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Current Data
Current Price $32.55 PEG 1.8X
Market Cap ($M) $920.2 EPS TTM ($) $1.31
Shares Outstanding (M) 28.2 P/E TTM 24.8X
Institutional Holdings % 95.0% EPS Est. 2010 ($) $1.95
Insider Holdings % 2.5% P/E Est. EPS 16.7X
Beta 0.39 Target Value ($) $41.0
0
Latest Quarter Reported 01/31/201 Dividend Yield % 0.00
0
The mobile data communications segment consists primarily of MTS and BFT real-time
and secure systems sold to the U.S. Army. This segment also includes microsatellite
systems and related components. Mobile data contributed 49.2% to total revenue in
2Q10.
Overall, 64.7% of total sales was derived from the U.S. government and an additional
29.2% came from international sales. The balance, 6.1%, came from domestic
commercial sales.
Recent Developments
By The Numbers
Sales for the TTM ending 1/10 are down to $555.5 million for FY09 levels of
$586.6 million. Y-O-Y, sales are down 7.5%. However, we are beginning to see
pick-up. In the quarter ending 1/10, sales were $171.1 million as compared to
the year-ago quarter of $143.9 million.
At the segment level, we are seeing changes too. In 2Q10, sales in the telecom
transmission segment declined to $58,463 million from $69,523 million in 2Q09.
There was a dramatic increase in the mobile data segment. Sales increased from
$38,871 million in 2Q09 to $84,186 million in 2Q10. There was a 20% decrease in
the RF microwave segment. In 2Q10, sales decreased to $28,483 million from
$35,492 in 2Q09.
EPS for the TTM ending 01/10 are down to $1.31 compared to the year-ago level
of $2.57. In 2Q10, EPS was $0.51 as compared to $0.46 in 2Q09.
Gross margins for fiscal years 2005 to 2009 range from 40.7% to 44.2% and
average 42.16%. The gross margin for the TTM ending 01/10 is down to 37.4%.
We see similar patterns for operating margins and net margins.
The Company has a very strong balance sheet. The Company reports $514
million in cash which also represents approximately 55% of the current market
cap. With so much cash on hand, it is no surprise the Company has announced
its interest in making acquisitions.
The Company carries about $200 million in long term debt and $310.0 million in
total liabilities. The total liabilities to total assets ratio of 32%; long term debt to
capitalization ratio of 23.3% and long term debt to equity ratio of 30.3%.
At current EPS levels, valuation seems a little high at 24.8X. If the Company can
hit the average EPS estimate of $1.95, then the P/E of 16.7X seems reasonable.
Price to Book is 1.3X and Price to Tangible Book is 2.0X.
Conclusion
The Company has good fundamentals and upside of about 27% from current
levels. We think the current price is a little ahead of itself. We would wait for a
pullback to about $27 before buying.