Public Policy Polling Iowa GOP Results

Iowa Survey Results
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q5
Q6
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

of Jeb Bush?
Q7

of Carly Fiorina?
Favorable........................................................ 26%
Favorable........................................................ 54%
Unfavorable .................................................... 53%
Unfavorable .................................................... 25%
Not sure .......................................................... 21%
Not sure .......................................................... 21%

of Ben Carson?
Q8

of Jim Gilmore?
Favorable........................................................ 60%
Favorable........................................................ 3%
Unfavorable .................................................... 25%
Unfavorable .................................................... 32%
Not sure .......................................................... 15%
Not sure .......................................................... 65%

of Ted Cruz?
Q9

of Mike Huckabee?
Favorable........................................................ 69%
Favorable........................................................ 61%
Unfavorable .................................................... 18%
Unfavorable .................................................... 22%
Not sure .......................................................... 12%
Not sure .......................................................... 17%

of Marco Rubio?
Q10 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

of John Kasich?
Favorable........................................................ 56%
Favorable........................................................ 26%
Unfavorable .................................................... 26%
Unfavorable .................................................... 39%
Not sure .......................................................... 18%
Not sure .......................................................... 35%

of Donald Trump?

of Rand Paul?
Favorable........................................................ 54%
Favorable........................................................ 41%
Unfavorable .................................................... 34%
Unfavorable .................................................... 39%
Not sure .......................................................... 12%
Not sure .......................................................... 20%

of Chris Christie?

of Rick Santorum?
Favorable........................................................ 45%
Favorable........................................................ 46%
Unfavorable .................................................... 33%
Unfavorable .................................................... 29%
Not sure .......................................................... 22%
Not sure .......................................................... 25%
3020 Highwoods Blvd.

Raleigh, NC 27604
Survey of 530 likely Republican caucus voters
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
January 8-10, 2016
Q13 The Republican candidates for President are

Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted
Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Mike
Huckabee, John Kasich, Rand Paul, Marco
Rubio, Rick Santorum, and Donald Trump. If
the election was today, who would you vote
for?
Jeb Bush......................................................... 6%
Ben Carson..................................................... 8%
Chris Christie .................................................. 3%
Ted Cruz ......................................................... 26%
Carly Fiorina ................................................... 3%
Jim Gilmore..................................................... 0%
Mike Huckabee ............................................... 3%
John Kasich .................................................... 3%
Rand Paul ....................................................... 3%
Marco Rubio ................................................... 13%
Rick Santorum ................................................ 2%
Donald Trump ................................................. 28%
Undecided....................................................... 2%
Q14 Are you firmly committed to your current choice

for President, or is it possible youll change
your mind between now and the primary?
Firmly committed to your current choice ......... 57%
Its possible youll change your mind between
now and the primary ....................................... 43%
Q15 Given the same list of choices, who would be

your second choice for the GOP candidate for
President in 2016?
Jeb Bush......................................................... 4%
Ben Carson..................................................... 9%
Chris Christie .................................................. 5%
Ted Cruz ......................................................... 21%
Carly Fiorina ................................................... 7%
Jim Gilmore..................................................... 0%
Mike Huckabee ............................................... 4%
John Kasich .................................................... 2%
Rand Paul ....................................................... 4%
Marco Rubio ................................................... 13%
Rick Santorum ................................................ 4%
Donald Trump ................................................. 10%
Undecided....................................................... 15%
Q16 Given the choices of just Donald Trump, Jeb

Bush, Marco Rubio, and Ted Cruz who would
you support for the Republican nomination for
President?
Donald Trump ................................................. 33%
Jeb Bush......................................................... 9%
Marco Rubio ................................................... 18%
Ted Cruz ......................................................... 36%
Not sure .......................................................... 4%
Q17 Given the choices of just Donald Trump, Marco

Rubio, and Ted Cruz who would you support
for the Republican nomination for President?
Donald Trump ................................................. 32%
Marco Rubio ................................................... 22%
Ted Cruz ......................................................... 38%
Not sure .......................................................... 8%

Raleigh, NC 27604
January 8-10, 2016
Q18 Given the choices of just Jeb Bush, Marco

Rubio, and Ted Cruz who would you support
for the Republican nomination for President?
Jeb Bush......................................................... 11%
Marco Rubio ................................................... 24%
Ted Cruz ......................................................... 54%
Not sure .......................................................... 11%
Q19 Who would you prefer as the Republican

candidate if you had to choose between just
Jeb Bush and Donald Trump?
Jeb Bush......................................................... 29%
Q23 When it comes to the Republican nominee for

President are you more concerned with having
the candidate who is the most conservative on
the issues, or the one who has the best chance
of beating a Democrat in the general election?
More concerned with having the candidate
who is the most conservative on the issues.... 38%
who has the best chance of beating a
Democrat in the general election .................... 51%
Not sure .......................................................... 11%
Q24 Do you think Barack Obama was born in the

United States?
Donald Trump ................................................. 60%
Yes.................................................................. 28%
Not sure .......................................................... 11%
No ................................................................... 43%

Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio?
Ted Cruz ......................................................... 59%
Marco Rubio ................................................... 26%
Not sure .......................................................... 15%

Ted Cruz and Donald Trump?
Ted Cruz ......................................................... 54%
Donald Trump ................................................. 37%
Not sure .......................................................... 9%

Marco Rubio and Donald Trump?
Marco Rubio ................................................... 46%
Donald Trump ................................................. 45%
Not sure .......................................................... 9%
Not sure .......................................................... 30%
Q25 Do you think Ted Cruz was born in the United

States?
Yes.................................................................. 34%
No ................................................................... 46%
Not sure .......................................................... 20%
Q26 Do you think someone born in another country

should be allowed to serve as President of the
United States, or not?
Someone born in another country should be
allowed to serve as President ......................... 32%
Someone born in another country should not
be allowed to serve as President .................... 47%
Not sure .......................................................... 21%
Q27 Ted Cruz was born in Canada. Does this make

you more or less likely to support him for the
Republican nomination for President, or does it
not make a difference?
More likely....................................................... 8%
Less likely ....................................................... 24%
Doesn't make a difference .............................. 65%
Not sure .......................................................... 4%

Raleigh, NC 27604
January 8-10, 2016
Q28 Did Carly Fiorina rooting for Iowa over her alma
mater of Stanford in the Rose Bowl make you
more or less likely to support her for the
Republican nomination for President, or did it
not make a difference?
More likely....................................................... 7%
Less likely ....................................................... 15%
Didn't make a difference ................................. 77%
Not sure .......................................................... 1%
Q29 Do you consider yourself to be a member of

the Tea Party?
Yes.................................................................. 21%
No ................................................................... 61%
Not sure .......................................................... 17%
Q30 Are you an Evangelical Christian or not?

Yes.................................................................. 56%
No ................................................................... 44%
Q31 Do you support or oppose requiring a criminal

background check of every person who wants
to buy a firearm?
Support requiring a criminal background
check of every person who wants to buy a
firearm............................................................. 65%
Oppose requiring a criminal background
check of every person who wants to buy a
firearm............................................................. 24%
Not sure .......................................................... 11%
Q32 Would you support or oppose a bill barring

people on the terrorist watch list from
purchasing a firearm?
Support a bill barring people on the terrorist
watch list from purchasing a firearm ............... 73%
Oppose a bill barring people on the terrorist
watch list from purchasing a firearm ............... 17%
Not sure .......................................................... 10%
Q33 Are you offended by bilingual phone menus

where you press 1 to continue in English and 2
to continue in Spanish, or not?
Offended by bilingual phone menus................ 52%
Not offended by bilingual phone menus.......... 40%
Not sure .......................................................... 8%
Q34 Do you think President Obama will take all

Americans guns away during his final year in
office or not?
President Obama will take all Americans
guns away during his final year in office ......... 21%
President Obama will not take all Americans
guns away during his final year in office ......... 57%
Not sure .......................................................... 22%
Q35 President Obama teared up while announcing

an executive action on gun control this week.
Do you think his tears were sincere, or do you
think he faked them?
Obamas tears were sincere ........................... 16%
Obamas tears were fake ................................ 69%
Not sure .......................................................... 15%
Q36 Is your favorite NFL team the Chicago Bears,

Dallas Cowboys, Denver Broncos, Green Bay
Packers, Kansas City Chiefs, Minnesota
Vikings, New England Patriots, or St. Louis
Rams?
Chicago Bears ................................................ 8%
Dallas Cowboys .............................................. 7%
Denver Broncos .............................................. 9%
Green Bay Packers......................................... 16%
Kansas City Chiefs ......................................... 9%
Minnesota Vikings........................................... 15%
New England Patriots ..................................... 1%
St. Louis Rams ............................................... 2%
Another team / Not a football fan .................... 34%

Raleigh, NC 27604
January 8-10, 2016
Q37 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,

somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat
conservative, or very conservative?
Very liberal ...................................................... 1%
Somewhat liberal ............................................ 4%
Q39 If you are 18 to 45 years old, press 1. If 46 to

65, press 2. If you are older than 65, press 3.
18 to 45........................................................... 31%
46 to 65........................................................... 46%
Older than 65 .................................................. 23%
Moderate......................................................... 18%
Somewhat conservative.................................. 39%
Very conservative ........................................... 38%
Q38 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

Woman ........................................................... 45%
Man................................................................. 55%

Raleigh, NC 27604
January 8-10, 2016
Republican Primary
Base
Jeb
Ben
Chris
Bush Carson Christie
Ted Carly
Jim
Mike John Rand Marco
Rick Donald
Cruz Fiorina Gilmore Huckabee Kasich Paul Rubio Santorum Trump Undecided
Bush Favorability
Favorable 26%
97%
13%
18%
20%
49%
37%
24%
35%
42%
45%
11%
22%
Unfavorable 53%
1%
49%
55%
64%
42%
50%
29%
31%
42%
33%
33%
73%
6%
Not sure 21%
2%
38%
28%
16%
8%
50%
34%
45%
23%
25%
22%
16%
73%
Republican Primary
Base
Jeb
Ben
Chris
Ted Carly
Jim
Rick Donald
Carson Favorability
Favorable 60%
42%
95%
39%
72%
94%
50%
50%
50%
37%
55%
45%
52%
Unfavorable 25%
39%
49%
16%
50%
26%
30%
33%
26%
30%
36%
23%
-
Not sure 15%
19%
5%
12%
12%
6%
24%
20%
30%
18%
26%
13%
77%
Republican Primary
Base
Jeb
Ben
Chris
Ted Carly
Jim
Rick Donald
Cruz Favorability
Favorable 69%
43%
68%
38%
100%
81%
50%
51%
33%
49%
56%
32%
68%
44%
Unfavorable 18%
37%
7%
53%
17%
50%
26%
58%
29%
25%
30%
21%
13%
Not sure 12%
20%
25%
9%
3%
23%
9%
22%
20%
38%
11%
43%
0%
Republican Primary
Base
Jeb
Ben
Chris
Ted Carly
Jim
Rick Donald
Rubio Favorability
Favorable 56%
55%
44%
70%
67%
71%
Unfavorable 26%
27%
20%
18%
15%
Not sure 18%
19%
36%
12%
18%
January 8-10, 2016
56%
49%
56%
94%
40%
34%
48%
24%
27%
47%
6%
100%
17%
3%
18%
30%
49%
18%
26%
6%
30%
17%
34%

Raleigh, NC 27604
survey of 530 likely Republican caucus voters
Republican Primary
Base
Jeb
Ben
Chris
Ted Carly
Jim
Rick Donald
Trump Favorability
Favorable 54%
27%
30%
41%
51%
58%
50%
14%
31%
23%
35%
28%
95%
6%
Unfavorable 34%
65%
50%
34%
38%
40%
50%
52%
52%
36%
54%
30%
3%
77%
Not sure 12%
8%
20%
25%
12%
3%
34%
17%
41%
11%
42%
2%
17%
Republican Primary
Base
Jeb
Ben
Chris
Ted Carly
Jim
Rick Donald
Christie Favorability
Favorable 45%
44%
46%
100%
41%
72%
25%
48%
30%
63%
25%
40%
Unfavorable 33%
33%
22%
39%
3%
50%
58%
33%
47%
11%
60%
42%
17%
-
Not sure 22%
23%
31%
20%
25%
50%
16%
19%
23%
27%
16%
18%
83%
Republican Primary
Base
Jeb
Ben
Chris
Ted Carly
Jim
Rick Donald
Fiorina Favorability
Favorable 54%
38%
69%
71%
65%
92%
50%
46%
49%
41%
57%
32%
41%
23%
Unfavorable 25%
27%
8%
22%
18%
8%
18%
44%
45%
17%
60%
38%
Not sure 21%
35%
23%
6%
17%
50%
36%
6%
15%
26%
8%
21%
77%
Republican Primary
Base
Jeb
Ben
Chris
Ted Carly
Jim
Rick Donald
Gilmore Favorability
3%
9%
4%
6%
7%
9%
2%
8%
1%
Unfavorable 32%
22%
22%
48%
37%
46%
50%
32%
18%
23%
25%
43%
35%
Not sure 65%
69%
78%
52%
59%
48%
50%
68%
75%
68%
73%
49%
64%
100%
Favorable
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Republican Primary
Base
Jeb
Ben
Chris
Ted Carly
Jim
Rick Donald
Huckabee Favorability
Favorable 61%
44%
72%
67%
72%
61%
50%
100%
50%
67%
53%
53%
55%
Unfavorable 22%
37%
14%
30%
19%
Not sure 17%
19%
15%
3%
9%
15%
33%
44%
16%
23%
38%
22%
6%
50%
6%
16%
24%
8%
22%
85%
Republican Primary
Base
Jeb
Ben
Chris
Ted Carly
Jim
Rick Donald
Kasich Favorability
Favorable 26%
32%
15%
53%
21%
34%
13%
91%
48%
40%
16%
17%
Unfavorable 39%
21%
28%
27%
53%
53%
50%
29%
18%
29%
34%
47%
6%
Not sure 35%
48%
56%
19%
26%
13%
50%
58%
9%
34%
31%
50%
37%
94%
Republican Primary
Base
Jeb
Ben
Chris
Ted Carly
Jim
Rick Donald
Paul Favorability
Favorable 41%
51%
45%
7%
56%
44%
49%
54%
97%
26%
20%
30%
10%
Unfavorable 39%
35%
26%
84%
27%
47%
50%
35%
36%
51%
76%
46%
17%
Not sure 20%
14%
29%
9%
17%
9%
50%
16%
10%
3%
24%
4%
24%
73%
Republican Primary
Base
Jeb
Ben
Chris
Ted Carly
Jim
Rick Donald
Santorum Favorability
Favorable 46%
40%
55%
45%
60%
54%
77%
29%
53%
46%
66%
29%
Unfavorable 29%
38%
21%
36%
18%
41%
6%
37%
33%
32%
34%
40%
Not sure 25%
22%
24%
19%
23%
6%
100%
17%
34%
14%
23%
31%
64%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
36%
Republican Primary
Jeb
Ben
Chris
Base
Ted Carly
Jim
Mike
John
Cruz Fiorina Gilmore Huckabee Kasich
Rand Marco
Rick Donald
Paul Rubio Santorum Trump Undecided
Republican Primary
Jeb Bush
6%
100%
Ben Carson
8%
100%
Chris Christie
3%
100%
Ted Cruz 26%
100%
Carly Fiorina
3%
100%
Jim Gilmore
0%
100%
Mike Huckabee
3%
100%
John Kasich
3%
100%
3%
100%
Marco Rubio 13%
Rand Paul
100%
2%
100%
Donald Trump 28%
100%
100%
Rick Santorum
Undecided
2%
Republican Primary
Base
Jeb
Ben
Chris
Ted Carly
Jim
Rick Donald
Cruz Fiorina Gilmore Huckabee Kasich Paul Rubio Santorum Trump
Committed to Choice
Yes/No
Firmly committed to 57%
your current choice
48%
57%
32%
58%
28%
50%
35%
45%
58%
46%
30%
73%
Its possible youll 43%

change your mind
between now and the
primary
52%
43%
68%
42%
72%
50%
65%
55%
42%
54%
70%
27%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Republican Primary
Base
Jeb
Ben
Chris
Ted Carly
Jim
Rick Donald
Republican Primary
Second Choice
-
3%
3%
2%
1%
12%
2%
Jeb Bush
4%
Ben Carson
9%
1%
Chris Christie
5%
12%
Ted Cruz 21%
18%
51%
16%
8%
8%
Carly Fiorina
7%
6%
13%
8%
13%
8%
50%
25%
13%
29%
11%
9%
8%
6%
5%
9%
11%
13%
5%
30%
16%
8%
39%
10%
7%
15%
8%
4%
Jim Gilmore
0%
8%
7%
Mike Huckabee
4%
5%
8%
6%
3%
7%
1%
4%
John Kasich
2%
11%
3%
4%
9%
3%
Rand Paul
4%
3%
3%
7%
10%
3%
2%
4%
4%
Marco Rubio 13%
23%
1%
47%
23%
38%
5%
8%
7%
8%
9%
1%
4%
20%
16%
3%
2%
26%
Donald Trump 10%
20%
6%
21%
14%
50%
23%
7%
11%
12%
Undecided 15%
7%
17%
22%
8%
6%
8%
26%
11%
17%
60%
16%
59%
Rick Santorum
4%
Republican Primary
Jeb
Ben
Chris
Ted Carly
Jim
Rick Donald
Donald Trump 33%
12%
Jeb Bush
Base
Trump/Bush/Rubio/Cruz
8%
22%
1%
14%
50%
23%
13%
11%
6%
12%
96%
6%
9%
76%
1%
14%
2%
8%
15%
26%
9%
5%
22%
1%
39%
Marco Rubio 18%
6%
15%
48%
1%
46%
20%
47%
23%
80%
16%
0%
43%
Ted Cruz 36%
1%
69%
16%
94%
29%
42%
7%
27%
6%
32%
1%
Not sure
4%
7%
2%
3%
50%
7%
30%
3%
18%
1%
13%
January 8-10, 2016
4%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Republican Primary
Jeb
Ben
Chris
Ted Carly
Jim
Rick Donald
Donald Trump 32%
21%
6%
22%
1%
14%
50%
23%
19%
16%
3%
4%
94%
6%
Marco Rubio 22%
36%
15%
58%
2%
39%
25%
33%
20%
83%
47%
1%
69%
Ted Cruz 38%
27%
70%
19%
91%
47%
40%
7%
23%
7%
32%
4%
Not sure
16%
9%
6%
50%
11%
40%
41%
8%
18%
1%
25%
Base
Trump/Rubio/Cruz
8%
Republican Primary
Base
Jeb
Ben
Chris
Ted Carly
Jim
Rick Donald
Bush/Rubio/Cruz
Jeb Bush 11%
88%
2%
10%
1%
8%
30%
40%
9%
2%
4%
8%
22%
Marco Rubio 24%
2%
25%
63%
1%
49%
50%
20%
29%
16%
87%
47%
16%
26%
Ted Cruz 54%
1%
65%
16%
95%
43%
50%
51%
6%
30%
6%
32%
61%
6%
Not sure 11%
9%
8%
10%
3%
25%
44%
6%
18%
15%
47%
Republican Primary
Base
Jeb
Ben
Chris
Ted Carly
Jim
Rick Donald
Bush/Trump
Jeb Bush 29%
82%
41%
42%
17%
28%
50%
39%
65%
56%
59%
20%
3%
57%
Donald Trump 60%
12%
46%
45%
69%
72%
50%
29%
27%
11%
29%
50%
95%
18%
Not sure 11%
6%
12%
12%
14%
32%
7%
34%
12%
30%
2%
25%
Republican Primary
Base
Jeb
Ben
Chris
Ted Carly
Jim
Rick Donald
Cruz/Rubio
Ted Cruz 59%
33%
73%
19%
Marco Rubio 26%
38%
19%
81%
Not sure 15%
29%
7%
January 8-10, 2016
97%
52%
3%
50%
57%
10%
27%
6%
32%
66%
27%
39%
31%
42%
20%
83%
56%
14%
26%
9%
50%
11%
47%
53%
11%
12%
19%
47%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Republican Primary
Base
Jeb
Ben
Chris
Ted Carly
Jim
Rick Donald
Cruz/Trump
Ted Cruz 54%
45%
82%
61%
96%
74%
50%
73%
33%
41%
63%
40%
5%
48%
Donald Trump 37%
31%
13%
35%
1%
23%
50%
21%
16%
29%
22%
34%
92%
23%
Not sure
24%
4%
4%
3%
3%
6%
51%
30%
15%
26%
3%
30%
9%
Republican Primary
Base
Jeb
Ben
Chris
Ted Carly
Jim
Rick Donald
Rubio/Trump
Marco Rubio 46%
57%
60%
78%
58%
57%
50%
71%
44%
47%
90%
40%
1%
Donald Trump 45%
25%
22%
22%
34%
40%
50%
29%
16%
20%
7%
34%
97%
6%
Not sure
18%
17%
8%
3%
40%
34%
3%
26%
2%
25%
9%
69%
Republican Primary
Base
Jeb
Ben
Chris
Ted Carly
Jim
Rick Donald
Obama Born in US
Yes/No
Yes 28%
36%
30%
64%
27%
33%
23%
50%
52%
32%
4%
19%
13%
No 43%
37%
39%
36%
36%
18%
50%
60%
24%
25%
35%
54%
56%
61%
Not sure 30%
27%
31%
37%
49%
50%
16%
26%
23%
33%
42%
24%
26%
Republican Primary
Base
Jeb
Ben
Chris
Ted Carly
Jim
Rick Donald
Cruz Born in US
Yes/No
Yes 34%
28%
27%
47%
36%
44%
13%
33%
11%
41%
32%
36%
10%
No 46%
59%
40%
46%
48%
41%
50%
67%
60%
61%
37%
56%
45%
13%
Not sure 20%
13%
33%
7%
16%
15%
50%
20%
7%
28%
21%
12%
19%
77%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Republican Primary
Base
Jeb
Ben
Chris
Ted Carly
Jim
Rick Donald
POTUS Not Born in

US Yes/No
Someone born in 32%
another country
should be allowed to
serve as President
40%
36%
18%
49%
57%
100%
11%
34%
23%
32%
8%
20%
Someone born in 47%

another country
should not be allowed
to serve as President
48%
42%
62%
24%
35%
70%
63%
33%
37%
80%
65%
87%
Not sure 21%
12%
22%
21%
27%
8%
18%
3%
44%
31%
12%
15%
13%
Republican Primary
Base
Jeb
Ben
Chris
Ted Carly
Jim
Rick Donald
Cruz Born in Canada

More/Less Likely
8%
5%
3%
4%
15%
6%
3%
8%
4%
6%
Less likely 24%
20%
27%
31%
3%
16%
50%
48%
39%
12%
27%
55%
34%
39%
Doesn't make a 65%

difference
75%
57%
64%
80%
78%
50%
39%
61%
80%
63%
41%
55%
57%
12%
2%
11%
7%
2%
5%
5%
More likely
Not sure
4%
Republican Primary
Base
Jeb
Ben
Chris
Ted Carly
Jim
Rick Donald
Fiorina Rooting for

Iowa More/Less Likely
More likely
7%
9%
3%
4%
9%
17%
3%
6%
20%
3%
8%
5%
22%
Less likely 15%
16%
15%
4%
12%
6%
7%
16%
15%
30%
21%
Didn't make a 77%

difference
76%
79%
92%
79%
83%
100%
92%
87%
60%
81%
62%
72%
74%
Not sure
2%
0%
4%
1%
2%
5%
January 8-10, 2016
1%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Republican Primary
Base
Jeb
Ben
Chris
Ted Carly
Jim
Rick Donald
Background Check
Support/Oppose
Support requiring a 65%
criminal background
check of every person
who wants to buy a
firearm
76%
71%
88%
55%
47%
50%
59%
57%
78%
70%
70%
68%
56%
Oppose requiring a 24%

criminal background
who wants to buy a
firearm
24%
27%
3%
31%
34%
50%
23%
32%
22%
14%
22%
21%
18%
1%
9%
14%
19%
17%
11%
16%
8%
11%
26%
Not sure 11%
Republican Primary
Base
Jeb
Ben
Chris
Ted Carly
Jim
Rick Donald
Terrorist List Firearm

Ban Support/Oppose
Support a bill barring 73%
people on the terrorist
watch list from
purchasing a firearm
84%
76%
91%
66%
68%
50%
74%
89%
66%
72%
60%
75%
78%
Oppose a bill barring 17%

watch list from
5%
12%
9%
25%
25%
50%
21%
11%
7%
19%
22%
15%
Not sure 10%
11%
12%
9%
7%
5%
26%
9%
18%
11%
22%
Republican Primary
Base
Jeb
Ben
Chris
Ted Carly
Jim
Rick Donald
Offended by Bilingual
Menus Yes/No
Offended by bilingual 52%
phone menus
61%
46%
45%
51%
52%
100%
34%
26%
39%
39%
33%
69%
35%
Not offended by 40%

bilingual phone
menus
36%
38%
39%
40%
34%
57%
61%
53%
59%
63%
25%
60%
3%
15%
15%
9%
14%
9%
12%
7%
3%
4%
6%
5%
Not sure
January 8-10, 2016
8%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Republican Primary
Base
Jeb
Ben
Chris
Ted Carly
Jim
Rick Donald
Obama Take Away

Guns Yes/No
President Obama will 21%
take all Americans
guns away during his
final year in office
28%
11%
10%
26%
26%
16%
4%
7%
19%
4%
25%

not take all
Americans guns away
during his final year in
office
71%
57%
62%
49%
42%
50%
73%
89%
70%
63%
96%
53%
32%
Not sure 22%
2%
32%
28%
25%
32%
50%
11%
7%
23%
18%
22%
68%
Republican Primary
Base
Jeb
Ben
Chris
Ted Carly
Jim
Rick Donald
Obama's Tears
Real/Fake
Obamas tears were 16%
sincere
39%
15%
11%
10%
26%
21%
53%
41%
13%
12%
13%

fake
54%
67%
66%
74%
61%
50%
65%
39%
56%
61%
70%
80%
44%
Not sure 15%
7%
18%
22%
16%
12%
50%
14%
8%
3%
26%
30%
8%
43%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Republican Primary
Jeb
Ben
Chris
Ted Carly
Jim
Rick Donald
11%
9%
8%
Base
Favorite NFL Team
11%
3%
6%
4%
3%
6%
12%
3%
28%
16%
14%
50%
8%
8%
9%
Chicago Bears
8%
Dallas Cowboys
7%
8%
6%
20%
Denver Broncos
9%
15%
6%
14%
Green Bay Packers 16%
15%
6%
9%
7%
Minnesota Vikings 15%
Kansas City Chiefs
4%
8%
5%
11%
16%
7%
7%
12%
20%
3%
12%
14%
24%
11%
20%
5%
17%
22%
6%
12%
17%
29%
9%
3%
5%
20%
27%
11%
20%
38%
21%
15%
12%
13%
New England Patriots
1%
0%
23%
4%
1%
13%
St. Louis Rams
2%
7%
11%
1%
3%
1%
24%
39%
20%
42%
16%
50%
39%
24%
50%
27%
37%
28%
61%
Another team / Not a 34%

football fan
Committed to Choice Yes/No

Base
Firmly committed to
Its possible youll change your
your current choice mind between now and the primary
Bush Favorability
Favorable 27%
19%
37%
Unfavorable 53%
63%
41%
Not sure 20%
18%
23%

Base
Firmly committed to
Carson Favorability
Favorable 61%
58%
65%
Unfavorable 25%
29%
21%
Not sure 14%
14%
14%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604

Base
Firmly committed to
Cruz Favorability
Favorable 70%
69%
71%
Unfavorable 18%
19%
17%
Not sure 12%
12%
12%

Base
Firmly committed to
Rubio Favorability
Favorable 56%
51%
64%
Unfavorable 26%
33%
18%
Not sure 17%
16%
19%

Base
Firmly committed to
Trump Favorability
Favorable 55%
59%
50%
Unfavorable 33%
33%
33%
Not sure 12%
8%
17%

Base
Firmly committed to
Favorable 45%
37%
57%
Unfavorable 33%
44%
20%
Not sure 21%
19%
23%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604

Base
Firmly committed to
Favorable 54%
48%
62%
Unfavorable 26%
33%
17%
Not sure 20%
19%
21%

Base
Firmly committed to
3%
3%
3%
Unfavorable 32%
39%
23%
Not sure 65%
57%
75%
Favorable

Base
Firmly committed to
Favorable 62%
60%
65%
Unfavorable 22%
25%
19%
Not sure 15%
15%
16%

Base
Firmly committed to
Kasich Favorability
Favorable 26%
23%
31%
Unfavorable 40%
48%
29%
Not sure 34%
30%
40%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604

Base
Firmly committed to
Paul Favorability
Favorable 42%
42%
42%
Unfavorable 39%
41%
37%
Not sure 19%
17%
22%

Base
Firmly committed to
Favorable 46%
44%
49%
Unfavorable 30%
34%
24%
Not sure 24%
21%
28%

Base
Firmly committed to
Republican Primary
Jeb Bush
6%
5%
7%
Ben Carson
8%
8%
8%
Chris Christie
3%
2%
4%
Ted Cruz 27%
28%
26%
Carly Fiorina
3%
2%
5%
Jim Gilmore
0%
0%
0%
Mike Huckabee
3%
2%
5%
John Kasich
3%
3%
4%
Rand Paul
3%
3%
3%
Marco Rubio 13%
10%
16%
2%
1%
4%
Donald Trump 29%
37%
18%
Rick Santorum
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604

Base
Firmly committed to
Committed to Choice
Yes/No
your current choice
change your mind
between now and the
primary
100%
100%

Base
Firmly committed to
Republican Primary
Second Choice
Jeb Bush
4%
3%
5%
Ben Carson
9%
9%
9%
Chris Christie
6%
5%
6%
Ted Cruz 21%
26%
16%
Carly Fiorina
7%
6%
9%
Jim Gilmore
0%
1%
Mike Huckabee
4%
4%
5%
John Kasich
2%
3%
2%
Rand Paul
4%
4%
4%
Marco Rubio 14%
12%
15%
3%
4%
Donald Trump 10%
8%
14%
Undecided 15%
18%
11%
Rick Santorum
January 8-10, 2016
3%

Raleigh, NC 27604

Base
Firmly committed to
Donald Trump 33%
40%
25%
Jeb Bush
9%
6%
12%
Marco Rubio 18%
14%
23%
Ted Cruz 36%
37%
35%
3%
5%
Not sure
4%

Base
Firmly committed to
Trump/Rubio/Cruz
Donald Trump 33%
41%
23%
Marco Rubio 21%
16%
28%
Ted Cruz 38%
38%
39%
6%
10%
Not sure
8%

Base
Firmly committed to
Bush/Rubio/Cruz
Jeb Bush 11%
9%
14%
Marco Rubio 24%
19%
32%
Ted Cruz 55%
61%
46%
Not sure 10%
11%
8%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604

Base
Firmly committed to
Bush/Trump
Jeb Bush 29%
26%
32%
Donald Trump 61%
64%
56%
Not sure 11%
10%
12%

Base
Firmly committed to
Cruz/Rubio
Ted Cruz 60%
66%
52%
Marco Rubio 26%
20%
35%
Not sure 14%
15%
13%

Base
Firmly committed to
Cruz/Trump
Ted Cruz 54%
50%
59%
Donald Trump 37%
42%
31%
Not sure
8%
10%
9%

Base
Firmly committed to
Rubio/Trump
Marco Rubio 46%
39%
54%
Donald Trump 46%
52%
39%
Not sure
9%
7%
January 8-10, 2016
8%

Raleigh, NC 27604

Base
Firmly committed to
Obama Born in US
Yes/No
Yes 28%
29%
27%
No 42%
42%
43%
Not sure 30%
29%
30%

Base
Firmly committed to
Cruz Born in US
Yes/No
Yes 34%
35%
34%
No 47%
47%
47%
Not sure 19%
18%
19%

Base
Firmly committed to
POTUS Not Born in

US Yes/No
Someone born in 33%
another country
serve as President
31%
35%
Someone born in 46%

another country
51%
40%
Not sure 21%
18%
25%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604

Base
Firmly committed to
Cruz Born in Canada

More/Less Likely
8%
8%
7%
Less likely 24%
27%
19%
Doesn't make a 65%

difference
63%
68%
2%
6%
More likely
Not sure
4%

Base
Firmly committed to
Fiorina Rooting for

7%
7%
6%
Less likely 15%
15%
15%
Didn't make a 77%

difference
76%
79%
Not sure
2%
0%
More likely
January 8-10, 2016
1%

Raleigh, NC 27604

Base
Firmly committed to
Background Check
Support/Oppose
criminal background
who wants to buy a
firearm
60%
71%

criminal background
who wants to buy a
firearm
30%
17%
Not sure 11%
10%
12%

Base
Firmly committed to

Ban Support/Oppose
watch list from
69%
77%

watch list from
20%
14%
Not sure 10%
11%
9%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604

Base
Firmly committed to
Menus Yes/No
phone menus
59%
45%
Not offended by 40%

bilingual phone
menus
34%
46%
7%
9%
Not sure
8%

Base
Firmly committed to
Obama Take Away

Guns Yes/No
take all Americans
24%
17%

not take all
Americans guns away
office
53%
63%
Not sure 21%
22%
20%

Base
Firmly committed to
Obama's Tears
Real/Fake
sincere
15%
17%

fake
71%
68%
Not sure 14%
14%
15%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604

Base
Firmly committed to
Favorite NFL Team

Chicago Bears
8%
10%
6%
Dallas Cowboys
7%
9%
3%
Denver Broncos
9%
10%
8%
16%
16%
9%
8%
10%
13%
17%
Kansas City Chiefs
1%
0%
2%
St. Louis Rams
2%
2%
2%

football fan
31%
36%
GOP Candidate More Conservative/Electable

More concerned with having the candidate who has the
Base who is the most conservative on the issues best chance of beating a Democrat in the general election
Not
sure
Bush Favorability
Favorable 26%
18%
33%
25%
Unfavorable 53%
61%
49%
41%
Not sure 21%
21%
18%
34%

Not
sure
Carson Favorability
Favorable 60%
68%
55%
54%
Unfavorable 25%
18%
28%
29%
Not sure 15%
13%
16%
18%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604

Not
sure
Cruz Favorability
Favorable 69%
77%
68%
50%
Unfavorable 18%
11%
20%
33%
Not sure 12%
12%
12%
17%

Not
sure
Rubio Favorability
Favorable 56%
51%
64%
39%
Unfavorable 26%
27%
23%
36%
Not sure 18%
22%
13%
24%

Not
sure
Trump Favorability
Favorable 54%
54%
57%
44%
Unfavorable 34%
35%
32%
40%
Not sure 12%
11%
11%
16%

Not
sure
Favorable 45%
32%
57%
35%
Unfavorable 33%
43%
25%
37%
Not sure 22%
26%
19%
28%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604

Not
sure
Favorable 54%
53%
57%
40%
Unfavorable 25%
23%
23%
42%
Not sure 21%
24%
20%
18%

Not
sure
3%
3%
3%
4%
Unfavorable 32%
35%
30%
28%
Not sure 65%
61%
68%
68%
Favorable

Not
sure
Favorable 61%
58%
66%
51%
Unfavorable 22%
22%
19%
35%
Not sure 17%
20%
15%
14%

Not
sure
Kasich Favorability
Favorable 26%
12%
35%
28%
Unfavorable 39%
49%
36%
22%
Not sure 35%
39%
30%
50%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604

Not
sure
Paul Favorability
Favorable 41%
50%
33%
47%
Unfavorable 39%
27%
49%
32%
Not sure 20%
23%
18%
21%

Not
sure
Favorable 46%
49%
46%
37%
Unfavorable 29%
24%
32%
33%
Not sure 25%
27%
22%
30%

Not
sure
Republican Primary
Jeb Bush
6%
5%
6%
6%
Ben Carson
8%
13%
4%
12%
Chris Christie
3%
5%
38%
21%
12%
Carly Fiorina
3%
2%
4%
2%
Jim Gilmore
0%
0%
1%
Mike Huckabee
3%
4%
3%
3%
John Kasich
3%
1%
3%
13%
Rand Paul
3%
2%
1%
12%
Marco Rubio 13%
6%
18%
11%
2%
1%
4%
Donald Trump 28%
26%
31%
24%
3%
0%
5%
Ted Cruz 26%
Rick Santorum
Undecided
January 8-10, 2016
2%

Raleigh, NC 27604

Not
sure
Committed to Choice
Yes/No
your current choice
66%
54%
39%

change your mind
between now and the
primary
34%
46%
61%

Not
sure
Republican Primary
Second Choice
Jeb Bush
4%
3%
5%
3%
Ben Carson
9%
10%
7%
10%
Chris Christie
5%
3%
8%
4%
Ted Cruz 21%
25%
20%
16%
Carly Fiorina
7%
8%
7%
4%
Jim Gilmore
0%
0%
2%
Mike Huckabee
4%
4%
4%
7%
John Kasich
2%
1%
3%
4%
Rand Paul
4%
7%
3%
2%
Marco Rubio 13%
11%
17%
6%
4%
4%
4%
4%
Donald Trump 10%
11%
11%
6%
Undecided 15%
14%
12%
33%
Rick Santorum
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604

Not
sure
Donald Trump 33%
28%
37%
30%
Jeb Bush
9%
6%
10%
15%
Marco Rubio 18%
10%
25%
18%
Ted Cruz 36%
54%
25%
22%
2%
3%
15%
Not sure
4%

Not
sure
Trump/Rubio/Cruz
Donald Trump 32%
28%
36%
30%
Marco Rubio 22%
12%
31%
14%
Ted Cruz 38%
55%
26%
31%
5%
7%
25%
Not sure
8%

Not
sure
Bush/Rubio/Cruz
Jeb Bush 11%
9%
12%
15%
Marco Rubio 24%
11%
35%
23%
Ted Cruz 54%
72%
45%
33%
Not sure 11%
8%
8%
29%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604

Not
sure
Bush/Trump
Jeb Bush 29%
23%
32%
38%
Donald Trump 60%
63%
59%
53%
Not sure 11%
14%
9%
9%

Not
sure
Cruz/Rubio
Ted Cruz 59%
76%
52%
37%
Marco Rubio 26%
14%
36%
22%
Not sure 15%
10%
12%
41%

Not
sure
Cruz/Trump
Ted Cruz 54%
66%
48%
38%
Donald Trump 37%
29%
43%
37%
Not sure
5%
9%
25%
9%

Not
sure
Rubio/Trump
Marco Rubio 46%
47%
46%
44%
Donald Trump 45%
45%
47%
36%
Not sure
8%
7%
20%
January 8-10, 2016
9%

Raleigh, NC 27604

Not
sure
Obama Born in US
Yes/No
Yes 28%
23%
25%
54%
No 43%
40%
49%
25%
Not sure 30%
37%
26%
21%

Not
sure
Cruz Born in US
Yes/No
Yes 34%
34%
36%
26%
No 46%
47%
45%
48%
Not sure 20%
19%
19%
26%

Not
sure
POTUS Not Born in

US Yes/No
Someone born in 32%
another country
serve as President
37%
31%
20%
Someone born in 47%

another country
43%
49%
48%
Not sure 21%
20%
19%
32%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604

Not
sure
Cruz Born in Canada

More/Less Likely
8%
10%
8%
1%
Less likely 24%
22%
24%
29%
Doesn't make a 65%

difference
65%
67%
55%
3%
1%
15%
More likely
Not sure
4%

Not
sure
Fiorina Rooting for

7%
7%
7%
6%
Less likely 15%
14%
16%
10%
Didn't make a 77%

difference
79%
76%
77%
Not sure
1%
0%
7%
More likely
1%

Not
sure
Background Check
Support/Oppose
criminal background
who wants to buy a
firearm
60%
65%
78%

criminal background
who wants to buy a
firearm
31%
22%
10%
Not sure 11%
9%
13%
12%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604

Not
sure

Ban Support/Oppose
watch list from
69%
76%
75%

watch list from
25%
14%
6%
Not sure 10%
7%
11%
19%

Not
sure
Menus Yes/No
phone menus
50%
58%
36%
Not offended by 40%

bilingual phone
menus
43%
36%
48%
8%
6%
15%
Not sure
8%

Not
sure
Obama Take Away

Guns Yes/No
take all Americans
23%
22%
9%

not take all
Americans guns away
office
50%
61%
66%
Not sure 22%
27%
17%
25%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604

Not
sure
Obama's Tears
Real/Fake
sincere
9%
15%
41%

fake
74%
72%
41%
Not sure 15%
17%
13%
17%

Not
sure
Favorite NFL Team

Chicago Bears
8%
9%
8%
7%
Dallas Cowboys
7%
7%
8%
2%
Denver Broncos
9%
8%
9%
13%
10%
13%
20%
9%
9%
10%
4%
14%
14%
19%
Kansas City Chiefs
1%
1%
2%
St. Louis Rams
2%
2%
2%
2%

football fan
37%
29%
43%
Tea Party Yes/No

Base
Yes
No
Not
sure
Bush Favorability
Favorable 26%
14%
34%
15%
Unfavorable 53%
74%
45%
53%
Not sure 21%
12%
21%
32%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Tea Party Yes/No

Base
Yes
No
Not
sure
Carson Favorability
Favorable 60%
77%
55%
57%
Unfavorable 25%
16%
30%
16%
Not sure 15%
7%
15%
27%
Tea Party Yes/No

Base
Yes
No
Not
sure
Cruz Favorability
Favorable 69%
89%
64%
64%
Unfavorable 18%
6%
24%
13%
Not sure 12%
5%
12%
23%
Tea Party Yes/No

Base
Yes
No
Not
sure
Rubio Favorability
Favorable 56%
48%
62%
48%
Unfavorable 26%
32%
23%
30%
Not sure 18%
20%
15%
23%
Tea Party Yes/No

Base
Yes
No
Not
sure
Trump Favorability
Favorable 54%
61%
51%
57%
Unfavorable 34%
28%
37%
28%
Not sure 12%
11%
12%
14%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Tea Party Yes/No

Base
Yes
No
Not
sure
Favorable 45%
35%
52%
34%
Unfavorable 33%
49%
30%
24%
Not sure 22%
16%
19%
43%
Tea Party Yes/No

Base
Yes
No
Not
sure
Favorable 54%
60%
53%
48%
Unfavorable 25%
30%
26%
16%
Not sure 21%
10%
21%
36%
Tea Party Yes/No

Base
Yes
No
Not
sure
3%
4%
3%
1%
Unfavorable 32%
37%
30%
29%
Not sure 65%
59%
66%
70%
Favorable
Tea Party Yes/No

Base
Yes
No
Not
sure
Favorable 61%
64%
61%
59%
Unfavorable 22%
26%
23%
15%
Not sure 17%
10%
16%
25%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Tea Party Yes/No

Base
Yes
No
Not
sure
Kasich Favorability
Favorable 26%
19%
31%
14%
Unfavorable 39%
52%
37%
32%
Not sure 35%
30%
32%
54%
Tea Party Yes/No

Base
Yes
No
Not
sure
Paul Favorability
Favorable 41%
51%
37%
44%
Unfavorable 39%
40%
43%
22%
Not sure 20%
9%
21%
33%
Tea Party Yes/No

Base
Yes
No
Not
sure
Favorable 46%
63%
42%
39%
Unfavorable 29%
23%
33%
24%
Not sure 25%
14%
25%
38%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Tea Party Yes/No

Base
Yes
No
Not
sure
Republican Primary
Jeb Bush
6%
2%
8%
2%
Ben Carson
8%
11%
6%
10%
Chris Christie
3%
4%
45%
20%
27%
Carly Fiorina
3%
1%
4%
1%
Jim Gilmore
0%
0%
0%
Mike Huckabee
3%
1%
4%
4%
John Kasich
3%
1%
4%
2%
Rand Paul
3%
2%
2%
5%
Marco Rubio 13%
4%
17%
9%
2%
3%
3%
0%
Donald Trump 28%
30%
26%
34%
2%
5%
Ted Cruz 26%
Rick Santorum
Undecided
2%
Tea Party Yes/No

Base
Yes
No
Not
sure
Committed to Choice
Yes/No
your current choice
73%
52%
54%

change your mind
between now and the
primary
27%
48%
46%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Tea Party Yes/No

Base
Yes
No
Not
sure
Republican Primary
Second Choice
4%
2%
6%
1%
Ben Carson
9%
8%
8%
11%
Chris Christie
5%
3%
6%
6%
Ted Cruz 21%
Jeb Bush
24%
21%
18%
Carly Fiorina
7%
8%
8%
2%
Jim Gilmore
0%
1%
Mike Huckabee
4%
6%
4%
5%
John Kasich
2%
1%
3%
Rand Paul
4%
7%
2%
7%
Marco Rubio 13%
8%
15%
14%
4%
5%
3%
6%
Donald Trump 10%
10%
11%
8%
Undecided 15%
16%
14%
21%
Rick Santorum
Tea Party Yes/No

Base
Yes
No
Not
sure
Donald Trump 33%
33%
32%
Jeb Bush
35%
9%
2%
13%
6%
Marco Rubio 18%
5%
25%
12%
Ted Cruz 36%
57%
27%
40%
3%
3%
7%
Not sure
January 8-10, 2016
4%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Tea Party Yes/No

Base
Yes
No
Not
sure
Trump/Rubio/Cruz
Donald Trump 32%
33%
31%
35%
Marco Rubio 22%
5%
30%
16%
Ted Cruz 38%
56%
31%
40%
6%
9%
9%
Not sure
8%
Tea Party Yes/No

Base
Yes
No
Not
sure
Bush/Rubio/Cruz
Jeb Bush 11%
3%
16%
4%
Marco Rubio 24%
12%
31%
15%
Ted Cruz 54%
78%
44%
58%
Not sure 11%
6%
9%
22%
Tea Party Yes/No

Base
Yes
No
Not
sure
Bush/Trump
Jeb Bush 29%
19%
35%
21%
Donald Trump 60%
69%
56%
64%
Not sure 11%
12%
9%
15%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Tea Party Yes/No

Base
Yes
No
Not
sure
Cruz/Rubio
Ted Cruz 59%
85%
50%
60%
Marco Rubio 26%
8%
36%
14%
Not sure 15%
7%
14%
27%
Tea Party Yes/No

Base
Yes
No
Not
sure
Cruz/Trump
Ted Cruz 54%
62%
53%
48%
Donald Trump 37%
34%
37%
40%
Not sure
5%
10%
12%
9%
Tea Party Yes/No

Base
Yes
No
Not
sure
Rubio/Trump
Marco Rubio 46%
36%
51%
42%
Donald Trump 45%
53%
42%
47%
Not sure
11%
7%
11%
January 8-10, 2016
9%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Tea Party Yes/No

Base
Yes
No
Not
sure
Obama Born in US
Yes/No
Yes 28%
25%
30%
23%
No 43%
49%
43%
33%
Not sure 30%
26%
27%
44%
Tea Party Yes/No

Base
Yes
No
Not
sure
Cruz Born in US
Yes/No
Yes 34%
37%
34%
32%
No 46%
52%
48%
36%
Not sure 20%
12%
19%
32%
Tea Party Yes/No

Base
Yes
No
Not
sure
POTUS Not Born in

US Yes/No
Someone born in 32%
another country
serve as President
45%
31%
22%
Someone born in 47%

another country
36%
50%
49%
Not sure 21%
19%
19%
28%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Tea Party Yes/No

Base
Yes
No
Not
sure
Cruz Born in Canada

More/Less Likely
8%
14%
7%
3%
Less likely 24%
13%
27%
25%
Doesn't make a 65%

difference
72%
63%
63%
1%
3%
8%
More likely
Not sure
4%
Tea Party Yes/No

Base
Yes
No
Not
sure
Fiorina Rooting for

7%
15%
4%
6%
Less likely 15%
15%
15%
12%
Didn't make a 77%

difference
70%
80%
77%
Not sure
0%
0%
5%
More likely
January 8-10, 2016
1%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Tea Party Yes/No

Base
Yes
No
Not
sure
Background Check
Support/Oppose
criminal background
who wants to buy a
firearm
49%
71%
64%

criminal background
who wants to buy a
firearm
39%
19%
22%
Not sure 11%
12%
10%
14%
Tea Party Yes/No

Base
Yes
No
Not
sure

Ban Support/Oppose
watch list from
65%
78%
66%

watch list from
26%
12%
24%
Not sure 10%
10%
10%
10%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Tea Party Yes/No

Base
Yes
No
Not
sure
Menus Yes/No
phone menus
60%
51%
45%
Not offended by 40%

bilingual phone
menus
33%
43%
39%
7%
6%
16%
Not sure
8%
Tea Party Yes/No

Base
Yes
No
Not
sure
Obama Take Away

Guns Yes/No
take all Americans
30%
18%
17%

not take all
Americans guns away
office
47%
64%
45%
Not sure 22%
22%
18%
38%
Tea Party Yes/No

Base
Yes
No
Not
sure
Obama's Tears
Real/Fake
sincere
9%
18%
17%

fake
80%
67%
65%
Not sure 15%
10%
16%
18%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Tea Party Yes/No

Base
Yes
No
Not
sure
Favorite NFL Team

Chicago Bears
8%
11%
9%
3%
Dallas Cowboys
7%
9%
7%
2%
Denver Broncos
9%
9%
9%
11%
18%
17%
11%
Kansas City Chiefs
9%
10%
8%
9%
11%
16%
14%
1%
1%
2%
1%
St. Louis Rams
2%
1%
2%
1%

football fan
30%
31%
48%
Evangelical
Yes/No
Base
Yes
No
Bush Favorability
Favorable 26%
24%
29%
Unfavorable 53%
51%
54%
Not sure 21%
24%
17%
Evangelical
Yes/No
Base
Yes
No
Carson Favorability
Favorable 60%
66%
53%
Unfavorable 25%
19%
32%
Not sure 15%
15%
15%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Evangelical
Yes/No
Base
Yes
No
Cruz Favorability
Favorable 69%
73%
65%
Unfavorable 18%
15%
23%
Not sure 12%
12%
13%
Evangelical
Yes/No
Base
Yes
No
Rubio Favorability
Favorable 56%
54%
59%
Unfavorable 26%
24%
28%
Not sure 18%
22%
12%
Evangelical
Yes/No
Base
Yes
No
Trump Favorability
Favorable 54%
50%
60%
Unfavorable 34%
34%
34%
Not sure 12%
16%
7%
Evangelical
Yes/No
Base
Yes
No
Favorable 45%
41%
50%
Unfavorable 33%
33%
32%
Not sure 22%
26%
18%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Evangelical
Yes/No
Base
Yes
No
Favorable 54%
56%
50%
Unfavorable 25%
21%
31%
Not sure 21%
23%
18%
Evangelical
Yes/No
Base
Yes
No
3%
2%
4%
Unfavorable 32%
30%
34%
Not sure 65%
68%
62%
Favorable
Evangelical
Yes/No
Base
Yes
No
Favorable 61%
66%
55%
Unfavorable 22%
17%
29%
Not sure 17%
17%
16%
Evangelical
Yes/No
Base
Yes
No
Kasich Favorability
Favorable 26%
22%
30%
Unfavorable 39%
39%
39%
Not sure 35%
39%
31%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Evangelical
Yes/No
Base
Yes
No
Paul Favorability
Favorable 41%
42%
40%
Unfavorable 39%
36%
42%
Not sure 20%
22%
18%
Evangelical
Yes/No
Base
Yes
No
Favorable 46%
51%
39%
Unfavorable 29%
21%
40%
Not sure 25%
28%
21%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Evangelical
Yes/No
Base
Yes
No
Republican Primary
Jeb Bush
6%
6%
6%
Ben Carson
8%
10%
5%
Chris Christie
3%
2%
3%
Ted Cruz 26%
28%
24%
Carly Fiorina
3%
4%
2%
Jim Gilmore
0%
0%
0%
Mike Huckabee
3%
4%
2%
John Kasich
3%
2%
4%
Rand Paul
3%
3%
2%
Marco Rubio 13%
12%
13%
2%
2%
3%
Donald Trump 28%
24%
35%
2%
1%
Rick Santorum
Undecided
2%
Evangelical
Yes/No
Base
Yes
No
Committed to Choice
Yes/No
your current choice
57%
56%

change your mind
between now and the
primary
43%
44%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Evangelical
Yes/No
Base
Yes
No
Republican Primary
Second Choice
4%
3%
5%
Ben Carson
9%
10%
6%
Chris Christie
5%
5%
6%
Ted Cruz 21%
Jeb Bush
22%
20%
Carly Fiorina
7%
6%
8%
Jim Gilmore
0%
0%
1%
Mike Huckabee
4%
6%
3%
John Kasich
2%
1%
4%
Rand Paul
4%
5%
3%
Marco Rubio 13%
12%
14%
4%
4%
4%
Donald Trump 10%
10%
11%
Undecided 15%
17%
14%
Rick Santorum
Evangelical
Yes/No
Base
Yes
No
Donald Trump 33%
28%
39%
9%
7%
12%
Marco Rubio 18%
18%
19%
Ted Cruz 36%
42%
27%
5%
3%
Jeb Bush
Not sure
January 8-10, 2016
4%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Evangelical
Yes/No
Base
Yes
No
Trump/Rubio/Cruz
Donald Trump 32%
27%
39%
Marco Rubio 22%
20%
25%
Ted Cruz 38%
44%
29%
9%
7%
Not sure
8%
Evangelical
Yes/No
Base
Yes
No
Bush/Rubio/Cruz
Jeb Bush 11%
10%
14%
Marco Rubio 24%
22%
28%
Ted Cruz 54%
55%
52%
Not sure 11%
13%
7%
Evangelical
Yes/No
Base
Yes
No
Bush/Trump
Jeb Bush 29%
29%
29%
Donald Trump 60%
57%
64%
Not sure 11%
14%
7%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Evangelical
Yes/No
Base
Yes
No
Cruz/Rubio
Ted Cruz 59%
61%
57%
Marco Rubio 26%
24%
29%
Not sure 15%
15%
14%
Evangelical
Yes/No
Base
Yes
No
Cruz/Trump
Ted Cruz 54%
60%
46%
Donald Trump 37%
31%
45%
Not sure
10%
9%
9%
Evangelical
Yes/No
Base
Yes
No
Rubio/Trump
Marco Rubio 46%
49%
42%
Donald Trump 45%
39%
53%
Not sure
11%
5%
January 8-10, 2016
9%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Evangelical
Yes/No
Base
Yes
No
Obama Born in US
Yes/No
Yes 28%
24%
33%
No 43%
42%
43%
Not sure 30%
34%
24%
Evangelical
Yes/No
Base
Yes
No
Cruz Born in US
Yes/No
Yes 34%
35%
32%
No 46%
44%
50%
Not sure 20%
21%
18%
Evangelical
Yes/No
Base
Yes
No
POTUS Not Born in

US Yes/No
Someone born in 32%
another country
serve as President
33%
31%
Someone born in 47%

another country
47%
47%
Not sure 21%
20%
21%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Evangelical
Yes/No
Base
Yes
No
Cruz Born in Canada

More/Less Likely
8%
9%
5%
Less likely 24%
22%
26%
Doesn't make a 65%

difference
63%
67%
5%
1%
More likely
Not sure
4%
Evangelical
Yes/No
Base
Yes
No
Fiorina Rooting for

7%
6%
8%
Less likely 15%
12%
18%
Didn't make a 77%

difference
80%
74%
Not sure
2%
0%
More likely
January 8-10, 2016
1%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Evangelical
Yes/No
Base
Yes
No
Background Check
Support/Oppose
criminal background
who wants to buy a
firearm
61%
70%

criminal background
who wants to buy a
firearm
24%
23%
Not sure 11%
15%
6%
Evangelical
Yes/No
Base
Yes
No

Ban Support/Oppose
watch list from
71%
76%

watch list from
18%
16%
Not sure 10%
11%
9%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Evangelical
Yes/No
Base
Yes
No
Menus Yes/No
phone menus
52%
53%
Not offended by 40%

bilingual phone
menus
39%
41%
9%
6%
Not sure
8%
Evangelical
Yes/No
Base
Yes
No
Obama Take Away

Guns Yes/No
take all Americans
20%
22%

not take all
Americans guns away
office
54%
62%
Not sure 22%
27%
16%
Evangelical
Yes/No
Base
Yes
No
Obama's Tears
Real/Fake
sincere
13%
20%

fake
70%
68%
Not sure 15%
17%
12%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Evangelical
Yes/No
Base
Yes
No
Favorite NFL Team

Chicago Bears
8%
8%
8%
Dallas Cowboys
7%
9%
4%
Denver Broncos
9%
8%
11%
13%
20%
9%
8%
9%
15%
14%
Kansas City Chiefs
1%
2%
0%
St. Louis Rams
2%
2%
1%

football fan
35%
31%
Ideology
Base
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
liberal
liberal Moderate conservative conservative
Bush Favorability
-
6%
37%
32%
18%
100%
37%
39%
45%
67%
57%
24%
22%
15%
Favorable 26%
Unfavorable 53%
Not sure 21%
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Carson Favorability
Favorable 60%
43%
31%
35%
61%
74%
Unfavorable 25%
57%
29%
46%
20%
19%
40%
19%
19%
8%
Not sure 15%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Ideology
Base
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
liberal
Cruz Favorability
100%
35%
42%
72%
82%
Unfavorable 18%
38%
40%
16%
9%
Not sure 12%
28%
18%
12%
9%
Favorable 69%
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Rubio Favorability
Favorable 56%
72%
19%
40%
65%
59%
Unfavorable 26%
28%
47%
45%
19%
22%
34%
15%
16%
19%
Not sure 18%
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Trump Favorability
Favorable 54%
74%
57%
38%
56%
59%
Unfavorable 34%
14%
24%
52%
31%
30%
Not sure 12%
11%
19%
10%
13%
11%
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Favorable 45%
43%
11%
40%
56%
39%
Unfavorable 33%
46%
60%
34%
21%
41%
Not sure 22%
11%
29%
25%
22%
20%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Favorable 54%
40%
28%
30%
61%
60%
Unfavorable 25%
60%
56%
36%
19%
23%
16%
34%
20%
17%
Not sure 21%
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
-
3%
3%
3%
Unfavorable 32%
86%
48%
26%
24%
39%
Not sure 65%
14%
52%
71%
73%
57%
Favorable
3%
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Favorable 61%
68%
17%
31%
68%
72%
Unfavorable 22%
32%
46%
37%
14%
21%
37%
32%
18%
7%
Not sure 17%
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Kasich Favorability
Favorable 26%
14%
31%
26%
33%
17%
Unfavorable 39%
72%
36%
20%
28%
58%
Not sure 35%
14%
33%
53%
38%
25%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Paul Favorability
-
23%
31%
40%
49%
Unfavorable 39%
57%
68%
39%
37%
37%
Not sure 20%
43%
9%
30%
23%
14%
Favorable 41%
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Favorable 46%
26%
5%
25%
47%
59%
Unfavorable 29%
74%
69%
41%
24%
23%
26%
34%
28%
17%
Not sure 25%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Republican Primary
Jeb Bush
6%
6%
8%
4%
Ben Carson
8%
2%
7%
10%
7%
Chris Christie
3%
4%
4%
1%
14%
11%
22%
41%
Carly Fiorina
3%
14%
2%
3%
2%
4%
Jim Gilmore
0%
2%
0%
Mike Huckabee
3%
3%
3%
4%
John Kasich
3%
3%
7%
4%
0%
Rand Paul
3%
8%
2%
2%
3%
Marco Rubio 13%
10%
16%
14%
10%
2%
11%
13%
0%
2%
3%
Donald Trump 28%
60%
60%
31%
29%
23%
8%
1%
0%
Ted Cruz 26%
Rick Santorum
Undecided
2%
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Committed to Choice
Yes/No
your current choice
74%
57%
57%
50%
63%

change your mind
between now and the
primary
26%
43%
43%
50%
37%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Republican Primary
Second Choice
4%
16%
7%
4%
1%
Ben Carson
9%
7%
2%
9%
12%
Chris Christie
5%
7%
6%
9%
2%
Jeb Bush
14%
13%
17%
21%
24%
Carly Fiorina
7%
13%
4%
7%
8%
Jim Gilmore
0%
1%
1%
Mike Huckabee
4%
14%
3%
3%
4%
5%
John Kasich
2%
6%
3%
0%
Rand Paul
4%
3%
Ted Cruz 21%
Marco Rubio 13%

Rick Santorum
4%
Donald Trump 10%

Undecided 15%
3%
3%
6%
14%
11%
14%
15%
2%
3%
6%
7%
13%
10%
57%
39%
30%
10%
11%
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Donald Trump 33%
60%
65%
38%
33%
Jeb Bush
9%
19%
17%
11%
3%
Marco Rubio 18%
28%
20%
15%
Ted Cruz 36%
26%
14%
15%
31%
52%
Not sure
14%
2%
2%
5%
4%
January 8-10, 2016
4%
26%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Trump/Rubio/Cruz
Donald Trump 32%
Marco Rubio 22%
Ted Cruz 38%
Not sure
8%
60%
69%
34%
33%
26%
23%
34%
23%
16%
40%
4%
18%
35%
53%
4%
14%
9%
5%
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Bush/Rubio/Cruz
-
16%
26%
13%
3%
Marco Rubio 24%
60%
30%
31%
26%
19%
Ted Cruz 54%
40%
30%
27%
52%
71%
Not sure 11%
24%
17%
10%
7%
Jeb Bush 11%
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Bush/Trump
Jeb Bush 29%
26%
21%
46%
34%
18%
Donald Trump 60%
74%
69%
45%
57%
69%
10%
9%
9%
14%
Not sure 11%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Cruz/Rubio
Ted Cruz 59%
54%
40%
40%
57%
72%
Marco Rubio 26%
46%
25%
34%
29%
19%
35%
26%
13%
9%
Not sure 15%
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Cruz/Trump
Ted Cruz 54%
26%
4%
41%
53%
66%
Donald Trump 37%
60%
94%
41%
40%
26%
Not sure
14%
2%
18%
7%
8%
9%
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Rubio/Trump
Marco Rubio 46%
26%
2%
50%
49%
47%
Donald Trump 45%
74%
96%
40%
44%
44%
Not sure
2%
10%
8%
10%
January 8-10, 2016
9%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Obama Born in US
Yes/No
Yes 28%
28%
13%
52%
24%
22%
No 43%
57%
63%
33%
43%
44%
Not sure 30%
14%
23%
15%
34%
33%
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Cruz Born in US
Yes/No
Yes 34%
86%
44%
30%
34%
34%
No 46%
14%
39%
50%
42%
51%
17%
20%
24%
16%
Not sure 20%
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
POTUS Not Born in
US Yes/No
-
33%
25%
27%
41%
Someone born in 47%

another country
86%
67%
58%
48%
38%
Not sure 21%
14%
17%
25%
21%
Someone born in 32%

another country
serve as President
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Cruz Born in Canada
More/Less Likely
More likely
8%
Less likely 24%

Doesn't make a 65%
difference
Not sure
4%
40%
2%
6%
6%
10%
62%
38%
19%
19%
60%
36%
50%
70%
69%
6%
4%
2%
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Fiorina Rooting for
7%
14%
10%
9%
5%
8%
Less likely 15%
46%
28%
18%
12%
14%
Didn't make a 77%

difference
40%
62%
70%
82%
78%
Not sure
3%
1%
0%
More likely
January 8-10, 2016
1%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Background Check
Support/Oppose
criminal background
who wants to buy a
firearm
72%
60%
79%
73%
50%

criminal background
who wants to buy a
firearm
14%
40%
12%
17%
35%
Not sure 11%
14%
9%
10%
15%
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Ban Support/Oppose
watch list from
72%
62%
80%
78%
65%

watch list from
28%
38%
9%
12%
23%
11%
10%
12%
Not sure 10%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Menus Yes/No
phone menus
57%
55%
41%
54%
55%
Not offended by 40%

bilingual phone
menus
28%
43%
51%
37%
38%
14%
2%
8%
9%
7%
Not sure
8%
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Obama Take Away
Guns Yes/No
take all Americans
40%
23%
15%
16%
27%

not take all
Americans guns away
office
60%
62%
65%
63%
47%
15%
20%
21%
26%
Not sure 22%
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Obama's Tears
Real/Fake
sincere
14%
26%
31%
16%
8%

fake
86%
66%
51%
67%
81%
8%
18%
17%
12%
Not sure 15%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Ideology
Very Somewhat
Somewhat
Very
Base liberal
Favorite NFL Team
Chicago Bears
8%
10%
8%
6%
11%
Dallas Cowboys
7%
26%
14%
7%
4%
8%
Denver Broncos
9%
26%
7%
9%
11%
7%
36%
17%
16%
14%
9%
21%
4%
6%
10%
9%
26%
7%
15%
17%
13%

Kansas City Chiefs
1%
3%
0%
2%
St. Louis Rams
2%
2%
2%

football fan
24%
35%
34%
34%
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Bush Favorability
Favorable 26%
27%
26%
Unfavorable 53%
48%
56%
Not sure 21%
25%
18%
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Carson Favorability
Favorable 60%
64%
57%
Unfavorable 25%
22%
27%
Not sure 15%
15%
16%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Cruz Favorability
Favorable 69%
67%
71%
Unfavorable 18%
17%
19%
Not sure 12%
16%
10%
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Rubio Favorability
Favorable 56%
54%
58%
Unfavorable 26%
27%
25%
Not sure 18%
19%
17%
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Trump Favorability
Favorable 54%
48%
60%
Unfavorable 34%
41%
28%
Not sure 12%
11%
12%
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Favorable 45%
46%
44%
Unfavorable 33%
25%
40%
Not sure 22%
29%
16%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Favorable 54%
51%
56%
Unfavorable 25%
21%
29%
Not sure 21%
28%
15%
Gender
Base Woman
Man
3%
3%
3%
Unfavorable 32%
28%
34%
Not sure 65%
69%
62%
Favorable
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Favorable 61%
61%
61%
Unfavorable 22%
19%
25%
Not sure 17%
20%
14%
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Kasich Favorability
Favorable 26%
19%
31%
Unfavorable 39%
34%
43%
Not sure 35%
47%
26%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Paul Favorability
Favorable 41%
34%
47%
Unfavorable 39%
43%
35%
Not sure 20%
22%
19%
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Favorable 46%
45%
47%
Unfavorable 29%
27%
31%
Not sure 25%
29%
22%
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Republican Primary
Jeb Bush
6%
5%
7%
Ben Carson
8%
12%
4%
Chris Christie
3%
2%
3%
Ted Cruz 26%
24%
28%
Carly Fiorina
3%
3%
3%
Jim Gilmore
0%
0%
Mike Huckabee
3%
5%
2%
John Kasich
3%
1%
5%
Rand Paul
3%
3%
2%
Marco Rubio 13%
14%
12%
2%
4%
1%
Donald Trump 28%
25%
32%
2%
1%
Rick Santorum
Undecided
January 8-10, 2016
2%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Committed to Choice
Yes/No
your current choice
54%
58%

change your mind
between now and the
primary
46%
42%
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Republican Primary
Second Choice
Jeb Bush
4%
5%
3%
Ben Carson
9%
10%
7%
Chris Christie
5%
5%
5%
Ted Cruz 21%
18%
24%
Carly Fiorina
7%
8%
6%
Jim Gilmore
0%
1%
Mike Huckabee
4%
5%
4%
John Kasich
2%
2%
3%
Rand Paul
4%
2%
6%
Marco Rubio 13%
15%
12%
4%
4%
4%
Donald Trump 10%
9%
11%
Undecided 15%
16%
15%
Rick Santorum
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Donald Trump 33%
29%
36%
Jeb Bush
9%
8%
10%
Marco Rubio 18%
20%
17%
Ted Cruz 36%
38%
33%
5%
3%
Not sure
4%
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Trump/Rubio/Cruz
Donald Trump 32%
28%
36%
Marco Rubio 22%
26%
19%
Ted Cruz 38%
39%
36%
7%
9%
Not sure
8%
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Bush/Rubio/Cruz
Jeb Bush 11%
9%
13%
Marco Rubio 24%
26%
24%
Ted Cruz 54%
53%
54%
Not sure 11%
12%
9%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Bush/Trump
Jeb Bush 29%
34%
25%
Donald Trump 60%
53%
66%
Not sure 11%
13%
9%
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Cruz/Rubio
Ted Cruz 59%
56%
61%
Marco Rubio 26%
28%
25%
Not sure 15%
16%
14%
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Cruz/Trump
Ted Cruz 54%
56%
51%
Donald Trump 37%
33%
40%
Not sure
10%
8%
9%
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Rubio/Trump
Marco Rubio 46%
49%
43%
Donald Trump 45%
43%
48%
Not sure
8%
9%
January 8-10, 2016
9%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Obama Born in US
Yes/No
Yes 28%
27%
29%
No 43%
42%
43%
Not sure 30%
31%
28%
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Cruz Born in US
Yes/No
Yes 34%
37%
31%
No 46%
41%
51%
Not sure 20%
22%
18%
Gender
Base Woman
Man
POTUS Not Born in

US Yes/No
Someone born in 32%
another country
serve as President
28%
35%
Someone born in 47%

another country
46%
48%
Not sure 21%
26%
17%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Cruz Born in Canada

More/Less Likely
8%
6%
9%
Less likely 24%
27%
22%
Doesn't make a 65%

difference
63%
67%
5%
3%
More likely
Not sure
4%
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Fiorina Rooting for

7%
8%
6%
Less likely 15%
11%
18%
Didn't make a 77%

difference
80%
75%
Not sure
1%
1%
More likely
1%
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Background Check
Support/Oppose
criminal background
who wants to buy a
firearm
73%
58%

criminal background
who wants to buy a
firearm
16%
30%
Not sure 11%
11%
11%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Gender
Base Woman
Man

Ban Support/Oppose
watch list from
77%
69%

watch list from
11%
22%
Not sure 10%
12%
9%
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Menus Yes/No
phone menus
48%
56%
Not offended by 40%

bilingual phone
menus
45%
36%
7%
8%
Not sure
8%
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Obama Take Away

Guns Yes/No
take all Americans
22%
19%

not take all
Americans guns away
office
56%
58%
Not sure 22%
21%
23%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Obama's Tears
Real/Fake
sincere
14%
17%

fake
71%
68%
Not sure 15%
15%
15%
Gender
Base Woman
Man
Favorite NFL Team

Chicago Bears
8%
8%
8%
Dallas Cowboys
7%
8%
5%
Denver Broncos
9%
7%
11%
11%
20%
9%
9%
8%
15%
15%
0%
2%
Kansas City Chiefs
1%
St. Louis Rams
2%
2%
2%

football fan
40%
28%
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Bush Favorability
Favorable 26%
23%
28%
29%
Unfavorable 53%
56%
53%
47%
Not sure 21%
21%
20%
24%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Carson Favorability
Favorable 60%
54%
62%
65%
Unfavorable 25%
28%
24%
22%
Not sure 15%
18%
14%
13%
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Cruz Favorability
Favorable 69%
73%
67%
69%
Unfavorable 18%
16%
21%
15%
Not sure 12%
11%
12%
15%
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Rubio Favorability
Favorable 56%
52%
58%
59%
Unfavorable 26%
31%
26%
20%
Not sure 18%
17%
17%
20%
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Trump Favorability
Favorable 54%
52%
55%
57%
Unfavorable 34%
39%
35%
25%
Not sure 12%
9%
11%
18%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Favorable 45%
32%
50%
52%
Unfavorable 33%
43%
31%
23%
Not sure 22%
25%
19%
25%
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Favorable 54%
44%
57%
59%
Unfavorable 25%
29%
25%
20%
Not sure 21%
27%
18%
21%
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
3%
3%
4%
2%
Unfavorable 32%
34%
29%
33%
Not sure 65%
63%
67%
66%
Favorable
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Favorable 61%
55%
59%
74%
Unfavorable 22%
24%
25%
13%
Not sure 17%
21%
16%
13%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Kasich Favorability
Favorable 26%
13%
31%
32%
Unfavorable 39%
47%
39%
29%
Not sure 35%
40%
30%
40%
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Paul Favorability
Favorable 41%
52%
37%
35%
Unfavorable 39%
28%
45%
41%
Not sure 20%
20%
19%
25%
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Favorable 46%
51%
44%
43%
Unfavorable 29%
26%
32%
27%
Not sure 25%
23%
24%
30%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Republican Primary
Jeb Bush
6%
6%
5%
7%
Ben Carson
8%
8%
7%
10%
Chris Christie
3%
3%
2%
3%
Ted Cruz 26%
35%
22%
22%
Carly Fiorina
3%
3%
3%
4%
Jim Gilmore
0%
1%
Mike Huckabee
3%
4%
2%
3%
John Kasich
3%
2%
4%
4%
Rand Paul
3%
3%
3%
2%
Marco Rubio 13%
9%
15%
11%
2%
3%
2%
1%
Donald Trump 28%
21%
32%
31%
3%
2%
2%
Rick Santorum
Undecided
2%
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Committed to Choice
Yes/No
your current choice
62%
54%
54%

change your mind
between now and the
primary
38%
46%
46%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Republican Primary
Second Choice
4%
4%
4%
4%
Ben Carson
9%
8%
10%
7%
Chris Christie
5%
3%
6%
8%
Ted Cruz 21%
Jeb Bush
19%
23%
21%
Carly Fiorina
7%
7%
8%
4%
Jim Gilmore
0%
1%
Mike Huckabee
4%
2%
4%
8%
John Kasich
2%
2%
3%
2%
Rand Paul
4%
4%
5%
2%
Marco Rubio 13%
13%
12%
15%
4%
5%
3%
3%
Donald Trump 10%
12%
9%
9%
Undecided 15%
21%
11%
16%
Rick Santorum
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Donald Trump 33%
26%
36%
36%
9%
9%
9%
9%
Marco Rubio 18%
14%
21%
20%
Ted Cruz 36%
49%
29%
31%
3%
5%
4%
Jeb Bush
Not sure
January 8-10, 2016
4%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Trump/Rubio/Cruz
Donald Trump 32%
26%
35%
36%
Marco Rubio 22%
19%
23%
23%
Ted Cruz 38%
49%
33%
32%
6%
9%
9%
Not sure
8%
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Bush/Rubio/Cruz
Jeb Bush 11%
15%
10%
10%
Marco Rubio 24%
20%
27%
27%
Ted Cruz 54%
56%
54%
50%
Not sure 11%
10%
10%
13%
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Bush/Trump
Jeb Bush 29%
25%
31%
32%
Donald Trump 60%
60%
60%
61%
Not sure 11%
15%
9%
8%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Cruz/Rubio
Ted Cruz 59%
66%
58%
52%
Marco Rubio 26%
21%
28%
30%
Not sure 15%
12%
14%
18%
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Cruz/Trump
Ted Cruz 54%
65%
49%
47%
Donald Trump 37%
28%
41%
41%
Not sure
7%
10%
12%
9%
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Rubio/Trump
Marco Rubio 46%
49%
47%
41%
Donald Trump 45%
43%
44%
50%
Not sure
9%
9%
9%
January 8-10, 2016
9%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Obama Born in US
Yes/No
Yes 28%
27%
31%
23%
No 43%
43%
41%
45%
Not sure 30%
30%
28%
32%
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Cruz Born in US
Yes/No
Yes 34%
30%
35%
38%
No 46%
52%
43%
45%
Not sure 20%
18%
22%
17%
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
POTUS Not Born in

US Yes/No
Someone born in 32%
another country
serve as President
29%
35%
31%
Someone born in 47%

another country
53%
43%
47%
Not sure 21%
18%
22%
22%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Cruz Born in Canada

More/Less Likely
8%
4%
8%
12%
Less likely 24%
29%
21%
22%
Doesn't make a 65%

difference
64%
67%
62%
3%
4%
4%
More likely
Not sure
4%
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Fiorina Rooting for

7%
10%
5%
7%
Less likely 15%
15%
15%
13%
Didn't make a 77%

difference
73%
80%
78%
Not sure
2%
3%
More likely
January 8-10, 2016
1%

Raleigh, NC 27604
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Background Check
Support/Oppose
criminal background
who wants to buy a
firearm
58%
68%
68%

criminal background
who wants to buy a
firearm
27%
23%
21%
Not sure 11%
15%
9%
11%
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65

Ban Support/Oppose
watch list from
62%
77%
80%

watch list from
25%
14%
11%
Not sure 10%
13%
9%
9%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Menus Yes/No
phone menus
47%
50%
64%
Not offended by 40%

bilingual phone
menus
50%
42%
22%
3%
7%
14%
Not sure
8%
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Obama Take Away

Guns Yes/No
take all Americans
29%
15%
21%

not take all
Americans guns away
office
44%
66%
57%
Not sure 22%
27%
19%
21%
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Obama's Tears
Real/Fake
sincere
11%
17%
18%

fake
72%
69%
67%
Not sure 15%
16%
14%
16%
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604
Age
Base
18 to 46 to Older
45
65 than 65
Favorite NFL Team

Chicago Bears
8%
8%
7%
12%
Dallas Cowboys
7%
9%
6%
4%
Denver Broncos
9%
8%
9%
11%
12%
17%
19%
9%
5%
12%
7%
15%
16%
12%
Kansas City Chiefs
1%
2%
1%
2%
St. Louis Rams
2%
3%
1%
41%
30%
32%

football fan
January 8-10, 2016

Raleigh, NC 27604

Public Policy Polling Iowa GOP Results

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Public Policy Polling Iowa GOP Results

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Iowa Survey Results

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

Unfavorable .................................................... 53%

Unfavorable .................................................... 25%

Not sure .......................................................... 21%

Not sure .......................................................... 21%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

Unfavorable .................................................... 25%

Unfavorable .................................................... 32%

Not sure .......................................................... 15%

Not sure .......................................................... 65%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

Unfavorable .................................................... 18%

Unfavorable .................................................... 22%

Not sure .......................................................... 12%

Not sure .......................................................... 17%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

Q10 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

Unfavorable .................................................... 26%

Unfavorable .................................................... 39%

Not sure .......................................................... 18%

Not sure .......................................................... 35%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

Q11 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

Unfavorable .................................................... 34%

Unfavorable .................................................... 39%

Not sure .......................................................... 12%

Not sure .......................................................... 20%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

Q12 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

Unfavorable .................................................... 33%

Unfavorable .................................................... 29%

Not sure .......................................................... 22%

Not sure .......................................................... 25%

3020 Highwoods Blvd.

January 8-10, 2016

Q13 The Republican candidates for President are

Q14 Are you firmly committed to your current choice

Q15 Given the same list of choices, who would be

Q16 Given the choices of just Donald Trump, Jeb

Q17 Given the choices of just Donald Trump, Marco

3020 Highwoods Blvd.

January 8-10, 2016

Q18 Given the choices of just Jeb Bush, Marco

Q19 Who would you prefer as the Republican

Q23 When it comes to the Republican nominee for

Q24 Do you think Barack Obama was born in the

Donald Trump ................................................. 60%

Not sure .......................................................... 11%

Q20 Who would you prefer as the Republican

Q21 Who would you prefer as the Republican

Q22 Who would you prefer as the Republican

Not sure .......................................................... 30%

Q25 Do you think Ted Cruz was born in the United

Q26 Do you think someone born in another country

Q27 Ted Cruz was born in Canada. Does this make

3020 Highwoods Blvd.

January 8-10, 2016

Q29 Do you consider yourself to be a member of

Q30 Are you an Evangelical Christian or not?