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Russia in Global Affairs -- Vol.8 No.1, Jan-Mar 2010

Russia in Global Affairs -- Vol.8 No.1, Jan-Mar 2010

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Published by: Impello_Tyrannis on Apr 19, 2010
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Contents
New Problems and Old Mentality 
Fyodor Lukyanov
5
Grand Strategy 
Strategic Havoc
Sergei Karaganov
8
The world-class strategic players, including the main one – the United States– are getting ever more confused and dismayed as they lose the old bearingsonly to find no new ones. For this reason it would be very wrong to see a threat behind any move, often taken on impulse.
 Values for the Sake of Unification
Konstantin Kosachev
19
It is clear that no European security model will work without NATO or on the basis of NATO alone – even if all countries from Vancouver to Vladivostok areadmitted to NATO, with the “small” exception of two nuclear powers – Rus-sia and China, one of which occupies the larger part of Eurasia and the other has almost half of its population.
The Secrets of Serdyukov’s Blitzkrieg
Vitaly Shlykov
29
Serdyukov’s personal qualities, above all his outstanding managerial skills, haveplayed a major role in his success. Yet, the main factor in the record-fast radi-cal renovation of the Armed Forces is of objective nature and is not directly linked with the minister’s personal qualities. This factor is that Anatoly Serdyukov is the first truly civilian defense minister of Russia.
RUSSIA 
in
GLOBAL  AFFAIRS
 Vol. 8•No. 1•JANUARY– MARCH•2010
 
 After the War 
 Anton Lavrov
49
Since the time when the Russian military bases were deployed in South Osse-tia and Abkhazia, the number of conflicts and cross-border skirmishes betweenGeorgia and the new states, which it refuses to recognize, has decreased, andtheir intensity has declined greatly.
Russia and the Neighborhood
Post-Soviet Nations in the Garden of Forking Paths
Svyatoslav Kaspe
64
Until a method is found in Russia for generating a non-Soviet (different fromthe restoration of the pre-Soviet) central system of values, democratic institu-tions and practices will remain weak. Moreover, the vectors of movement for post-Soviet polities, which twenty years ago were labeled as a “democratictransition” in a burst of overly audacious hope, will remain forking paths.
Cooperation Instead of Containment
Nikolai Kapitonenko
74
Russia could benefit greatly from Ukraine’s refusal to join NATO. The bene-fits would be felt on the bilateral, regional and global levels – in geostrategicand political terms, and in terms of international image. Unfortunately, today’sRussia cannot offer Ukraine anything of equal value for attaining the parity of mutual benefits.
Politics Ahead of the Economy 
 Andrei Suzdaltsev
84
 A collapse of the Customs Union project, which is not ruled out if the projectis poorly conceived, will mean Russia’s loss of the status of the main forcesteering integration processes in the post-Soviet space. This will push the CISinto the sphere of integration processes designed by external forces – the EU,China, etc.
Regional Priorities
Fostering a Culture of Harmony 
 Ahmet Davutoglu
96
Turkey’s foreign policy has three main characteristics: it is vision-oriented, notcrisis-oriented; it is proactive, not reactive; and it is integrated and systemic,operating across a 360-degree horizon. We pursue a policy of “zero problems”in our neighborhood. We believe that this is an achievable goal, if enough trustand confidence can be generated among the relevant parties.
Delayed Neutrality?
 Alexei Bogaturov
107
Smaller nations have to avoid taking sides. But the maneuvering vector did notmake up all of their foreign policies. Regional states tend to be neutral. Theprinciple of potential or delayed neutrality has become a system-making ele-ment in international relations in Central Asia.
Contents
RUSSIA IN GLOBAL AFFAIRS VOL. 8 • No. 1 •JANUARY – MARCH • 2010
 
“L’Etat, C’Est Lui!”
 Arkady Dubnov
120
Islam Karimov has never made a secret of the fact that he does not separate thenotions of ‘Uzbekistan’ and ‘President.’ Karimov’s brainchild has gonethrough numerous harsh tests over the past two decades but now it is facing theharshest one. The challenges are too momentous to be matched by the experi-ence of Soviet-era nomenklatura, even the one bolstered by the nationalisticaspirations that always go hand-in-glove with the construction of a new state-hood.
Insights into the Crisis
 A Pre-Westphalian World Economy 
Timofei Bordachev
136
Establishing global governance institutions such as an Economic League of Nations might offer a response to the challenge that arises from the growingindependence of the global economy. Such institutions should regulate theentire world economy in the same way that they regulate individual economicsectors.
The Sum of Crises
Maxim Shcherbakov
147
The divergence between reality and axioms generates chimerical categories,unrealistic in life, such as the “free market economy,” “rational economicagents” or the “state of balance.” These are hypothetical abstractions at best, but more often they are propaganda clich
é
s. They are not found in nature andtherefore are useless in practice.
Russia’s Positioning Amid Global Uncertainty 
Vlad Ivanenko
163
The end of the active stage of the crisis does not mean an automatic return tothe old situation. We are likely to see a fundamental overhaul of the global eco-nomic system during the next few years. The role of the state as an initiator of development programs may grow to a level beyond which the free market ideamay be invalid.
Contents
RUSSIA IN GLOBAL AFFAIRS VOL. 8 • No. 1 •JANUARY – MARCH • 2010

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