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IOWA

Interviews with 2,003 adult Iowans conducted by telephone by ORC


International on November 28 December 6, 2015. The margin of sampling
error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 2 percentage
points.
The sample also includes 552 who were likely to participate in the
Republican presidential caucus and 442 who were likely to participate in
the Democratic presidential caucus.
This sample includes 1,203 interviews among landline respondents and 800
interviews among cell phone respondents.

EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE:


Monday, December 7 at 4:00 p.m.

BASED ON INTERVIEWS WITH 552 REPUBLICAN LIKELY CAUCUS GOERS -- SAMPLING


ERROR: +/- 4 PERCENTAGE PTS.
RP1.

If the Republican presidential caucus in Iowa were held today, please tell me which of the following
people you would be most likely to support. Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly
Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham, Mike Huckabee, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul,
Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump (RANDOM ORDER)
Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4 Aug. 7-11
2015
2015
2015

Trump
Cruz
Carson
Rubio
Bush
Fiorina
Paul
Christie
Huckabee
Kasich
Santorum
Gilmore
Graham
Pataki
Jindal
Perry
Walker
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion
RP2.

33%
20%
16%
11%
4%
3%
3%
2%
2%
1%
1%
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
N/A
1%
1%
1%

25%
11%
23%
13%
5%
4%
2%
3%
2%
2%
*
*
2%
*
4%
N/A
N/A
*
*
3%

22%
8%
14%
5%
5%
7%
5%
3%
7%
2%
1%
*
2%
*
2%
1%
9%
*
2%
4%

Have you definitely decided who you will support in the Iowa Republican caucus, are you leaning
toward someone, or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide?
Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4 Aug. 7-11
2015
2015
2015

Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion

POLL IA3
3

26%
26%
48%
*

27%
23%
50%
*

15%
19%
66%
*

-2-

November 28 December 6, 2015

RP3.

Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate
you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected president. Please feel free to name
a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you
think would do the best job handling: (RANDOM ORDER)

The economy
Trump
Carson
Cruz
Bush
Rubio
Fiorina
Christie
Paul
Huckabee
Kasich
Santorum
Gilmore
Graham
Pataki
Jindal
Perry
Walker
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion
Illegal immigration
Trump
Cruz
Rubio
Carson
Bush
Christie
Fiorina
Huckabee
Kasich
Paul
Gilmore
Graham
Pataki
Santorum
Jindal
Perry
Walker
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion
POLL IA3
3

Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4 Aug. 7-11


2015
2015
2015
52%
49%
37%
10%
9%
6%
10%
8%
5%
7%
9%
7%
5%
8%
3%
4%
4%
10%
3%
2%
2%
3%
1%
4%
2%
1%
5%
2%
3%
3%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
1%
*
1%
*
*
*
*
N/A
3%
2%
N/A
N/A
2%
N/A
N/A
8%
*
*
*
1%
*
2%
*
1%
3%
Nov. 28-Dec 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4 Aug. 7-11
2015
2015
2015
49%
44%
35%
16%
11%
12%
11%
12%
11%
9%
10%
4%
6%
8%
5%
2%
3%
3%
1%
*
2%
1%
1%
4%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*
1%
N/A
3%
3%
N/A
N/A
10%
N/A
N/A
3%
*
*
1%
1%
*
1%
2%
3%
4%
-3-

November 28 December 6, 2015

RP3.

Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate
you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected president. Please feel free to name
a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you
think would do the best job handling: (RANDOM ORDER)

Foreign policy
Trump
Cruz
Rubio
Bush
Carson
Paul
Christie
Fiorina
Huckabee
Kasich
Santorum
Gilmore
Graham
Pataki
Jindal
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion

Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4


2015
2015
30%
18%
21%
14%
13%
14%
9%
14%
8%
11%
4%
2%
3%
5%
3%
4%
2%
3%
2%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
*
2%
*
1%
N/A
2%
1%
*
1%
3%
3%
5%

Social issues, such as abortion and


same-sex marriage
Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4
2015
2015
Carson
Trump
Cruz
Rubio
Fiorina
Huckabee
Bush
Paul
Christie
Kasich
Santorum
Gilmore
Graham
Pataki
Jindal
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion
POLL IA3
3

21%
19%
17%
8%
7%
6%
4%
4%
3%
2%
1%
*
*
*
N/A
1%
4%
4%

27%
13%
12%
10%
8%
6%
6%
2%
4%
1%
2%
*
*
1%
3%
*
2%
4%
-4-

November 28 December 6, 2015

RP3.

Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate
you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected president. Please feel free to name
a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you
think would do the best job handling: (RANDOM ORDER)

ISIS
Trump
Cruz
Bush
Rubio
Carson
Christie
Fiorina
Paul
Huckabee
Graham
Gilmore
Kasich
Pataki
Santorum
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion

POLL IA3
3

Nov. 28-Dec. 6
2015
41%
18%
9%
9%
8%
3%
2%
2%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
1%
2%
3%

-5-

November 28 December 6, 2015

RP4.

Now Im going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Republican candidate do you think: (RANDOM ORDER)

Best represents the values of Republicans like yourself


Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4
2015
2015
Trump
Cruz
Carson
Rubio
Bush
Paul
Huckabee
Fiorina
Christie
Kasich
Santorum
Gilmore
Graham
Jindal
Pataki
Perry
Walker
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion

25%
22%
18%
11%
7%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
1%
*
*
N/A
*
N/A
N/A
1%
*
1%

20%
12%
25%
10%
7%
2%
6%
3%
3%
2%
1%
*
1%
4%
*
N/A
N/A
*
*
1%

Aug. 7-11
2015
12%
10%
14%
4%
6%
6%
11%
5%
3%
3%
1%
1%
1%
5%
*
2%
9%
1%
1%
5%

Has the best chance of winning in the general election next November
Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4
2015
2015
Trump
Cruz
Carson
Rubio
Bush
Christie
Huckabee
Kasich
Paul
Fiorina
Gilmore
Graham
Pataki
Santorum
Jindal
Perry
Walker
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion
POLL IA3
3

42%
17%
11%
11%
7%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
N/A
1%
1%
5%

33%
8%
25%
17%
6%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
1%
*
*
*
N/A
N/A
*
1%
5%

Aug. 7-11
2015
22%
7%
5%
9%
16%
3%
4%
3%
2%
3%
*
1%
*
2%
1%
*
11%
1%
2%
7%

-6-

November 28 December 6, 2015

RP4.

Now Im going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Republican candidate do you think: (RANDOM ORDER)

Would be most effective at solving the countrys problems


Nov. 28-Dec. 6
2015
Trump
Cruz
Carson
Rubio
Bush
Christie
Fiorina
Paul
Huckabee
Kasich
Santorum
Gilmore
Graham
Pataki
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion

36%

17%
15%

9%
5%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
1%
*
*

*
1%
1%
2%

Can best handle the responsibilities of being commander-in-chief


Nov. 28-Dec. 6
2015
Trump
Cruz
Carson
Bush
Rubio
Christie
Fiorina
Huckabee
Paul
Kasich
Santorum
Gilmore
Graham
Pataki
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion

POLL IA3
3

28%

22%
13%

10%
9%
5%
2%
2%
2%
1%
1%
*
*

*
1%
*
2%

-7-

November 28 December 6, 2015

BASED ON INTERVIEWS WITH 442 DEMOCRATIC LIKELY CAUCUS GOERS -- SAMPLING


ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
DM1. If the Democratic presidential caucus in Iowa were held today, please tell me which of the
following people you would be most likely to support? Hillary Clinton, Martin O'Malley, Bernie
Sanders (RANDOM ORDER)
Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4 Aug. 7-11
2015
2015
2015
Clinton
Sanders
O'Malley
Biden
Chafee
Webb
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion

54%
36%
4%
N/A
N/A
N/A
2%
*
3%

55%
37%
3%
N/A
N/A
N/A
1%
1%
3%

50%
31%
1%
12%
*
1%
1%
*
4%

DM2. Have you definitely decided who you will support in the Iowa Democratic caucus, are you leaning
toward someone, or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide?
Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4 Aug. 7-11
2015
2015
2015
Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion

POLL IA3
3

38%
22%
39%
*

40%
21%
38%
*

30%
16%
54%
*

-8-

November 28 December 6, 2015

DM3. Im going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me who you think would best handle
that issue if he or she were elected president. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may
not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think would do the best job
handling: (RANDOM ORDER)
The economy
Nov. 28-Dec. 6
2015
Clinton
Sanders
O'Malley
Biden
Chafee
Webb
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion

47%
42%
7%
N/A
N/A
N/A
1%
2%
2%

Oct. 29-Nov. 4 Aug. 7-11


2015
2015
57%
36%
3%
N/A
N/A
N/A
1%
2%
1%

42%
31%
3%
14%
*
1%
1%
3%
4%

Health care
Nov. 28-Dec. 6
2015
Clinton
Sanders
O'Malley
Biden
Chafee
Webb
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion

63%
31%
3%
N/A
N/A
N/A
1%
*
2%

Oct. 29-Nov. 4 Aug. 7-11


2015
2015
61%
32%
3%
N/A
N/A
N/A
*
2%
1%

54%
28%
*
13%
*
*
*
2%
2%

Race Relations
Nov. 28-Dec. 6
2015
Clinton
Sanders
O'Malley
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion

POLL IA3
3

52%
36%
6%
1%
*
5%

-9-

November 28 December 6, 2015

DM3. Im going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me who you think would best handle
that issue if he or she were elected president. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may
not be voting for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think would do the best job
handling: (RANDOM ORDER)
Foreign policy
Nov. 28-Dec. 6
2015
Clinton
Sanders
O'Malley
Biden
Chafee
Webb
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion

72%
21%
3%
N/A
N/A
N/A
1%
*
3%

Oct. 29-Nov. 4 Aug. 7-11


2015
2015
74%
19%
2%
N/A
N/A
N/A
1%
1%
2%

66%
9%
2%
18%
*
1%
1%
3%
1%

ISIS
Nov. 28-Dec. 6
2015
Clinton
Sanders
O'Malley
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion

POLL IA3
3

67%
19%
5%
3%
3%
3%

-10-

November 28 December 6, 2015

DM4. Now Im going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Democratic candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Democratic candidate do you think: (RANDOM ORDER)
Best represents the values of Democrats like yourself
Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4 Aug. 7-11
2015
2015
2015
Clinton
Sanders
O'Malley
Biden
Chafee
Webb
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion

46%
44%
5%
N/A
N/A
N/A
1%
2%
2%

50%
42%
4%
N/A
N/A
N/A
*
1%
2%

41%
33%
3%
16%
*
1%
1%
2%
3%

Has the best chance of winning in the general election next November
Nov. 28-Dec. 6 Oct. 29-Nov. 4
2015
2015
Clinton
Sanders
O'Malley
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion

77%
18%
3%
1%
*
2%

76%
20%
2%
1%
1%
1%

Would do the most to help the middle class


Nov. 28-Dec. 6
2015
Sanders
Clinton
O'Malley
Someone else (vol.)
None/ No one (vol.)
No opinion

POLL IA3
3

50%
43%
4%
*
*
2%

-11-

November 28 December 6, 2015

5.

Which of the following issues will be MOST important to you when you decide how to vote for
president? (RANDOM ORDER) [READ LIST]

BASED ON INTERVIEWS WITH 2,003 ADULT IOWANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 2


PERCENTAGE PTS.
Nov. 28-Dec. 6
2015
The economy
Health care
Terrorism
Foreign policy
Illegal immigration
Social issues, such as abortion
and same sex marriage
Other (vol.)
No opinion

30%
18%
18%
9%
9%
9%
4%
4%

BASED ON INTERVIEWS WITH 552 REPUBICAN LIKELY CAUCUS GOERS -- SAMPLING


ERROR: +/- 4 PERCENTAGE PTS.
Nov. 28-Dec. 6
2015
The economy
Terrorism
Foreign policy
Illegal immigration
Social issues, such as abortion
and same sex marriage
Health care
Other (vol.)
No opinion

29%
27%
13%
10%
9%
8%
2%
2%

BASED ON INTERVIEWS WITH 442 DEMOCRATIC LIKELY CAUCUS GOERS -- SAMPLING


ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS.
Nov. 28-Dec. 6
2015
The economy
Health care
Terrorism
Foreign policy
Social issues, such as abortion
and same sex marriage
Illegal immigration
Other (vol.)
No opinion
POLL IA3
3

38%
22%
13%
10%
10%
4%
3%
1%
-12-

November 28 December 6, 2015

METHODOLOGY
A total of 2,003 Iowa adults were interviewed by telephone statewide by live interviewers calling both
landline and cellphones. All respondents were asked questions concerning basic demographics, and the
entire sample was weighted to reflect statewide Census figures for gender, race, age, education and region of
the state.
Respondents were asked questions about whether they are registered to vote, their likelihood of voting, past
voting behavior, and interest in the campaign. Based on the answers to those questions, 1,266 respondents
were classified as likely caucus-goers, including 552 who were likely to participate in the Republican
presidential caucus and 442 who were likely to participate in the Democratic presidential caucus.
The Iowa regions are composed of the following counties: the "East" region is composed of Cedar, Clinton,
Dubuque, Jackson, Johnson, Jones, Linn, Muscatine and Scott counties; the "East Central" region is
composed of Allamakee, Benton, Black Hawk, Bremer, Buchanan, Butler, Chickasaw, Clayton, Delaware,
Des Moines, Fayette, Floyd, Grundy, Henry, Howard, Iowa, Jefferson, Keokuk, Lee, Louisa, Mitchell,
Poweshiek, Tama, Van Buren, Wapello, Washington and Winneshiek counties; the "Des Moines Area"
region is composed of Dallas, Madison, Polk, Story and Warren counties; the "Central" region is composed
of Adair, Appanoose, Boone, Calhoun, Carroll, Cerro Gordo, Clarke, Davis, Decatur, Emmet, Franklin,
Greene, Guthrie, Hamilton, Hancock, Hardin, Humboldt, Jasper, Kossuth, Lucas, Mahaska, Marion,
Marshall, Monroe, Palo Alto, Pocahontas, Ringgold, Union, Wayne, Webster, Winnebago, Worth and
Wright counties; and the "West" region is composed of Adams, Audubon, Buena Vista, Cass, Cherokee,
Clay, Crawford, Dickinson, Fremont, Harrison, Ida, Lyon, Mills, Monona, Montgomery, O'Brien, Osceola,
Page, Plymouth, Pottawattamie, Sac, Shelby, Sioux, Taylor and Woodbury counties.
Crosstabs on the following pages only include results for subgroups with enough unweighted cases to
produce a sampling error of +/- 8.5 percentage points or less. Some subgroups represent too small a share of
the population of Iowa to produce crosstabs with an acceptable sampling error. Interviews were conducted
among these subgroups but results for groups with a sampling error larger than +/-8.5 percentage points are
not displayed.

POLL IA3
3

-13-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question RP1
If the Republican presidential caucus in Iowa were held today, please tell me
which of the following people you would be most likely to support.
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------4%
3%
6%
5%
16%
15%
16%
17%
2%
3%
2%
2%
20%
22%
17%
21%
3%
2%
3%
2%
*
*
*
*
2%
1%
3%
2%
1%
1%
2%
1%
*
*
*
*
3%
3%
2%
3%
11%
11%
13%
12%
1%
1%
2%
1%
33%
36%
29%
31%
*
1%
*
1%
1%
*
1%
1%
1%
*
1%
1%
1%
2%
1%
1%
+/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----4%
16%
2%
20%
3%
*
2%
1%
*
3%
11%
1%
33%
*
1%
1%
1%
+/-4.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
4%
N/A
16%
N/A
2%
N/A
23%
N/A
3%
N/A
*
N/A
1%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
3%
N/A
11%
N/A
1%
N/A
34%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
2%
+/-5.5

5064
----6%
16%
3%
24%
3%
*
3%
2%
*
2%
14%
*
25%
*
1%
*
1%
+/-7.0

65+
----5%
13%
5%
20%
4%
*
1%
3%
*
1%
13%
1%
32%
*
*
1%
2%
+/-7.0

White
Women
-----7%
17%
2%
19%
2%
*
3%
2%
*
3%
13%
2%
27%
*
2%
1%
1%
+/-6.5

Under
50
----4%
17%
1%
19%
1%
*
2%
1%
*
4%
9%
2%
37%
1%
1%
1%
2%
+/-7.5

50 and
Older
-----5%
15%
4%
22%
3%
*
2%
2%
*
1%
14%
*
28%
*
*
*
1%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-14-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question RP1
If the Republican presidential caucus in Iowa were held today, please tell me
which of the following people you would be most likely to support.
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------4%
7%
16%
12%
2%
2%
20%
19%
3%
1%
*
*
2%
2%
1%
*
*
*
3%
4%
11%
12%
1%
3%
33%
32%
*
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
1%
1%
+/-4.0 +/-7.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----4%
16%
2%
20%
3%
*
2%
1%
*
3%
11%
1%
33%
*
1%
1%
1%
+/-4.0

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------4%
19%
2%
22%
3%
*
1%
2%
*
2%
12%
*
32%
*
*
*
*
+/-5.5

No
College
------3%
15%
4%
18%
1%
*
3%
*
*
1%
6%
2%
40%
*
2%
2%
3%
+/-8.0

Independent
-----6%
11%
3%
15%
4%
*
2%
*
*
4%
9%
2%
40%
2%
*
*
3%
+/-8.0

Republican
-----4%
18%
2%
23%
3%
*
2%
2%
*
2%
13%
1%
30%
*
1%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

Attended
College
Urban
-----------5%
4%
16%
6%
1%
1%
22%
26%
3%
3%
*
*
2%
1%
2%
2%
*
*
3%
2%
14%
11%
1%
3%
30%
37%
1%
*
*
*
*
*
1%
3%
+/-5.0 +/-8.5
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----7%
18%
2%
11%
1%
*
1%
4%
*
6%
9%
*
37%
*
2%
*
2%
+/-8.0

Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----3%
21%
3%
20%
2%
*
1%
1%
*
2%
11%
1%
33%
*
1%
1%
1%
+/-5.5

Conservative
------4%
16%
3%
27%
3%
*
2%
*
*
1%
13%
2%
29%
*
*
*
1%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-15-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question RP1
If the Republican presidential caucus in Iowa were held today, please tell me
which of the following people you would be most likely to support.
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----4%
16%
2%
20%
3%
*
2%
1%
*
3%
11%
1%
33%
*
1%
1%
1%
+/-4.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----4%
16%
2%
20%
3%
*
2%
1%
*
3%
11%
1%
33%
*
1%
1%
1%
+/-4.0

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------*
11%
*
33%
2%
*
2%
*
*
2%
10%
2%
33%
*
1%
2%
1%
+/-7.0

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------6%
16%
4%
16%
2%
*
1%
1%
*
3%
13%
1%
34%
1%
1%
*
2%
+/-6.0

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------3%
5%
20%
12%
2%
3%
26%
16%
3%
3%
*
*
4%
1%
1%
2%
*
*
1%
4%
12%
11%
2%
*
24%
40%
*
1%
1%
*
1%
*
1%
2%
+/-6.5 +/-5.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-16-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question RP2
Have you definitely decided who you will support in the Iowa Republican caucus, are you
leaning toward someone, or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide?
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------26%
29%
22%
25%
26%
29%
22%
27%
48%
41%
56%
47%
*
1%
*
*
+/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5

Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----26%
26%
48%
*
+/-4.0

Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------26%
27%
26%
22%
48%
50%
*
*
+/-4.0 +/-7.5

Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----26%
26%
48%
*
+/-4.0

Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----26%
26%
48%
*
+/-4.0

Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----26%
26%
48%
*
+/-4.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------32%
29%
39%
1%
+/-7.0

5064
----18%
35%
47%
*
+/-7.0

$50K
or more
------26%
30%
43%
*
+/-5.5

White
Women
-----20%
23%
56%
*
+/-6.5

Under
50
----31%
23%
46%
*
+/-7.5

Attended
College
Urban
-----------27%
40%
27%
20%
47%
40%
*
*
+/-5.0 +/-8.5

Republican
-----26%
29%
45%
*
+/-5.0

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------23%
23%
53%
*
+/-6.0

65+
----27%
21%
50%
2%
+/-7.0

No
College
------25%
25%
49%
1%
+/-8.0

Independent
-----26%
19%
54%
*
+/-8.0

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
28%
N/A
30%
N/A
41%
N/A
1%
+/-5.5

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----25%
25%
50%
*
+/-8.0

50 and
Older
-----22%
30%
48%
1%
+/-5.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----22%
29%
49%
1%
+/-5.5

Conservative
------27%
28%
44%
*
+/-5.0

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------21%
29%
29%
24%
49%
47%
1%
*
+/-6.5 +/-5.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-17-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question RP3A
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate
you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to
name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you
think would do the best job handling:
A. The economy
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------7%
7%
6%
7%
10%
9%
10%
10%
3%
3%
3%
2%
10%
11%
8%
10%
4%
3%
6%
4%
*
1%
*
*
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
*
*
*
*
3%
4%
2%
3%
5%
5%
5%
5%
1%
1%
1%
1%
52%
52%
52%
52%
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
1%
*
+/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----7%
10%
3%
10%
4%
*
2%
2%
*
3%
5%
1%
52%
*
*
1%
*
+/-4.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
7%
N/A
10%
N/A
2%
N/A
12%
N/A
3%
N/A
*
N/A
2%
N/A
2%
N/A
*
N/A
4%
N/A
6%
N/A
1%
N/A
52%
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
1%
N/A
*
+/-5.5

5064
----11%
10%
2%
7%
5%
*
5%
1%
*
1%
6%
*
50%
*
*
*
1%
+/-7.0

65+
----8%
8%
4%
14%
5%
*
1%
3%
*
1%
5%
3%
48%
*
*
*
1%
+/-7.0

White
Women
-----7%
10%
3%
9%
4%
*
2%
2%
*
2%
5%
1%
51%
*
1%
1%
1%
+/-6.5

Under
50
----4%
10%
3%
11%
2%
*
1%
2%
*
5%
5%
*
55%
*
1%
2%
*
+/-7.5

50 and
Older
-----10%
9%
3%
9%
5%
*
4%
2%
*
1%
5%
1%
50%
*
*
*
1%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-18-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question RP3A
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate
you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to
name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you
think would do the best job handling:
A. The economy
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------7%
9%
10%
6%
3%
4%
10%
11%
4%
2%
*
*
2%
4%
2%
2%
*
*
3%
4%
5%
7%
1%
1%
52%
46%
*
*
*
1%
1%
2%
*
*
+/-4.0 +/-7.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----7%
10%
3%
10%
4%
*
2%
2%
*
3%
5%
1%
52%
*
*
1%
*
+/-4.0

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------6%
12%
2%
10%
4%
*
*
2%
*
2%
5%
*
55%
*
*
*
1%
+/-5.5

No
College
------4%
11%
4%
8%
3%
*
3%
2%
*
3%
3%
1%
55%
*
2%
2%
*
+/-8.0

Independent
-----8%
8%
4%
6%
7%
1%
2%
*
*
5%
5%
1%
51%
*
*
1%
*
+/-8.0

Republican
-----6%
11%
2%
12%
3%
*
2%
2%
*
2%
5%
*
53%
*
1%
1%
1%
+/-5.0

Attended
College
Urban
-----------8%
6%
9%
6%
2%
1%
11%
13%
4%
3%
*
*
1%
3%
2%
1%
*
*
3%
2%
6%
7%
*
1%
52%
56%
*
*
*
*
1%
*
*
*
+/-5.0 +/-8.5
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----10%
10%
3%
4%
6%
*
2%
3%
*
6%
4%
1%
49%
*
2%
*
*
+/-8.0

Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----5%
11%
3%
11%
3%
1%
1%
1%
*
3%
5%
1%
53%
*
1%
2%
*
+/-5.5

Conservative
------5%
10%
3%
14%
3%
*
2%
1%
*
2%
6%
*
54%
*
*
1%
1%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-19-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question RP3A
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate
you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to
name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you
think would do the best job handling:
A. The economy
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----7%
10%
3%
10%
4%
*
2%
2%
*
3%
5%
1%
52%
*
*
1%
*
+/-4.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----7%
10%
3%
10%
4%
*
2%
2%
*
3%
5%
1%
52%
*
*
1%
*
+/-4.0

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------3%
6%
2%
17%
3%
*
1%
1%
*
4%
3%
*
57%
*
*
2%
1%
+/-7.0

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------8%
10%
3%
7%
4%
*
3%
2%
*
3%
7%
1%
52%
*
1%
*
*
+/-6.0

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------5%
8%
13%
7%
3%
3%
12%
8%
2%
6%
*
1%
3%
2%
2%
1%
*
*
1%
5%
6%
5%
1%
*
49%
55%
*
*
1%
*
2%
*
*
1%
+/-6.5 +/-5.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-20-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question RP3B
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate
you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to
name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you
think would do the best job handling:
B. Illegal immigration
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------6%
6%
6%
7%
9%
10%
7%
9%
2%
2%
1%
2%
16%
18%
12%
16%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
1%
*
2%
1%
11%
9%
14%
12%
*
*
1%
*
49%
50%
48%
47%
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
1%
*
1%
1%
2%
2%
3%
3%
+/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----6%
9%
2%
16%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
1%
11%
*
49%
*
*
1%
2%
+/-4.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
6%
N/A
10%
N/A
2%
N/A
18%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
1%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
10%
N/A
*
N/A
49%
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
2%
+/-5.5

5064
----5%
9%
2%
18%
2%
*
2%
1%
*
1%
11%
*
44%
*
1%
*
4%
+/-7.0

65+
----6%
4%
3%
24%
1%
*
*
1%
*
1%
11%
*
46%
*
*
1%
2%
+/-7.0

White
Women
-----7%
8%
1%
13%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
2%
15%
1%
44%
*
1%
1%
3%
+/-6.5

Under
50
----7%
10%
1%
11%
*
*
*
1%
*
2%
13%
1%
51%
*
*
1%
2%
+/-7.5

50 and
Older
-----6%
7%
2%
20%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
1%
11%
*
45%
*
1%
*
3%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-21-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question RP3B
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate
you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to
name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you
think would do the best job handling:
B. Illegal immigration
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------6%
6%
9%
7%
2%
2%
16%
17%
1%
*
*
*
1%
2%
1%
*
*
*
1%
2%
11%
10%
*
1%
49%
46%
*
*
*
1%
1%
2%
2%
2%
+/-4.0 +/-7.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----6%
9%
2%
16%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
1%
11%
*
49%
*
*
1%
2%
+/-4.0

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------6%
10%
1%
17%
1%
*
*
1%
*
1%
13%
*
47%
*
*
*
1%
+/-5.5

No
College
------4%
11%
2%
15%
*
*
2%
*
*
*
8%
*
50%
*
1%
2%
4%
+/-8.0

Independent
-----4%
6%
2%
12%
*
*
*
*
*
2%
12%
1%
54%
*
1%
*
5%
+/-8.0

Republican
-----6%
10%
2%
18%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
1%
12%
*
47%
*
*
1%
1%
+/-5.0

Attended
College
Urban
-----------7%
4%
7%
3%
2%
1%
16%
20%
1%
1%
*
*
*
1%
1%
*
*
*
2%
*
13%
18%
1%
*
48%
49%
*
*
*
*
*
*
2%
4%
+/-5.0 +/-8.5
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----12%
8%
1%
10%
1%
*
*
1%
*
3%
12%
*
48%
*
1%
*
4%
+/-8.0

Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----5%
12%
2%
15%
1%
*
*
1%
*
*
9%
1%
50%
*
*
1%
2%
+/-5.5

Conservative
------4%
9%
2%
19%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
1%
12%
1%
48%
*
*
*
1%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-22-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question RP3B
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate
you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to
name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you
think would do the best job handling:
B. Illegal immigration
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----6%
9%
2%
16%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
1%
11%
*
49%
*
*
1%
2%
+/-4.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----6%
9%
2%
16%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
1%
11%
*
49%
*
*
1%
2%
+/-4.0

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------2%
4%
*
26%
1%
*
1%
*
*
1%
8%
1%
52%
*
*
1%
*
+/-7.0

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------6%
10%
2%
11%
1%
*
*
1%
*
2%
14%
*
49%
*
1%
*
4%
+/-6.0

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------5%
7%
14%
5%
1%
3%
19%
13%
1%
1%
*
*
1%
*
*
1%
*
*
1%
2%
11%
12%
1%
*
42%
54%
*
*
1%
*
1%
*
2%
3%
+/-6.5 +/-5.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-23-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question RP3C
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate
you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to
name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you
think would do the best job handling:
C. Foreign policy
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------9%
9%
9%
10%
8%
6%
12%
9%
3%
2%
4%
2%
21%
23%
18%
21%
3%
3%
3%
2%
*
*
*
*
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
1%
2%
2%
*
*
*
*
4%
6%
2%
4%
13%
12%
14%
13%
1%
1%
*
1%
30%
32%
26%
28%
*
*
*
*
1%
*
2%
1%
1%
*
1%
1%
3%
3%
4%
3%
+/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----9%
8%
3%
21%
3%
*
2%
2%
*
4%
13%
1%
30%
*
1%
1%
3%
+/-4.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
9%
N/A
6%
N/A
1%
N/A
23%
N/A
2%
N/A
*
N/A
2%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
6%
N/A
13%
N/A
1%
N/A
32%
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
3%
+/-5.5

5064
----12%
8%
5%
26%
2%
*
3%
1%
*
1%
15%
1%
22%
*
1%
*
3%
+/-7.0

65+
----10%
5%
4%
20%
2%
1%
1%
3%
*
*
19%
2%
24%
*
*
1%
7%
+/-7.0

White
Women
-----10%
13%
4%
19%
1%
*
2%
2%
*
2%
14%
*
23%
*
2%
1%
4%
+/-6.5

Under
50
----7%
10%
1%
19%
2%
*
2%
1%
*
8%
9%
*
37%
*
1%
1%
2%
+/-7.5

50 and
Older
-----11%
7%
4%
23%
2%
1%
2%
2%
*
1%
17%
1%
23%
*
1%
*
4%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-24-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question RP3C
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate
you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to
name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you
think would do the best job handling:
C. Foreign policy
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------9%
9%
8%
7%
3%
2%
21%
19%
3%
2%
*
*
2%
2%
2%
*
*
*
4%
7%
13%
11%
1%
2%
30%
33%
*
*
1%
2%
1%
2%
3%
2%
+/-4.0 +/-7.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----9%
8%
3%
21%
3%
*
2%
2%
*
4%
13%
1%
30%
*
1%
1%
3%
+/-4.0

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------10%
10%
3%
23%
2%
*
2%
2%
*
3%
15%
*
27%
*
*
*
4%
+/-5.5

No
College
------7%
8%
4%
17%
1%
*
2%
*
*
6%
9%
2%
35%
*
2%
2%
3%
+/-8.0

Independent
-----11%
7%
3%
15%
6%
*
3%
*
*
7%
9%
1%
32%
*
1%
*
6%
+/-8.0

Republican
-----8%
9%
2%
24%
1%
*
1%
2%
*
3%
15%
1%
29%
*
1%
1%
2%
+/-5.0

Attended
College
Urban
-----------10%
7%
9%
3%
2%
1%
23%
21%
2%
3%
*
*
2%
2%
2%
2%
*
*
3%
2%
15%
15%
*
1%
28%
37%
*
*
*
*
*
*
3%
4%
+/-5.0 +/-8.5
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----14%
10%
4%
9%
2%
1%
1%
3%
*
8%
9%
*
32%
*
2%
*
5%
+/-8.0

Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----8%
11%
2%
22%
2%
*
1%
*
*
4%
13%
1%
30%
*
1%
1%
3%
+/-5.5

Conservative
------7%
8%
3%
28%
2%
*
3%
*
*
2%
16%
1%
27%
*
*
*
2%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-25-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question RP3C
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate
you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to
name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you
think would do the best job handling:
C. Foreign policy
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----9%
8%
3%
21%
3%
*
2%
2%
*
4%
13%
1%
30%
*
1%
1%
3%
+/-4.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----9%
8%
3%
21%
3%
*
2%
2%
*
4%
13%
1%
30%
*
1%
1%
3%
+/-4.0

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------5%
5%
*
36%
2%
*
2%
1%
*
4%
10%
*
33%
*
1%
1%
1%
+/-7.0

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------11%
9%
4%
14%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
4%
16%
1%
30%
*
1%
*
5%
+/-6.0

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------8%
10%
11%
6%
2%
3%
27%
16%
2%
4%
*
1%
3%
1%
*
2%
*
*
2%
6%
12%
14%
1%
*
24%
34%
*
*
1%
*
2%
*
4%
3%
+/-6.5 +/-5.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-26-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question RP3D
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate
you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to
name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you
think would do the best job handling:
D. Social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marriage
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------4%
4%
4%
4%
21%
20%
21%
22%
3%
3%
3%
2%
17%
20%
12%
18%
7%
5%
10%
6%
*
*
1%
*
6%
4%
8%
6%
2%
2%
1%
2%
*
*
*
*
4%
4%
3%
4%
8%
6%
10%
9%
1%
1%
2%
2%
19%
21%
18%
17%
*
*
*
*
1%
*
2%
1%
4%
4%
3%
4%
4%
5%
1%
4%
+/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----4%
21%
3%
17%
7%
*
6%
2%
*
4%
8%
1%
19%
*
1%
4%
4%
+/-4.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
4%
N/A
21%
N/A
2%
N/A
21%
N/A
5%
N/A
*
N/A
4%
N/A
2%
N/A
*
N/A
4%
N/A
7%
N/A
1%
N/A
19%
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
4%
N/A
5%
+/-5.5

5064
----6%
22%
4%
15%
9%
*
10%
1%
*
4%
8%
1%
10%
*
2%
2%
4%
+/-7.0

65+
----3%
16%
5%
22%
5%
*
6%
4%
*
1%
9%
2%
17%
*
*
2%
7%
+/-7.0

White
Women
-----5%
23%
3%
13%
7%
1%
9%
1%
*
3%
11%
2%
16%
*
2%
4%
2%
+/-6.5

Under
50
----4%
22%
1%
17%
5%
*
3%
1%
*
5%
8%
2%
24%
*
*
6%
2%
+/-7.5

50 and
Older
-----5%
20%
5%
18%
7%
*
9%
2%
*
3%
9%
1%
13%
*
1%
2%
5%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-27-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question RP3D
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate
you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to
name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you
think would do the best job handling:
D. Social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marriage
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------4%
5%
21%
19%
3%
3%
17%
14%
7%
3%
*
1%
6%
7%
2%
2%
*
*
4%
6%
8%
7%
1%
3%
19%
21%
*
*
1%
2%
4%
6%
4%
2%
+/-4.0 +/-7.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----4%
21%
3%
17%
7%
*
6%
2%
*
4%
8%
1%
19%
*
1%
4%
4%
+/-4.0

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------4%
24%
2%
18%
8%
*
5%
2%
*
3%
9%
1%
16%
*
*
3%
3%
+/-5.5

No
College
------3%
17%
5%
14%
5%
1%
7%
2%
*
3%
5%
2%
25%
*
2%
3%
6%
+/-8.0

Independent
-----6%
13%
3%
9%
9%
1%
8%
3%
*
8%
5%
1%
25%
*
2%
3%
5%
+/-8.0

Republican
-----4%
24%
3%
21%
7%
*
5%
1%
*
2%
10%
2%
16%
*
*
3%
3%
+/-5.0

Attended
College
Urban
-----------5%
3%
23%
13%
2%
4%
19%
22%
7%
8%
*
*
6%
4%
2%
5%
*
*
4%
1%
9%
9%
1%
5%
17%
19%
*
*
*
1%
4%
1%
3%
6%
+/-5.0 +/-8.5
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----9%
18%
3%
8%
6%
1%
4%
2%
*
7%
5%
*
26%
*
1%
4%
6%
+/-8.0

Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----5%
26%
3%
18%
5%
1%
4%
1%
*
3%
7%
1%
20%
*
*
4%
3%
+/-5.5

Conservative
------2%
23%
3%
23%
7%
*
7%
1%
*
2%
10%
2%
14%
*
*
2%
2%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-28-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question RP3D
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate
you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to
name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you
think would do the best job handling:
D. Social issues, such as abortion and same-sex marriage
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----4%
21%
3%
17%
7%
*
6%
2%
*
4%
8%
1%
19%
*
1%
4%
4%
+/-4.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----4%
21%
3%
17%
7%
*
6%
2%
*
4%
8%
1%
19%
*
1%
4%
4%
+/-4.0

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------*
21%
1%
28%
4%
*
7%
*
*
5%
6%
2%
19%
*
1%
2%
4%
+/-7.0

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------6%
21%
4%
13%
8%
1%
5%
1%
*
3%
10%
1%
19%
*
1%
3%
4%
+/-6.0

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------3%
5%
27%
16%
2%
4%
21%
14%
4%
9%
1%
*
9%
3%
1%
2%
*
*
2%
5%
8%
8%
2%
1%
15%
23%
*
*
1%
*
2%
5%
2%
5%
+/-6.5 +/-5.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-29-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question RP3E
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate
you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to
name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you
think would do the best job handling:
E. ISIS
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------9%
8%
10%
9%
8%
5%
10%
8%
3%
2%
4%
3%
18%
20%
15%
18%
2%
1%
2%
1%
1%
1%
2%
1%
1%
1%
2%
2%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
2%
2%
2%
2%
9%
9%
10%
10%
*
1%
*
*
41%
46%
35%
40%
*
*
*
*
1%
*
1%
1%
2%
1%
2%
2%
3%
3%
4%
3%
+/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----9%
8%
3%
18%
2%
1%
1%
*
*
2%
9%
*
41%
*
1%
2%
3%
+/-4.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
8%
N/A
6%
N/A
2%
N/A
20%
N/A
1%
N/A
1%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
2%
N/A
10%
N/A
1%
N/A
45%
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
1%
N/A
3%
+/-5.5

5064
----11%
5%
3%
20%
*
*
2%
*
*
1%
13%
*
39%
*
1%
*
4%
+/-7.0

65+
----7%
5%
6%
20%
*
1%
1%
*
*
2%
10%
*
41%
*
*
2%
4%
+/-7.0

White
Women
-----10%
11%
4%
16%
*
2%
2%
*
*
2%
10%
*
33%
*
2%
2%
4%
+/-6.5

Under
50
----9%
10%
2%
16%
1%
2%
1%
*
*
3%
7%
1%
42%
*
1%
3%
2%
+/-7.5

50 and
Older
-----10%
5%
4%
20%
*
1%
2%
*
*
1%
12%
*
40%
*
*
1%
4%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-30-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question RP3E
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate
you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to
name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you
think would do the best job handling:
E. ISIS
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------9%
11%
8%
6%
3%
1%
18%
13%
2%
1%
1%
2%
1%
2%
*
*
*
*
2%
4%
9%
12%
*
1%
41%
41%
*
*
1%
1%
2%
2%
3%
2%
+/-4.0 +/-7.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----9%
8%
3%
18%
2%
1%
1%
*
*
2%
9%
*
41%
*
1%
2%
3%
+/-4.0

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------8%
9%
4%
23%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
1%
7%
*
40%
*
*
*
3%
+/-5.5

No
College
------7%
7%
3%
15%
1%
*
2%
*
*
*
5%
1%
50%
*
2%
4%
2%
+/-8.0

Independent
-----12%
9%
3%
14%
4%
*
3%
*
*
2%
10%
*
39%
*
*
2%
3%
+/-8.0

Republican
-----8%
7%
3%
20%
1%
2%
1%
*
*
2%
9%
1%
42%
*
1%
1%
3%
+/-5.0

Attended
College
Urban
-----------10%
7%
8%
3%
3%
3%
19%
22%
1%
1%
2%
4%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
3%
1%
11%
9%
*
2%
38%
44%
*
*
*
*
1%
3%
3%
1%
+/-5.0 +/-8.5
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----14%
9%
4%
8%
2%
*
1%
1%
*
4%
9%
*
41%
*
2%
2%
4%
+/-8.0

Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----8%
9%
3%
18%
1%
*
*
*
*
2%
10%
*
42%
*
1%
1%
5%
+/-5.5

Conservative
------7%
7%
3%
24%
*
2%
2%
*
*
1%
10%
1%
40%
*
*
*
3%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-31-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question RP3E
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me which Republican candidate
you think would best handle that issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to
name a candidate even if you may not be voting for that person. Which Republican candidate do you
think would do the best job handling:
E. ISIS
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----9%
8%
3%
18%
2%
1%
1%
*
*
2%
9%
*
41%
*
1%
2%
3%
+/-4.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----9%
8%
3%
18%
2%
1%
1%
*
*
2%
9%
*
41%
*
1%
2%
3%
+/-4.0

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------4%
5%
1%
28%
*
1%
1%
*
*
2%
8%
1%
46%
*
1%
1%
2%
+/-7.0

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------11%
8%
4%
13%
1%
2%
*
*
*
3%
11%
*
41%
*
1%
2%
4%
+/-6.0

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------11%
8%
12%
4%
2%
4%
22%
15%
1%
2%
3%
*
3%
1%
*
*
*
*
1%
3%
9%
10%
1%
*
33%
47%
*
*
1%
*
1%
2%
2%
4%
+/-6.5 +/-5.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-32-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question RP4A
Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Republican candidate do you think...
A. Best represents the values of Republicans like yourself
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------7%
6%
9%
8%
18%
16%
20%
19%
2%
1%
3%
2%
22%
27%
15%
23%
3%
2%
4%
2%
*
*
*
*
4%
3%
6%
4%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
5%
6%
3%
4%
11%
10%
12%
11%
1%
1%
1%
1%
25%
26%
22%
22%
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
2%
2%
*
*
1%
*
1%
1%
2%
1%
+/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----7%
18%
2%
22%
3%
*
4%
1%
*
5%
11%
1%
25%
*
1%
*
1%
+/-4.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
6%
N/A
17%
N/A
1%
N/A
28%
N/A
3%
N/A
*
N/A
3%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
5%
N/A
10%
N/A
1%
N/A
24%
N/A
*
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
1%
+/-5.5

5064
----9%
23%
2%
25%
2%
*
7%
1%
*
3%
10%
*
16%
*
1%
*
1%
+/-7.0

65+
----6%
13%
4%
19%
6%
*
4%
2%
*
*
15%
2%
26%
*
*
2%
1%
+/-7.0

White
Women
-----10%
21%
3%
16%
2%
*
7%
1%
*
3%
12%
1%
19%
*
2%
1%
2%
+/-6.5

Under
50
----7%
17%
1%
22%
1%
*
3%
1%
*
7%
10%
*
28%
*
2%
*
1%
+/-7.5

50 and
Older
-----8%
19%
3%
22%
3%
*
6%
1%
*
2%
12%
1%
20%
*
*
1%
1%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-33-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question RP4A
Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Republican candidate do you think...
A. Best represents the values of Republicans like yourself
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------7%
12%
18%
13%
2%
1%
22%
20%
3%
*
*
*
4%
5%
1%
*
*
*
5%
7%
11%
11%
1%
1%
25%
25%
*
*
1%
2%
*
*
1%
2%
+/-4.0 +/-7.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----7%
18%
2%
22%
3%
*
4%
1%
*
5%
11%
1%
25%
*
1%
*
1%
+/-4.0

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------5%
22%
2%
24%
3%
*
4%
2%
*
3%
11%
*
23%
*
*
*
*
+/-5.5

No
College
------6%
17%
3%
18%
1%
*
7%
*
*
3%
5%
2%
31%
*
4%
1%
2%
+/-8.0

Independent
-----7%
12%
2%
19%
5%
*
5%
*
*
10%
9%
1%
26%
*
2%
*
*
+/-8.0

Republican
-----7%
20%
2%
23%
2%
*
4%
1%
*
2%
12%
*
23%
*
1%
*
2%
+/-5.0

Attended
College
Urban
-----------8%
8%
18%
8%
1%
1%
24%
27%
3%
5%
*
*
3%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
5%
2%
13%
13%
*
1%
22%
29%
*
*
*
3%
*
*
1%
*
+/-5.0 +/-8.5
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----10%
19%
2%
14%
2%
*
*
3%
*
6%
8%
*
30%
*
4%
1%
*
+/-8.0

Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----5%
24%
1%
21%
1%
*
3%
1%
*
5%
11%
1%
25%
*
1%
*
1%
+/-5.5

Conservative
------6%
18%
2%
28%
2%
*
6%
*
*
2%
13%
1%
20%
*
*
*
1%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-34-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question RP4A
Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Republican candidate do you think...
A. Best represents the values of Republicans like yourself
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----7%
18%
2%
22%
3%
*
4%
1%
*
5%
11%
1%
25%
*
1%
*
1%
+/-4.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----7%
18%
2%
22%
3%
*
4%
1%
*
5%
11%
1%
25%
*
1%
*
1%
+/-4.0

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------4%
13%
*
38%
1%
*
7%
*
*
5%
7%
*
22%
*
1%
*
1%
+/-7.0

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------8%
20%
3%
16%
2%
*
2%
*
*
4%
13%
1%
27%
*
2%
*
1%
+/-6.0

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------7%
7%
23%
14%
2%
2%
25%
20%
2%
4%
*
*
8%
1%
*
1%
*
*
2%
7%
11%
11%
1%
*
17%
30%
*
*
1%
1%
*
1%
2%
1%
+/-6.5 +/-5.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-35-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question RP4B
Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Republican candidate do you think...
B. Has the best chance of winning the general election next November
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------7%
6%
7%
7%
11%
12%
11%
12%
1%
1%
1%
1%
17%
21%
13%
17%
*
1%
*
*
*
1%
*
*
1%
1%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
1%
1%
11%
10%
12%
12%
*
1%
*
1%
42%
41%
42%
41%
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
5%
3%
7%
4%
+/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----7%
11%
1%
17%
*
*
1%
1%
*
1%
11%
*
42%
*
1%
1%
5%
+/-4.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
6%
N/A
12%
N/A
1%
N/A
20%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
1%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
1%
N/A
11%
N/A
1%
N/A
41%
N/A
*
N/A
1%
N/A
1%
N/A
3%
+/-5.5

5064
----4%
11%
1%
21%
1%
*
2%
1%
*
1%
19%
*
34%
*
1%
1%
3%
+/-7.0

65+
----5%
7%
2%
21%
*
*
*
*
*
*
16%
*
38%
*
1%
1%
9%
+/-7.0

White
Women
-----8%
12%
1%
14%
*
*
2%
1%
*
1%
13%
*
41%
*
1%
1%
6%
+/-6.5

Under
50
----9%
14%
1%
14%
*
*
1%
1%
*
1%
5%
1%
48%
*
1%
1%
3%
+/-7.5

50 and
Older
-----5%
10%
1%
21%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
1%
17%
*
35%
*
1%
1%
5%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-36-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question RP4B
Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Republican candidate do you think...
B. Has the best chance of winning the general election next November
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------7%
11%
11%
10%
1%
1%
17%
17%
*
1%
*
*
1%
2%
1%
*
*
*
1%
*
11%
10%
*
1%
42%
41%
*
*
1%
1%
1%
1%
5%
3%
+/-4.0 +/-7.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----7%
11%
1%
17%
*
*
1%
1%
*
1%
11%
*
42%
*
1%
1%
5%
+/-4.0

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------4%
14%
1%
18%
*
*
1%
1%
*
1%
13%
*
41%
*
*
1%
4%
+/-5.5

No
College
------6%
8%
2%
18%
1%
*
2%
*
*
*
6%
*
50%
*
3%
*
3%
+/-8.0

Independent
-----6%
8%
1%
9%
*
1%
2%
*
*
*
8%
2%
50%
*
3%
1%
8%
+/-8.0

Republican
-----7%
13%
1%
21%
*
*
1%
1%
*
1%
13%
*
38%
*
*
1%
3%
+/-5.0

Attended
College
Urban
-----------7%
9%
13%
6%
1%
1%
17%
22%
*
*
*
*
1%
*
1%
1%
*
*
1%
1%
14%
7%
1%
*
39%
45%
*
*
*
3%
1%
1%
5%
5%
+/-5.0 +/-8.5
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----12%
11%
3%
9%
*
*
*
3%
*
2%
6%
*
45%
*
3%
1%
4%
+/-8.0

Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----4%
14%
1%
17%
1%
1%
*
*
*
1%
11%
*
44%
*
*
1%
5%
+/-5.5

Conservative
------4%
12%
*
22%
*
*
2%
*
*
*
15%
*
39%
*
*
1%
3%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-37-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question RP4B
Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Republican candidate do you think...
B. Has the best chance of winning the general election next November
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----7%
11%
1%
17%
*
*
1%
1%
*
1%
11%
*
42%
*
1%
1%
5%
+/-4.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----7%
11%
1%
17%
*
*
1%
1%
*
1%
11%
*
42%
*
1%
1%
5%
+/-4.0

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------2%
9%
*
27%
*
*
1%
*
*
2%
13%
*
42%
*
*
1%
3%
+/-7.0

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------9%
12%
2%
14%
1%
*
*
*
*
*
10%
1%
44%
*
2%
1%
4%
+/-6.0

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------4%
8%
14%
9%
*
2%
22%
14%
1%
*
*
1%
3%
*
*
1%
*
*
*
1%
11%
11%
*
1%
36%
46%
*
*
1%
1%
2%
*
5%
5%
+/-6.5 +/-5.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-38-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question RP4C
Now I`m going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Republican candidate do you think...
C. Would be most effective at solving the country's problems
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------5%
5%
5%
5%
15%
14%
15%
16%
3%
3%
3%
3%
17%
20%
13%
17%
3%
3%
4%
3%
*
*
*
*
2%
2%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
*
*
*
*
3%
4%
2%
4%
9%
7%
11%
10%
1%
1%
1%
1%
36%
36%
35%
34%
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
2%
2%
1%
1%
*
1%
2%
1%
4%
2%
+/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----5%
15%
3%
17%
3%
*
2%
2%
*
3%
9%
1%
36%
*
1%
1%
2%
+/-4.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
5%
N/A
15%
N/A
3%
N/A
20%
N/A
3%
N/A
*
N/A
1%
N/A
3%
N/A
*
N/A
4%
N/A
8%
N/A
1%
N/A
35%
N/A
*
N/A
1%
N/A
1%
N/A
1%
+/-5.5

5064
----6%
15%
2%
19%
5%
*
4%
1%
*
2%
9%
1%
31%
*
1%
*
3%
+/-7.0

65+
----4%
10%
6%
17%
2%
*
2%
4%
*
*
14%
*
36%
*
*
3%
1%
+/-7.0

White
Women
-----5%
16%
3%
14%
3%
*
3%
2%
*
2%
12%
1%
33%
*
2%
1%
4%
+/-6.5

Under
50
----3%
17%
2%
17%
2%
*
1%
2%
*
6%
7%
1%
38%
*
2%
*
2%
+/-7.5

50 and
Older
-----6%
13%
4%
18%
4%
*
3%
2%
*
1%
11%
*
33%
*
1%
1%
2%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-39-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question RP4C
Now I`m going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Republican candidate do you think...
C. Would be most effective at solving the country's problems
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------5%
7%
15%
12%
3%
4%
17%
13%
3%
2%
*
*
2%
2%
2%
2%
*
*
3%
5%
9%
10%
1%
2%
36%
34%
*
*
1%
3%
1%
1%
2%
2%
+/-4.0 +/-7.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----5%
15%
3%
17%
3%
*
2%
2%
*
3%
9%
1%
36%
*
1%
1%
2%
+/-4.0

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------3%
17%
3%
20%
3%
*
2%
3%
*
2%
10%
*
35%
*
*
*
2%
+/-5.5

No
College
------3%
15%
2%
14%
1%
*
4%
*
*
5%
5%
3%
39%
*
5%
2%
2%
+/-8.0

Independent
-----5%
11%
3%
12%
6%
*
3%
3%
*
7%
6%
*
38%
*
3%
1%
2%
+/-8.0

Republican
-----5%
16%
3%
20%
3%
*
2%
2%
*
2%
10%
1%
34%
*
1%
*
2%
+/-5.0

Attended
College
Urban
-----------5%
5%
15%
5%
3%
3%
18%
22%
3%
3%
*
*
2%
1%
3%
3%
*
*
3%
4%
11%
10%
*
3%
34%
38%
*
*
*
3%
*
*
2%
*
+/-5.0 +/-8.5
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----7%
16%
3%
6%
2%
*
*
4%
*
6%
8%
*
39%
*
5%
*
3%
+/-8.0

Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----3%
20%
3%
18%
3%
*
1%
1%
*
2%
10%
*
34%
*
1%
1%
3%
+/-5.5

Conservative
------4%
15%
3%
23%
3%
*
3%
1%
*
2%
10%
1%
33%
*
*
1%
1%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-40-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question RP4C
Now I`m going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Republican candidate do you think...
C. Would be most effective at solving the country's problems
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----5%
15%
3%
17%
3%
*
2%
2%
*
3%
9%
1%
36%
*
1%
1%
2%
+/-4.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----5%
15%
3%
17%
3%
*
2%
2%
*
3%
9%
1%
36%
*
1%
1%
2%
+/-4.0

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------1%
10%
2%
32%
3%
*
2%
*
*
4%
7%
1%
35%
*
*
*
2%
+/-7.0

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------6%
15%
2%
11%
2%
*
2%
1%
*
3%
11%
1%
38%
*
3%
1%
3%
+/-6.0

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------2%
6%
21%
9%
2%
4%
21%
13%
4%
3%
*
*
3%
1%
1%
3%
*
*
1%
5%
9%
9%
1%
*
27%
42%
*
*
2%
1%
1%
*
3%
2%
+/-6.5 +/-5.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-41-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question RP4D
Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Republican candidate do you think...
D. Can best handle the responsibilities of being commander-in-chief
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------10%
12%
9%
11%
13%
13%
13%
14%
5%
4%
5%
4%
22%
25%
19%
23%
2%
1%
3%
1%
*
*
1%
1%
2%
2%
3%
2%
1%
*
2%
1%
*
*
*
*
2%
2%
3%
2%
9%
7%
11%
9%
1%
2%
*
2%
28%
30%
26%
26%
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
2%
2%
*
*
*
*
2%
*
3%
2%
+/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----10%
13%
5%
22%
2%
*
2%
1%
*
2%
9%
1%
28%
*
1%
*
2%
+/-4.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
12%
N/A
14%
N/A
3%
N/A
25%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
2%
N/A
*
N/A
*
N/A
2%
N/A
8%
N/A
2%
N/A
29%
N/A
*
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
*
+/-5.5

5064
----8%
13%
7%
27%
2%
1%
4%
2%
*
2%
9%
*
22%
*
1%
*
3%
+/-7.0

65+
----9%
9%
4%
23%
2%
1%
1%
2%
*
*
14%
2%
31%
*
*
1%
1%
+/-7.0

White
Women
-----9%
14%
5%
20%
1%
1%
3%
2%
*
3%
11%
*
24%
*
2%
*
3%
+/-6.5

Under
50
----13%
15%
3%
20%
*
*
2%
*
*
4%
7%
2%
30%
*
2%
*
1%
+/-7.5

50 and
Older
-----9%
11%
6%
25%
2%
1%
2%
2%
*
1%
11%
1%
25%
*
1%
*
2%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-42-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question RP4D
Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Republican candidate do you think...
D. Can best handle the responsibilities of being commander-in-chief
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------10%
12%
13%
11%
5%
5%
22%
19%
2%
1%
*
*
2%
3%
1%
*
*
*
2%
2%
9%
10%
1%
4%
28%
27%
*
*
1%
2%
*
*
2%
2%
+/-4.0 +/-7.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----10%
13%
5%
22%
2%
*
2%
1%
*
2%
9%
1%
28%
*
1%
*
2%
+/-4.0

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------11%
15%
4%
25%
1%
*
2%
2%
*
2%
9%
*
28%
*
*
*
1%
+/-5.5

No
College
------6%
16%
7%
18%
*
*
2%
*
*
1%
4%
3%
34%
*
4%
*
2%
+/-8.0

Independent
-----12%
8%
7%
16%
5%
1%
4%
*
*
4%
6%
3%
33%
*
3%
*
*
+/-8.0

Republican
-----9%
15%
4%
26%
1%
*
1%
2%
*
1%
10%
1%
27%
*
1%
*
2%
+/-5.0

Attended
College
Urban
-----------13%
8%
12%
4%
3%
2%
25%
32%
2%
1%
1%
*
2%
2%
2%
2%
*
*
3%
2%
11%
9%
1%
3%
26%
32%
*
*
*
3%
*
*
1%
*
+/-5.0 +/-8.5
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----15%
15%
8%
10%
2%
1%
1%
2%
*
5%
8%
*
29%
*
4%
*
*
+/-8.0

Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----9%
19%
4%
22%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
2%
8%
1%
29%
*
1%
*
2%
+/-5.5

Conservative
------8%
12%
3%
31%
1%
*
2%
1%
*
1%
11%
1%
27%
*
*
*
2%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-43-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question RP4D
Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Republican candidate do you think...
D. Can best handle the responsibilities of being commander-in-chief
Base = Republican likely caucus goers

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----10%
13%
5%
22%
2%
*
2%
1%
*
2%
9%
1%
28%
*
1%
*
2%
+/-4.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----10%
13%
5%
22%
2%
*
2%
1%
*
2%
9%
1%
28%
*
1%
*
2%
+/-4.0

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------6%
8%
2%
39%
1%
*
2%
1%
*
3%
7%
1%
29%
*
*
*
2%
+/-7.0

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------11%
13%
6%
16%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
2%
12%
2%
30%
*
3%
*
2%
+/-6.0

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------7%
13%
17%
10%
4%
5%
28%
18%
2%
2%
*
1%
4%
1%
2%
1%
*
*
1%
3%
8%
10%
2%
1%
21%
34%
*
*
2%
1%
*
*
2%
1%
+/-6.5 +/-5.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-44-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question DM1
If the Democratic presidential caucus in Iowa were held today, please tell me
which of the following people you would be most likely to support.
Base = Democratic likely caucus goers

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------54%
51%
57%
53%
4%
6%
4%
3%
36%
40%
34%
39%
2%
1%
3%
2%
*
*
*
*
3%
3%
3%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----54%
4%
36%
2%
*
3%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------54%
56%
4%
3%
36%
35%
2%
4%
*
*
3%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-7.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----54%
4%
36%
2%
*
3%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----54%
4%
36%
2%
*
3%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----54%
4%
36%
2%
*
3%
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----57%
4%
34%
2%
*
4%
+/-5.0

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----57%
8%
31%
2%
1%
1%
+/-8.0

$50K
or more
------50%
4%
42%
*
*
4%
+/-7.0

White
Women
-----54%
3%
36%
3%
*
3%
+/-6.5

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Attended
College
Urban
-----------50%
59%
4%
5%
40%
34%
2%
1%
*
*
3%
2%
+/-5.5 +/-8.0

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------51%
4%
39%
5%
*
1%
+/-8.5

65+
----69%
4%
19%
*
1%
7%
+/-7.5

No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
49%
N/A
4%
N/A
44%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
2%
+/-7.5

Liberal
----47%
3%
45%
*
*
3%
+/-7.0

Moderate
----57%
5%
33%
1%
*
3%
+/-7.0

50 and
Older
-----62%
7%
26%
1%
1%
4%
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----55%
2%
36%
4%
1%
2%
+/-7.0

Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------56%
5%
35%
*
*
4%
+/-6.0

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
51%
N/A
5%
N/A
38%
N/A
2%
N/A
*
N/A
3%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-45-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question DM2
Have you definitely decided who you will support in the Iowa Democratic caucus, are you leaning
toward someone, or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide?
Base = Democratic likely caucus goers

Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------38%
33%
43%
39%
22%
23%
21%
24%
39%
44%
36%
37%
*
1%
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0

Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----38%
22%
39%
*
+/-4.5

Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------38%
44%
22%
15%
39%
41%
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-7.5

Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----38%
22%
39%
*
+/-4.5

Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----38%
22%
39%
*
+/-4.5

Definitely decided
Leaning toward someone
Still trying to decide
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----38%
22%
39%
*
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----41%
23%
36%
*
+/-5.0

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----42%
19%
39%
*
+/-8.0

$50K
or more
------34%
29%
37%
*
+/-7.0

White
Women
-----41%
24%
35%
*
+/-6.5

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Attended
College
Urban
-----------42%
40%
25%
17%
33%
44%
*
*
+/-5.5 +/-8.0

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------24%
19%
57%
*
+/-8.5

65+
----52%
20%
28%
*
+/-7.5

No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
36%
N/A
23%
N/A
41%
N/A
*
+/-7.5

Liberal
----43%
30%
27%
1%
+/-7.0

Moderate
----35%
17%
48%
*
+/-7.0

50 and
Older
-----47%
19%
34%
*
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----37%
23%
39%
1%
+/-7.0

Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------50%
26%
23%
*
+/-6.0

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
39%
N/A
21%
N/A
39%
N/A
*
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-46-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question DM3A
Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me who you think would best handle that
issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting
for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think would do the best job handling:
A. The economy
Base = Democratic likely caucus goers

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------47%
41%
52%
45%
7%
8%
6%
6%
42%
48%
37%
45%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
*
3%
1%
2%
3%
1%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----47%
7%
42%
1%
2%
2%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------47%
52%
7%
5%
42%
38%
1%
2%
2%
1%
2%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-7.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----47%
7%
42%
1%
2%
2%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----47%
7%
42%
1%
2%
2%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----47%
7%
42%
1%
2%
2%
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----48%
6%
43%
*
2%
1%
+/-5.0

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----55%
10%
33%
1%
*
1%
+/-8.0

$50K
or more
------41%
6%
50%
*
2%
*
+/-7.0

White
Women
-----49%
5%
40%
1%
3%
1%
+/-6.5

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Attended
College
Urban
-----------45%
50%
6%
8%
45%
38%
1%
*
2%
1%
1%
3%
+/-5.5 +/-8.0

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------45%
6%
40%
2%
3%
3%
+/-8.5

65+
----59%
9%
29%
2%
1%
1%
+/-7.5

No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
38%
N/A
7%
N/A
51%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
2%
+/-7.5

Liberal
----34%
7%
52%
1%
2%
3%
+/-7.0

Moderate
----54%
7%
37%
*
1%
1%
+/-7.0

50 and
Older
-----57%
9%
31%
1%
*
1%
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----49%
3%
42%
2%
2%
1%
+/-7.0

Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------45%
8%
46%
1%
*
*
+/-6.0

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
45%
N/A
6%
N/A
43%
N/A
1%
N/A
2%
N/A
2%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%


Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015
Question DM3B

POLL IA3
3

-47-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me who you think would best handle that
issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting
for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think would do the best job handling:
B. Health care
Base = Democratic likely caucus goers

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------63%
56%
69%
61%
3%
3%
2%
2%
31%
36%
28%
34%
1%
2%
*
1%
*
*
*
*
2%
3%
1%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----63%
3%
31%
1%
*
2%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------63%
69%
3%
2%
31%
26%
1%
1%
*
*
2%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-7.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----63%
3%
31%
1%
*
2%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----63%
3%
31%
1%
*
2%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----63%
3%
31%
1%
*
2%
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----65%
2%
30%
1%
*
2%
+/-5.0

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----61%
5%
31%
1%
*
3%
+/-8.0

$50K
or more
------59%
1%
38%
2%
*
*
+/-7.0

White
Women
-----67%
2%
30%
*
*
1%
+/-6.5

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Attended
College
Urban
-----------61%
74%
2%
2%
36%
23%
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
+/-5.5 +/-8.0

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------62%
4%
29%
2%
*
4%
+/-8.5

65+
----76%
2%
19%
1%
*
2%
+/-7.5

No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
53%
N/A
3%
N/A
39%
N/A
3%
N/A
*
N/A
2%
+/-7.5

Liberal
----53%
2%
44%
1%
*
1%
+/-7.0

Moderate
----71%
2%
24%
2%
*
1%
+/-7.0

50 and
Older
-----67%
4%
26%
1%
*
2%
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----58%
1%
37%
2%
*
3%
+/-7.0

Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------63%
2%
35%
*
*
*
+/-6.0

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
60%
N/A
3%
N/A
34%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
2%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%


Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015
Question DM3C

POLL IA3
3

-48-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me who you think would best handle that
issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting
for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think would do the best job handling:
C. Race relations
Base = Democratic likely caucus goers

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------52%
48%
55%
50%
6%
9%
5%
6%
36%
38%
35%
38%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
5%
5%
5%
5%
+/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----52%
6%
36%
1%
*
5%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------52%
58%
6%
6%
36%
29%
1%
1%
*
*
5%
6%
+/-4.5 +/-7.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----52%
6%
36%
1%
*
5%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----52%
6%
36%
1%
*
5%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----52%
6%
36%
1%
*
5%
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----54%
4%
36%
*
*
6%
+/-5.0

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----60%
7%
29%
1%
*
3%
+/-8.0

$50K
or more
------44%
6%
45%
1%
*
4%
+/-7.0

White
Women
-----52%
5%
37%
*
*
6%
+/-6.5

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Attended
College
Urban
-----------49%
52%
7%
7%
41%
38%
1%
*
*
*
3%
3%
+/-5.5 +/-8.0

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------50%
8%
36%
*
*
5%
+/-8.5

65+
----69%
5%
19%
1%
*
6%
+/-7.5

No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
46%
N/A
8%
N/A
41%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
4%
+/-7.5

Liberal
----44%
7%
45%
1%
*
3%
+/-7.0

Moderate
----57%
7%
32%
*
*
4%
+/-7.0

50 and
Older
-----64%
6%
25%
1%
*
4%
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----56%
5%
32%
1%
*
7%
+/-7.0

Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------52%
6%
38%
*
*
4%
+/-6.0

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
51%
N/A
7%
N/A
36%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
5%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%


Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015
Question DM3D

POLL IA3
3

-49-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me who you think would best handle that
issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting
for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think would do the best job handling:
D. Foreign policy
Base = Democratic likely caucus goers

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------72%
73%
71%
71%
3%
3%
4%
3%
21%
22%
20%
22%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
1%
*
*
3%
*
5%
3%
+/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----72%
3%
21%
1%
*
3%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------72%
68%
3%
5%
21%
21%
1%
2%
*
1%
3%
4%
+/-4.5 +/-7.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----72%
3%
21%
1%
*
3%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----72%
3%
21%
1%
*
3%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----72%
3%
21%
1%
*
3%
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----73%
3%
20%
*
*
4%
+/-5.0

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----83%
4%
11%
1%
*
1%
+/-8.0

$50K
or more
------74%
1%
21%
1%
*
3%
+/-7.0

White
Women
-----68%
3%
22%
1%
*
6%
+/-6.5

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Attended
College
Urban
-----------71%
70%
3%
5%
21%
24%
1%
*
*
*
3%
1%
+/-5.5 +/-8.0

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------62%
6%
24%
2%
1%
6%
+/-8.5

65+
----85%
3%
8%
1%
*
3%
+/-7.5

No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
74%
N/A
2%
N/A
22%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
*
+/-7.5

Liberal
----68%
3%
25%
1%
*
3%
+/-7.0

Moderate
----75%
3%
20%
*
1%
1%
+/-7.0

50 and
Older
-----84%
3%
10%
1%
*
2%
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----74%
1%
19%
2%
*
4%
+/-7.0

Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------80%
1%
17%
*
*
1%
+/-6.0

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
71%
N/A
2%
N/A
22%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
3%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%


Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015
Question DM3E

POLL IA3
3

-50-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Now I'm going to mention a few issues and for each one, please tell me who you think would best handle that
issue if he or she were elected President. Please feel free to name a candidate even if you may not be voting
for that person. Which Democratic candidate do you think would do the best job handling:
E. ISIS
Base = Democratic likely caucus goers

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------67%
63%
71%
66%
5%
7%
4%
4%
19%
21%
17%
20%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
6%
1%
3%
3%
2%
4%
3%
+/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----67%
5%
19%
3%
3%
3%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------67%
65%
5%
6%
19%
19%
3%
5%
3%
3%
3%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-7.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----67%
5%
19%
3%
3%
3%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----67%
5%
19%
3%
3%
3%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----67%
5%
19%
3%
3%
3%
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----69%
5%
19%
1%
2%
3%
+/-5.0

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----74%
4%
16%
1%
1%
4%
+/-8.0

$50K
or more
------68%
3%
21%
1%
4%
3%
+/-7.0

White
Women
-----69%
4%
19%
3%
1%
3%
+/-6.5

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Attended
College
Urban
-----------68%
69%
5%
9%
20%
18%
1%
2%
2%
1%
3%
1%
+/-5.5 +/-8.0

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------62%
8%
21%
4%
3%
2%
+/-8.5

65+
----74%
2%
15%
1%
2%
6%
+/-7.5

No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
62%
N/A
5%
N/A
22%
N/A
3%
N/A
6%
N/A
2%
+/-7.5

Liberal
----67%
3%
26%
1%
1%
1%
+/-7.0

Moderate
----67%
5%
16%
2%
6%
4%
+/-7.0

50 and
Older
-----74%
3%
15%
1%
2%
5%
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----67%
2%
19%
4%
4%
3%
+/-7.0

Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------70%
3%
18%
2%
3%
4%
+/-6.0

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
67%
N/A
5%
N/A
18%
N/A
3%
N/A
3%
N/A
3%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%


Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015
Question DM4A

POLL IA3
3

-51-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which
Democratic candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which
Democratic candidate do you think...
A. Best represents the values of Democrats like yourself
Base = Democratic likely caucus goers

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------46%
44%
48%
43%
5%
8%
2%
4%
44%
44%
44%
48%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
1%
+/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----46%
5%
44%
1%
2%
2%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------46%
49%
5%
4%
44%
41%
1%
1%
2%
2%
2%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-7.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----46%
5%
44%
1%
2%
2%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----46%
5%
44%
1%
2%
2%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----46%
5%
44%
1%
2%
2%
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----48%
3%
44%
*
2%
3%
+/-5.0

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----51%
7%
39%
1%
2%
*
+/-8.0

$50K
or more
------44%
4%
48%
*
2%
1%
+/-7.0

White
Women
-----44%
3%
48%
1%
2%
2%
+/-6.5

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Attended
College
Urban
-----------41%
49%
6%
4%
48%
43%
1%
*
2%
2%
2%
2%
+/-5.5 +/-8.0

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------47%
4%
43%
1%
3%
1%
+/-8.5

65+
----59%
5%
30%
1%
1%
4%
+/-7.5

No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
42%
N/A
7%
N/A
46%
N/A
1%
N/A
2%
N/A
1%
+/-7.5

Liberal
----33%
4%
61%
1%
*
1%
+/-7.0

Moderate
----53%
5%
34%
*
5%
3%
+/-7.0

50 and
Older
-----55%
6%
35%
1%
2%
2%
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----48%
3%
43%
2%
3%
2%
+/-7.0

Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------42%
6%
48%
*
2%
2%
+/-6.0

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
46%
N/A
5%
N/A
45%
N/A
1%
N/A
1%
N/A
2%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%


Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015
Question DM4B

POLL IA3
3

-52-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which
Democratic candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which
Democratic candidate do you think...
B. Has the best chance of winning in the general election next November
Base = Democratic likely caucus goers

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------77%
73%
79%
78%
3%
3%
2%
2%
18%
20%
17%
18%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
2%
2%
1%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----77%
3%
18%
1%
*
2%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------77%
76%
3%
3%
18%
17%
1%
1%
*
*
2%
3%
+/-4.5 +/-7.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----77%
3%
18%
1%
*
2%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----77%
3%
18%
1%
*
2%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----77%
3%
18%
1%
*
2%
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----80%
1%
17%
*
*
1%
+/-5.0

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----82%
5%
13%
1%
*
*
+/-8.0

$50K
or more
------76%
1%
22%
1%
*
*
+/-7.0

White
Women
-----80%
2%
16%
1%
*
1%
+/-6.5

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Attended
College
Urban
-----------74%
74%
2%
3%
22%
20%
1%
*
*
*
1%
3%
+/-5.5 +/-8.0

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------65%
3%
29%
2%
*
1%
+/-8.5

65+
----87%
1%
8%
1%
1%
2%
+/-7.5

No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
72%
N/A
2%
N/A
21%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
3%
+/-7.5

Liberal
----74%
1%
22%
1%
*
1%
+/-7.0

Moderate
----80%
3%
14%
*
*
3%
+/-7.0

50 and
Older
-----84%
3%
11%
1%
*
1%
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----78%
2%
17%
2%
*
*
+/-7.0

Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------85%
2%
11%
*
*
2%
+/-6.0

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
76%
N/A
2%
N/A
19%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
2%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%


Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015
Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which
Democratic candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which
Democratic candidate do you think...

POLL IA3
3

-53-

November 28 December 6, 2015

C. Would do the most to help the middle class


Base = Democratic likely caucus goers

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------43%
40%
46%
39%
4%
6%
3%
4%
50%
52%
49%
54%
*
1%
*
*
*
1%
*
*
2%
*
3%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----43%
4%
50%
*
*
2%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------43%
54%
4%
3%
50%
42%
*
*
*
1%
2%
*
+/-4.5 +/-7.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----43%
4%
50%
*
*
2%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----43%
4%
50%
*
*
2%
+/-4.5

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Bernie Sanders
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----43%
4%
50%
*
*
2%
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Democrat
----43%
3%
52%
*
*
1%
+/-5.0

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----49%
8%
42%
1%
*
1%
+/-8.0

$50K
or more
------32%
4%
61%
1%
*
2%
+/-7.0

White
Women
-----43%
3%
51%
*
*
3%
+/-6.5

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Attended
College
Urban
-----------36%
50%
3%
3%
57%
46%
1%
*
1%
*
2%
1%
+/-5.5 +/-8.0

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------47%
3%
47%
*
1%
1%
+/-8.5

65+
----54%
6%
37%
1%
1%
2%
+/-7.5

No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
34%
N/A
6%
N/A
59%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
*
+/-7.5

Liberal
----32%
4%
62%
1%
*
1%
+/-7.0

Moderate
----45%
5%
47%
*
1%
3%
+/-7.0

50 and
Older
-----51%
7%
40%
1%
*
2%
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----43%
3%
50%
1%
*
3%
+/-7.0

Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------36%
5%
57%
*
*
2%
+/-6.0

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
43%
N/A
5%
N/A
50%
N/A
1%
N/A
*
N/A
1%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-54-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question 5
Which of the following issues will be MOST important to you when you decide how to vote for
president?
Base = Total Sample
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------Foreign policy
9%
9%
8%
10%
Illegal immigration
9%
10%
8%
8%
Health care
18%
14%
22%
17%
Social issues (abortion, etc.)
9%
7%
10%
9%
Terrorism
18%
16%
20%
18%
The economy
30%
35%
25%
31%
Other
4%
5%
3%
4%
No opinion
4%
4%
4%
4%
Sampling Error
+/-2.0 +/-3.0 +/-3.0 +/-2.5
Total
----Foreign policy
9%
Illegal immigration
9%
Health care
18%
Social issues (abortion, etc.)
9%
Terrorism
18%
The economy
30%
Other
4%
No opinion
4%
Sampling Error
+/-2.0

1834
----8%
9%
18%
13%
10%
31%
5%
4%
+/-6.0

Under
Total
$50K
--------Foreign policy
9%
11%
Illegal immigration
9%
7%
Health care
18%
19%
Social issues (abortion, etc.)
9%
11%
Terrorism
18%
15%
The economy
30%
33%
Other
4%
3%
No opinion
4%
3%
Sampling Error
+/-2.0 +/-4.5

3549
----7%
9%
17%
7%
19%
33%
4%
4%
+/-5.5
$50K
or more
------10%
10%
14%
10%
21%
33%
2%
1%
+/-4.0

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----4%
10%
16%
9%
24%
13%
5%
8%
16%
17%
26%
36%
5%
4%
3%
3%
+/-7.5
+/-3.5

5064
----9%
7%
19%
7%
22%
29%
4%
2%
+/-4.0
No
College
------7%
10%
22%
5%
19%
29%
4%
4%
+/-3.5

65+
----11%
9%
17%
6%
22%
27%
3%
4%
+/-3.5

White
Women
-----9%
6%
21%
11%
20%
25%
3%
4%
+/-3.0

Under
50
----8%
9%
18%
11%
14%
32%
5%
4%
+/-4.0

50 and
Older
-----10%
8%
18%
7%
22%
28%
3%
3%
+/-2.5

Attended
SubCollege
Urban
urban
Rural
-------------------10%
8%
8%
9%
8%
7%
10%
9%
15%
21%
12%
18%
12%
9%
9%
9%
17%
19%
15%
19%
31%
28%
40%
27%
4%
4%
4%
4%
3%
4%
3%
4%
+/-3.0 +/-4.0 +/-5.0 +/-3.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-55-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question 5
Which of the following issues will be MOST important to you when you decide how to vote for
president?
Base = Total Sample
Total
----Foreign policy
9%
Illegal immigration
9%
Health care
18%
Social issues (abortion, etc.)
9%
Terrorism
18%
The economy
30%
Other
4%
No opinion
4%
Sampling Error
+/-2.0

Democrat
----8%
5%
24%
10%
13%
35%
3%
3%
+/-4.0

Total East
----- ---Foreign policy
9%
11%
Illegal immigration
9%
6%
Health care
18%
16%
Social issues (abortion, etc.)
9%
9%
Terrorism
18%
16%
The economy
30%
32%
Other
4%
4%
No opinion
4%
6%
Sampling Error
+/-2.0 +/-4.5
Total
----Foreign policy
9%
Illegal immigration
9%
Health care
18%
Social issues (abortion, etc.)
9%
Terrorism
18%
The economy
30%
Other
4%
No opinion
4%
Sampling Error
+/-2.0

Independent
-----7%
8%
21%
8%
16%
29%
6%
5%
+/-3.5

Republican
-----12%
12%
8%
9%
27%
26%
2%
3%
+/-4.0

Des
East
Moines
Central
Area
------- -----7%
7%
9%
10%
19%
17%
7%
8%
18%
16%
31%
34%
5%
2%
3%
4%
+/-5.0 +/-4.5

Tea Pty
Support
------12%
9%
7%
10%
32%
25%
1%
3%
+/-6.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------9%
10%
19%
10%
16%
31%
3%
2%
+/-4.0

Liberal
----9%
6%
22%
14%
14%
32%
2%
1%
+/-6.5

Moderate
----8%
9%
18%
7%
14%
38%
3%
2%
+/-4.5

Conservative
------15%
9%
11%
11%
24%
26%
2%
2%
+/-4.5

Central West
------- ----10%
7%
9%
10%
21%
17%
11%
9%
17%
25%
24%
25%
4%
4%
4%
1%
+/-5.5 +/-5.5

Tea Pty
Oppose
------13%
4%
17%
10%
13%
40%
3%
1%
+/-5.0

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------11%
8%
11%
8%
17%
18%
10%
8%
24%
17%
24%
31%
2%
4%
1%
5%
+/-5.0 +/-2.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-56-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question 5
Which of the following issues will be MOST important to you when you decide how to vote for
president?
Base = Democratic likely caucus goers
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------Foreign policy
10%
9%
11%
11%
Illegal immigration
4%
6%
2%
3%
Health care
22%
18%
24%
20%
Social issues (abortion, etc.)
10%
7%
12%
11%
Terrorism
13%
13%
12%
13%
The economy
38%
42%
34%
39%
Other
3%
3%
3%
2%
No opinion
1%
1%
2%
1%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.0
Total
----Foreign policy
10%
Illegal immigration
4%
Health care
22%
Social issues (abortion, etc.)
10%
Terrorism
13%
The economy
38%
Other
3%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
Total
$50K
--------Foreign policy
10%
13%
Illegal immigration
4%
4%
Health care
22%
21%
Social issues (abortion, etc.)
10%
6%
Terrorism
13%
15%
The economy
38%
36%
Other
3%
3%
No opinion
1%
1%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5 +/-7.5

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
$50K
or more
------7%
4%
19%
14%
10%
42%
3%
1%
+/-7.0

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
10%
N/A
6%
N/A
15%
N/A
6%
N/A
15%
N/A
45%
N/A
2%
N/A
*
+/-7.5

5064
----7%
1%
28%
7%
17%
37%
4%
*
+/-8.0
No
College
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

65+
----14%
7%
23%
3%
20%
29%
3%
2%
+/-7.5

White
Women
-----12%
1%
24%
14%
11%
34%
2%
2%
+/-6.5

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Attended
College
Urban
-----------13%
8%
3%
6%
17%
24%
14%
8%
11%
10%
37%
38%
4%
2%
2%
3%
+/-5.5 +/-8.0

50 and
Older
-----10%
3%
26%
5%
18%
34%
3%
1%
+/-5.5
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----12%
3%
25%
7%
14%
36%
2%
1%
+/-7.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-57-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question 5
Which of the following issues will be MOST important to you when you decide how to vote for
president?
Base = Democratic likely caucus goers
Total
----Foreign policy
10%
Illegal immigration
4%
Health care
22%
Social issues (abortion, etc.)
10%
Terrorism
13%
The economy
38%
Other
3%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5

Total
----Foreign policy
10%
Illegal immigration
4%
Health care
22%
Social issues (abortion, etc.)
10%
Terrorism
13%
The economy
38%
Other
3%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5
Total
----Foreign policy
10%
Illegal immigration
4%
Health care
22%
Social issues (abortion, etc.)
10%
Terrorism
13%
The economy
38%
Other
3%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-4.5

Democrat
----10%
4%
23%
9%
11%
38%
3%
2%
+/-5.0

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Republican
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------11%
6%
22%
9%
12%
37%
3%
1%
+/-8.5

Liberal
----11%
2%
22%
16%
11%
33%
3%
2%
+/-7.0

Moderate
----10%
6%
17%
5%
15%
43%
2%
1%
+/-7.0

Conservative
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------10%
2%
19%
11%
11%
41%
3%
2%
+/-6.0

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------N/A
11%
N/A
4%
N/A
20%
N/A
11%
N/A
11%
N/A
38%
N/A
3%
N/A
2%
+/-5.0

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-58-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question 5
Which of the following issues will be MOST important to you when you decide how to vote for
president?
Base = Republican likely caucus goers
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------Foreign policy
13%
14%
13%
14%
Illegal immigration
10%
9%
11%
10%
Health care
8%
6%
9%
8%
Social issues (abortion, etc.)
9%
7%
11%
10%
Terrorism
27%
21%
34%
25%
The economy
29%
37%
19%
29%
Other
2%
2%
2%
2%
No opinion
2%
3%
*
2%
Sampling Error
+/-4.0 +/-5.5 +/-6.5 +/-4.5
Total
----Foreign policy
13%
Illegal immigration
10%
Health care
8%
Social issues (abortion, etc.)
9%
Terrorism
27%
The economy
29%
Other
2%
No opinion
2%
Sampling Error
+/-4.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
Total
$50K
--------Foreign policy
13%
12%
Illegal immigration
10%
8%
Health care
8%
9%
Social issues (abortion, etc.)
9%
11%
Terrorism
27%
22%
The economy
29%
33%
Other
2%
1%
No opinion
2%
4%
Sampling Error
+/-4.0 +/-7.5

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
$50K
or more
------13%
12%
8%
9%
28%
28%
1%
1%
+/-5.5

White
Non-White Men
--------- -----N/A
14%
N/A
9%
N/A
6%
N/A
8%
N/A
21%
N/A
37%
N/A
2%
N/A
3%
+/-5.5

5064
----14%
11%
7%
8%
33%
24%
2%
1%
+/-7.0
No
College
------12%
13%
10%
7%
23%
31%
3%
2%
+/-8.0

65+
----15%
12%
5%
10%
30%
27%
1%
*
+/-7.0

White
Women
-----14%
12%
10%
12%
32%
18%
2%
*
+/-6.5

Under
50
----13%
9%
9%
10%
20%
33%
2%
3%
+/-7.5

Attended
College
Urban
-----------14%
15%
9%
6%
7%
6%
10%
11%
28%
34%
28%
25%
1%
4%
2%
*
+/-5.0 +/-8.5

50 and
Older
-----14%
11%
6%
9%
32%
25%
2%
1%
+/-5.0
Suburban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Rural
----15%
11%
9%
10%
26%
24%
1%
3%
+/-5.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-59-

November 28 December 6, 2015

Iowa CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 28 to December 6, 2015


Question 5
Which of the following issues will be MOST important to you when you decide how to vote for
president?
Base = Republican likely caucus goers
Total
----Foreign policy
13%
Illegal immigration
10%
Health care
8%
Social issues (abortion, etc.)
9%
Terrorism
27%
The economy
29%
Other
2%
No opinion
2%
Sampling Error
+/-4.0

Total
----Foreign policy
13%
Illegal immigration
10%
Health care
8%
Social issues (abortion, etc.)
9%
Terrorism
27%
The economy
29%
Other
2%
No opinion
2%
Sampling Error
+/-4.0
Total
----Foreign policy
13%
Illegal immigration
10%
Health care
8%
Social issues (abortion, etc.)
9%
Terrorism
27%
The economy
29%
Other
2%
No opinion
2%
Sampling Error
+/-4.0

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

East
---N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----10%
11%
12%
3%
23%
37%
3%
2%
+/-8.0

East
Central
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------12%
10%
3%
10%
36%
25%
1%
4%
+/-7.0

Republican
-----15%
10%
5%
12%
29%
26%
1%
2%
+/-5.0

Des
Moines
Area
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Neutral
------12%
11%
10%
9%
23%
31%
2%
1%
+/-6.0

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----9%
13%
11%
5%
16%
42%
2%
1%
+/-8.0

Conservative
------15%
9%
6%
12%
30%
24%
2%
2%
+/-5.0

Central West
------- ----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

White
All
Evang. Others
------- ------13%
14%
12%
9%
11%
5%
13%
6%
27%
26%
20%
36%
2%
2%
2%
2%
+/-6.5 +/-5.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL IA3
3

-60-

November 28 December 6, 2015

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