CBS News' Battleground Tracker, South Carolina October 25, 2015

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
South Carolina
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error
1462 Registered Voters

October 15-22, 2015
4.8%
1. How would you rate the condition of the economy in South Carolina today?
Very good . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Fairly good . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49%
Fairly bad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%
Very bad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
2. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in South Carolina?
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .77%
Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
3. In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Democratic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%

South Carolina
4. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the South Carolina Republican Presidential
primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters
Jeb Bush . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Ben Carson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%
Chris Christie . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Carly Fiorina . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Jim Gilmore . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Lindsey Graham . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Mike Huckabee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Bobby Jindal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
John Kasich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
George Pataki . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Rand Paul . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Marco Rubio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Rick Santorum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5%
5. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the South Carolina Democratic
Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters
Joe Biden . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%

Lincoln Chafee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .51%
Lawrence Lessig . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Martin OMalley . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Bernie Sanders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Jim Webb . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4%

South Carolina
6. If Joe Biden decides not to run, which of these candidates are you most likely to vote for?
Asked if Biden is first choice candidate
Lincoln Chafee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .92%
Lawrence Lessig . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Martin OMalley . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Bernie Sanders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Jim Webb . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Would not vote in Democratic primary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .0%
7. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the South Carolina Democratic
Presidential primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters; Biden votes reallocated to 2nd choice
Lincoln Chafee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .68%
Lawrence Lessig . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Martin OMalley . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Bernie Sanders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
Jim Webb . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4%
8. How would you describe your feelings right now about [First Choice Candidate Name] ... ?
Enthusiastic about [Candidate Name] . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53%
Supporting [Candidate Name] but with some reservations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
Considering [Candidate Name] mainly because you dislike the other choices so
far . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%

South Carolina
9. Although you are not voting for them right now, would you be satisfied or dissatisfied if the
Republican party eventually nominates...
Asked of Republican primary voters not supporting the candidate
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Donald Trump
Satisfied
25%
59%
21%
39%
42%
34%
15%
17%
44%
37%
Not satisifed
60%
19%
60%
40%
33%
51%
54%
63%
31%
41%
Not sure yet

15%
21%
20%
21%
25%
15%
31%
21%
25%
22%
10. Although you are not voting for them right now, would you be satisfied or dissatisfied if the
Democratic party eventually nominates...
Asked of Democratic primary voters not supporting the candidate
Joe Biden
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Satisfied
66%
57%
37%
Not satisifed
17%
24%
29%
Not sure yet

17%
19%
35%
11. How much do you use Twitter to follow whats going on with the 2016 campaign?
A lot . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Sometimes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Not too much . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
None . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73%
12. How much do you use Facebook to follow whats going on with the 2016 campaign?
A lot . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Sometimes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%
Not too much . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
None . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45%

South Carolina
13. Which of these do you do on Twitter or Facebook...?
Asked of if use Twitter or Facebook to follow campaign
Read or click links to

news stories about
the 2016 campaign
Share or retweet
links to 2016
campaign stories
Compose my own
posts or tweets about
the 2016 campaign
Follow or like
candidates Im
interested in
Often
Sometimes
Rarely/Never
44%
40%
17%
17%
35%
48%
11%
28%
61%
37%
34%
29%
14. If the next President is a Republican and you could choose one of these things they were
certain to accomplish, which of these would it be...
Defeat ISIS with the US military . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%

Build a wall along the US-Mexico border . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Defund Planned Parenthood . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Repeal Obamacare entirely . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
Balance the Federal Budget . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .26%
Raise taxes on Wall Street investment firms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
None of these . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
15. Do you think the Republican party is currently paying too much, enough, or not enough
attention to the needs of...
The wealthy
The middle class
The Tea Party
movement
Large campaign
donors
Too much
38%
1%
Enough
57%
37%
Not enough
5%
62%
19%
46%
35%
53%
39%
7%

South Carolina
16. Who do you think won the recent Democratic debate?
Lincoln Chafee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .53%
Martin OMalley . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Bernie Sanders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
Jim Webb . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Have not heard or seen enough to say . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
17. Of these, which is the most important reason you are supporting Hillary Clinton?
Asked if Clinton is first choice candidate
Its time for a woman president . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%

She has the right experience . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
She could change Washington and the political system . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
She can win the General Election . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
She cares about people like me . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
18. Of these, which is the most important reason you are supporting Bernie Sanders?
Asked if Sanders is first choice candidate
His policies on income inequality . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%

He says what he believes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
He could change Washington and the political system . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
He can win the General Election . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
He cares about people like me . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%

South Carolina
19. If the next President is a Democrat and you could choose one of these things they were
certain to accomplish, which of these would it be...
Defeat ISIS with the US military . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%

Raise the minimum wage . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
Raise taxes on Wall Street investment firms . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Put more restrictions on guns . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
Reform the campaign finance system . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
Make public college free . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
None of these . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
20. How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?

Support . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .17%
Oppose . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%
Neutral . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
21. Would you describe yourself as a born-again or evangelical Christian?*

Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
22. Thinking about politics these days, how would you describe your own political viewpoint?*
Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%
Conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
Very Conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Questions marked with an asterisk are only asked for respondents who had not answered in previous waves.
Earlier responses were used where available.

South Carolina
23. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a ...?
Strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%
Not very strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Lean Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Independent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Lean Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Not very strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
24. Are you male or female?

Male . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42%
Female . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58%
25. In what year were you born? [Age recoded from birth year]
18-29 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
30-44 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
45-64 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41%
65+ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
26. What racial or ethnic group best describes you?

White . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72%
Black . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
Hispanic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
27. What is the highest level of education you have completed?

HS or less . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%
Some college . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%
College grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
Post grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%

South Carolina
1. Economy in State
How would you rate the condition of the economy in South Carolina today?
Gender
Very good
Fairly good
Fairly bad
Very bad
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
5%
49%
29%
11%
6%
7%
51%
26%
11%
5%
3%
48%
32%
10%
7%
4%
44%
33%
11%
8%
8%
41%
26%
19%
5%
2%
55%
28%
8%
8%
6%
51%
34%
7%
2%
5%
46%
31%
13%
6%
2%
62%
26%
4%
6%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,462)
(608)
(854)
(209)
(357)
(605)
(291)
(1,057)
(364)
(17)
(24)

South Carolina
2. Likelihood of Voting
How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in South Carolina?
Gender
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
77%
10%
6%
2%
2%
4%
78%
7%
4%
2%
3%
6%
76%
12%
7%
2%
1%
3%
65%
9%
10%
4%
0%
12%
69%
11%
9%
1%
3%
6%
80%
10%
4%
2%
2%
2%
88%
8%
0%
1%
2%
0%
76%
10%
5%
2%
2%
4%
80%
9%
7%
0%
0%
4%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,461)
(608)
(853)
(209)
(357)
(605)
(290)
(1,055)
(364)
(17)
(24)

South Carolina
3. 2016 Primary Turnout

In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Gender
Democratic
Republican
Neither
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
38%
35%
8%
20%
34%
42%
9%
16%
41%
30%
7%
23%
37%
20%
8%
35%
38%
27%
7%
28%
41%
38%
9%
12%
32%
48%
7%
13%
22%
46%
10%
23%
87%
2%
1%
10%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,462)
(608)
(854)
(209)
(357)
(605)
(291)
(1,057)
(364)
(17)
(24)

South Carolina
4. First Choice Republican Candidate

Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the South Carolina Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Gender
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
6%
23%
1%
8%
3%
0%
2%
2%
0%
2%
0%
1%
7%
1%
40%
5%
2%
17%
1%
11%
4%
0%
1%
1%
0%
3%
0%
1%
7%
2%
45%
4%
9%
29%
1%
4%
3%
0%
2%
3%
0%
1%
0%
0%
7%
0%
35%
6%
0%
47%
0%
4%
0%
0%
0%
2%
0%
3%
0%
5%
1%
12%
26%
0%
4%
22%
0%
9%
2%
0%
0%
4%
0%
2%
0%
0%
6%
0%
44%
8%
8%
22%
0%
8%
4%
0%
1%
2%
0%
1%
0%
1%
6%
1%
42%
6%
5%
21%
2%
7%
4%
0%
3%
1%
0%
3%
0%
0%
12%
0%
37%
3%
6%
23%
1%
8%
3%
0%
2%
2%
0%
2%
0%
1%
7%
1%
40%
5%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(817)
(402)
(415)
(59)
(152)
(373)
(233)
(780)
(10)
(9)
(18)

South Carolina
5. First Choice Democratic Candidate

Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary in 2016?
Gender
Joe Biden
Lincoln Chafee
Hillary Clinton
Lawrence Lessig
Martin OMalley
Bernie Sanders
Jim Webb
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
18%
0%
51%
0%
1%
24%
1%
4%
13%
1%
49%
0%
0%
33%
2%
1%
21%
0%
52%
0%
1%
19%
1%
7%
4%
0%
40%
0%
0%
52%
0%
4%
8%
1%
61%
0%
3%
21%
4%
2%
30%
0%
43%
0%
1%
21%
0%
7%
13%
0%
68%
0%
0%
15%
1%
2%
4%
0%
41%
0%
1%
50%
1%
4%
29%
0%
59%
0%
0%
5%
1%
5%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(427)
(162)
(265)
(58)
(105)
(188)
(76)
(178)
(244)
(4)
(1)
6. 2nd Choice after Biden

If Joe Biden decides not to run, which of these candidates are you most likely to vote for?
Question not listed due to small sample size.

South Carolina

Gender
Lincoln Chafee
Hillary Clinton
Lawrence Lessig
Martin OMalley
Bernie Sanders
Jim Webb
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
0%
68%
0%
1%
25%
1%
4%
1%
62%
0%
1%
34%
2%
1%
0%
72%
0%
2%
20%
1%
7%
0%
44%
0%
0%
52%
0%
4%
1%
68%
0%
3%
22%
4%
2%
0%
70%
0%
1%
22%
0%
7%
0%
79%
0%
0%
17%
1%
2%
0%
44%
0%
1%
51%
1%
4%
0%
86%
0%
0%
7%
1%
5%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(427)
(161)
(265)
(58)
(105)
(188)
(76)
(178)
(244)
(4)
(1)

South Carolina
8. Enthusiasm for First Choice

How would you describe your feelings right now about [First Choice Candidate Name] ... ?
Gender
Enthusiastic
Supporting with reservations
Considering as best alternative
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
53%
38%
8%
56%
38%
6%
52%
38%
11%
54%
39%
6%
46%
43%
11%
59%
35%
5%
49%
38%
14%
53%
39%
8%
59%
31%
10%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,259)
(545)
(714)
(171)
(280)
(538)
(270)
(916)
(306)
(17)
(20)

South Carolina
9. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Jeb Bush

Although you are not voting for them right now, would you be satisfied or dissatisfied if the Republican party eventually nominates...
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
25%
60%
15%
24%
67%
9%
27%
52%
21%
35%
47%
18%
21%
65%
14%
25%
59%
16%
27%
60%
13%
26%
59%
15%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(744)
(386)
(358)
(56)
(135)
(342)
(210)
(713)
(8)
(9)
(15)

South Carolina
10. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Ben Carson

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
59%
19%
21%
66%
18%
16%
51%
21%
28%
62%
18%
20%
57%
15%
28%
66%
21%
13%
59%
19%
22%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(323)
(284)
100%
(607)
(113)
(290)
(175)
(583)
(29)
(4)
(6)
(14)

South Carolina
11. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Chris Christie

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
21%
60%
20%
21%
70%
10%
21%
50%
30%
8%
79%
13%
23%
61%
16%
16%
59%
25%
30%
55%
15%
21%
60%
19%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(777)
(390)
(388)
(56)
(142)
(368)
(211)
(744)
(9)
(9)
(15)
10

South Carolina
12. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Ted Cruz

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
39%
40%
21%
45%
42%
13%
33%
38%
29%
18%
54%
28%
41%
41%
18%
39%
37%
24%
42%
40%
18%
39%
40%
21%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(724)
(352)
(372)
(54)
(127)
(340)
(203)
(693)
(7)
(9)
(15)
11

South Carolina
13. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Carly Fiorina

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
42%
33%
25%
53%
30%
17%
32%
36%
33%
52%
21%
27%
37%
39%
24%
37%
33%
30%
52%
31%
16%
43%
32%
26%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(764)
(384)
(381)
(56)
(138)
(356)
(214)
(734)
(7)
(9)
(15)
12

South Carolina
14. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Mike Huckabee

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
34%
51%
15%
35%
56%
10%
33%
47%
20%
24%
71%
4%
34%
50%
16%
37%
45%
18%
31%
56%
13%
35%
50%
15%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(781)
(390)
(391)
(55)
(142)
(361)
(223)
(747)
(9)
(9)
(15)
13

South Carolina
15. Satisfied with Republican Candidates John Kasich

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
15%
54%
31%
20%
60%
20%
10%
49%
41%
13%
55%
33%
12%
56%
32%
12%
54%
34%
23%
54%
24%
15%
54%
31%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(763)
(380)
(383)
(55)
(138)
(358)
(213)
(732)
(8)
(9)
(15)
14

South Carolina
16. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Rand Paul

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
17%
63%
21%
22%
65%
13%
11%
61%
28%
0%
74%
26%
30%
44%
26%
17%
59%
23%
11%
77%
12%
16%
63%
21%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(785)
(390)
(395)
(54)
(142)
(365)
(224)
(752)
(9)
(9)
(14)
15

South Carolina
17. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Marco Rubio

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
44%
31%
25%
50%
37%
13%
38%
25%
37%
39%
30%
30%
41%
36%
23%
41%
29%
30%
52%
31%
16%
44%
30%
25%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(732)
(365)
(367)
(56)
(133)
(348)
(195)
(701)
(8)
(9)
(15)
16

South Carolina
18. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Donald Trump

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
37%
41%
22%
34%
43%
23%
39%
39%
21%
39%
47%
14%
38%
37%
25%
34%
43%
23%
37%
40%
23%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(221)
(259)
100%
(480)
(77)
(217)
(142)
(462)
(43)
(5)
(4)
(9)
17

South Carolina
19. Satisfied with Democratic Candidates Joe Biden

Although you are not voting for them right now, would you be satisfied or dissatisfied if the Democratic party eventually nominates...
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
66%
17%
17%
75%
16%
9%
60%
18%
22%
62%
14%
24%
65%
20%
15%
71%
14%
15%
59%
22%
20%
61%
23%
15%
71%
9%
19%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(346)
(138)
(208)
(56)
(94)
(131)
(64)
(169)
(172)
(4)
(1)
18

South Carolina
20. Satisfied with Democratic Candidates Hillary Clinton

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
57%
24%
19%
54%
30%
16%
58%
20%
22%
68%
13%
18%
41%
35%
24%
72%
13%
16%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
(126)
100%
(82)
100%
(208)
(104)
(99)
(35)
(41)
(108)
(24)
(3)
(1)
19

South Carolina
21. Satisfied with Democratic Candidates Bernie Sanders

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
37%
29%
35%
55%
21%
24%
27%
33%
40%
31%
31%
38%
41%
29%
31%
37%
35%
28%
51%
30%
19%
30%
29%
42%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(107)
(204)
100%
(311)
(79)
(143)
(62)
(89)
(219)
(28)
(3)
(0)
20

South Carolina
22. Twitter for 2016 Campaign

How much do you use Twitter to follow whats going on with the 2016 campaign?
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
A lot
Sometimes
Not too much
None
6%
11%
11%
73%
11%
11%
8%
71%
2%
12%
13%
74%
8%
15%
15%
62%
12%
18%
13%
56%
2%
10%
9%
78%
3%
3%
7%
88%
7%
10%
11%
72%
1%
12%
9%
78%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,455)
(608)
(846)
(207)
(352)
(605)
(290)
(1,049)
(364)
(17)
(24)
21

South Carolina
23. Facebook for 2016 Campaign

How much do you use Facebook to follow whats going on with the 2016 campaign?
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
A lot
Sometimes
Not too much
None
16%
23%
16%
45%
17%
19%
15%
50%
15%
26%
17%
42%
9%
39%
24%
28%
25%
23%
17%
35%
15%
22%
14%
49%
11%
13%
14%
62%
17%
25%
16%
42%
10%
17%
16%
57%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,453)
(605)
(848)
(209)
(352)
(602)
(289)
(1,054)
(357)
(17)
(24)
22

South Carolina
24. Social Media for 2016 Campaign Read or click links to news stories about the 2016 campaign
Which of these do you do on Twitter or Facebook...?
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Often
Sometimes
Rarely/Never
44%
40%
17%
54%
34%
12%
36%
44%
20%
55%
27%
18%
45%
37%
17%
42%
47%
11%
30%
43%
28%
44%
42%
14%
39%
33%
29%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(836)
(334)
(502)
(154)
(253)
(316)
(113)
(638)
(169)
(12)
(17)
23

South Carolina
25. Social Media for 2016 Campaign Share or retweet links to 2016 campaign stories
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Often
Sometimes
Rarely/Never
17%
35%
48%
29%
31%
40%
9%
38%
52%
21%
26%
53%
17%
43%
40%
16%
37%
47%
13%
29%
58%
18%
36%
46%
10%
34%
56%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(809)
(329)
(480)
(151)
(242)
(307)
(109)
(616)
(164)
(12)
(16)
24

South Carolina
26. Social Media for 2016 Campaign Compose my own posts or tweets about the 2016 campaign
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Often
Sometimes
Rarely/Never
11%
28%
61%
21%
24%
55%
4%
31%
65%
19%
17%
64%
15%
35%
50%
7%
31%
61%
5%
19%
77%
13%
27%
61%
4%
30%
66%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(811)
(332)
(479)
(151)
(243)
(304)
(112)
(616)
(166)
(12)
(17)
25

South Carolina
27. Social Media for 2016 Campaign Follow or like candidates Im interested in
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Often
Sometimes
Rarely/Never
37%
34%
29%
51%
23%
26%
28%
41%
32%
40%
27%
33%
38%
34%
28%
36%
36%
28%
30%
37%
33%
39%
35%
26%
24%
33%
43%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(816)
(328)
(488)
(151)
(247)
(308)
(110)
(623)
(165)
(12)
(17)
26

South Carolina
28. Republican President Policy Goal

If the next President is a Republican and you could choose one of these things they were certain to accomplish, which of these would it be...
Gender
Defeat ISIS with the US military
Build a wall along the US-Mexico
border
Defund Planned Parenthood
Repeal Obamacare entirely
Balance the Federal Budget
Raise taxes on Wall Street investment
firms
None of these
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
18%
13%
24%
25%
10%
20%
19%
19%
13%
9%
26%
26%
17%
9%
26%
27%
10%
9%
26%
25%
4%
16%
31%
23%
19%
14%
26%
20%
14%
7%
27%
24%
10%
7%
23%
33%
13%
9%
26%
26%
6%
2%
7%
2%
5%
2%
0%
0%
8%
3%
6%
3%
6%
3%
6%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(818)
(402)
(415)
(59)
(152)
(373)
(234)
(781)
(10)
(9)
(18)
27

South Carolina
29. Republican Party Attention The wealthy

Do you think the Republican party is currently paying too much, enough, or not enough attention to the needs of...
Gender
Too much
Enough
Not enough
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
38%
57%
5%
38%
58%
4%
39%
56%
6%
46%
54%
0%
40%
54%
7%
39%
55%
6%
35%
62%
2%
38%
57%
5%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(781)
(396)
(386)
(53)
(136)
(371)
(222)
(749)
(8)
(9)
(15)
28

South Carolina
30. Republican Party Attention The middle class

Gender
Too much
Enough
Not enough
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
1%
37%
62%
1%
39%
60%
1%
35%
64%
0%
48%
52%
4%
39%
57%
1%
38%
61%
0%
31%
69%
1%
37%
61%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(799)
(400)
(399)
(53)
(145)
(373)
(228)
(765)
(9)
(9)
(15)
29

South Carolina
31. Republican Party Attention The Tea Party movement

Gender
Too much
Enough
Not enough
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
19%
46%
35%
22%
38%
40%
16%
54%
30%
13%
63%
24%
16%
47%
38%
18%
44%
38%
25%
44%
31%
19%
46%
35%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(780)
(396)
(384)
(53)
(136)
(370)
(221)
(748)
(8)
(9)
(15)
30

South Carolina
32. Republican Party Attention Large campaign donors

Gender
Too much
Enough
Not enough
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
53%
39%
7%
55%
38%
7%
51%
41%
8%
69%
25%
6%
43%
47%
10%
55%
36%
9%
52%
43%
4%
53%
40%
7%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(778)
(393)
(384)
(53)
(136)
(369)
(220)
(746)
(8)
(9)
(15)
31

South Carolina
33. Who Won the Debate

Who do you think won the recent Democratic debate?
Gender
Lincoln Chafee
Hillary Clinton
Martin OMalley
Bernie Sanders
Jim Webb
Not sure
Have not heard or seen enough to say
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
1%
53%
1%
22%
0%
8%
15%
0%
52%
0%
35%
0%
4%
9%
2%
53%
1%
14%
1%
11%
18%
0%
23%
0%
48%
0%
0%
28%
4%
54%
3%
22%
0%
8%
9%
0%
53%
1%
18%
0%
13%
15%
0%
73%
0%
13%
1%
2%
11%
0%
43%
1%
38%
1%
4%
13%
2%
60%
0%
11%
0%
11%
16%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(427)
(162)
(265)
(58)
(105)
(188)
(76)
(178)
(244)
(4)
(1)
32

South Carolina
34. Reason for Supporting Clinton

Of these, which is the most important reason you are supporting Hillary Clinton?
Gender
Its time for a woman president
She has the right experience
She could change Washington and
the political system
She can win the General Election
She cares about people like me
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
11%
38%
13%
41%
10%
37%
15%
34%
10%
47%
3%
37%
13%
43%
10%
36%
17%
13%
21%
9%
17%
20%
21%
11%
21%
11%
10%
31%
20%
5%
18%
5%
37%
19%
10%
17%
16%
20%
11%
23%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(80)
(139)
100%
(218)
(64)
(80)
(51)
(73)
(145)
(23)
(0)
(0)
33

South Carolina
35. Reason for Supporting Sanders

Of these, which is the most important reason you are supporting Bernie Sanders?
Gender
His policies on income inequality
He says what he believes
He could change Washington and the
political system
He can win the General Election
He cares about people like me
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
38%
21%
47%
9%
40%
21%
22%
0%
19%
24%
0%
19%
21%
0%
17%
100%
100%
(54)
100%
(103)
(49)
(31)
(22)
(39)
(12)
(89)
(13)
(1)
(1)
34

South Carolina
36. Democratic President Policy Goal

If the next President is a Democrat and you could choose one of these things they were certain to accomplish, which of these would it be...
Gender
Raise the minimum wage
firms
Put more restrictions on guns
Reform the campaign finance system
Make public college free
None of these
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
7%
25%
9%
12%
5%
33%
0%
36%
7%
29%
7%
24%
11%
17%
4%
19%
9%
30%
16%
22%
15%
8%
6%
22%
24%
23%
7%
3%
13%
21%
10%
9%
8%
9%
5%
20%
26%
4%
23%
26%
7%
7%
1%
18%
24%
13%
6%
8%
8%
28%
24%
2%
10%
22%
14%
27%
9%
4%
12%
28%
6%
8%
8%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(424)
(160)
(264)
(58)
(105)
(185)
(76)
(176)
(243)
(4)
(1)
35

South Carolina
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error
818 Likely Republican Primary Voters

October 15-22, 2015
5.3%
1. First Choice Republican Candidate

Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the South Carolina Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Ideology
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
6%
23%
1%
8%
3%
0%
2%
2%
0%
2%
0%
1%
7%
1%
40%
5%
4%
19%
0%
15%
1%
0%
2%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%
8%
3%
42%
3%
6%
31%
0%
8%
4%
0%
1%
1%
0%
3%
0%
0%
5%
0%
39%
2%
1%
19%
3%
0%
5%
0%
6%
0%
0%
3%
0%
3%
6%
0%
48%
5%
2%
25%
0%
15%
3%
0%
1%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%
5%
0%
43%
3%
9%
22%
1%
2%
4%
0%
2%
2%
0%
3%
0%
1%
8%
2%
37%
7%
7%
25%
1%
9%
1%
0%
1%
2%
0%
2%
0%
1%
5%
1%
40%
4%
4%
21%
1%
5%
6%
0%
3%
1%
0%
3%
0%
1%
9%
0%
41%
6%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(817)
(214)
(249)
(105)
(347)
(469)
(530)
(254)
Gender
Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Jim Gilmore
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
6%
23%
1%
8%
3%
0%
2%
17%
1%
11%
4%
0%
9%
29%
1%
4%
3%
0%
0%
47%
0%
4%
0%
0%
4%
22%
0%
9%
2%
0%
8%
22%
0%
8%
4%
0%
5%
21%
2%
7%
4%
0%
7%
24%
1%
7%
3%
0%
5%
20%
0%
11%
4%
0%
continued on the next page . . .

South Carolina
continued from previous page

Age group
Gender
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
Bobby Jindal
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
2%
2%
0%
2%
0%
1%
7%
1%
40%
5%
1%
1%
0%
3%
0%
1%
7%
2%
45%
4%
2%
3%
0%
1%
0%
0%
7%
0%
35%
6%
0%
2%
0%
3%
0%
5%
1%
12%
26%
0%
0%
4%
0%
2%
0%
0%
6%
0%
44%
8%
1%
2%
0%
1%
0%
1%
6%
1%
42%
6%
3%
1%
0%
3%
0%
0%
12%
0%
37%
3%
2%
1%
0%
2%
0%
0%
8%
1%
39%
5%
2%
1%
0%
3%
0%
1%
5%
0%
42%
5%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(817)
(402)
(415)
(59)
(152)
(373)
(233)
(587)
(170)

South Carolina

Ideology
Enthusiastic
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
55%
37%
8%
65%
31%
3%
56%
38%
6%
49%
29%
22%
63%
33%
4%
48%
40%
12%
60%
32%
8%
48%
45%
7%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(773)
(208)
(244)
(99)
(336)
(436)
(507)
(237)
Gender
Enthusiastic
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
55%
37%
8%
55%
37%
8%
54%
38%
9%
60%
30%
10%
53%
41%
7%
55%
38%
8%
54%
35%
10%
54%
40%
6%
60%
28%
12%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(773)
(385)
(388)
(58)
(140)
(349)
(225)
(558)
(162)

South Carolina
3. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Jeb Bush

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
25%
60%
15%
26%
59%
15%
21%
68%
11%
17%
71%
13%
20%
71%
8%
29%
51%
20%
25%
61%
14%
28%
57%
15%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(744)
(202)
(224)
(102)
(329)
(414)
(477)
(237)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
25%
60%
15%
24%
67%
9%
27%
52%
21%
35%
47%
18%
21%
65%
14%
25%
59%
16%
27%
60%
13%
32%
54%
14%
10%
73%
17%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(744)
(386)
(358)
(56)
(135)
(342)
(210)
(529)
(161)

South Carolina
4. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Ben Carson

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
59%
19%
21%
71%
19%
10%
68%
10%
21%
49%
30%
21%
80%
10%
10%
45%
26%
29%
65%
16%
19%
50%
25%
24%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(607)
(171)
(165)
(82)
(250)
(358)
(387)
(194)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
59%
19%
21%
66%
18%
16%
51%
21%
28%
62%
18%
20%
57%
15%
28%
66%
21%
13%
61%
19%
19%
59%
21%
21%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(323)
(284)
100%
(607)
(113)
(290)
(175)
(438)
(129)
(29)

South Carolina
5. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Chris Christie

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
21%
60%
20%
15%
71%
14%
24%
59%
17%
23%
54%
22%
18%
69%
13%
22%
53%
25%
19%
63%
18%
26%
55%
20%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(777)
(210)
(231)
(98)
(330)
(447)
(503)
(243)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
21%
60%
20%
21%
70%
10%
21%
50%
30%
8%
79%
13%
23%
61%
16%
16%
59%
25%
30%
55%
15%
21%
57%
22%
24%
64%
12%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(777)
(390)
(388)
(56)
(142)
(368)
(211)
(560)
(163)

South Carolina
6. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Ted Cruz

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
39%
40%
21%
56%
24%
20%
46%
38%
17%
23%
61%
15%
65%
21%
14%
22%
52%
26%
41%
36%
23%
37%
45%
17%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(724)
(177)
(216)
(101)
(283)
(441)
(460)
(235)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
39%
40%
21%
45%
42%
13%
33%
38%
29%
18%
54%
28%
41%
41%
18%
39%
37%
24%
42%
40%
18%
39%
37%
23%
39%
48%
13%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(724)
(352)
(372)
(54)
(127)
(340)
(203)
(525)
(147)

South Carolina
7. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Carly Fiorina

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
42%
33%
25%
53%
37%
10%
47%
27%
27%
35%
41%
24%
49%
29%
21%
37%
36%
27%
42%
32%
26%
46%
33%
21%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(764)
(208)
(228)
(96)
(328)
(436)
(505)
(233)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
42%
33%
25%
53%
30%
17%
32%
36%
33%
52%
21%
27%
37%
39%
24%
37%
33%
30%
52%
31%
16%
43%
33%
25%
41%
31%
28%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(764)
(384)
(381)
(56)
(138)
(356)
(214)
(551)
(160)

South Carolina
8. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Mike Huckabee

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
34%
51%
15%
38%
49%
13%
35%
50%
15%
27%
66%
7%
37%
51%
12%
31%
51%
17%
42%
43%
15%
19%
68%
13%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(781)
(206)
(236)
(104)
(333)
(447)
(503)
(247)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
34%
51%
15%
35%
56%
10%
33%
47%
20%
24%
71%
4%
34%
50%
16%
37%
45%
18%
31%
56%
13%
37%
48%
15%
28%
54%
18%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(781)
(390)
(391)
(55)
(142)
(361)
(223)
(561)
(165)

South Carolina
9. Satisfied with Republican Candidates John Kasich

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
15%
54%
31%
19%
57%
25%
16%
54%
30%
8%
66%
26%
14%
59%
27%
15%
51%
33%
12%
57%
31%
22%
49%
29%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(763)
(205)
(226)
(100)
(331)
(431)
(491)
(241)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
15%
54%
31%
20%
60%
20%
10%
49%
41%
13%
55%
33%
12%
56%
32%
12%
54%
34%
23%
54%
24%
16%
55%
30%
16%
51%
33%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(763)
(380)
(383)
(55)
(138)
(358)
(213)
(550)
(160)
10

South Carolina
10. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Rand Paul

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
17%
63%
21%
24%
60%
16%
14%
66%
20%
17%
67%
16%
29%
56%
15%
8%
68%
25%
19%
58%
23%
12%
71%
17%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(785)
(210)
(236)
(100)
(329)
(455)
(507)
(247)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
17%
63%
21%
22%
65%
13%
11%
61%
28%
0%
74%
26%
30%
44%
26%
17%
59%
23%
11%
77%
12%
16%
62%
22%
18%
65%
17%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(785)
(390)
(395)
(54)
(142)
(365)
(224)
(568)
(166)
11

South Carolina
11. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Marco Rubio

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
44%
31%
25%
52%
28%
20%
50%
23%
27%
22%
61%
17%
55%
27%
18%
36%
34%
30%
43%
29%
28%
47%
34%
19%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(732)
(195)
(226)
(96)
(318)
(414)
(481)
(225)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
44%
31%
25%
50%
37%
13%
38%
25%
37%
39%
30%
30%
41%
36%
23%
41%
29%
30%
52%
31%
16%
47%
25%
27%
45%
33%
22%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(732)
(365)
(367)
(56)
(133)
(348)
(195)
(522)
(158)
12

South Carolina
12. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Donald Trump

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
37%
41%
22%
48%
39%
13%
36%
30%
34%
20%
66%
14%
46%
36%
18%
31%
44%
25%
34%
42%
23%
42%
41%
16%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(480)
(123)
(148)
(52)
(190)
(289)
(308)
(147)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
37%
41%
22%
34%
43%
23%
39%
39%
21%
39%
47%
14%
38%
37%
25%
34%
43%
23%
43%
36%
21%
20%
50%
30%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(221)
(259)
100%
(480)
(77)
(217)
(142)
(356)
(96)
(43)
13

South Carolina
13. Republican President Policy Goal

If the next President is a Republican and you could choose one of these things they were certain to accomplish, which of these would it be...
Ideology
border
firms
None of these
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
18%
17%
18%
20%
17%
19%
17%
20%
13%
9%
26%
26%
17%
12%
29%
24%
13%
9%
25%
29%
17%
6%
14%
21%
20%
10%
27%
24%
8%
8%
25%
27%
13%
12%
27%
24%
13%
3%
26%
28%
6%
2%
0%
1%
1%
4%
20%
3%
2%
1%
9%
3%
5%
2%
8%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(818)
(215)
(249)
(105)
(347)
(470)
(530)
(254)
Gender
border
firms
None of these
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
18%
13%
24%
25%
10%
20%
19%
20%
19%
13%
9%
26%
26%
17%
9%
26%
27%
10%
9%
26%
25%
4%
16%
31%
23%
19%
14%
26%
20%
14%
7%
27%
24%
10%
7%
23%
33%
13%
10%
27%
27%
17%
4%
26%
21%
6%
2%
7%
2%
5%
2%
0%
0%
8%
3%
6%
3%
6%
3%
1%
3%
11%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(818)
(402)
(415)
(59)
(152)
(373)
(234)
(588)
(170)
14

South Carolina
14. Republican Party Attention The wealthy

Ideology
Too much
Enough
Not enough
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
38%
57%
5%
33%
61%
6%
34%
62%
4%
65%
33%
2%
29%
66%
5%
46%
50%
4%
34%
61%
5%
46%
52%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(781)
(202)
(235)
(103)
(337)
(443)
(500)
(249)
Gender
Too much
Enough
Not enough
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
38%
57%
5%
38%
58%
4%
39%
56%
6%
46%
54%
0%
40%
54%
7%
39%
55%
6%
35%
62%
2%
33%
62%
5%
45%
50%
5%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(781)
(396)
(386)
(53)
(136)
(371)
(222)
(560)
(167)
15

South Carolina
15. Republican Party Attention The middle class

Ideology
Too much
Enough
Not enough
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
1%
37%
62%
0%
45%
54%
2%
38%
60%
0%
16%
84%
1%
43%
56%
1%
33%
66%
2%
40%
59%
0%
34%
66%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(799)
(207)
(247)
(104)
(337)
(461)
(517)
(249)
Gender
Too much
Enough
Not enough
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
1%
37%
62%
1%
39%
60%
1%
35%
64%
0%
48%
52%
4%
39%
57%
1%
38%
61%
0%
31%
69%
1%
43%
56%
2%
24%
74%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(799)
(400)
(399)
(53)
(145)
(373)
(228)
(577)
(167)
16

South Carolina
16. Republican Party Attention The Tea Party movement

Ideology
Too much
Enough
Not enough
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
19%
46%
35%
8%
37%
55%
18%
45%
37%
34%
47%
19%
2%
33%
65%
32%
56%
12%
15%
49%
36%
26%
40%
34%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(780)
(202)
(233)
(103)
(339)
(440)
(499)
(249)
Gender
Too much
Enough
Not enough
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
19%
46%
35%
22%
38%
40%
16%
54%
30%
13%
63%
24%
16%
47%
38%
18%
44%
38%
25%
44%
31%
15%
50%
35%
27%
37%
36%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(780)
(396)
(384)
(53)
(136)
(370)
(221)
(559)
(167)
17

South Carolina
17. Republican Party Attention Large campaign donors

Ideology
Too much
Enough
Not enough
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
53%
39%
7%
46%
43%
11%
54%
41%
4%
68%
21%
11%
47%
45%
7%
57%
35%
8%
49%
42%
9%
62%
36%
3%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(778)
(201)
(233)
(102)
(336)
(440)
(497)
(248)
Gender
Too much
Enough
Not enough
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
53%
39%
7%
55%
38%
7%
51%
41%
8%
69%
25%
6%
43%
47%
10%
55%
36%
9%
52%
43%
4%
48%
44%
8%
62%
31%
7%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(778)
(393)
(384)
(53)
(136)
(369)
(220)
(557)
(166)
18

South Carolina
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error
427 Likely Democratic Primary Voters

October 15-22, 2015
8.2%

Ideology
Joe Biden
Lincoln Chafee
Hillary Clinton
Lawrence Lessig
Martin OMalley
Bernie Sanders
Jim Webb
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
18%
0%
51%
0%
1%
24%
1%
4%
10%
1%
44%
0%
1%
44%
0%
0%
19%
0%
54%
0%
0%
24%
0%
3%
19%
0%
49%
0%
0%
22%
3%
7%
4%
0%
41%
0%
1%
50%
1%
4%
29%
0%
59%
0%
0%
5%
1%
5%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(427)
(74)
(97)
(119)
(178)
(244)
Gender
Joe Biden
Lincoln Chafee
Hillary Clinton
Lawrence Lessig
Martin OMalley
Bernie Sanders
Jim Webb
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
18%
0%
51%
0%
1%
24%
1%
4%
13%
1%
49%
0%
0%
33%
2%
1%
21%
0%
52%
0%
1%
19%
1%
7%
4%
0%
40%
0%
0%
52%
0%
4%
8%
1%
61%
0%
3%
21%
4%
2%
30%
0%
43%
0%
1%
21%
0%
7%
13%
0%
68%
0%
0%
15%
1%
2%
22%
0%
57%
0%
0%
14%
0%
5%
3%
0%
23%
0%
0%
65%
7%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(427)
(162)
(265)
(58)
(105)
(188)
(76)
(330)
(77)
2. 2nd Choice after Biden

If Joe Biden decides not to run, which of these candidates are you most likely to vote for?
Question not listed due to small sample size.

South Carolina

Ideology
Lincoln Chafee
Hillary Clinton
Lawrence Lessig
Martin OMalley
Bernie Sanders
Jim Webb
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
0%
68%
0%
1%
25%
1%
4%
1%
54%
0%
1%
44%
0%
0%
0%
71%
0%
0%
26%
0%
3%
0%
65%
0%
1%
24%
3%
7%
0%
44%
0%
1%
51%
1%
4%
0%
86%
0%
0%
7%
1%
5%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(427)
(74)
(97)
(119)
(178)
(244)
Gender
Lincoln Chafee
Hillary Clinton
Lawrence Lessig
Martin OMalley
Bernie Sanders
Jim Webb
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
0%
62%
0%
1%
29%
1%
5%
1%
57%
0%
1%
39%
3%
1%
0%
66%
0%
2%
23%
1%
8%
0%
42%
0%
0%
54%
0%
4%
1%
66%
0%
3%
23%
4%
2%
0%
61%
0%
1%
29%
0%
9%
0%
78%
0%
0%
18%
2%
2%
0%
74%
0%
1%
19%
0%
7%
0%
24%
0%
0%
67%
7%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(350)
(140)
(210)
(56)
(96)
(132)
(66)
(256)
(74)

South Carolina

Ideology
Enthusiastic
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
64%
31%
5%
76%
22%
2%
82%
18%
0%
56%
35%
10%
70%
29%
1%
59%
32%
8%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(408)
(74)
(94)
(111)
(172)
(232)
Gender
Enthusiastic
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
64%
31%
5%
67%
31%
1%
61%
31%
8%
84%
16%
0%
51%
42%
7%
70%
28%
2%
49%
36%
15%
65%
29%
5%
54%
39%
7%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(408)
(161)
(248)
(56)
(102)
(176)
(74)
(313)
(76)

South Carolina
5. Satisfied with Democratic Candidates Joe Biden

Ideology
Race
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
66%
17%
17%
74%
16%
10%
67%
15%
18%
59%
23%
18%
61%
23%
15%
71%
9%
19%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(346)
(66)
(77)
(95)
(169)
(172)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
66%
17%
17%
75%
16%
9%
60%
18%
22%
62%
14%
24%
65%
20%
15%
71%
14%
15%
59%
22%
20%
71%
13%
16%
54%
22%
24%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(346)
(138)
(208)
(56)
(94)
(131)
(64)
(252)
(74)

South Carolina
6. Satisfied with Democratic Candidates Hillary Clinton

Ideology
Race
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
57%
24%
19%
46%
39%
15%
41%
35%
24%
72%
13%
16%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
(61)
(104)
(99)
(208)
(41)
(45)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
57%
24%
19%
54%
30%
16%
58%
20%
22%
68%
13%
18%
63%
20%
17%
42%
31%
27%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
(126)
100%
(82)
100%
(208)
(140)
(59)
(35)
(41)
(108)
(24)

South Carolina
7. Satisfied with Democratic Candidates Bernie Sanders

Ideology
Race
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
37%
29%
35%
51%
28%
22%
39%
27%
34%
51%
30%
19%
30%
29%
42%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(65)
(91)
(89)
(219)
(311)
(42)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
Satisfied
Not satisifed
Not sure yet
37%
29%
35%
55%
21%
24%
27%
33%
40%
31%
31%
38%
41%
29%
31%
37%
35%
28%
37%
28%
35%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(107)
(204)
100%
(311)
(79)
(143)
(62)
(272)
(28)
(27)

South Carolina
8. Who Won the Debate

Who do you think won the recent Democratic debate?
Ideology
Lincoln Chafee
Hillary Clinton
Martin OMalley
Bernie Sanders
Jim Webb
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
1%
53%
1%
22%
0%
8%
15%
0%
42%
1%
41%
0%
12%
4%
0%
58%
0%
22%
0%
8%
13%
0%
53%
0%
26%
0%
8%
13%
0%
43%
1%
38%
1%
4%
13%
2%
60%
0%
11%
0%
11%
16%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(427)
(74)
(97)
(119)
(178)
(244)
Gender
Lincoln Chafee
Hillary Clinton
Martin OMalley
Bernie Sanders
Jim Webb
Not sure
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
1%
53%
1%
22%
0%
8%
15%
0%
52%
0%
35%
0%
4%
9%
2%
53%
1%
14%
1%
11%
18%
0%
23%
0%
48%
0%
0%
28%
4%
54%
3%
22%
0%
8%
9%
0%
53%
1%
18%
0%
13%
15%
0%
73%
0%
13%
1%
2%
11%
2%
61%
0%
15%
0%
10%
13%
0%
17%
0%
59%
2%
3%
19%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(427)
(162)
(265)
(58)
(105)
(188)
(76)
(330)
(77)

South Carolina
9. Reason for Supporting Clinton

Of these, which is the most important reason you are supporting Hillary Clinton?
Ideology
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
11%
38%
24%
49%
9%
36%
13%
43%
10%
36%
17%
13%
21%
17%
8%
1%
21%
5%
28%
10%
17%
16%
20%
11%
23%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(52)
(58)
(73)
(145)
100%
(218)
(33)
Gender

Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
11%
38%
13%
41%
10%
37%
15%
34%
10%
47%
3%
37%
11%
37%
17%
13%
21%
9%
17%
20%
21%
11%
21%
11%
10%
31%
20%
5%
18%
5%
37%
19%
19%
12%
22%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(80)
(139)
100%
(218)
(64)
(80)
(51)
(189)
(23)
(18)

South Carolina
10. Reason for Supporting Sanders

Of these, which is the most important reason you are supporting Bernie Sanders?
Ideology
political system
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
38%
21%
40%
21%
22%
0%
19%
21%
0%
17%
100%
100%
(103)
(32)
(23)
(26)
Gender
political system
Totals
(Weighted N)
(89)
(13)
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
38%
21%
47%
9%
22%
0%
19%
24%
0%
19%
100%
100%
(103)
(54)
(49)
(31)
(22)
(39)
(12)
(47)
(50)

South Carolina
11. Democratic President Policy Goal

If the next President is a Democrat and you could choose one of these things they were certain to accomplish, which of these would it be...
Ideology
firms
None of these
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Black
7%
25%
9%
28%
2%
16%
8%
21%
4%
19%
9%
30%
16%
22%
15%
8%
6%
13%
8%
36%
4%
3%
25%
27%
12%
15%
3%
19%
28%
10%
8%
6%
22%
14%
27%
9%
4%
12%
28%
6%
8%
8%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(424)
(74)
(97)
(117)
(176)
(243)
Gender
firms
None of these
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
7%
25%
9%
12%
5%
33%
0%
36%
7%
29%
7%
24%
11%
17%
8%
28%
2%
14%
16%
22%
15%
8%
6%
22%
24%
23%
7%
3%
13%
21%
10%
9%
8%
9%
5%
20%
26%
4%
23%
26%
7%
7%
1%
18%
24%
13%
6%
8%
8%
28%
24%
2%
10%
17%
24%
12%
6%
5%
10%
19%
28%
14%
13%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(424)
(160)
(264)
(58)
(105)
(185)
(76)
(326)
(77)
10

CBS News&#39; Battleground Tracker, South Carolina October 25, 2015

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CBS News&#39; Battleground Tracker, South Carolina October 25, 2015

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

1462 Registered Voters

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Joe Biden . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Not sure yet

Not sure yet

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Read or click links to

Defeat ISIS with the US military . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Its time for a woman president . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%

His policies on income inequality . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

Defeat ISIS with the US military . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%

20. How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?

21. Would you describe yourself as a born-again or evangelical Christian?*

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

24. Are you male or female?

26. What racial or ethnic group best describes you?

27. What is the highest level of education you have completed?

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

3. 2016 Primary Turnout

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

4. First Choice Republican Candidate

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

5. First Choice Democratic Candidate

6. 2nd Choice after Biden

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

7. First Choice Democratic Candidate

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

8. Enthusiasm for First Choice

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

9. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Jeb Bush

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

10. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Ben Carson

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

11. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Chris Christie

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

12. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Ted Cruz

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

13. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Carly Fiorina

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

14. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Mike Huckabee

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

15. Satisfied with Republican Candidates John Kasich

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

16. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Rand Paul

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

17. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Marco Rubio

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

18. Satisfied with Republican Candidates Donald Trump

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

19. Satisfied with Democratic Candidates Joe Biden

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

20. Satisfied with Democratic Candidates Hillary Clinton

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

21. Satisfied with Democratic Candidates Bernie Sanders

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

22. Twitter for 2016 Campaign

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

CBS News' Battleground Tracker, South Carolina October 25, 2015

CBS News' Battleground Tracker, South Carolina October 25, 2015