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World Ecology Report
World Information TransferSpring 2010
son on to our youth, the planet will simply run out o resources. Today’s youth are entering a much dierent world than that o previous generations. This new worldo resource scarcity requires new lessons.
YOUTH’S SHIFTING
ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT
Young people will see a shit in which nations, re-sponsible or consuming the most resources, will havethe largest ecological ootprint. Until recently, the Unit-ed States was responsible or having the largest ecologi-cal ootprint. This has already shited. The United ArabEmirates (UAE), with an ecological ootprint o 9.4 gha,now has the largest ecological ootprint per capita. This will be a growing trend among developing countries.For the youth in developed nations like the UnitedStates and the countries o the European Union, theirecological ootprints are not expected to rise much.Since they are already industrialized, additional con-sumption o resources is not required in development. Also, populations are expected to stay consistent leavingthese youth with an ecological ootprint comparable toadults today.This comes as relie considering that America aloneconsumes 30 percent o the world’s resources with only5 percent o the population. Also, it would take 5.1 plan-ets to sustain human lie, i everyone consumed as manyresources as Americans.Unortunately, any relie brought by youth in theUnited States and EU maintaining a consistent ecologi-cal ootprint, is wiped out by the industrialization o de- veloping countries, like China and India. Our youth willlive in a world where, i trends continue, the typical Chi-nese will out consume the typical American by 2040; In-dian consumption will surpass American consumptionby 2080. These countries will also have enormous popu-lations. The combined population o China and India,alone, is expected to exceed 3 billion.The ecological ootprint o China is 2.1, but Chinahas not yet ully industrialized. Nor has India with anecological ootprint o 0.8. Our youth will live in a world where China and India are ully industrialized and livingthe same standards as today’s typical Americans. Along with increases in population and consumption, the eco-logical ootprint o Chinese and Indians is expected togrow exponentially. This does not add up. I Americansused 30 percent o the world’s resources with a popu-lation o roughly 300 million, what will happen when 3billion people are using the same amount o resources?I we continue to teach our youth the same lessons andcurrent trends continue, catastrophic resource deple-tion is the only oreseeable outcome. Although, longtime industrialized regions like theUnited States and the EU have gotten us to this pointo ecological crisis, it is developing nations that will ulti-mately tip the world over the edge. With the rise o the global economy more and moredeveloping countries are putting a toll, equal to theirpredecessors’ on the planet. Surpassing the UnitedStates, the UAE is now responsible or having the largestecological ootprint on the planet (what’s interesting isthat while the United States never signed the Kyoto Pro-tocol, the UAE has. In 2005, when the UAE ratied theKyoto Protocol, it was classed as a ‘non-annex I’ coun-try or developing nation, despite having a high GDP. Although the UAE has the largest ecological ootprintand is one o the highest producers o carbon emissionsin the world, it is under no obligation to reduce its pol-lution). The UAE’s economy is built rom cheap extrac-tion o natural resources, just like America. The UAEthen took their newound wealth, bought SUVs, builtindoor ski elds, and turned up their ACs, thus imitat-ing Americans.Our youth cannot embrace this old system, while de- veloping in a new world o scarce resources. We cannotbuild economies and countries on old methods. Youngpeople either recognize this or, imitating America onceagain, they go or broke.
GOING FOR BROKE
America became an industrial power at the end o the19th century and then quickly rose to the top throughcheap extraction o natural resources. Ater the U.S.liquidated its own ecological assets they decided to getmore. From other countries, like Arica, the U.S. bor-rowed ecological assets on credit. Ater the resources areextracted, they are taken back to the States. Products areproduced with those resources, sold to the consumerand lots o money is made to pay back the ecologicaldebt. What’s wrong with that method is, you can’t payo an ecological debt with cash. We are spending what we cannot aord. The last time the U.S. did this, the en-tire world suered.
2007 Populations:
(millions)1. China 1,3182. India 1,132 3. U.S. 302 4. Indonesia 232 5. Brazil 1896. Pakistan 1697. Bangladesh 1498. Nigeria 1449. Russia 142 10. Japan 128
2050 Projected:
(millions)1. India 1,747 2. China 1,437 3. U.S. 4204. Indonesia 297 5. Pakistan 295 6. Nigeria 282 7. Brazil 2608. Bangladesh 2319. Rep. Congo 14410. Philippines 150
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