
-

31
13%

19
4%

414
22%
K
73
4%

258
21%

0
-

135
22%
J
23
4%

112
17%

95
4%

0
-

107
21%
S
0
-

Green Party

95
4%

6
2%

4
3%

35
4%

174
26%
J
36
5%
I
29
4%

69
13%

The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)

159
26%
BDF
95
16%
ABCDF
16
3%

502
39%
M
268
21%

266
29%
O
331
37%

47
23%

239
35%

404
33%
N
413
34%

129
23%

78
44%
BE
31
17%

218
33%
L
231
36%

334
26%

181
30%

191
36%
GH
216
41%

519
28%

130
39%
BE
78
23%
B
0
-

291
30%
EF
406
42%
BE
182
19%

38
21%

915
37%

58
36%
AEF
56
35%
B
40
25%
B
0
-

120
20%

The Liberal Party

143
53%
ACDEF
64
24%

26
4%

20
3%

15
3%

22
3%

73
4%

46
4%

49
4%

26
5%

34
4%

35
3%

6
3%

5
2%

24
5%

Don't Know/Not sure

134
5%

17
6%

3
2%

46
5%

31
5%

30
4%

40
7%

29
5%

20
4%

45
7%

89
5%

50
4%

84
7%
M

28
5%

56
6%

50
5%

11
5%

20
8%
T

15
3%

24
7%
BCDE
17
5%

37
14%

0
-

0
0
11
6%
21
12%
ACDE

684
37%

95
47%

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B/C/D/E/F - G/H/I/J - K/L - M/N - O/P/Q - R/S/T

Ipsos Public Affairs


October 13, 2015
FINAL DATA

13 of 65

15-070224-01 - FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2015 (eNation #556 Oct 9-12, 2015)

Detailed Tables

RV1B. Well, which party would you say you would lean towards?

REGION

HOUSEHOLD INCOME

HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION

GENDER

AGE

ONTARIO REGION

TOTAL

BC
A

AB
B

SK/MB
C

ON
D

QC
E

Atlantic Canada
F

<40K
G

40K - <60K
H

60K - <100K
I

100K+
J

Kids
K

No Kids
L

Male
M

Female
N

18-34
O

35-54
P

55+
Q

416
R

905
S

Rest of Ontario
T

Base: Undecided
Unweighted Base
Weighted Base

313
134*

38
17**

33
17**

25
3**

97
46*

75
31**

45
21**

81
30**

104
40*

57
29**

44
20**

70
45**

243
89*

126
50*

187
84*

59
28**

129
56*

125
50*

25
11**

36
20**

36
15**

The Conservative Party

45
34%

5
30%

8
51%

1
46%

17
37%

9
28%

5
23%

7
22%

16
40%

9
31%

5
24%

17
37%

29
32%

14
28%

31
37%

7
24%

20
35%

19
37%

3
29%

10
48%

4
28%

The Liberal Party

45
34%

5
29%

3
19%

2
54%

19
42%

8
27%

8
39%

14
46%

12
30%

11
37%

6
29%

14
31%

31
35%

21
25%

14
51%

13
22%

18
37%

6
55%

7
36%

6
40%

The New Democratic Party (NDP)

33
24%

5
29%

3
21%

0
-

9
19%

8
27%

7
33%

9
31%

10
25%

5
17%

5
27%

11
23%

22
25%

24
48%
N
10
20%

23
27%

5
17%

16
29%

12
23%

2
16%

3
17%

4
25%

The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)

6
4%

0
-

0
-

0
-

0
-

6
18%

0
-

0
-

1
3%

2
8%

2
12%

2
5%

3
4%

0
-

6
7%

1
5%

3
6%

1
2%

0
-

0
-

0
-

Green Party

5
4%

2
12%

1
9%

0
-

1
3%

0
-

1
4%

0
-

1
2%

2
7%

1
8%

1
3%

4
4%

2
5%

3
4%

1
4%

4
8%

0
-

0
-

0
-

1
8%

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B/C/D/E/F - G/H/I/J - K/L - M/N - O/P/Q - R/S/T * small base; ** very small base (under 30) ineligible for sig testing

Ipsos Public Affairs


October 13, 2015
FINAL DATA

14 of 65

15-070224-01 - FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2015 (eNation #556 Oct 9-12, 2015)

Detailed Tables

RV1A/Q1B. ALL VOTERS - LEANERS INCLUDED

REGION

HOUSEHOLD INCOME

HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION

GENDER

AGE

ONTARIO REGION

TOTAL

BC
A

AB
B

SK/MB
C

ON
D

QC
E

Atlantic Canada
F

<40K
G

40K - <60K
H

60K - <100K
I

100K+
J

Kids
K

No Kids
L

Male
M

Female
N

18-34
O

35-54
P

55+
Q

416
R

905
S

Rest of Ontario
T

Base: All respondents


Unweighted Base
Weighted Base

2503
2504

380
336

208
267

208
161

1001
960

489
601

217
179

618
689

648
620

590
560

555
515

629
639

1874
1865

1201
1220

1302
1284

586
580

938
909

979
1015

258
201

260
249

482
508

The Conservative Party

695
28%

159
26%

458
36%

213
37%

322
32%
O
328
32%

85
34%
R
104
42%

152
30%

628
34%

254
28%
O
303
33%

46
23%

202
33%

370
30%
N
386
32%

119
21%

217
32%

208
33%
L
216
34%

325
25%

116
21%
J
17
3%

231
19%

249
19%

122
21%

177
19%

182
18%

21
4%

24
4%

73
4%

49
4%

48
4%

24
4%

30
3%

43
4%

40
20%
S
0
-

30
12%

0
-

125
20%
J
23
4%

372
20%

97
4%

155
23%
J
34
5%

108
17%

The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)

0
-

100
20%
S
0
-

Green Party

77
3%

6
2%

3
2%

28
3%

132
22%
B
97
16%
ABCDF
11
2%

74
41%
BE
32
18%

178
34%
GH
201
39%
GH
65
13%

487
26%

150
25%

169
30%
G
196
35%

480
19%

283
29%
EF
386
40%
BE
171
18%

155
23%

The New Democratic Party (NDP)

54
34%
AEF
52
32%
B
35
22%
B
0
-

37
21%

844
34%

134
50%
ACDEF
59
22%

102
17%

The Liberal Party

85
25%
E
124
37%
BE
75
22%
B
0
-

22
3%

20
3%

16
3%

12
2%

18
3%

59
3%

37
3%

40
3%

21
4%

30
3%

27
3%

4
2%

4
2%

20
4%

1
0

0
-

1
0

0
-

9
5%
E
0
-

2
0

1
0

2
0

2
0

2
0

5
0

3
0

4
0

1
0

2
0

5
0

0
-

1
0

0
-

5
2%

2
1%

37
4%

30
5%

3
2%

22
4%

11
2%

12
2%

19
3%

68
4%

48
4%

39
3%

24
2%

8
4%

7
3%

22
4%

14
9%

55
6%

81
13%
AD

24
13%
AD

67
11%
IJ

33
6%

24
5%

43
7%

174
9%

96
8%

121
9%

37
6%
PQ
44
8%

27
3%

26
10%
AD

34
5%
IJ
69
10%
IJ

88
10%

85
8%

11
6%

19
8%

24
5%

Would not vote/None/Would spoil ballot

87
3%

21
6%
BCDE
5
2%
DE
10
3%

Don't Know/Not sure

217
9%

17
5%

Other

7
0

35
13%

0
-

1
0

91
45%

190
37%

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B/C/D/E/F - G/H/I/J - K/L - M/N - O/P/Q - R/S/T

Ipsos Public Affairs


October 13, 2015
FINAL DATA

15 of 65

15-070224-01 - FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2015 (eNation #556 Oct 9-12, 2015)

Detailed Tables

RV1A/Q1B. DECIDED VOTER - LEANERS INCLUDED

REGION

HOUSEHOLD INCOME

HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION

GENDER

AGE

ONTARIO REGION

TOTAL

BC
A

AB
B

SK/MB
C

ON
D

QC
E

Atlantic Canada
F

<40K
G

40K - <60K
H

60K - <100K
I

100K+
J

Kids
K

No Kids
L

Male
M

Female
N

18-34
O

35-54
P

55+
Q

416
R

905
S

Rest of Ontario
T

Base: Decided Voters - Leaners Included


Unweighted Base
Weighted Base

2226
2504

349
336

182
267

184
161

910
960

415
601

186
179

536
681

561
607

546
585

517
531

571
651

1655
1853

1074
1222

1152
1282

515
571

833
903

878
1030

236
201

232
249

441
508

The Conservative Party

783
31%

93
28%

179
26%

180
30%

189
32%
222
38%

559
22%

204
23%

214
21%

25
4%

51
4%

50
4%

25
4%

31
3%

45
4%

101
50%
T
45
22%
S
0
-

35
14%

22
4%

436
24%
K
76
4%

268
22%

0
-

134
23%
J
18
3%

123
19%

101
4%

146
24%
J
24
4%

75
14%

The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)

183
27%
J
36
5%

242
42%
Q
141
25%

94
38%
R
116
47%

The New Democratic Party (NDP)

523
41%
M
291
23%

361
35%
O
375
36%

165
32%

231
38%

286
32%
O
344
38%

50
25%

253
37%

418
34%
N
438
36%

135
24%

86
48%
BCE
38
21%

235
36%
L
245
38%

365
28%

189
31%

196
37%
GH
222
42%

548
30%

134
40%
BE
83
25%
B
0
-

308
32%
EF
425
44%
BE
191
20%

43
24%

961
38%

59
37%
AEF
58
36%
B
40
25%
B
0
-

128
21%

The Liberal Party

151
57%
ACDEF
68
25%

0
-

110
22%
S
0
-

Green Party

101
4%

8
3%

4
3%

36
4%

29
4%

26
4%

22
4%

16
3%

24
4%

77
4%

48
4%

53
4%

27
5%

39
4%

35
3%

6
3%

5
2%

25
5%

26
8%
BCDE

40
15%

0
-

167
28%
BD
100
17%
ABCDF
16
3%

0
0
12
7%
E

715
39%

208
41%

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B/C/D/E/F - G/H/I/J - K/L - M/N - O/P/Q - R/S/T

Ipsos Public Affairs


October 13, 2015
FINAL DATA

16 of 65

15-070224-01 - FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2015 (eNation #556 Oct 9-12, 2015)

Detailed Tables

RV2. How certain are you that this is the party that you will actually support on Election Day:

REGION

HOUSEHOLD INCOME

HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION

GENDER

AGE

ONTARIO REGION

TOTAL

BC
A

AB
B

SK/MB
C

ON
D

QC
E

Atlantic Canada
F

<40K
G

40K - <60K
H

60K - <100K
I

100K+
J

Kids
K

No Kids
L

Male
M

Female
N

18-34
O

35-54
P

55+
Q

416
R

905
S

Rest of Ontario
T

Base: Respondents who selected a party at RV1A or RV1B


Unweighted Base
Weighted Base

2242
2504

350
336

185
267

185
161

916
960

419
601

187
179

541
681

563
607

551
585

519
531

574
651

1668
1853

1083
1222

1159
1282

518
571

836
903

888
1030

237
201

233
249

445
508

Absolutely certain

1553
62%

204
61%

167
63%

97
60%

621
65%

352
59%

111
62%

424
62%

363
60%

378
65%

333
63%

366
56%

284
50%

343
67%

Fairly certain

51
32%

277
29%

175
29%

53
29%

196
29%

189
31%

161
28%

148
28%

147
29%

14
5%

12
7%

44
5%

51
8%

39
6%

31
5%

31
6%

116
6%

75
6%

39
4%

7
3%

9
3%

1
1%

17
2%

9
1%

14
2%

14
2%

17
3%

22
3%

38
2%

29
2%

31
2%

21
2%

5
0

1
0

0
-

0
-

2
0

2
0

9
5%
ACD
0
-

1
0

2
0

1
0

1
0

0
-

5
0

2
0

3
0

0
-

2
0

3
0

8
4%
T
2
1%
T

22
9%
RT
5
2%

15
3%

60
2%

53
9%
DF
19
3%

6
3%

Not at all certain

26
8%
D
5
1%

212
37%
Q
59
10%
PQ
16
3%

72
29%

155
6%

403
31%
M
80
6%

58
29%

Not very certain

224
34%
L
39
6%

742
72%
OP
225
22%

151
61%

77
29%

528
58%
O
293
32%
Q
58
6%
Q
22
2%

126
63%

99
29%

789
65%
N
328
27%

764
60%

731
29%

1187
64%
K
507
27%

0
-

0
-

T2B

2284
91%

304
90%

244
92%

148
92%

527
88%

164
92%

620
91%

552
91%

539
92%

481
91%

590
91%

1694
91%

1117
91%

1167
91%

496
87%

31
9%

23
8%

13
8%

72
12%
D

15
8%

60
9%

53
9%

45
8%

49
9%

61
9%

154
8%

104
8%

111
9%

75
13%
PQ

966
94%
OP
60
6%

223
89%

215
9%

821
91%
O
80
9%
Q

185
92%

L2B

898
93%
E
61
6%

15
8%
T

27
11%
T

490
96%
RS
19
4%

(DK/Ref/Not Stated)

3
1%

TOPBOX & LOWBOX SUMMARY

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B/C/D/E/F - G/H/I/J - K/L - M/N - O/P/Q - R/S/T

Ipsos Public Affairs


October 13, 2015
FINAL DATA

17 of 65

15-070224-01 - FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2015 (eNation #556 Oct 9-12, 2015)

Detailed Tables

RV3. And, assuming you can't vote for your first choice, which party would you support as a second choice?

REGION

HOUSEHOLD INCOME

HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION

GENDER

AGE

ONTARIO REGION

TOTAL

BC
A

AB
B

SK/MB
C

ON
D

QC
E

Atlantic Canada
F

<40K
G

40K - <60K
H

60K - <100K
I

100K+
J

Kids
K

No Kids
L

Male
M

Female
N

18-34
O

35-54
P

55+
Q

416
R

905
S

Rest of Ontario
T

Base: Respondents who selected a party at RV1A or RV1B


Unweighted Base
Weighted Base

2242
2504

350
336

185
267

185
161

916
960

419
601

187
179

541
681

563
607

551
585

519
531

574
651

1668
1853

1083
1222

1159
1282

518
571

836
903

888
1030

237
201

233
249

445
508

The Conservative Party

216
9%

27
8%

13
5%

11
7%

52
9%

13
7%

57
8%

49
8%

48
8%

59
11%

55
8%

161
9%

117
10%

99
8%

57
10%

80
9%

79
8%

23
11%

33
13%

45
9%

The Liberal Party

503
20%

68
20%

35
22%

129
22%

26
15%

121
18%

118
19%

130
22%

119
22%

137
21%

366
20%

257
21%

246
19%

118
21%

177
20%

208
20%

82
16%

688
27%

81
24%

144
24%

164
27%

166
28%

148
28%

180
28%

508
27%

300
25%

255
28%

264
26%

77
31%

158
31%

0
-

0
-

0
-

28
4%

21
3%

15
3%

18
3%

18
3%

65
3%

38
3%

388
30%
M
45
4%

170
30%

83
3%

68
38%
ABCE
0
-

187
27%

The Bloc Quebecois (BQ)

301
31%
ABE
0
-

48
24%
T
66
33%

46
18%

The New Democratic Party (NDP)

68
25%
DF
51
19%

100
10%
B
176
18%

16
3%

32
3%

36
3%

0
-

0
-

0
-

Some other party

500
20%

74
28%
DE
60
23%

34
21%
E
38
24%

182
19%
E
200
21%

44
25%
E
28
15%

111
18%

105
18%

101
19%

130
20%

370
20%

257
21%

243
19%

119
21%

179
20%

202
20%

24
12%

32
13%

Don't know/Not sure

81
24%
E
79
24%
F

154
23%

514
21%

134
20%

145
24%
J

120
20%

85
16%

132
20%

382
21%

253
21%

261
20%

91
16%

181
20%

241
23%
O

41
20%

62
25%

127
25%
RS
96
19%

43
27%

83
14%
ABCDF
84
14%
108
18%

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B/C/D/E/F - G/H/I/J - K/L - M/N - O/P/Q - R/S/T

Ipsos Public Affairs


October 13, 2015
FINAL DATA

18 of 65

15-070224-01 - FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2015 (eNation #556 Oct 9-12, 2015)

Detailed Tables

RV4. Thinking about the Conservative government under the leadership of Stephen Harper, from what you have seen, read or heard, would you say that you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove or strongly disapprove of their performance?

REGION

HOUSEHOLD INCOME

HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION

GENDER

AGE

ONTARIO REGION

TOTAL

BC
A

AB
B

SK/MB
C

ON
D

QC
E

Atlantic Canada
F

<40K
G

40K - <60K
H

60K - <100K
I

100K+
J

Kids
K

No Kids
L

Male
M

Female
N

18-34
O

35-54
P

55+
Q

416
R

905
S

Rest of Ontario
T

Base: All respondents


Unweighted Base
Weighted Base

2503
2504

380
336

208
267

208
161

1001
960

489
601

217
179

618
681

648
607

590
585

555
531

629
651

1874
1853

1201
1222

1302
1282

586
571

938
903

979
1030

258
201

260
249

482
508

Strongly approve

357
14%

31
9%

21
13%

20
11%

81
12%

83
14%

80
14%

114
13%

40
16%

94
19%

38
21%

168
25%

154
25%

168
29%

474
26%

362
28%

159
28%

266
29%

169
16%
P
270
26%

29
14%

140
23%

213
17%
N
332
27%

74
13%

49
31%

57
28%

540
22%

32
20%

198
21%

241
20%

298
23%

132
23%

209
23%

198
19%

44
22%

57
22%

326
34%
B
1
0

213
36%

165
31%

178
27%

470
37%

205
36%

312
35%

384
37%

71
35%

70
28%

3
0

3
0

2
0

2
0

722
39%
K
10
1%

430
35%

(DK/Ref/Not Stated)

54
33%
B
5
3%
ADE

164
24%
J
266
39%
J
2
0

143
24%
J
224
37%

12
0

45
25%
B
72
40%
B
4
2%
ADE

401
22%

901
36%

146
24%
B
254
42%
BD
0
-

121
21%

Strongly disapprove

78
23%
B
138
41%
BD
0
-

91
36%
T
49
20%

125
25%

Somewhat disapprove

111
17%
L
221
34%
L
139
21%

144
11%

89
27%

90
17%
G
178
34%
GH
96
18%

245
13%

695
28%

163
17%
AE
273
28%

61
10%

Somewhat approve

62
23%
ACEF
106
40%
ADEF
39
15%

5
0

7
1%

1
0

2
0

9
1%

1
0

0
-

185
36%
S
0
-

T2B

1052
42%

120
36%

57
32%

249
36%

237
39%

248
42%

380
42%

439
43%

86
43%

117
65%
BCD

430
63%
J

367
60%
J

334
57%
J

545
45%
N
672
55%

233
41%

400
67%
BCD

332
51%
L
318
49%

506
40%

216
64%
BCD

268
50%
GHI
261
49%

719
39%

1440
58%

435
45%
AEF
524
55%
B

201
33%

L2B

70
44%
EF
86
53%
B

769
60%
M

337
59%

521
58%

582
57%

115
57%

130
52%
T
119
48%

2
1%

104
21%

TOPBOX & LOWBOX SUMMARY


168
63%
ACDEF
97
36%

1123
61%
K

219
43%
289
57%
S

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B/C/D/E/F - G/H/I/J - K/L - M/N - O/P/Q - R/S/T

Ipsos Public Affairs


October 13, 2015
FINAL DATA

19 of 65

15-070224-01 - FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2015 (eNation #556 Oct 9-12, 2015)

Detailed Tables

RV5. Some people say that the Conservative government under Prime Minister Stephen Harper has done a good job and deserves to be re-elected on October 19th. Other people say that it is time for another federal party to take over and run the country. Which of these statements is closest to your point of view?

REGION

HOUSEHOLD INCOME

HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION

GENDER

AGE

ONTARIO REGION

TOTAL

BC
A

AB
B

SK/MB
C

ON
D

QC
E

Atlantic Canada
F

<40K
G

40K - <60K
H

60K - <100K
I

100K+
J

Kids
K

No Kids
L

Male
M

Female
N

18-34
O

35-54
P

55+
Q

416
R

905
S

Rest of Ontario
T

2503
2504

380
336

208
267

208
161

1001
960

489
601

217
179

618
681

648
607

590
585

555
531

629
651

1874
1853

1201
1222

1302
1282

586
571

938
903

979
1030

258
201

260
249

482
508

Harper government has done a good job and deserves re-election

817
33%

92
27%

151
57%
ACDEF

62
39%
AEF

324
34%
AE

139
23%

48
27%

184
27%

183
30%

193
33%

219
41%
GHI

249
38%
L

568
31%

440
36%
N

377
29%

153
27%

291
32%

372
36%
O

56
28%

95
38%
R

173
34%

Time for another federal party to take over

1670
67%

242
72%
BC
2
0

116
43%

96
60%
B
3
2%
D

633
66%
B
3
0

454
75%
BCD
8
1%

129
72%
BC
1
1%

491
72%
J
6
1%

424
70%
J
0
-

388
66%
J
4
1%

308
58%

400
61%

774
63%

408
71%
Q
10
2%
PQ

653
63%

144
71%

154
62%

334
66%

3
0

896
70%
M
9
1%

609
67%

4
1%
H

1270
69%
K
15
1%

3
0

5
0

2
1%

0
-

1
0

Base: All respondents


Unweighted Base
Weighted Base

(DK/Ref/Not Stated)

17
1%

0
-

9
1%

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B/C/D/E/F - G/H/I/J - K/L - M/N - O/P/Q - R/S/T

Ipsos Public Affairs


October 13, 2015
FINAL DATA

20 of 65

15-070224-01 - FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2015 (eNation #556 Oct 9-12, 2015)

Detailed Tables

RV7. To what extent do you approve or disapprove of the Federal Government's overall management of the Canadian economy?

REGION

HOUSEHOLD INCOME

HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION

GENDER

AGE

ONTARIO REGION

TOTAL

BC
A

AB
B

SK/MB
C

ON
D

QC
E

Atlantic Canada
F

<40K
G

40K - <60K
H

60K - <100K
I

100K+
J

Kids
K

No Kids
L

Male
M

Female
N

18-34
O

35-54
P

55+
Q

416
R

905
S

Rest of Ontario
T

Base: All respondents


Unweighted Base
Weighted Base

2503
2504

380
336

208
267

208
161

1001
960

489
601

217
179

618
681

648
607

590
585

555
531

629
651

1874
1853

1201
1222

1302
1282

586
571

938
903

979
1030

258
201

260
249

482
508

Strongly approve

341
14%

33
10%

22
14%

132
14%

71
12%

24
13%

75
11%

66
11%

80
14%

104
12%

30
12%

68
13%

182
30%

70
39%

237
35%

235
39%

213
36%

665
36%

459
36%

207
36%

350
39%

66
33%

105
42%

197
39%

Somewhat disapprove

758
30%

212
31%

572
31%

341
28%

268
30%

296
29%

69
34%

68
27%

138
27%

101
18%

179
20%

183
18%

33
16%

41
16%

100
20%

(DK/Ref/Not Stated)

4
1%

3
1%

1
0

1
0

368
20%
K
15
1%

215
18%

2
1%

152
22%
IJ
6
1%

94
14%

0
-

38
21%
B
0
-

88
17%

16
1%

174
18%
B
11
1%

417
33%
M
248
19%

195
34%

25
15%

195
33%
J
94
16%

186
29%

29
11%

194
32%
J
109
18%

135
25%

462
18%

216
36%
BDF
131
22%
B
1
0

47
26%

Strongly disapprove

118
35%
BD
65
19%
B
1
0

368
38%
E
275
29%

169
16%
OP
370
36%

33
16%

69
43%
E
43
27%

196
16%
N
468
38%

68
12%

119
35%

108
17%
L
263
40%

145
11%

927
37%

95
18%
GH
211
40%

233
13%

Somewhat approve

60
22%
ADEF
119
45%
E
59
22%

3
0

13
1%
M

1
0

2
0

13
1%
P

1
0

5
2%

6
1%

T2B

1268
51%

152
45%

301
50%

293
50%

455
50%

539
52%

99
49%

135
54%

265
52%

289
49%
J

664
54%
N
555
45%

274
48%

303
50%
J

371
57%
L
279
43%

604
47%

363
53%
J

307
58%
GHI
223
42%

897
48%

183
54%
BCD

94
53%
E
85
47%
B

312
46%

1220
49%

91
56%
AE
68
42%

253
42%

L2B

179
67%
ADEF
88
33%

665
52%
M

295
52%

447
49%

478
46%

101
50%

109
44%

238
47%

TOPBOX & LOWBOX SUMMARY


500
52%
E
449
47%
B

347
58%
BCDF

941
51%
K

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B/C/D/E/F - G/H/I/J - K/L - M/N - O/P/Q - R/S/T

Ipsos Public Affairs


October 13, 2015
FINAL DATA

21 of 65

15-070224-01 - FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2015 (eNation #556 Oct 9-12, 2015)

Detailed Tables

RV8. Which leader of the major federal parties would make the best Prime Minister of Canada?

REGION

HOUSEHOLD INCOME

HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION

GENDER

AGE

ONTARIO REGION

TOTAL

BC
A

AB
B

SK/MB
C

ON
D

QC
E

Atlantic Canada
F

<40K
G

40K - <60K
H

60K - <100K
I

100K+
J

Kids
K

No Kids
L

Male
M

Female
N

18-34
O

35-54
P

55+
Q

416
R

905
S

Rest of Ontario
T

Base: All respondents


Unweighted Base
Weighted Base

2503
2504

380
336

208
267

208
161

1001
960

489
601

217
179

618
681

648
607

590
585

555
531

629
651

1874
1853

1201
1222

1302
1282

586
571

938
903

979
1030

258
201

260
249

482
508

Stephen Harper

812
32%

95
28%

183
27%

182
30%

741
40%

41
15%

504
27%

315
26%

254
28%

255
25%

37
15%

8
3%

4
2%

155
26%
J
8
1%

154
24%

64
3%

173
29%
J
8
1%

109
20%

(DK/Ref/Not Stated)

201
30%
J
26
4%
HI

95
47%
T
45
22%

97
39%
R
113
45%

659
26%

251
44%
PQ
150
26%

368
36%
O
389
38%

Thomas Mulcair

529
41%
M
344
27%

301
33%
O
329
36%

171
34%

244
40%

441
36%
N
441
36%

55
27%

271
40%

250
38%
L
229
35%

144
25%

85
48%
BCE
39
22%

208
39%
GH
200
38%

371
29%

221
37%
B
218
36%
BCDF
28
5%
AD

200
34%
G
222
38%

562
30%

141
42%
B
98
29%
B
3
1%

323
34%
E
399
42%
B
224
23%
B
14
1%

48
27%

970
39%

61
38%
AEF
57
36%
B
38
24%

134
22%

Justin Trudeau

151
57%
ACDEF
66
25%

14
3%

18
3%

45
2%

26
2%

37
3%

26
5%
PQ

20
2%

18
2%

6
3%

141
28%
S
7
1%

6
4%
A

2
1%

190
37%

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B/C/D/E/F - G/H/I/J - K/L - M/N - O/P/Q - R/S/T

Ipsos Public Affairs


October 13, 2015
FINAL DATA

22 of 65

15-070224-01 - FEDERAL ELECTIONS 2015 (eNation #556 Oct 9-12, 2015)

Detailed Tables

9. As you may know, there's been a lot of talk about the weak performance of Canada's economy. In your view, which party and leader would be best able to deal with this issue if they are elected on October 19th?

REGION

HOUSEHOLD INCOME

HOUSEHOLD COMPOSITION

GENDER

AGE

ONTARIO REGION

TOTAL

BC
A

AB
B

SK/MB
C

ON
D

QC
E

Atlantic Canada
F

<40K
G

40K - <60K
H

60K - <100K
I

100K+
J

Kids
K

No Kids
L

Male
M

Female
N

18-34
O

35-54
P

55+
Q

416
R

905
S

Rest of Ontario
T

Base: All respondents


Unweighted Base
Weighted Base

2503
2504

380
336

208
267

208
161

1001
960

489
601

217
179

618
681

648
607

590
585

555
531

629
651

1874
1853

1201
1222

1302
1282

586
571

938
903

979
1030

258
201

260
249

482
508

Stephen Harper and the Conservatives

882
35%

103
31%

198
29%

194
32%

102
41%
R
110
44%

576
23%

136
23%
J
4
1%

125
19%

224
25%

222
22%

38
15%

10
2%

15
2%

451
24%
K
42
2%

264
22%

56
2%

160
26%
J
16
3%
I

68
13%

(DK/Ref/Not Stated)

193
28%
J
20
3%
I

252
44%
P
129
23%

394
38%
O
394
38%

Thomas Mulcair and the NDP

537
42%
M
312
24%

320
35%
O
343
38%

185
36%

237
39%

478
39%
N
452
37%

61
30%

270
40%

270
41%
L
242
37%

168
29%

83
47%
B
36
20%

238
45%
GHI
216
41%

404
32%

232
39%
B
197
33%
ABCDF
26
4%
ABD

209
36%
G
235
40%

613
33%

144
43%
B
85
25%
B
4
1%

348
36%
E
407
42%
B
193
20%
B
12
1%

50
28%

989
39%

67
42%
AEF
57
36%
B
32
20%
B
4
2%

146
24%

Justin Trudeau and the Liberals

168
63%
ACDEF
65
24%

28
2%

28
2%

22
4%
PQ

16
2%

19
2%

118
23%
S
6
1%

32
12%
1
1%

9
5%
ABD

747
40%

98
49%
T
36
18%
6
3%
S

0
-

199
39%

Proportions/Means: Columns Tested (5% risk level) - A/B/C/D/E/F - G/H/I/J - K/L - M/N - O/P/Q - R/S/T

Ipsos Public Affairs


October 13, 2015
FINAL DATA

23 of 65

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