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World Development, Vol. 24, No. 1, pp.

97-l 11,1996
Pergamon Copyright 0 1995 Elsevier Science Ltd
Printed in Great Britain. All rights reserved
0305-750X/96 $15.00 + 0.00
0305-750x(95)00119-0

Deagrarianization and Rural Employment in


sub-Saharan Africa: A Sectoral Perspective

DEBORAH FAHY BRYCESON”


African Studies Centre, Leiden, The Netherlands

Summary. - Sub-Saharan Africa is steadily becoming less rural in character. For decades development
thinking has prescribed industrialization as the virtuous path leading away from economic dependence
on agriculture. But Africa’s industrial record has been plagued with underperformance. An alternative
perspective centered on the process of “deagrarianization” and attendant rural employment generation
may offer more explanatory power and policy direction. This paper outlines key theoretical components
and practical concerns of a deagrarianization approach. The nature and incidence of deagtianization in
sub-Saharan Africa is contrasted with that experienced in developed industrial countries. Conceptual
approaches dealing with rural non-agricultural employment are identified within different social science
disciplines through a thematic review of the literature. The conclusion highlights the need for more
focused study of the deagrarianization process and rural service sector development.

1. INTRODUCTION past 50 years which might generate a supply of labor


for NARE, one is immediately aware of the influence
Over the past decade, several studies have pointed of population growth. The increasing population den-
to the importance of nonagricultural employment for sity of most rural areas has, in many cases, led to con-
rural households in sub-Saharan Africa.’ The signifi- straints on land availability. The economic crisis of
cance of nonagricultural rural employment (NARE) the past decade and a half, and the structural adj@st-
relates to its growth as a substantial proportion of total ment programs (SAP) that have followed, have caused
household labor time and its contribution to household a contraction of urban employment opportunities for
disposable income. The view that African farmers are would-be rural emigrants. In some instances retUrn
strictly self-sufficient, subsistence-based producers migration has been observed or is contemplated by
has long been discarded. Rather the image of peasant urban residents? Due to investment in primary and
households producing “subsistence” and “cash” crops secondary education many of the youth now remain-
has held sway in most of the policy-oriented literature. ing in the countryside are more educated than their
“Off-farm” activities have tended to be conceptual- parents’ generation and often less satisfied with a
ized as by-the-way, often seasonal in nature, or pur- strictly agrarian work life.
sued by marginal groups such as female heads of Similarly, fundamental changes in rural communi-
households engaged in beer brewing. On the other ties have, it could be argued, influenced demand for
hand, nonagricultural activities hold a center stage NARE. In the transition from long forest fallow to
position in development project work, income-gener- shorter bush fallow agricultural systems characteristic
ating projects for women being the prime example. As of most rural areas, shifting settlement patterns have
cash-earning activities, however, they are usually con- given way to the establishment of permanent villa$es.
ceived as supplementary to, rather than in place of, Houses, roads, mills, and other village infrastruc!ure
farming efforts. Now it is beginning to become evi- have been built which have generated employmeflt in
dent that NARE are in fact a desirable, if not a neces- construction, operation and maintenance. Because of
sary, alternative to farming for certain categories of
people in a number of places. It is worth considering
some of the reasons why this may be the case.
Looking at changes in rural communities over the *Final revision accepted: June 28, 1995.

97
98 WORLD DEVELOPMENT

the increase in rural population density, there is now developing countries, the statistics are only margin-
pressure on the availability of natural resources as ally greater: 3.8% of MVA and 1.5% of total exports !
well as land. Fuel wood and water supplies, that had The import-substitution industries that were estab-
always been “free goods” as far as the community was lished in the 1960s and 1970s only survived with high
concerned, have become scarce and sometimes rates of protection. Economic crisis in the 1980s led
assume a cash value with respect to their procurement industries to have to cut back on production and staff,
and transport. Thus a “renewable” consumer goods such that many were operating at a fraction of their
market has arisen in some rural areas. Furthermore, full capacity.’ Even before the economic crisis and
under structural adjustment programs, government SAP cutbacks, the lack of sufficient productive infra-
and parastatal provisioning of rural social services and structure, engineering skills and the prevalence of a
productive infrastructure, as well as wholesale and nonindustrial work culture, had taken their toll on
retail marketing services have been severely curtailed, industrial performance. Maintenance of factory
often leaving demand suspended until a local market equipment, informed marketing strategies and prod-
response is mustered. Rural demand for health, educa- uct distribution were all severely deficient. In retro-
tion, agricultural marketing services and productive spect, it is questionable whether the new budding
inputs, basic consumer goods as well as water, energy industries of sub-Saharan Africa ever had a chance to
and transport infrastructure all provide entry points for “catch up” and compete successfully with industrial
the development of NARE. powers who industrialized a century before.
Surveys reveal that food purchases still dominate The industrialization development strategy has
household budgetary expenditure in most rural areas.3 been discredited for exogenous reasons as well. The
This is more often a reflection of food insecurity than environmental critique of the Western industrializa-
an outcome of specialization in nonfood production. tion model has gained momentum over the decade.
Food purchases represent the development of market Many maintain that Western countries must opt for a
exchange in the realm of basic needs provisioning. less industrial-output obsessed approach, and that
They undoubtedly have an effect on local-level social nations of a semi-industrial or agrarian nature cannot
attitudes and economic organization, often undermin- follow the Western path without dire consequences
ing more communal-based food/service exchanges. for the world’s ecology. In any case, developments in
This creates the conditions for the gradual evolution technology and communications have made old-style
of markets in other basic needs and nonagricultural mass factory production an obsolete objective. Now
goods and services. attention is focused on “flexible specialization” as a
Since Adam Smith to the present, the expansion of more decentralized, “high-tech” production approach
nonagricultural activities has been primarily seen in which many industrial countries are now enthusiasti-
terms of a changing relationship between agriculture cally pursuing. Thus, the Western industrial model as
and industry. Most of the development policy debate applied to Africa is largely in a state of disregard for a
of the last 40 years has centered on the “right” rela- variety of endogenous and exogenous reasons.
tionship between the two, i.e. whether agriculture or Given this revision of development thinking, it is
industry is the lead sector, or alternatively whether it in order to question the superimposition of an indus-
is possible to engender a balanced development of trial development model in the first place. Much of the
them both simultaneously. The overpowering influ- proindustry debate of the 1960s and 1970s assumed
ence of this debate is demonstrated by the way nona- that investment in factories and work force recruit-
gricultural rural employment activities are commonly ment in itself constituted the achievement of industri-
referred to as “rural” or “small-scale industries.” alization. The need for a material foundation and the
Generally such activities are viewed positively, with gradual evolution of an industrialization process with
their potential for stimulating industrial and/or agri- all its social, economic and physical implications were
cultural development being vigorously debated in rarely considered. Thus, the debate is now couched in
light of their forward and backward linkages to agri- terms of “industrial failure.” Too often in the past,
culture and urban-based industry.“ Drawing back a industrialization studies in Africa have attempted to
few steps from this perspective, one could ask analyze a projected consequence rather than an actual
whether this economic sectoral development model ongoing developmental processes. Alternatively, by
has been presumptuously imposed on sub-Saharan adopting a deugrariunizution perspective, the analyti-
Africa. cal focus is inverted. Sectoral development can be
It is now widely accepted that the industrial devel- studied as a process of unravelling and reformulation
opment record of sub-Saharan Africa over the past without a determinable industrial outcome.
two decades has been abysmal? Only 0.8% of the The purpose of this article is to not to provide
world’s Manufacturing Value Added (MVA) in 1986 exhaustive empirical data proving the conceptual
came from sub-Saharan Africa, and the continent validity of deagrarianization. Rather the central con-
accounted for an even smaller proportion of world cern is to examine trends and tendencies in very broad
manufacturing exports (0.2%). With respect to other continental terms, as well as identify directions of
DEAGRARIANIZATION AND RURAL EMPLOYMENT 99

enquiry in the existing literature of a variety of social specific delivery locations and timing. Public sector
science disciplines, which shed light on the deagrari- services embrace administration, transport and energy
anization process. provisioning for goods and service exchange flows.
Thus, the service sector is generally two-tiered with a
private domain of activities functioning in the infra-
2. THE CHANGING SECTORAL BALANCE IN structural context of the public-operated domain.
AFRICA Above all, the distinguishing feature of the service
sector is not any disassociation from agriculture or
(a) Defining deagrarianization and sectoral industry per se, but its delivery characteristic, i.e.
boundaries ready accessibility of goods and services tailored to
the mobility and time constraints of clients.
Deagrarianization is defined as a process of: (i)
economic activity reorientation (livelihood), (ii) occu-
pational adjustment (work activity), and (iii) spatial (b) Incidence oj’deagrarianization in sub-Saharan
realignment of human settlement (residence) away Affica
from agrarian patterns. Overt and measurable mani-
festations of this process are: a diminishing degree of Deagrarianization, as defined above, is not a
rural household food and basic needs self-sufficiency, process peculiar to sub-Saharan Africa. Quite the con-
a decline in agricultural labor relative to nonagricul- trary, over the course of this century, virtually all
tural labor in rural households and in total national nations have been involved in this process, some hav-
labor expenditure, a decrease in agricultural output ing reached more advanced stages than others. While
per capita in the national economy relative to non- not all aspects of deagrarianization are measurable,
agricultural output, and a shrinking proportion of the statistics on sectoral allocation of the labor force and
total population residing in rural areas. These are all percentages of national population living in rural
tendencies observable throughout sub-Saharan areas, and the proportion of GDP arising from agricul-
Africa. ture are good indicators of the extent of deagrarianiza-
It is helpful to delineate sectoral categories. tion in any country. Table 1 provides some interesoing
Agriculture, the so-called primary sector, is the easiest insights. Worldwide, the percentage of people living
to define. It consists of plant and animal husbandry in rural areas declined from 66% to 55% duaing
activities resulting in the production of raw materials 1960-90.8 In industrialized countries the comparable
which are directly consumed or exchanged by its pro- statistics are far lower, i.e. from 39% to 27%. Slub-
ducers. In the sub-Saharan African context the bulk of Saharan African rural populations have a higher start-
agricultural activities are pursued by multipurpose ing point of 85% declining to 69% in 1990.’
smallholder household units. This involves a large Labor force participation statistics are alwiays
proportion of nonmarket, self-provisioning activities, fraught with definitional problems related to how igdi-
labeled the “subsistence sector,” whose nature and vidual countries sectors’ are delineated and how labor
extent are difficult to measure accurately. force participation is construed. Bearing this in mind,
By contrast, the secondary sector, industry refers comparisons from data in Table 1 can be made with
to mass production of consumer and producer goods reference to the period between 1965 and 1986-84. In
by “collective workers.” Such workers are occupa- the world as a whole, agricultural labor shrank fuom
tionally specialized laborers in factory organizations 57% to 49% of the total labor force, with industrial
which produce on the basis of science and technologi- countries registering a decline from 22% to 11% com-
cal advances spurred by the competitive forces of the pared with a decrease from 79% to 68% in sub-
world market. This sector does not embrace any non- Saharan countries. It should be noted that the indus-
market economic activities. All production is destined trial labor force did not increase in inverse proportion
for market sale or investment. to the agricultural decline. No clear tendency emerges.
While different analysts vary their definitions of The world’s industrial labor force registers a small
the agricultural and industrial sectors, the tertiary sec- decrease from 19% to 16% of the total. Industrial
tor, otherwise known as the service sector, is almost countries evince what some economists call “deindus-
always a residual category consisting of anything that trialization”‘” with a proportional decline of industrial
is not categorized as agricultural or industrial. To labor from 36% to 27%. Meanwhile the proportion in
avoid this method of categorization, services are sub-Saharan Africa stagnated at 8% between 1965 and
defined restrictively as value-added production of 1986-89. Thus sub-Saharan Africa’s industrial labor
goods and activities provisioned by either public or force accounts for only between a quarter and one-
private economic agents. In the private sector, this third of that found in industrialized countries.
refers to goods and services which meet an individual- According to the World Bank statistics, in 1465,
ized (as opposed to industrial mass product) demand the percentage of total GDP derived from agriculture
involving customized supply, largely contingent on was lo%, 5% and 40% for the world, industrialized
Table 1. African deagrarianization statistical indices

Labor % of
National GDP Annual Urban Rural % of labor force force population
population per PGR PGR population %of in agricultural Migration
million capita % % % of Total Agriculture Industry services population labor force rate*

Country 1990 1989 1960-90 196cHa 1960 1990 1965 1986-89 1%5 198&89 I%5 1986-89 1988-90 1965 1986-89 1960-90

Angola 10.0 1225 2.5 5.9 90.0 72.0 79.0 73.8 8.0 9.5 13.0 16.7 41.4 32.7 30.6 3.4
Benin 4.6 1030 3.2 7.4 91.0 62.0 83.0 70.2 5.0 6.6 12.0 23.1 34.5 28.6 24.2 4.2
Botswana 1.3 3180 3.4 13.5 98.0 72.0 89.0 43.2 4.0 4.8 8.0 52.0 34.9 31.1 15.1 10.1
BurkinaFaso 9.0 617 2.4 4.6 95.0 91.0 89.0 86.6 3.0 4.3 7.0 9.1 51.1 45.5 44.3 2.2
Burundi 5.5 611 2.1 5.5 98.0 94.0 94.0 92.9 2.0 1.6 4.0 5.5 55.5 52.2 51.6 3.4
Cameroon 11.8 1699 2.1 6.5 86.0 59.0 86.0 74.0 4.0 45 9.0 215 38.5 33.1 28.5 3.8
Cape Verde 0.4 1717 2.1 4.1 84.0 71.0 na 52.0 na 23.0 na 25.0 33.8 na 17.6 2.0
CAR. 3.0 770 2.3 3.6 77.0 53.0 88.0 83.7 3.0 2.8 9.0 135 48.4 42.6 40.5 1.3
Chad 5.7 582 2.1 7.1 93.0 70.0 92.0 83.2 3.0 4.6 5.0 12.0 37.4 34.4 31.1 5.0
Comoros 0.6 732 3.2 6.8 90.0 72.0 na 83.0 na 6.0 na I 1.o 38.0 na 31.5 3.6
Congo 2.3 2382 2.8 3.6 68.0 60.0 66.0 62.4 11.0 11.9 23.0 25.6 39.8 26.3 24.8 0.8
tote d’rvoire 12.0 1381 3.9 6.5 81.0 60.0 81.0 65.2 5.0 8.3 15.0 265 37.6 30.5 24.5 2.6
Djibouti 0.4 730 5.6 7.3 50.0 19.0 na na na na na na na na na 1.7
EquatorialGuinea 0.4 706 1.1 1.5 75.0 71.0 na 66.0 na 1 I.0 na 23.0 39.2 na 25.9 0.4
Ethiopia 49.2 392 2.4 4.8 94.0 87.0 86.0 79.8 5.0 7.9 9.0 12.3 42.7 36.7 34.1 2.4
Gabon 1.2 4735 3.0 6.3 83.0 54.0 na 75.5 na 10.8 na 13.7 48.2 na 36.4 3.3
Gambia 0.9 886 3.0 5.2 87.0 77.0 na 84.0 na 7.0 na 9.0 36.2 na 30.4 2.2
Ghana 15.0 1005 2.7 3.9 77.0 67.0 61.0 59.3 15.0 11.1 24.0 29.6 38.1 23.2 22.6 1.2
Guinea 5.8 602 2.0 5.3 90.0 74.0 87.0 78.1 6.0 1.3 7.0 20.6 39.1 34.0 305 3.3
Guinea-Bissau 1.o 820 1.9 3.2 86.0 80.0 na 82.0 na 4.0 na 14.0 30.0 na 24.6 1.3
Kenya 24.0 1023 3.6 7.7 93.0 76.0 86.0 81.0 5.0 6.8 9.0 12.1 40.3 34.7 32.6 4.1
Lesotho 1.8 1646 2.4 8.6 97.0 80.0 92.0 23.3 3.0 33.1 6.0 43.6 46.3 42.6 10.8 6.2
Liberia 2.6 937 3.1 6.2 81.0 54.0 79.0 74.2 lo.0 9.4 11.0 16.4 36.2 28.6 26.9 3.1
Madagascar 12.0 690 2.8 5.6 89.0 76.0 85 .O 80.9 4.0 6.0 11.0 132 42.6 36.2 34.5 2.8
Malawi 8.8 620 3.1 6.5 96.0 88.0 92.0 81.8 3.0 3.0 5.0 15.2 42.0 38.6 34.4 3.4
Mali 9.2 576 2.5 4.4 89.0 81.0 90.0 85.5 1.o 2.0 8.0 125 31.8 28.6 27.2 1.9
Mauritania 2.0 1092 2.4 9.8 94.0 53.0 89.0 69.4 3.0 8.9 8.0 21.7 33.4 29.7 23.2 7.4
Mozambique 15.7 1060 2.5 9.5 96.0 73.0 87.0 84.5 6.0 7.4 7.0 8.1 54.6 47.5 46.1 7.0
Namibia 1.8 1500 2.6 4.8 85.0 72.0 na 43.5 na 21.9 na 34.8 29.1 na 12.7 2.2
Niger 7.7 634 3.2 7.4 94.0 81.0 95.0 85 .O 1.o 2.7 4.0 12.3 51.4 48.8 43.7 4.2

Continued on p. 101
Table 1. Continuedfrom p. IO0

Labor 96 of
National GDP AllllUal Urban Rural % of labor force force population
population per PGR PGR population % of in agricultural Migration
million capita % % % of Total Agriculture Industry Services populatjon labor force rate*

COUIlhy 1990 1989 19~90 196ck90 1960 1990 1965 198a9 1%5 1986-89 1%5 1986-89 1988-90 1%5 1986-89 1960-90

Nigeria 108.5 1160 3.2 6.3 86.0 65 .O 72.0 44.6 10.0 4.2 18.0 51.2 30.3 21.8 13.5 3.1
RWaI& 7.2 680 3.3 7.4 98.0 92.0 94.0 92.8 2.0 3.0 3.0 4.3 49.2 46.2 45.7 4.1
SaoTome 0.1 2.4 na na 67.0 na na na na na na na na na na
Senegal 7.3 1208 2.8 3.5 68.0 62.0 83.0 80.6 6.0 6.2 11.0 13.1 335 27.8 27.0 0.7
Seychelles 0.1 3892 na na na na na na na na na na 44.0 na na na
SierraLeone 4.2 1061 2.1 5.2 87.0 68.0 78.0 69.6 11.o 14.1 11.o 16.4 35.5 21.7 24.1 3.1
Somalia 7.5 861 3.2 5.8 83.0 64.0 81.0 75.6 6.0 8.4 13.0 16.0 29.4 23.8 222 2.6
south Africa 35.3 4852 2.4 3.2 53.0 40.0 32.0 13.6 30.0 24.4 39.0 62.0 36.0 11.5 4.9 0.8
SUdan 25.2 1042 2.8 5.4 90.0 78.0 82.0 63.4 5.0 4.3 14.0 32.3 35.1 28.8 22.3 2.6
Swaziland 0.8 2405 3.0 10.5 96.0 61 .O na 74.0 na 9.0 na 17.0 35.5 na 26.3 7.5
27.3 557 3.4 10.3 95 .o 61 I) 92.0 85.6 3.0 45 6.0 9.9 46.8 43.1 40.1 6.9
Togo 3.5 752 2.9 6.2 90.0 74.0 78.0 64.3 9.0 6.3 13.0 29.4 41.0 32.0 26.4 3.3
Uganda 18.8 499 3.6 6.1 95 .o 90.0 91.0 85.9 3.0 4.4 6.0 9.1 44.6 40.6 38.3 2.5
Zaire 35.6 380 2.8 4.8 78.0 61.0 82.0 71.5 9.0 12.9 9.0 15.6 36.9 30.3 26.4 2.0
Zambia 8.5 761 3.4 7.1 83.0 50.0 79.0 37.9 8.0 7.8 13.0 54.9 315 24.9 11.9 3.1
Zimbabwe 9.7 1469 3.2 5.9 87.0 72.0 79.0 64.7 8.0 5.6 13.0 29.1 40.6 32.1 26.3 2.7

SSA 500.0 475 2.8 5.2 85 .O 69.0 79.0 67.6 8.1 7.7 12.9 24.1 38.6 30.5 26.1 2.4
LDCS 440.0 231 2.5 5.3 92.0 78 .O 83.2 72.4 5.8 7.5 11.0 20.1 38.8 32.3 28.1 2.8
Developing
cOllUtl-kS 4070.0 770 2.3 4.0 78.0 63 .O 72.0 60.9 11.3 12.7 16.1 26.4 43.9 31.6 26.1 0.6
Industrial
countries 1210.0 17017 0.8 1.4 39.0 27 .o 22.2 11.o 36.4 26.9 41.4 62.1 48.8 10.8 5.4 0.6
World 5280.0 3836 1.8 2.9 66.0 55.0 565 48.5 19.0 16.3 24.5 35.2 45.0 25.4 21.8 1.1

Source: UNDP, Human Development Report (1992).


*Urban population growth minus population growth rate.
102 WORLD DEVELOPMENT

countries and sub-Saharan Africa, respectively. 1990 per annum, representing an extremely strong pressure
figures were not available for the world or industrial- on government for infrastructural investmenti In an
ized countries. In sub-Saharan Africa, the percentage era of widespread optimism regarding the self-destiny
had decreased substantially to 32%. The proportion of of African nationalist governments, this urban flow,
total GDP attributed to industrial production was in consisting of young people in the prime economically
1965: 41% worldwide, 43% in the industrialized active age group between 20 and 40 years, was an out-
countries and 20% in sub-Saharan Africa. These fig- come of the rural population’s perception that urban
ures, however, refer to mining and raw material areas offered superior economic opportunities. But
extractive industries as well as manufacturing. When unlike the Western urbanization wave of the 19th cen-
manufacturing labor is isolated the breakdown is: 30% tury, industrial employment was not available in
worldwide, 32% in advanced industrial countries and abundance. The competitive forces of world capital-
7% in sub-Saharan Africa. Comparative 1990 figures ism precluded the embryonic import-substitution
are not available. industry of sub-Saharan Africa from becoming any
The juxtapositioning of statistics in Table 1 clearly more robust than a “glasshouse potted plant.“13
demonstrates that the service sector has gained labor Instead government expansion and the “parastataliza-
force participation relative to both the agricultural and tion” of national economies provided jobs for the
industrial sectors worldwide. In 1965, the service sec- influx of increasingly more educated immigrants.
tor accounted for 25% of world labor, 41% of labor in There was a lack of market integration between
industrial countries and 13% of labor in sub-Saharan urban and rural areas. Domestic terms of trade were
Africa. In 1986-89 the respective figures were: 35%, weighted against the rural areasI The capacity uti-
62% and 25%. It is interesting to note that the “dein- lization of such import substitution industry, which
dustrialization” of the industrial countries and the was established, heavily depended on capital goods
“deagrarianization” of sub-Saharan Africa are pro- importation. Due to low productivity of food produc-
ducing similar outcomes with respect to the sectoral tion and high domestic transport costs, governments
allocation of labor. leaned toward reliance on cheaper staple food supplies
Naturally, such aggregate statistics mask huge from abroad to feed their rapidly growing urban popu-
variations and different patterns and tendencies are lations. Grain surpluses produced in the United States
identifiable within sub-Saharan Africa. At the outset, and the European Community, offered on conces-
it is necessary to point out that there is one country sional terms to famine-prone Third World countries,
within this regional cluster which is in fact industrial were too tempting to resist and contributed to the per-
in character, namely South Africa. Thus, it is possible petuation of import dependency even in good harvest
that there are lessons to be derived from an analysis of yearsI Often urban food security was achieved at the
the more mature deagrarianization process that has cost of foregoing market stimulants to domestic staple
taken place in that country, relevant to other countries food production. In the short run, there was little
in sub-Saharan Africa.” choice. Peasant agricultural supply was risky. Erratic
food harvests and the slower market supply response
of producers who secured their own household food
3. HISTORICAL INFLUENCES needs before selling to the market, were a shaky foun-
dation for urban food supply. Urban populations sub-
This section focuses on the evolution of rum- jected to the uncertainty of basic staple food supplies
urban relationships as a means of demonstrating the resulted in counterproductive effects on the social
particular nature of the deagrarianization process in division of labor.r6
Africa in comparison with Western industrialized The urban growth process, which has proceeded in
countries. sub-Saharan Africa without industrial job availability
and without a secure domestic food supply, is best
termed “derived urbanization”. Fueled by the nation-
(a) “Derived urbanization ” of the postindependence alization of state power which provided urban jobs
period and the internationalization of capital which supplied
essential inputs like urban capital goods infrastructure
Most African countries achieved political indepen- and food, such urbanization was premised on a favor-
dence in the 1960s. In the main, the newly installed able economic and political climate. Raw material
African governments inherited economies based on exports from agriculture and mining financed the
rural household self-sufficiency and the production of growth of the urban-based bureaucratic/parastatal sec-
a few export crops or mineral extraction. The urban tor. Peasant producers supplied labor and raw materi-
floodgates opened after independence. Table 1 shows als which, in effect, “built” the urban areas. But the
that the average annual urban growth rate of 5.2% was exchange circuit did not return to the rural areas. A
well above that of developing countries in general. dual economy prevailed. Peasants had limited reliance
Many countries’ urban areas were growing at over 7% on urban-produced consumer or capital goods. Their
DEAGRARIANIZATION AND RURAL EMPLOYMENT 103

agriculture remained largely uncapitalized and unspe- Furthermore, time and cash invested in lubricating
cialized. Thus, population growth in rural areas had to personal clientage networks was vital for providing a
be accommodated by intensification of agricultural fallback position in times of distress, as well as facili-
labor. This often took the form of the intensification tating the exchange of information regarding opportu-
of female agricultural labor.” nities or dangers that existed in the wider productive
environment.22
In addition to the widespread emergence of eco-
(b) Economic divers$cation and population settle- nomic diversification, demographic changes were
ment dispersal under structural adjustment surfacing. The slowdown in the urban migration rate
did not necessarily infer population immobility
Derived urbanization.was inherently unstable. The Recent attention has been focused on the growing
oil crises of 1973 and 1979 made this all too apparent. incidence and increasing importance of so-called sec-
Given the comparatively low population densities of ondary towns and service centers in several African
African producers, the viability of agricultural and countries generally within the range of 20-30,000
raw material extraction from far flung areas across the people in size.23
continent, was premised on low oil prices. The rise in It can be argued that the emergence of intermedi-
world oil prices rendered domestic food production ary nodes between rural and urban settlement and the
for urban areas economically infeasible in many coun- convergence of rural and urban household livelihood
tries, as well as making African exports less competi- strategies give rise to a higher likelihood of intersect-
tive due to increased transport costs. ing economic interests. There are several ways fhat
World optimism regarding African nations’ devel- this may occur. Most residents of urban households
opment potential quickly switched to pessimism with are first generation migrants. Their knee-jerk reac-
an onslaught of criticism about African government’s tions to risk have been to secure access to land for
economic policies and more latterly their civil rights direct food provisioning. Household budget survey
and governance record. I8 Aid conditionality became findings of the 1970s indicated that lower income
the order of the day. During the 198Os, the combined urban dwellers were more likely to have a significant
forces of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), own production component to their diet. Some survey
World Bank and bilateral donor agencies pursuing data from the 1980s reveal that this was changing, at
“structural adjustment programs,” exerted unavoid- least, in large cities. Farm land and means of transport
able pressure on African governments to cutback on to farm land were increasingly being accumulated in
government expenditure. the hands of the relatively better-off.Z4 One can sur-
The government and parastatal retrenchment which mise that low-income urban dwellers, with more diffi-
followed caused massive job losses in urban areas. cult access to agricultural activities, are most likely to
Real salary levels quickly declined.‘9 The removal of become return migrants. More affluent urban dwellers
food subsidies and drastic reductions in commodity might prefer to stay in the city and make investments
imports caused the prices of consumer goods to climb. in the rural areas, using kin or clientage ties to execute
The term “economic crisis” was most applicable to the production. Such absentee farming carried out on the
urban areas. Virtually all classes of urban residents basis of some form of waged labor, would undoubt-
experienced drastic rates of decline in their standard of edly introduce systemic changes in local agriculture,
living. Recent census data from some countries sug- by creating or deepening the rural labor market. If
gest that the 1980s witnessed an easing of rural-urban rural population growth continued, it is more than
migration as many prospective migrants were deterred likely that there would be pressure for further labor
and some urban migrants returned to their rural intensification in household production. Labor com-
homes?” The gap in rural-urban terms of trade was plementaries, as well as conflicts, between rural
closing in the wrong direction. household units and urban-based agricultural interests
In this atmosphere of declining standards of living could arise.
and infrastructural uncertainties, both the rural and It is possible that the lop-sided flow of labor and
urban population converged on a risk minimization raw materials from rural to urban areas during the era
strategy involving individual and household diversifi- of derived urbanization is being replaced with a mDre
cation of economic activities. There was a strong two-way exchange. Urban migrants who return to the
precedence for this approach. Rural farmers, uncertain rural areas tend to be more educated than in situ rural
of climatic growing conditions, had sought to mini- residents of the same age. Scattered survey evidence
mize their risks through crop and plot diversification of urban household involvement in rural-based agri-
in traditional agricultural systems. Urban and rural culture suggests that capital as well might be flowing
dwellers alike pursued household livelihood strategies to the rural areas in exchange for land.25 What impli-
consisting of subsistence activities, market-oriented cations could these developments have for NARE? Is
production, and trading?’ In so doing, risks of output a foundation for more viable nonagricultural employ-
failure were spread over a range of activities. ment in rural areas being established? Furthermore,
104 WORLD DEVELOPMENT

did the cutbacks in foreign imports of consumer goods areas. The long-standing anti-urban bias of donor
during the 1980s function to create a market for non- agencies and researchers is only now beginning to be
agricultural products from rural areas? In other words, moderated by a more balanced perspective.28
is there any evidence that reduced foreign competition The topic of agrarian transformation has its theo-
lessened the stigma of purchasing so-called inferior retical origins in the work of the classical political
goods?26 Now during the 199Os, market liberalization, economists such as Adam Smith and David Ricardo
most specifically the lifting of import controls, may based on the European, notably English, experience.
have made this a hypothetical question in many coun- In the mid-19th century, Marx used the term “primi-
tries once again. tive accumulation,” to refer to the process whereby
It is necessary to be cautious about the nature of agricultural smallholder peasants were divorced from
NARE growth at this stage in sub-Saharan Africa. The their land and formed into a proletariat stripped of
widespread appearance of NARE does not represent control over the means of production. He argued that
the development of labor specialization according to this historical process, necessary for the establishment
the Western model. Artisanal craft production was of capitalism, creates a “relative surplus population”
important in the skill formation of Western capitalism. vis-d-vis agricultural production. The outcome serves
The economic diversification strategy pursued by capitalists in two main ways: labor becomes available
individuals and households in sub-Saharan Africa for indushy, i.e. an “industrial reserve army” and the
appears to be veering away from labor specialization. conditions for lowering wage levels are engendered as
Rural technological skill levels might not register a “surplus” workers compete for jobs.
marked improvement until people begin to restrict Lewis29 provided a neoclassical 20th century
their income-earning activities. update to the notion of “surplus labor.” He assumed,
Furthermore, there is one extremely black cloud for different reasons than Marx, that surplus labor
looming on the horizon of NARE development. The existed in densely populated rural settlements of the
impact of the fatal AIDS virus has so far been felt developing world. The marginal productivity of labor
mainly in urban areas, with the exception of some was reckoned to be zero or near zero, such that a trans-
rural areas around the lake regions of Rwanda, fer of labor from agriculture to nonagricultural
Burundi, Uganda, Tanzania and Kenya. It is unfortu- employment could take place without any reduction in
nately anticipated that over the course of the next agricultural output. Under these assumptions, rural
decade deaths among the economically active popula- emigration to urban areas, particularly the industrial
tion in many rural areas of sub-Saharan Africa will sector, was considered beneficial. As Boserup points
increase.” Where the rural incidence of AIDS out, later economists tended not to make a distinction
becomes particularly pronounced it is already evident between the value of rural labor in densely, as opposed
that the supply of local agricultural labor is jeopar- to sparsely, populated rural areas. The latter were
dized. NARE activities are unlikely to flourish in situ- more prevalent in sub-Saharan Africa. In African agri-
ations of such acute labor shortage. cultural systems, increasing population was being
accommodated by expanding into new land or
employing more labor-intensive methods of produc-
4. OBLIQUE PATHS TO A THEORETICAL tion. With marginal productivity of rural labor well
UNDERSTANDING OF DEAGRARIANIZATION above zero, emigration was ill-advised.“”
In the 1950s and 196Os, labor migration studies
Deagrarianization, as a long-term developmental proliferated?’ Originally these focused on the impli-
process in Africa, has been largely overlooked. Most cations of “stabilizating labor,” i.e. the cessation of
of the research relevant to this theme has been on rural circular migration and the permanent settlement of
employment from an economic policy perspective. Its laborers and their families in urban areas. By the mid-
underlying concern has been with increasing the labor 196Os, concern had switched from “stabilizing” to
absorption capacity of rural areas in order to prevent “curtailing” urban labor migration. Researchers rec-
heavy rural migration to urban areas. Until recently, ognized that educational levels of urban migrants
the anti-urban bias of donor agencies’ contributed to were rising while job availability was declining.32 The
the lack of research enquiry into the phenomenon of so-called school leaver problem encapsulated the
deagrarianization. Labor that physically removed unbridgeable gap between the material expectations
itself from village agricultural production was viewed of the populace and the delivery capability of the
as a drain, whereas nonagricultural labor within the economy. At this time, economic analysts and govem-
village was labeled “income-generating”, a necessary, ment policy makers were converging on the view that
but “augmenting,” aspect of household livelihood. the emigration of the countryside’s youth was deplet-
These views tended to give rise to a truncated percep- ing agriculture of development potential.
tion of nonagricultural activity which largely pre- “Informal sector” studies abounded in the 197Os,
cluded exploration of the linkages between agricul- beginning with the now famous IL0 mission report on
tural and service sectors and between rural and urban Kenya.33 This period marked a watershed in terms of
DEAGRARIANIZATION AND RURAL EMPLOYMENT 105

challenging the colonial notion that urban economic tion debate have introduced interesting dimensions to
activities necessarily had to be conducted within the the study of rural production, it is apparent that apply-
formal economy to further development objectives. ing the concept of industrialization to sub-Saharan
Later studies would raise severe doubts about the Africa can have a distorting effect. Often the “indus-
development potential of the informal sector, arguing trial activity” label has been applied too liberally to
that its activities were marginal and destined to remain provide any analytical power. Crafts and trades such
marginal.34 Most informal sector studies were heavily as weaving, pottery, beer brewing, carpentry, auto
weighted toward the urban areas and revealed a disad- mechanics, transport services, etc. have been desig-
vantaged underclass of urban dwellers.35 nated as “industries.” The skills and organizational
Each of these successive thematic waves mirrors features of these economic activities are rarely in any
changing trends in the relative distribution of labor way connected with industry as earlier defined in this
between urban and rural areas. As urban labor became paper. Nor can they easily be compared with proto-
more abundant, the prevailing conceptual framework industries in 18th and 19th century Europe. Thus,
was reevaluated. Nonetheless, labor studies focused many of the assumptions regarding the presence or
primarily on urban areas. The work of the Michigan potential of rural industrialization in sub-Saharan
State University research team pioneered by Africa have been premature. The recent ADLI
Liedholm has provided a valuable counterbalance. approach takes cognizance of this. Adelman points
Since the early 197Os, they have provided insights into out that sub-Saharan Africa poses great barriers in
the interaction of agriculture and small-scale rural terms of technology, institutions and rural relations
enterprises on the basis of firm level surveys in even to the more modest staged aims of ADLI $5
selected African countries.36 Rural industrialization studies have tended to be
Over the past 15 years, studies of rural industrial- pursued either through broad historical analysis or
ization have proliferated. The rural industrialization detailed surveys of small-scale firms on the other.
perspective derives inspiration from historical work Conclusions regarding sectoral linkages have
on the development of European “cottage industries” emanated from the latter. There are, however, difficul-
and the more recent experience of Chinese rural indus- ties in making generalizations about sectors on the
trialization. This approach has the advantage of basis of firm level data. Resort to theories about small
emphasizing the process of development.37 Saith enterprise stages of growth, which borrowing heavily
defines rural industrialization historically as “a transi- from the life-cycle approach to business development
tion stage between peasant agriculture and modern in Western industrial societies,& has the attendant
industry, and also as the vehicle for affecting both the danger of tautological reasoning in data interpretation.
necessary primitive accumulation of capital from the Such an evolutionary perspective leads to normative
agricultural sector, and its subsequent investment in assessments about the small size of African businesses
industrial activities.“38 and their low earning capacity!’ But is there a tradeoff
The rural industries theme is deeply engrained in between the proliferation of many small, often one-
the Asian development literature.39 Its introduction to person firms, and the increase in firm size with respect
Africa is more recent and tends to be argued in terms to number of employees and magnitude of earnings
of “small-scale industries.“40 Tracing the relationship that this literature sometimes implies? This begs the
between agriculture and industry is central in this question of whether the expansion of firm size is
approach.4’ One of the analytical preoccupations of its desired or even functional to African entrepreneurs,
adherents is an attempt to discern forward and back- leaving aside the issue of economic feasibility.
ward linkages between the two sectors. Economists The history of Western corporate enterprise dating
and geographers have endeavored to explore this area from the guilds of the Middle Ages onwards has been
despite the methodological difficulties entailed in the one of getting the right balance between trade entry,
identification and measurement of linkages.42 Overall, scale of operations, and training requirements.
the magnitude of linkages in sub-Saharan Africa is Similarly, traditional African crafts such as black-
considered to be smaller than that found in rural smithing, pottery-making and healing had entry con-
Asia.47 trols and apprenticeship arrangements. Most of the
Given widespread disillusionment with industrial “modem” small enterprises, on the other hand, are of a
performance in sub-Saharan Africa, a new strategy of free-entry nature with little or no provision for train-
“agricultural demand-led industrialization” (ADLI) is ing. Under the circumstances, it is also not surprising
being advocated.@ ADLI aims at creating an agrarian to find lack of expansion of firm size. The institutional
middle class and domestic mass market through a uni- context which could promote such growth is largely
modal agricultural policy which entails land tenure absent. Furthermore, in some places, village associa-
reform, the promotion of rural small-scale industries tional ties based on lineage, age, or gender are at odds
and infrastuctural improvements including transport with firm growth. For example, van Donge4’ cites the
and commodity pricing. difficulties encountered by partnerships of two or
While the various threads of the rural industrializa- more men among traders from a matrilineal society.
106 WORLD DEVELOPMENT

Even brothers did not have a sufficient degree of trust has contributed to the obfuscation of deagrarianiza-
to operate a business involving cash transfers and tion in sub-Saharan Africa.
travel. This serves to illustrate that enquiry into the
nature of nonagrarian enterprises should not stop at
firm level data collection. 5. RESEARCH TRAJECTORY: DISSECTING
Labor market analysis provides a more compre- THE SERVICE SECTOR
hensive perspective. Market performance is evaluated
with respect to participation rates, unemployment and Citing statistical evidence, this paper has argued
underemployment, supply and demand, and wage that sub-Saharan Africa is steadily becoming less
rates. The data provide good material for sectoral agrarian in nature. None of the existing theoretical
comparisons. Because rural labor markets are rela- approaches offer focused enquiry into the process of
tively undeveloped in sub-Saharan Africa, there is deagrarianization. Weighing up the strengths and
very little literature demonstrating this approach.49 It weakness of existing approaches, however, does sug-
is significant that research in Sudan, a country where gest useful analytical directions. An understanding of
repeated famine has undermined the economic viabil- deagrarianization could be pursued at two levels: as a
ity of many smallholder peasant households, has gen- long-term historical process and as an integral part of
erated some of the most interesting insights into the rural households’ short-to-medium term livelihood
functioning of African labor markets. Associational strategies. Drawing the findings of these two levels of
ties and power relations are vital to an understanding analyses together could lead quite naturally to a sec-
of labor contract negotiations.50 Such data require- toral perspective with attendant policy implications.
ments involve the study of other institutions besides Both old and new research themes can be accom-
markets, notably household production units. modated in a deagrarianization approach. The study of
Rural household studies have been pursued for off-farm activities and small-scale industries can be
decades by anthropologists and more latterly by econ- combined with new interests such as the development
omists and agronomists using a farming systems of entrepreneurship and possibilities for flexible spe-
approach. Welfare economists in particular have cialization. This would entail the incorporation of
drawn attention to the intrahousehold patterns of many existing assumptions regarding these fields of
cooperation and conflict over resource allocation and studies but it would also require notable revisions.
income distribution.51 Recently, household-level The assumption that a shrinking agricultural sector
research has gained even wider appeal with the study infers individual or household occupational special-
of livelihood strategies. In this context, it is interesting ization, on the one hand, and economic diversification
to note that there is a tendency for rural and urban within sectors, on the other, has to be avoided.
boundaries to blur as a result of the emerging patterns Deagrarianization in sub-Saharan Africa appears to be
of economic diversification on the part of individual proceeding on the basis of individual activity diversi-
producers and their households?2 Much more work fication with limited intrasectoral diversification.
has to be done on this to discern such patterns and their Occupational specialization is largely missing. A
effects on growth and equity. wide gulf between household livelihood activities and
The household livelihood approach captures the professional vocation exists. The former represents a
dynamics of diverse economic activities and income risk minimization strategy whereas the latter takes
streams at the microlevel. Production, consumption stability of livelihood for granted. It is clear that the
and exchange relationships can easily be traced at the growing momentum for economic diversification of
household level. Perhaps most importantly, the household labor is geared to minimizing risks vis-h-
motive force of risk minimization is abundantly vis the realization of basic household subsistence
apparent. Households can be distinguished on the needs and safeguarding the means of livelihood in the
basis of class, income, gender, of its head, or life-cycle context of African income levels falling.54
stages. The household level provides a tremendously The overriding theme in development literature
rich terrain of enquiry. The main drawback, however, has been the relationship between agriculture and
is that uncontextualized household findings cannot be industry. The prototype of transitional agricultural
directly related to more macrolevel trends and tenden- industrial relations is that of Europe, particularly
cies. England. It could be argued that agrarian development
In summary, this schematic review of the literature and population densities that are prevalent in sub-
suggests that micro and macro data collection must be Saharan Africa differ dramatically from those of early
combined in an iterative way to gain an understanding 19th century Europe.55 Market relations appear to be
of rural employment patterns and the process of far less generalized.
deagrarianization in sub-Saharan AfricaJ3 Any single Industry has been a relative nonstarter in urban
social science discipline is inadequate to the task. areas of sub-Saharan Africa, easily outcompeted by
Furthermore, it is likely that rigid adherence to disci- advanced industrial producers in the world market.
plinary boundaries and biases in the social sciences But rural services are not vulnerable to international
DEAGRARIANIZATION AND RURAL EMPLOYMENT 107

competition in the same way. A skeletal service sector activities in Africa for decades, but these data have
already exists. Can or will deagrarianization, in its rarely been analyzed in light of its potential for spark-
present stage, take the form of rural service sector ing an intrinsic growth process. There are several
expansion? Is there a likelihood of intrinsic growth of aspects that require analytical attention, including: the
agricultural and service sector linkages with concur- emergence of occupational specialization, the pub-
rent consumer market development? Can the current lic/private configuration of the rural service sector, the
diversification of household economic activities stim- organizational evolution of entrepreneurial activities,
ulate forward and backward linkages? If so, will this spatial aspects of service sector development, social
raise agricultural productivity and the level of techni- differentiation among rural service sector agents and
cal skills in rural areas? As the long-term decline in technological levels in rural service sector develop-
Africa’s international terms of trade continues and in ment.
view of the competition African agricultural exports Europe’s transition from an agrarian to an industri-
face from Green Revolution advances in Asia and alized economy has been used as a universal model
biotechnology in Europe and North America, these and yardstick for the evaluation of economic develop-
questions gain further importance. ment. African realities need to be judged on their own
To date, very little research on nonagricultural terms. In-depth exploration of the interrelationship
activities in rural areas has been cast in terms of devel- between the agricultural and service sectors by social
opment of a rural service sector.56 Anthropologists, scientists representing a variety of disciplines is long
economists and other social scientists have been col- overdue.
lecting data on the phenomenon of nonagricultural

NOTES

I. E.g., Kenya: Evans and Ngau (1991), Carlsen (1980); 10. Singh (1977) and Blackaby (1987).
Rwanda: von Braun, de Haen and Blanken (1991); Tanzania:
Havnevik (1993); and Zaire: Tshibaka (1992). 11. On the other hand, the extreme racial character of rural
dispossession that has taken place in South Africa may make
2. E.g., Andrae (1992). it a unique case.

3. Kilby and Liedholm (1986) and von Braun, de Haen 12. See Lewis (1978) for an historical illustration of the
and Blanken (1991). effect of this on economic development.

4. E.g., Haze11 and Roe11 (1983) and Ranis (1990). 13. See Boserup (1981) for an insightful comparison of
regional performance in world industrial development.
5. World Bank (1981, 1989), Mkandawire (1988) and
Mytelka (1989). 14. World Bank (1981),pp. 25-26.

6. Rejecting conventional approaches, Riddell’s review 15. Raikes (1988).


(1990,pp. 1 l-12citing WorldBankfigures) of African man-
ufacturing nonetheless provides overwhelming evidence of 16. Bryceson (1990).
poor growth. During 1970-84, per capita MVA from a sam-
ple of 21 countries of sub-Saharan Africa (accounting for 17. Boserup (1989).
85% of MVA for the region) rose by only $1.70 a year, com-
pared with Latin American countries’ rise of $5. 18. Buijtenhuis and Rijnierse (1993).

7. Some countries reported capacity utilization rates 19. Jamal (1993).


below 30%.
20. E.g., Lageman (1989), pp. 525-545.
8. There is no standardized definition of what constitutes
an urban area, so these aggregate percentages should be 21. Bryceson (1993a).
understood as indicators of patterns rather than precise mea-
sures. 22. For a discussion of clientage, see Bryceson (1990), pp.
21 l-224.
9. It should be noted that not all countries define urban
areas according to the UN standard of 20,000 people or more. 23. Bryceson (1984). Southall (1988), Rodinelli (1988)
Thus aggregated continental statistics are problematic, a and Baker and Ove Pedersen (1992).
dilemma faced in compiling almost any economic indicator
for the African continent. On the other hand, growth rates 24. Nigeria: Swindell and Illiya (1994); and Tanzania:
might be considered more reliable because countries tend to Bryceson (1993a).
adhere to one definition of urban areas, allowing change to be
recorded over time. 25. The nature of the capital/labor exchange will vary. In
108 WORLD DEVELOPMENT

some places it is quite benign and takes the form of “land bor- (1987). Gasper (1988), Haan (1989), Carr (1990) and
rowing” by urban-based farmers. In other cases, it amounts Ademisokum-Turton (1990).
to expropriation of land from rural producers. Nigeria:
Swindell and Mamman (1990); and Kenya: Kitching (1980). 41. E.g.,Mellor (1989).

26. A term fust used in Hymer and Resnick (1969). 42. Seidman (1972), Hazel1 and Roe11 (1983). Mureithi
and Sharma (1984). Harriss (1987). Harriss (1990), Ranis
27. Barnettand Blaikie (1992) and World Bank (1993). (1990),Dunham(1991)andHansohm(1990).

28. Jamal and Weeks (1988) and Bryceson (1993b). 43. Haggblade, Hazel1 and Brown (1989).

29. Lewis (1954). 44. Mellor (1986), Elkan (1989), Adelmau (1990) and
Mair (1990).
30. Boserup (19%).
45. Adelman (1990).
31. E.g., Gulliver (1955), Mitchell (1957) and Elkan
(1960). 46. Felsenstein and Schwartz (1993).

32. Todaro (1969) and Sabot (1979). 47. Anderson(l982)andMead(l994).

33. ILO(1972),Hart(l973)andGerry(l974). 48. van Donge (1992).

34. Sethuraman (1981), House (1984). Simon (1984). 49. E.g.,General: Osmani (1990), Smith (1991), Jamal
ILO/JASPA (1985) and Preston-Whyte (1991). (1993); Kenya: Kongstad and Monsted (1980); Sudan: El-
Bagir &al. (1984), Abdelkarim (1986), Kevane (1994); and
35. For an overview of IL0 material see ILO(l991), Zimbabwe:Adams(l991).
Taffere Tesfachew (1992), Ghai (1987) and Meagher with
Yunusa (1991). 50. Kevane (1994).

36. Liedholm (1973), Byerlee et al. (1977), Kilby (1982), 51. Sen (1985), Singh, Squire and Strauss (1986) and
Liedholm and Mead (1987) and Mead (1994). IFPRIWorld Bank (1992).

37. Mendels (1972), Levine (1976) and Medick (1976). 52. Potts and Mutambirwa (1990) and Andrae (1992).

38. Saith (1992),p. 17. 53. Bryceson (forthcoming).

39. Ho (1982), Agarwal (1985). Islam (1987) and 54. de Waal(1989).


Choudhury (1988).
55. Boserup (1981).
40. Chuta and Liedholm (1975) and (1979), Norcliffe,
Freeman and Miles (1984), Chinyoka (1985), Helmsing 56. A notable exception is Wanmali and Zambhiya (1992).

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